Thursday, September 13, 2007

WEEK TWO PLAYER MATCHUPS

Indianapolis @ Tennessee
Indianapolis is coming off a game where they dominated New Orleans offensively and defensively. Start Peyton Manning, Joseph Addai, and both Marvin Harrison and Reggie Wayne, just like every week. Dallas Clark had a few big receptions last week, but he can be inconsistent from game to game. The surprising Indianapolis defense, which seems like a different unit with Bob Sanders in the lineup, should also have a good outing against a lackluster Tennessee offense. Temper your expectations for Tennessee’s offense. Vince Young is great on the field, but has yet to show consistency in fantasy. None of their receivers has established himself yet, and Vince spread the ball around last week. Chris Brown is interesting coming off of a huge 175 yard performance, but he will likely be neutralized as soon as the Colts take a lead and the Titans are forced to pass.

Green Bay @ New York Giants
The Giants’ offense is in trouble, having lost Brandon Jacobs and Eli Manning last week. New York is also matched up against the impressive Green Bay defense. The team is still maintaining that Eli may play this week, but most reports have him out for about a month. With Jared Lorenzen starting, the value of all Giants receivers goes down. You still want to start Plaxico Burress, since he can snatch a jump ball in the end zone in any game, but sit the rest, including Amani Toomer, who had nine catches last week. Derrick Ward had a good game last week, and against another defense he’d be a decent start, but not this week. The Giants’ defense was terrible last week, allowing 45 points to Dallas. Brett Favre is a good start if you need him, as are Donald Driver and James Jones at receiver. Vernand Morency was limited in practice this week, so follow this situation as Sunday approaches to see whether he or Brandon Jackson will get carries. Depending on who plays more, these guys could be decent plays as well.

Cincinnati @ Cleveland
Start all of your Bengals this week, including the Cincy defense, which looked very impressive against Baltimore and should look great again against Cleveland’s inept offense. Braylon Edwards and Joe Jurevicius will get passes thrown to them in garbage time once the Bengals take the lead, just like the Steelers did, but of the 14 passes thrown to these two last week, Browns’ QBs only connected on 5 of them. Kellen Winslow should also catch a few balls.

Houston @ Carolina
The Panthers are coming off of a 27 point performance, beating the Rams. Steve Smith had a big game, and he’ll be targeted all day in this one too. Start him. Drew Carter caught two TDs last week, so see if he can impress again and establish his role in this offense. RBs DeShaun Foster and DeAngelo Williams split carries, but Foster did more with his. The Texans shut down the Chiefs’ running game last week, but will have a tougher time with Carolina. They’ll split carries again, making neither a great option. For Houston, Andre Johnson is a good start, just like he is most weeks. Ahman Green will have some difficulty rushing against the Panthers, who shut down Steven Jackson last week, but he should catch a few passes for those of you in point per reception leagues. Also, TE Owen Daniels could have a decent game. Carolina was a good matchup for tight ends last season, and Daniels had a number of nice games last year. If you need a TE in a pinch, give Daniels a look.

New Orleans @ Tampa Bay
Start Brees, both Deuce and Reggie, and Colston for sure, which you probably do every week. Devery Henderson, despite only three catches last week, did catch a few short ones, which he did not do last year, and was clearly the Saints’ number two option at receiver. He’ll remain in this role this week, and should have a few deep chances as well. Tight end Eric Johnson had eight catches last week, and he is a decent play again. The Bucs don’t usually have many viable fantasy options, but monitor their RB situation as the week progresses. The Saints have trouble stopping the run, and whether it’s Cadillac Williams, Michael Pittman, or Earnest Graham starting, the Buccaneers have as good a chance as ever to put up some numbers on the ground. The difficulty for Tampa’s runners will be opportunities, since New Orleans could take an early lead and force them to pass; Joey Galloway and Ike Hilliard will be the beneficiaries.

Buffalo @ Pittsburgh
Buffalo’s Marshawn Lynch played well last week, but he is only a decent start against a tougher Steelers D. Lee Evans is always a start, and always has a chance to connect on a bomb from J.P. Losman. The Bills’ defense looked a lot better than it was last week: they allowed only 15 points, but let Jay Cutler throw for 304 yards and Travis Henry run for 139. This looks good for Ben Roethlisberger, who should continue his strong play this week. Willie Parker, Hines Ward, and Santonio Holmes are good plays this week, and Big Ben looks for Heath Evans in the end zone every week.

Atlanta @ Jacksonville
The Jaguars should have success running on the Falcons, as Minnesota did last week and most teams will this season. Both Maurice Jones-Drew and Fred Taylor are strong plays this week. Surprisingly, Dennis Northcutt led the Jaguars’ receivers in targets (9) and catches (4) last week. Watch to see if this continues against Atlanta, but I’m not buying him just yet. Atlanta is facing a Jacksonville defense that was expected to be stout against the run, but allowed Chris Brown to gain 175 rushing yards last week for Tennessee. The Jaguars should get it together and stop RBs Warrick Dunn and Jerious Norwood this week, so neither is a good play. Alge Crumpler is the only good play for the Falcons this week.

