By Dan Lewis, Fantasy football Insiders
Miami @ New York Jets
The Jets have faced two tough defenses (Ravens and Patriots) in their first two games, but look for some improvement this week against the Dolphins. Miami allowed 191 yards rushing to Washington Week 1 and 166 to Baltimore Week 2. Looks like a nice opportunity for Thomas Jones turn it on. Start WRs Coles and Cotchery for the Jets as well, but sit QB Chad Pennington, if he even plays, to make sure he comes back well from his ankle injury. For Miami, WR Chris Chambers is second in targets on the season with 27, and is bound to get opportunities against the Jets and their lackluster pass rush (0 sacks in 2007). Marty Booker may even make some noise in this game. Start Ronnie Brown this week also, as he had 2 of his top 4 rushing performances of last year against the Jets.
San Francisco @ Pittsburgh
The Steelers have been dominant thus far, but face a solid 2-0 49ers team. Start RB Willie Parker. You can start WRs Hines Ward and Santonio Holmes, but don’t expect too much as San Francisco’s defense is far better than either Buffalo’s or Cleveland’s. This goes for Ben Roethlisberger as well. TE Heath Miller doesn’t always put up big numbers, but he gets looks in the endzone and has a chance to score every week, so use him if you need him. For the 49ers, Frank Gore is an every week start. Darrell Jackson has been disappointing thus far, and he faces a solid Pittsburgh defense. Temper expectations. Arnaz Battle was also disappointing after a strong Week 1, and until Alex Smith improves, these two receivers will have problems. Vernon Davis was irrelevant again, and until he shows some of his explosive potential, he’s staying on my bench.
St. Louis @ Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay faces a defense not much better than the Saints’ squad that they scored on last week. Jeff Garcia is making a case for himself as a strong backup option, and with a few more solid performances could be considered as a matchup play going forward. Gruden seems committed to pounding Cadillac Williams, so he’ll get touchdown opportunities if they present themselves. Start him. Joey Galloway was his explosive self again, and he should have chances against the Rams again. We are all waiting for St. Louis’ Steven Jackson to turn it on. The more he plays, and the more the Rams’ retooled O-line can play together, the better Jackson will be. It’s not panic time yet, so get him in there. Bulger is an every week start, as is Torry Holt. Isaac Bruce made a strong case for himself last week with 8 catches for 145 yards, but Tampa’s defense is superior to New Orleans. Randy McMichael hasn’t clicked yet, and Tampa has been strong against tight ends so far this year. Not a strong play.
San Diego @ Green Bay
Two great defenses face off in this one, making it a tough game for players on both sides. Start LaDainian and Gates obviously. The Packers have a muddled running back picture, with rumors that DeShawn Wynn will start this week over rookie Brandon Jackson. Jackson had more carries last week, but Wynn was far more effective, averaging 5 yards per carry. However, neither is a good play against San Diego. Donald Driver is a start every week, and will likely get some looks as soon as the Chargers shut down the Packer running game. Both Green Bay TE Donald Lee and Bubba Franks had good games last week, but the Giants have been killed by tight ends the past two weeks now. Make those tight ends do it again before expecting too much.
Detroit @ Philadelphia
The feisty, pass-happy Lions face the disappointing Eagles, whose franchise quarterback looks distressed. Donovan McNabb had problems other than his own injuries on Monday night, but when he was given time to throw, and open receivers to throw to, he often missed them. This is a game for him to get back on track against a very weak Detroit defense, so start him if you need him. RB Brian Westbrook is dinged up again with that nagging knee, but he played well through several questionables last year, and he remains the Eagles only viable offensive option, especially in Coach Andy Reid’s stubborn pass-heavy offense. If he is ruled out for Sunday, Correll Buckhalter would likely start, but rookie Tony Hunt is also in the picture, and could emerge given the opportunity. Donovan has yet to develop chemistry with any of his receivers, so keep an eye on who he’s targeting this week; in the meantime, Reggie Brown and Kevin Curtis have gotten the most looks, but Jason Avant and Hank Baskett will probably be in the mix as well. None is a particularly strong play. The Lions’ QB Jon Kitna is a start, as are Roy Williams, Calvin Johnson, and a surprising Shaun McDonald, who has reunited with offensive coordinator Mike Martz from their days in St. Louis, and gotten more looks than last year’s surprise, Mike Furrey. RB Tatum Bell is an uninspiring play, as Martz has shown an eagerness to abandon the run in the past.