San Francisco @ St. Louis
The Niners’ defense looked much improved on Monday Night against the Cardinals, containing Arizona’s vaunted passing game. They’ll have to show it again this week against the high-flying Rams before I really believe in them. Start Bulger and Holt. Steven Jackson, coming off of a very disappointing performance against Carolina, should have a much better game this week. Keep in mind he didn’t play at all in the preseason, so rust likely played a part against the Panthers. Also, keep an eye on the Rams’ receivers. Isaac Bruce has been there for years, but watch for how many passes are thrown to him and Drew Bennett, who plays his first game with St. Louis this week. For San Francisco, Frank Gore starts every game. Darrell Jackson wasn’t all that impressive last week, but start him against the Rams. Also, keep a close eye on Arnaz Battle, who could break out this season as the 49er passing game improves. He and Jackson were targeted equally last week, and he could emerge, especially if Jackson’s knee continues to bother him.

Minnesota @ Detroit
The Lions’ defense is bad, so look for a big game from the Vikings’ running game. The problem is that Chester Taylor’s hip injury last week created some uncertainty as to whether he or Adrian Peterson will carry the load this week. Monitor Taylor’s status this week and plan accordingly, but if they both play, they should both have big games anyway. I don’t trust the Vikings’ passing game, even though the Lions allowed Josh McCown to throw for 313 yards and 2 TDs, so don’t start Tarvaris Jackson or any of their uninspiring receivers. Detroit should be able to throw on Minnesota, so Kitna is a good start. The ball was spread evenly between receivers Roy Williams, Calvin Johnson, Mike Furrey and Shaun McDonald last week, but Williams, Johnson, and Furrey are all good plays this week (McDonald will have to do it again before I believe in him). See if Kitna leans on any of these guys more this week, but don’t be surprised if Mike Martz’s offense keeps the ball evenly distributed.

Seattle @ Arizona
For Seattle, Shaun Alexander starts every week, and should play well against Arizona’s mediocre defense. Arizona gave Alex Smith and the 49ers problems last week, but Matt Hasselbeck should play better. Start him and Deion Branch if needed, and keep an eye on Nate Burleson. Depending on your scoring system, Burleson’s return yards on kickoffs and punts will help, and this could finally be the year where he emerges as a reliable receiving option. Bobby Engram is also in the mix here. Matt Leinart looked overmatched against San Francisco, and his problems may continue against Seattle and its speedy defense. As a result, temper expectations for WRs Larry Fitzgerald and Anquan Boldin, but start them anyway. Edgerrin James looked great on a few runs last week, and scored. Start him this week for sure.

Dallas @ Miami
Dallas’ defense was a big disappointment last week, but its opponent this week has its own problems. Nevertheless, Chris Chambers was QB Trent Green’s favorite target last game, and he should be able to get open against Dallas, especially if CB Terence Newman is out again. Ronnie Brown will benefit from Jesse Chatman’s injury, and maybe this will be the week where he decides to seize the RB job. If Chatman can’t go, Brown’s value increases this week. For Dallas, Tony Romo, Terrell Owens, and Marion Barber are all starts. Julius Jones is falling out of my favor, since all he seems to do is gain some yards between the 20s. Barber looks far better when he carries the ball, so don’t look for Jones to get more carries anytime soon. His only chance to score is on a long run. WR Patrick Crayton was poised for a nice game last week with Terry Glenn out, but he managed only 3 catches. Sam Hurd caught a long TD, so watch to see who gets the targets after Owens.

Kansas City @ Chicago
Kansas City couldn’t do much of anything last week on either side of the ball, and things don’t look any prettier this week going to Chicago. TE Tony Gonzalez is a start every week, but may run into trouble against Chicago’s fast linebackers. Larry Johnson is also a start every week, especially if he keeps catching passes like last week, but he’ll have problems against a stout Bear defense as well. As unpredictable as the Bear offense is for fantasy, it should have a good game here. You can even start Rex Grossman this week if you need to, but only if you need to. Bernard Berrian will have a good game, as should Cedric Benson (if he decides he wants it). Continue to monitor this RB situation, as Adrian Peterson had almost as many yards as Benson did last week on fewer than half the carries.

New York Jets @ Baltimore
The Jets had a rough game against New England all around, and losing QB Chad Pennington doesn’t help matters. They’re also up against the scary Baltimore defense. Sit all of your Jets except Laveranues Coles if you need him. Keep an eye on second year QB Kellen Clemens, though, and see if he shows you anything in his first NFL start. His mobility and strong arm could surprise people. Baltimore had its own troubles on offense last week, which was particularly disappointing since it went up against Cincinnati’s 30th ranked defense from last season. With Steve McNair banged up as well and possibly out this week, your Ravens don’t look good this week either. Willis McGahee has had some tremendous games against the Jets from his days with the Bills, so start him, but he has yet to show much with the Ravens. Todd Heap is a start every week. Also, continue to monitor the Ravens’ receivers. Derrick Mason seemed to rediscover his connection with McNair last week; McNair targeted young Demetrius Williams nine times, and Williams made some really nice catches. Mark Clayton could reclaim his spot in the mix as well.

Oakland @ Denver
Oakland’s offense saw some success against Detroit last week, but Denver will be a different story. The Broncos historically play very well against the run, which does not bode well for Oakland RB LaMont Jordan, who had a nice game with 70 yards, a TD, and 9 catches. You can start him, but PPR leagues are where he’ll be more valuable. Ronald Curry caught 10 passes and looked great last week. Start him this week again. Denver’s offense also looked effective despite only scoring 15 points against the Bills last week. Oakland had a great pass defense last season, but start WR Javon Walker anyway. WR Brandon Marshall is a decent play, as is QB Jay Cutler. RB Travis Henry should have another very nice game this week, as he should most weeks running behind that offensive line and in Mike Shanahan’s system. Denver’s defense is also a good play this week.

San Diego @ New England
This is San Diego’s second elite opponent in two weeks, but its big-time fantasy players are must-starts every week: Ladainian Tomlinson and Antonio Gates. Tomlinson couldn’t run anywhere last week against Chicago, but still found ways to score, running for a tough 7 yard TD and throwing for another one. The Patriots destroyed the Jets defense, but will have more difficulty this week. Start Tom Brady every week. If you have other options, consider sitting RB Laurence Maroney against the Chargers, whose tough defense against the run will cause problems. It will be difficult to predict the fates of Patriot wide outs every week: Randy Moss went off last week while Donte Stallworth caught just one pass. Brady spreads the ball around, and many of the Patriot receivers will be feast-or-famine for your fantasy team. It’s hard to sit Moss after his game last week, so don’t, but don’t be too surprised if he disappoints. Stallworth should catch more than one this week, and Wes Welker will be solid as a possession receiver again.

Washington @ Philadelphia
Philadelphia looks to be more efficient this week against a Washington defense that played OK against the Dolphins. Washington isn’t as tough as Green Bay was for QB Donovan McNabb, so look for a good game from him and from Eagle receivers. McNabb should find WR Reggie Brown more than once in this one, and see if WR Jason Avant can have another solid game this week. Brian Westbrook should have a very good game here. For the Redskins, see if Clinton Portis can repeat his nice performance from last week. Start him, but don’t necessarily expect a huge game. Santana Moss will be his erratic self again going deep.

Wednesday, September 12, 2007

FFI: MNF GAME NOTES

FFI: MNF GAME NOTES
SEPTEMBER 10th, 2007



DOUBLE THE FUN ON MONDAY NIGHT
The opening weekend of the NFL season, with a planned double-header scheduled for Monday night had all the promise of night filled with excitement and great plays. Well for half the night we were entertained with some of that, but the other half was anything but memorable.

Ravens give one away

A quote to remember; “You don’t have to be a genius to figure out it’s tough to win in the NFL when you turn the ball over (and six times, does anything really need to be said).”
~said by someone who lost somewhere

Whenever you have a divisional match-up there is always that scent of heated rivalry. Throw in the mix, Chad Johnson and Ray Lewis and you have a made for television event. On Monday night, both players found themselves center stage when the Ravens met the Bengals for the first game of the Monday night double header.

The Bengal’s team leader and quarterback Carson Palmer looked very sharp early in the game connecting often with his two-headed monster, wideouts Johnson and TJ Houshmandzadeh (something that can be expected through-out the season). Palmer finished the night completing 20 of 32 for 194 yards and 2 touchdowns. Ocho Cinco (Johnson) did all of his damage in the first half catching 5 passes for 95 yards, including a 39 yard touchdown score. TJ was consistent through-out the night (9 receptions, 50 yards, 1td), unlike Ocho Cinco, who disappeared in the second half.

On the other sideline, the Raven’s own field general started showing signs of wear and his age. Quarterback Steve McNair suffered what appeared to be a slight groin injury early in the game and needed to get it wrapped (as seen on TV with a screen of towels covering the All-Pro). McNair looked rusty, some of his throws were not sharp and at time he struggled to move around the pocket (making the injury quite apparent). While Air-McNair failed to get off the ground with any effectiveness, the Ravens running game when Head Coach Brian Billick decided to stay with it did well (4.3 yds/gain). The Raven’s new starting running back Willis McGahee gained 77 yards on 19 carries. The only bright spot in the passing game for Baltimore was the play of wide receiver Derrick Mason (7 receptions, 76 yards), trying to prove to old savy veteran is not done.

The Big story on the night however was turnovers. The Ravens committed 6 on the night and you just can’t win when you do that.

Spin:
McNair struggled in the opener and did not look comfortable all night, fumbling three times. There has been no update to McNair’s injury, but even if he gets healthy or if the team is forced to go with back-up Kyle Boller, the Ravens offense is on its’ way to quickly become a fantasy nightmare, unless they learn how to run the ball soon with McGahee.