Arizona @ Baltimore
Despite Baltimore’s defense, WRs Larry Fitzgerald and Anquan Boldin are starts. Edgerrin James has gotten off to a nice start, but he faces a defense that has allowed only 60 yards rushing per game on the season, so sit him. Sit QB Matt Leinart as well. Steve McNair looks like he’ll play this week, but don’t play him. Derrick Mason has been targeted 12 times in both games this year; look for that to continue this week. Mark Clayton is working his way back from his toe injury. He is expected to reclaim his starting role for the Ravens, and he is a nice fantasy option if you need him. TE Todd Heap always starts.
Buffalo @ New England
This game should be a massacre. New England has been dominant, and Buffalo has been anemic. Tom Brady, Laurence Maroney, and Randy Moss are starts and should all have very nice games. Brady is notorious in the fantasy world for spreading the ball to his receivers, but he’s been consistently targeting Moss and Wes Welker more often this year. He should be able to pass to whomever he wants in this one, and those two remain great plays this week. Temper expectations for Donte Stallworth, as he hasn’t done much yet. Benjamin Watson is also a good play. Buffalo’s Lee Evans remains a potential deep threat, so start him. Roscoe Parrish has the second most targets for the Bills behind Evans, and he could make some noise in garbage time once the Pats take a sizeable lead.
Indianapolis @ Houston
The surprising Texans face their division rivals, but without top WR Andre Johnson. This fact, coupled with Indy’s strong defense, lowers QB Matt Schaub’s potential this week. RB Ahman Green could catch some balls out of the backfield, and he is a decent play. No Texan WR not named Andre Johnson has more than 2 catches on the season, so monitor Jacoby Jones and Kevin Walter to see who gets the looks, but don’t start either one this week.. Owen Daniels remains a decent TE option. Start all of your Colts (Manning, Addai, Harrison, Wayne, and even Dallas Clark, if he plays this week (neck)).
Minnesota @ Kansas City
Minnesota’s run-heavy offense faces the uninspiring Chiefs. QB Tarvaris Jackson may not play, but it doesn’t matter. Don’t start any Viking receivers or QBs. It looks at this point as though Chester Taylor may be back this week, so monitor the situation as Sunday approaches to see if you get a sense of how many carries he and Adrian Peterson will get. If Taylor is indeed back, both runners are strong plays. For the Chiefs, start Tony Gonzalez. RB Larry Johnson faces the top defense vs. the run in the NFL, and coupled with his slow start to the year (49 yards per game), I would look into alternate options this week.
Jacksonville @ Denver
Jacksonville has been unimpressive for fantasy thus far, including a disappointing start for RB Maurice Jones-Drew. Don’t look for the offense to get on track this week. If you have Jones-Drew or Fred Taylor, you may not have great alternatives, but temper expectations for them. For Denver, I’d start QB Jay Cutler, RB Travis Henry, and WR Javon Walker with high hopes. WR Brandon Marshall has also looked good, and he is startable.
Cleveland @ Oakland
Cleveland comes off of its astonishing 51 point game over the Bengals, but it ends here. I think Cincy’s defense may just be that bad… Oakland has a top defense vs. the pass, so sit Derek Anderson. Braylon Edwards and Joe Jurevicius were nice plays last week, but not this week. Start Edwards if you need him. Kellen Winslow is a start this week. Look for Oakland WR Ronald Curry to bounce back from last week’s disappointing performance. LaMont Jordan has been nothing but impressive this year, and he should continue to play well this week.
Cincinnati @ Seattle
Look for Seattle WR Bobby Engram to emerge this week. Cincinnati can’t stop anybody, and Engram has been effective in the past for Mike Holmgren. Engram and Deion Branch will have nice games this week. Nate Burleson is actually also a good play for this week because of the Bengals’ defensive ineptitude. For those of you in scoring systems where offensive players earn points for kick returns, Burleson deserves serious consideration, as Cincy will score and give him ample opportunity to return kicks. Start the typical Bengals this week (Carson, Chad, TJ, and Rudi).
New York Giants @ Washington
Washington QB Jason Campbell comes off of an encouraging outing against the Eagles. He’s making a case for himself as a bye-week replacement and decent backup. Start both Santana Moss, as you do most weeks, and Antwaan Randle-El against the Giants’ inept defense. Clinton Portis and Ladell Betts should play well. Betts has gotten fewer carries than some have speculated he might get this season, but against the Giants there should be enough gaping holes for 2 runners to share. Also, Happy Birthday, Chris Cooley owners. Expect an explosive day. The Giants have been terrible covering the TE thus far. For the Giants, start WR Plaxico Burress for sure, and the scrappy Derrick Ward and the improving Eli Manning, if you need them. Shockey is a decent play as well.
Carolina @ Atlanta
Atlanta may be the worst team in the NFL. They haven’t played a particularly strong offense yet, but Carolina will look great against them. Start Steve Smith for sure. WRs Keary Colbert and Drew Carter have been getting the rest of the targets from QB Jake Delhomme, but these aren’t particularly exciting options. The Carolina RB situation is muddled, but both DeShaun Foster and DeAngelo Williams could have nice games this week. Start them if needed. Tight End Jeff King has gotten some looks from Delhomme as well, and if you are trapped in some sort of dire TE shortage, he’s worth a look this week vs. the Falcs. Alge Crumpler’s matchup is decent.
Dallas @ Chicago
Dallas will have its troubles vs. the Bears. RBs Marion Barber III and Julius Jones don’t have a great matchup, but Barber is a threat to score a touchdown every week, so start him. Terrell Owens and Tony Romo are also starts, but if you have another option at QB, consider it over Romo. No WR has established himself in place of injured Terry Glenn. Neither Patrick Crayton nor Sam Hurd has impressed, so leave them alone this week. Jason Witten seems to have taken advantage of his Week 1 matchup against the Giants, but had problems against the Dolphins last week, catching only 2 passes. The Bears won’t make things any easier on him. For Chicago, don’t expect much from Cedric Benson or Adrian Peterson. Start WR Bernard Berrian, and TE Desmond Clark could have a nice game here.
Tennessee @ New Orleans
New Orleans is a mess. They aren’t giving Deuce McAllister the ball, Reggie Bush plays running back like a punt returner, and no receiver other than Marques Colston seems interested in excelling. Look for them to get back on track eventually, but the solid Tennessee defense won’t make it easy for them. I’d continue to start Deuce and Bush. Drew Brees and Colston are also starts. I was high on Devery Henderson coming into the season, but he dropped three passes last week, including a touchdown, and was benched for the second half. I’m not starting any Saints receivers other than Colston until this offense remembers how to play. For Tennessee, Vince Young is a solid play. My impression this season has been that Jeff Fisher wants to give the ball to LenDale White more than Chris Brown, so White is the stronger play. WR Brandon Jones is also a decent play, although the Titans’ passing game can be unpredictable.
Thursday, September 20, 2007
Tuesday, September 18, 2007
FFI: MNF GAME NOTES
FFI: MNF GAME NOTES
SEPTEMBER 17th, 2007
MONDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL WEEK 2
This game was anything but a barn-burner and although it did not play out quite to what many fans had hope, it did offer some interesting storylines to follow for the rest of the season!
Redskins Make Statement
If you had any questions as to how good this year’s Redskins team would be, on Monday night all questions were answered. We won’t crown these boys champions of the NFC East, but to go on the road, in Philly and come out with a win on Monday night has got to make a statement. And for those who are listening, the Redskins will be a player in the race for the East title.
Keeping in mind thus far this season the Eagles have not looked very good, we have to be reminded this is an Andy Reid team and he will get this ship righted. As for Washington, things appear to be clicking and Head Coach Joe Gibbs in his 4th year back with the team may just have found one of his missing links in quarterback Jason Campbell.
In a game that figured to favor the hometown Eagles, Washington’s young quarterback quickly dispelled that theory. Quarterback Jason Campbell continued to show poised as a strong leader for Washington’s offense and showed his leadership through his play. On Monday night he lead the Redskins to a 20-12 win completing 16 of 29 passes for 209 yards with a touchdown and making plays when he needed. Campbell had great pocket presence stepping up and into his throw when he needed and moving out the pocket and using his mobility when the time called for it. He was effective all night and kept the chains moving, leading the Redskins to 19 first downs. Campbell added 6 runs for 39 yards avoiding the Eagles pass rush and was sacked only once all night.
Campbell was not the Redskins only bright spot on the night, running back Clinton Portis ran hard between the tackles picking up 69 yards on 17 carries including one score. Santana Moss put up solid numbers catching 6 passes for 89 yards.
The Eagles on the whole did not fair well with inconsistent play from their quarterback Donovan McNabb. Errant throws, passes that were off the mark, and the inability to avoid the pressure of the Redskins pass rush defined the veteran’s Monday night. Only running back, Brian Westbrook stood out and produced favorable fantasy numbers, rushing for 96 yards and catching 8 passes for another 66 yards.
On the night the Redskins controlled the action and pretty much had the game in check, if not for the late 4th quarter heroics of McNabb (240 yds passing) and Brian Westbrook down the stretch which kept the game in question, but only for a moment.