The Cardinals top Niners in sleeper

There wasn’t much to look at in the night-cap when the San Francisco 49ers and Arizona Cardinals met. Both offenses struggled to sustain any kind of rhythm or drives. It wasn’t until the last few minutes of the game before there was any real excitement.

The Cards quarterback Matt Leinart really struggled in the pocket, having all kinds of trouble moving around. The Niners did a good job getting a push up the middle and putting pressure on the Ex-Trojan all night. When Leinart did have time, he was hesitant to pull the trigger. As a result the feared aerial attack of Arizona was grounded all night. The only pleasant surprise was the hard-nose running of Edgerrin James who tallied 92 yards on 26 carries with a touchdown (could be a good sign for gamers that took a chance on the Edge early).

The Niners did just enough to win this game and that was the worst part. They only did just enough. Quarterback Alex Smith was off target all night, his receivers could not hold onto any passes and the offensive play calling left a lot to be desired. When you have running back, Frank Gore that led the NFC in rushing a year ago, 18 carries will not get it done. The only drive where the Niners looked fluent or moved the ball with any poise was the final drive (even then, Niner fans were holding their breaths). As if winning was not enough, the Niners tried their best to add excitement and drama fumbling away the possible win, only to recover the loose ball in the end-zone to preserve the opportunity. Fortunately too, the only points that matter to the Niners are real points and not fantasy.

Spin:
Do not take too much away from this game other than to realize both teams did a very good job in the off-season to improve their defenses. These teams are loaded with too much talent to have another game like this (at least not next week). Gore will get his touches and Leinart will settle down and make the throw he must.

~D.Ortega

FFI


Monday, September 10, 2007

SETTLE DOWN

By Ross Mandel, Special To Fantasy Football Insiders

Hey you. Yes, I’m talking to you. Don’t do it—don’t hit that “Fantasy Panic Button.” Every season after week one, scores of fantasy players overreact—dumping or trading players based on their opening game performances. Don’t be this person. Need a reason? How about these: 16 for 30 for 170 yards with 1 TD and 1 INT. That’s what Drew Brees did last season in week one. Needless to say, his season improved, but how many people cut or traded Brees for nothing after that debut? Roy Williams’ 2006 opener read 3 catches for 36 yards. Marion Barber III had 26 total yards in last season’s week 1. Frank Gore had 87 yards rushing. How did these guys end up doing for their patient fantasy owners, and how many people felt fantasy shame after dealing them?

Hasty decision-making has never won a fantasy title. So settle down owners of Larry Johnson, Steven Jackson, Deion Branch, Lee Evans, and the rest of the week 1 underperformers. Don’t be the one who panics—don’t let yourself give in to the anger of the Dark Side that you’re feeling because your guy had an off week. It’s only one week. Besides, even if you did want to make an ill-advised trade, you’re dealing from a weakened hand—your player’s value is low. You’re not even getting value.

So what should you do? If you feel a need to do something, I have the solution. Turn it around—buy low! Send some emails out to frustrated owners, asking what they want for their “bust” players. If you phrase your email properly and reach the right owner, you could end up getting Lee Evans for a song. You could end up getting Maurice Jones-Drew for a spare part. Jones-Drew had 2 rushes for 8 yards last season in week 1. How’d he end up doing? Jacksonville’s running game didn’t produce much yesterday—so swipe Jones-Drew from whoever owns him. Odds are they’re sitting in front of their computer thinking, ‘what was I thinking? I could have drafted Chris Brown!’ Pillage those who have no fantasy discipline and fear not the repercussions.

Stealing is legal—in fact, it should be encouraged in fantasy football! So not be afraid of upsetting someone after you steal from them—there are no friends in fantasy football. I mean, come on—I know most of you are in leagues with friends…what’s better than getting the better of your buddy in a trade? That’s what it’s all about. Your job is to win. So make an offer—what’s the worst that can happen? But whatever you do—relax. Don’t overreact. There’s nothing worse than making a trade based on one week, then having that guy turn into a stud for the rest of the campaign. Don’t do it.

Saturday, September 8, 2007

FFI: THE FOUR HORSEMEN (WK 1)

FSH: THE FOUR HORSEMEN
SEPTEMBER 8th, 2007


The Strong Plays for Week One!

Looking over the week one match-ups, we’re trying to find evidence, trends, or even history that will offer up a clue of what you can expect and should see on Sunday.

Here are four match-ups we like for the opening week of the 2007 season and why we like them!

QB-Matt Leinart versus the 49ers defense; Although the Niners are coming off a nice season of improvement a year ago, when they arrive in Arizona on Monday night they will face a team they were unable to beat last year. The Cardinals swept the Niners in 2006 and their offense was one of the primary reasons averaging 30 points per game and 370 net yards. Leinart started most of last season and enjoyed a very good training camp. This season he will lead a Cardinals offense that appears primed to pick up just where they left off a year ago!
Prediction: 24 for 30 passing for 275 yards and three touchdowns!


RB-Lamont Jordan versus the Lions defense; When the Raiders picked up Dominique Rhodes in the off-season, suddenly it seemed like Lamont Jordan had fell off the earth. Heading into many fantasy drafts Jordan’s name wasn’t even a whisper in the early rounds. Even when Rhodes returns, he will likely back-up Jordan at the running back position. Jordan is a compact back, who runs hard. He has nice hands out of the backfield and is a very durable runner. He was slowed down a bit last season with injuries, but heading into the 2007 campaign he is healthy and will start out against last season’s 21st ranked run defense!
Prediction: 24 carries for 95 yards, 5 receptions for 35 yards and two touchdowns (1 rush, 1 rec)

WR-Chris Chambers versus the Redskins defense; This season Chambers will have a reliable source to deliver him the ball in quarterback Trent Green. There’s no the Dolphin’s are going to run the ball, but Sunday against a Redskin’s defense that had a league low 19 sacks, they will take advantage of their new field general. A proven QB to throw the ball will resurrect Chambers from the receiving graveyard. Chambers has proven in the past that he has to talent to be a big play receiver and is capable of having big games as was evident in week 13 of the 2005 season (15 catches for 238 yards and a score). Chambers will match up against a Redskins secondary where their starting corners had two picks between them all last season. There’s no doubt Chambers will be Green’s go-to-receiver on Sunday.
Prediction: 8 receptions for 115 yards and one touchdown.

TE-Tony Gonzales versus the Texans defense; Last season when Green went down and Huard came in Gonzales was still the go-to-guy in the passing game. A year ago, Gonzales had 9 games with 5 or more receptions with Huard the QB in five of those games. The two also connected three times for touchdowns. With Huard being named the starter, Gonzales will benefit with the chemistry these two developed last season. On Sunday they will go to work against last years 22nd ranked pass defense.
Prediction: 6 receptions for 75 yards and a touchdown

~David G.Ortega
FSH

WEEK ONE FANTASY PREVIEW

By Dan Lewis, NFL Draft Bible

New Orleans @ Indianapolis
In this matchup of what will be two of the NFL’s top offenses, look for huge games from both your Saints and Colts. Neither team showed much ability to stop anyone last season. For the Colts, Manning, Addai, Harrison, and Wayne are must-starts every week, and shouldn’t disappoint here. Brees and Colston will undoubtedly hook up several times, and Deuce McAllister and Reggie Bush must be eager to face the Colts notoriously poor run-D. Keep an eye on Saints’ WRs Deverey Henderson and Terrance Copper as well, as these deep threats compete for looks from Brees.

Philadelphia @ Green Bay
The Eagles offense will be as good as Donovan McNabb can make them, and when he’s not injured, he does not disappoint. He and Brian Westbrook are explosive together, but the interesting player to watch is Reggie Brown. Can he perform like his owners hope he can? Donovan made Donte’ Stallworth look amazing at times last season, and he could develop something with Brown as well. For the Packers, Brett Favre was very inconsistent last season, and the Eagles’ blitzing style could coax some very wobbly, errant passes from the veteran. Keeping in mind Donald Driver’s ailing foot, and injuries that have slowed both GB RBs Brandon Jackson and Vernand Morency in practice this week, the Packers could be in for a tough game, and Brett Favre’s record 147th win as a starter may have to come later. Start McNabb, Westbrook, and Brown from the Eagles, and Driver and Jackson from the Packers. The Eagles’ D should play well also.

Atlanta @ Minnesota
This game isn’t too interesting from a fantasy standpoint. The Falcons are running with Joey Harrington at QB, and a motley receiving corps that couldn’t make much of anything work with Michael Vick running the show. The Falcons also are up against the NFL’s top run-D from last season (61.6 ypg!!). The Vikings could suffer from losing their defensive coordinator, Mike Tomlin, to the Steelers, but they retained most key starters and have added rookie Chad Greenway to their linebackers. The Vikings’ offense faces similar problems; the Falcons’ defense ranked 9th last season in rushing ypg. The strength of both offenses is on the ground, and the strength of both defenses is stopping the run. Keep an eye on Adrian Peterson of the Vikings, who makes his NFL debut, but don’t look for outstanding numbers in this game, especially since he will split carries with incumbent Chester Taylor. Taylor and Peterson are OK plays for the Vikings. The Vikings’ defense should perform well also.

Miami @ Washington
Miami’s new regime gets its first shot against Washington’s lackluster defense. Miami’s running game was disappointing last season, and Washington did add LB London Fletcher-Baker, which should help against the run. Ronnie Brown couldn’t even definitively beat out Jesse Chatman in training camp. Trent Green also plays his first game for the Dolphins, and will have the opportunity to throw to a far more talented receiver than he ever had in KC: Chris Chambers. Chambers is also coming off a very disappointing season, but perhaps Cam Cameron can motivate him to play more to his potential. For Washington, Jason Campbell is healthy, but don’t start him. Clinton Portis practiced this week and should be ready to go. Santana Moss is always boom or bust. Start Portis, Moss and TE Chris Cooley for Washington; Ronnie Brown and Chris Chambers for Miami.

New England @ New York Jets
This game became much more interesting for the Jets’ offense when Rodney Harrison was suspended for his violation of the NFL’s substance abuse policy. New England’s pass defense suffers tremendously without Harrison, and in 2005 was among the NFL’s worst without him. Chad Pennington, Laveranues Coles and Jerricho Cotchery will all benefit from this. New England sported a stout run D last year, so keep your expectations measured for Thomas Jones and Leon Washington. For New England, Tom Brady gets to test out all of his new toys at WR against the Jets’ mediocre pass defense. Laurence Maroney should have a big game against the Jets’ poor run defense. These teams are both difficult for fantasy purposes because of the versatility of their offenses, but expect decent numbers from your Jets, and a good game from Maroney. Brady and Stallworth are also starts.

Tennessee @ Jacksonville
This game starts with Maurice Jones-Drew, but the good times end there. Although Tennessee’s defense was pretty bad last season, too much about the Jaguars offense is unclear. They seem to have a different WR break out every game, and with David Garrard being named the surprise starter, there are many mysteries about how Jacksonville’s offense will unfold. Garrard had good chemistry with Matt Jones at the end of last season, but Reggie Williams and Ernest Wilford also had big games at times. Wait and see with their passing game. For the Titans, Vince Young is the favorite of many, but last year he had problems moving the ball against this defense. Tennessee’s defense did score three touchdowns against the Jags in their second matchup last year, but don’t expect a repeat of such a fluke. Start Jones-Drew for sure, and Fred Taylor of you have to. The Jaguars defense is also solid. Stay away from everyone else.

Denver @ Buffalo
Mike Shanahan has his best running back since Terrell Davis in Travis Henry, and Buffalo can’t stop the run. Henry should be salivating. Also, with Nate Clements off to San Francisco, Buffalo loses its top shutdown corner, which helps Jay Cutler and Javon Walker in particular. Buffalo’s offense may have a tough year this year. J.P. Losman impressed some last season, but Marshawn Lynch will have problems behind a poor offensive line and against a solid Denver run defense. Henry should have a monster game, and Cutler, Walker, and WR Brandon Marshall will be good for Denver. Also keep an eye on Daniel Graham, who could emerge in the coming weeks as a nice option at TE. For Buffalo, start Lynch only if you have to. Lee Evans will have to deal with Champ Bailey, but he should start every week.

Pittsburgh @ Cleveland
Cleveland’s defense is not good so most of your Steelers should have nice games this week. Ben Roethlisberger is primed for a comeback season after last year’s disappointment, and he’s ready to carry more of a load than he did in his Super Bowl year. Hines Ward and Santonio Holmes are good plays. Willie Parker is a first round running back (who ran for 223 yards in a game against the Browns last year) and starts every week. Also, look for tight end Heath Miller to get some looks. For Cleveland, Braylon Edwards and Kellen Winslow are your only decent options. Someone is going to have to catch the ball in garbage time…

Carolina @ St. Louis
St. Louis has an explosive offense, and Carolina has been disappointing for a few years now. Steven Jackson is a stud. Marc Bulger is also studly. Torry Holt has some knee issues, but with Drew Bennett banged up and likely out this week, Holt should put up some numbers. This is also a chance to see if Randy McMichael can be as successful as some have predicted in Scott Linehan’s TE-friendly offense. Start Steve Smith always. There should be rushing yards to be had against the Rams, but whether DeShaun Foster or DeAngelo Williams will get them remains to be seen. Bet on Foster here, but monitor the situation closely.

Kansas City @ Houston
Nothing too exciting here. You start Larry Johnson every week, and he should play well against the Texans despite his holdout. Tony Gonzalez is also a start every week. For the Texans, Andre Johnson is a start, as is Ahman Green. Watch Green, as he could have a slight fantasy resurgence in Houston, especially in point per reception leagues. Matt Schaub needs to show something before he is considered

Tampa Bay @ Seattle
Tampa doesn’t excite too much usually, but Cadillac could have a nice game against Seattle’s small defensive front. I always want to count Joey Galloway out, but then he surprises me with a few huge receptions. For Seattle, start Shaun Alexander, but watch how he moves. He is getting older, and doesn’t have the line he had in his monster year. Matt Hasselbeck can start if you need him, but he has fantasy disappointment Deion Branch and sleeper D. J. Hackett to throw to. You can start these players, but don’t expect too much.

Chicago @ San Diego
This should be a great game, but a tough one for fantasy. Chicago’s offense relies on the unreliable Rex Grossman, and against San Diego’s defense it could have difficulty. This makes Grossman, Bernard Berrian, and other Bears’ receivers, shaky plays. Cedric Benson fell into the starting job in Chicago, but he isn’t liked in the locker room, and he could be a bust this year. San Diego is also a great defense vs. the run, so temper your expectations for Benson, and keep an eye on the other Adrian Peterson, Benson’s backup; see how the Bears use him, and how Benson responds. For San Diego, LaDainian Tomlinson is fantasy’s top player, and Antonio Gates is its best tight end. They obviously start every week. Phillip Rivers could have problems against Chicago’s defense, which affects super-sleeper Vincent Jackson and other Charger receivers. You can start both defenses and San Diego’s could have a great day.

Detroit @ Oakland
These are potentially the two worst teams in football, but Detroit does have some things to offer the fantasy world. Mike Martz’s offense is prolific, and with the addition of Calvin Johnson to Roy Williams and Mike Furrey, Jon Kitna should have another huge year (21 TDs and 22 INTs isn’t a huge year, is it? I’d say “he could have a huge year”). Oakland, though, quietly had a very good defense last season. Kitna is a start, as is Roy Williams. It’ll be interesting to see how the Lions work Calvin Johnson into the receiver rotation. Mike Furrey may start now, but Calvin is silly good. Martz also finds ways to get the ball to many receivers, so Calvin not starting may not matter for fantasy. You can start Calvin and Furrey if you need to. As for the Lions running game, it is not good, and this is a bad week for it anyway so stay away from their RBs. You can start LaMont Jordan if you have to, but I want to wait and see if he can do anything this year before I start him. Don’t start any other Raiders. They stink.

New York Giants @ Dallas
As long as Eli Manning has Plaxico Burress to throw bombs to, he has the potential to put up fantasy numbers. Burress practiced this week despite his bad back, and is a decent play. Eli Manning should be a backup in most leagues until he proves he can be the quarterback he was drafted to be. Brandon Jacobs is one of the meanest runners in the league, and he seems to want to run into and over as many defenders as he can on his way down the field. Start him. Dallas’ defense should be improved this year with Wade Phillips and his aggressive style. Demarcus Ware will shine in Shawn Merriman’s role, and will wreak havoc on Eli unless his line can protect him (which it probably can’t). Start the Dallas D. On offense, Tony Romo faded badly down the stretch last season, but faces a mediocre Giants defense. Romo, Julius Jones, Marion Barber III, Terrell Owens, and even Jason Witten (if you need him) are good plays this week. Keep an eye on the Cowboys’ RB situation. Will their roles be similar to last season, or will Phillips experiment?

Baltimore @ Cincinnati
Prolific offense vs. downright dirty defense. Baltimore’s defense won my matchup for me last year more than once with all its sacks, turnovers, and defensive touchdowns. The loss of Adalius Thomas could hurt a little, but it is still a must start, even against the Bengals. Willis McGahee is also a decent play this week. Todd Heap starts every week. Cincinnati ranked last in pass defense last season, so you can start your Ravens receivers this week if you need to. Derrick Mason and Mark Clayton should have solid games, and see if McNair finds sleeper Demetrius Williams at all. For the Bengals, their offensive players start every week, even against this defense. Get Carson Palmer, Chad Johnson, Rudi Johnson, and T. J. Houshmandzadeh in there.

Arizona @ San Francisco
Arizona’s potentially explosive offense faces off against San Fran’s shiny new defense. You probably don’t have to start either of these quarterbacks this week, so don’t. Boldin and Fitzgerald start every week for Arizona. Edgerrin James had an awful year last season, but could come back to life this season. Maybe. He’s an OK play. For the 49ers, Frank Gore is always a start. Darrell Jacksonshould have a good week against Arizona’s lackluster corners. Vernon Davis could also have a nice game. He is ultra-talented, and it’ll only take him learning the system and getting into a rhythm with Alex Smith for him to explode.

Friday, September 7, 2007

FFI: DIAMONDS IN THE ROUGH

FSH: DIAMONDS IN THE ROUGH
SEPTEMBER 7th, 2007



Here are some interesting match-ups to look at when trying to find your hidden-gem fantasy players for the week.

QB-Matt Schaub versus the Chiefs Defense; Schaub is finally getting the opportunity he couldn’t get in Atlanta. As the starter in Houston during the preseason Schaub exhibited some of his hidden potential completing 24 of 33 passes for 242 yards. Schaub has good size and vision at 6’5” and with a perennial Pro Bowler to throw at, he figures to make a name for himself quickly. This week Schaub will face a rebuilding Chiefs defense that ranked 18th against the pass and only tallied 32 sacks (ranked 23rd) all last season.
Prediction: 18 of 28 passing, 245 yards passing, 2 tds.


WR-Reggie Brown versus the Packers defense; It won’t take long for Brown to become a household name. Last season prior to McNabb getting injured Brown was emerging as one of the top deep threats in the NFC. Against the Packers on Sunday with McNabb back Brown will once again find the magic that existed a year ago between these two!
Prediction: 6 receptions for 120 yards and one touchdown!


TE-Randy McMichael versus the Panthers defense; Last season McMichael started out like the forgotten man in Miami only catching only 6 passes in his first three games. McMichael is not exceptionally large at tightend, but he possesses nice hands and a lot of athletic ability. He was under used in Miami, but now in St.Louis he’ll have a great opportunity to showcase his promise. Facing a tough Panther passing defense, quarterback Mark Bulger could look McMichael’s way for the mismatches!
Prediction: 7 receptions for 85 yards and one touchdown.

WR-Jerricho Cotchery versus the Patriots defense; last season Cotchery finished the year with 82 catches and 961 yards receiving establishing himself as a top-notch receiving threat. This week he’ll open the 2007 season against the Patriots, a team he torched for 16 receptions and 291 yards receiving while scoring once in all three games last season. The Patriots are still the Pats and will have a tough time matching up against Cotchery on Sunday!
Prediction: 5 catches for 105 yards and a touchdown!

By David G.Ortega
FFI

THE DAILY DOSE

PEYTON MANNING DIRECTS TEAM TO WIN
The Associated Press reports Indianapolis Colts QB Peyton Manning finished 18-of-30 passing for 288 yards with three touchdowns as the Colts defeated the New Orleans Saints 41-10. He led two quick touchdown drives in the first 8:49 of the second half as the team put up 24 points in 20 minutes after halftime.

BREES RUSTY IN SEASON OPENER
Doug Miller, of NewOrleansSaints.com, reports New Orleans Saints QB Drew Brees threw for 192 yards during the team's Week 1 loss to the Indianapolis Colts. Brees threw two interceptions during the game.

RAVENS EXTEND KYLE BOLLER
The Ravens have committed to Kyle Boller for another season. The two sides agreed in principle Thursday to one-year contract extension, according to the AP.

RUSSELL TO MEET WITH RAIDERS AGAIN
JaMarcus Russell's representatives and the Raiders will meet face to face on Friday, according to NFL Network's Adam Schefter

JOSEPH ADDAI SHARP IN FIRST GAME
Joseph Addai rushed 23 times for 117 yards and a touchdown and added three catches for 25 yards in Thursday's decisive victory over New Orleans.

DEUCE MCALLISTER KEPT IN CHECK
Deuce McAllister amassed 39 rushing yards on ten attempts and caught a pair of passes for seven yards in Thursday night's defeat.

REGGIE BUSH NOT MUCH BETTER
Reggie Bush rushed 12 times for 38 yards and caught four passes for six yards as the Saints fell to 0-1 on the season Thursday night

TRAVIS HENRY READY TO GO
In case there was any question, Broncos running back Travis Henry assured everyone on Wednesday that he's ready for week one. He suffered a first-degree sprain of the MCL in his left knee on August 18. "I feel great," Henry tells the team's official web site. "I'm fresh. It's the first training camp that I've been in that I've been fresh. I haven't taken a lot of pounding this preseason, so I feel great."

WARRICK DUNN TO START
Warrick Dunn will start on Sunday against the Vikings. Head coach Bobby Petrino named Dunn the starter over his second-year understudy Jerious Norwood on Wednesday. "We expect to get him in there as the starter, give him the ball, and let him go," Petrino told the Atlanta Journal-Constitution.

VERNAND MORENCY QUESTIONABLE
Vernand Morency did not take part in a walkthrough practice on Thursday, according to the Green Bay Press-Gazette. He practiced in full pads on Wednesday, yet was still restricted in terms of workload. He is considered questionable for Sunday's game against the Eagles with a knee injury.

DONALD DRIVER STILL LIMITED
The Packers listed Donald Driver's in Wednesday's practice as "limited participation," according to the Milwaukee Journal-Sentinel. He is still nursing a sprained right foot.

FANTASY ALERT: PATRICK CRAYTON
Three days before their regular-season opener, the Cowboys learned
wide receiver Terry Glenn's problematic right knee likely will force him to miss
two weeks and possibly more, team owner and general manager Jerry Jones said late
Thursday afternoon.

SEAHAWKS YET TO NAME A STARTER
Seahawks head walrus Mike Holmgren still has not made a final decision on who will start at split end in Week 1, D.J. Hackett or Nate Burleson. He did tell the Seattle Times that it will come down to has the better week of practice.

JONATHAN ODGEN UPDATE
Pro Bowl tackle Jonathan Ogden practiced Thursday, his third consecutive session with the Ravens, but his availability for the season opener is still uncertain. "I expect to know before that," Ogden told the Baltimore Sun when asked if he would know prior to the day of the game. "But I don't expect anyone else to know before that."

MICHAEL STRAHAN STATUS UP IN AIR
The Giants aren't saying yet whether Michael Strahan will play in the regular-season opener on Sunday, after ending his holdout Monday. He took on a larger work load in practice Thursday and said if he continues feeling good, he expects to suit up against the Cowboys, according to the AP. "I feel good," Strahan said after practice. "See how I feel tomorrow. Today, I ran a lot more plays than I ran before, the last two days. If I am going to feel good, I'll be out there."

LEIGH BODDEN TO PLAY
Leigh Bodden will play in the Browns' season opener this weekend, despite his recent arrest. "You all know there are two sides to every story," he told the AP. "Right now I can't comment on my side. My attorney will handle that. It's unfortunate that this is a distraction." The cornerback pleaded not guilty on Thursday to misdemeanor charges the day after police accused him of driving in reverse down a one-way street and becoming verbally abusive.