Spin:
The Eagles offense continues to stall in the red-zone (4 FGs) as McNabb struggles with errant high throws and inconsistency passing (54.4% completion). Good news for fantasy owners the slow start has not slowed Westbrook’s numbers other than scores. A good sign, in the 4th quarter of Monday night’s game, Mcnabb finally showed flashes of is old self making the needed throws and moving the team. Fantasy owners will now be looking for a quicker start out of the gate in week 3.
MNF
Studs…
There is no question that the Redskins young quarterback Jason Campbell appears to be on the verge of stepping out of the shadows of mediocrity and into the limelight of stardom. His numbers are not yet fantasy worthy, but it could be just a matter of time. This kid has talent!
The Eagles running back Brian Westbrook just continues to do what he does. In two games he’s collected 14 passes for 112 yards while rushing for 181 yards on 37 carries (4.9 avg).
Busts…
So far this season has been a fantasy disappointment if you picked up any of the Eagles offensive players (except for aforementioned). Tightend LJ Smith has 4 receptions for 26 yards this season, while Eagle’s wide receiver Reggie Brown has only 3 catches for 41 yards. As McNabb’s recovery progresses it is hard to stay with players that post these kinds of numbers. Owners better look for other options for now.
One’s to watch…
Of course we like Jason Campbell and think that owners should keep a close eye on him. His got a rocket of an arm, a nice touch, and has shown tremendous poise at times this season. A little maturity and progression and this kid will be dynamite, especially with his receiving corp that should see a slight upgrade with the addition of Reche Caldwell.
Another Redskin worth watching and one who will benefit from the arrival of Caldwell is Antwaan Randle El, who’s already shown flashes of what he is capable of (5catches for 162 yards last week).
Sleepers…
Heading into this season there was a lot of speculation surrounding the health of running back Clinton Portis, there were even rumors circulating that he wasn’t even the best running back on the team. Portis has played through both games this season and has shown no slowing down. Owners who took a chance with a high pick can start breathing easier as it appears, nothing will keep him off the field this season.
Don’t hold your breaths…
If you drafted running back Ladell Betts hoping that he would eventually move into the starting line-up, you may need to look for other options to fill this void. Betts had only 8 touches in Monday Night’s win.
If you, like many others took a gamble drafting wide receiver Reggie Brown as your number two receiver, the honeymoon is over. McNabb’s slow start has paralyzed Brown’s value and with how the Eagle’s QB spreads the ball, this option could be a hit or miss from week to week.
~David G.Ortega
FFI
SEPTEMBER 17th, 2007
MONDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL WEEK 2
This game was anything but a barn-burner and although it did not play out quite to what many fans had hope, it did offer some interesting storylines to follow for the rest of the season!
Redskins Make Statement
If you had any questions as to how good this year’s Redskins team would be, on Monday night all questions were answered. We won’t crown these boys champions of the NFC East, but to go on the road, in Philly and come out with a win on Monday night has got to make a statement. And for those who are listening, the Redskins will be a player in the race for the East title.
Keeping in mind thus far this season the Eagles have not looked very good, we have to be reminded this is an Andy Reid team and he will get this ship righted. As for Washington, things appear to be clicking and Head Coach Joe Gibbs in his 4th year back with the team may just have found one of his missing links in quarterback Jason Campbell.
In a game that figured to favor the hometown Eagles, Washington’s young quarterback quickly dispelled that theory. Quarterback Jason Campbell continued to show poised as a strong leader for Washington’s offense and showed his leadership through his play. On Monday night he lead the Redskins to a 20-12 win completing 16 of 29 passes for 209 yards with a touchdown and making plays when he needed. Campbell had great pocket presence stepping up and into his throw when he needed and moving out the pocket and using his mobility when the time called for it. He was effective all night and kept the chains moving, leading the Redskins to 19 first downs. Campbell added 6 runs for 39 yards avoiding the Eagles pass rush and was sacked only once all night.
Campbell was not the Redskins only bright spot on the night, running back Clinton Portis ran hard between the tackles picking up 69 yards on 17 carries including one score. Santana Moss put up solid numbers catching 6 passes for 89 yards.
The Eagles on the whole did not fair well with inconsistent play from their quarterback Donovan McNabb. Errant throws, passes that were off the mark, and the inability to avoid the pressure of the Redskins pass rush defined the veteran’s Monday night. Only running back, Brian Westbrook stood out and produced favorable fantasy numbers, rushing for 96 yards and catching 8 passes for another 66 yards.
On the night the Redskins controlled the action and pretty much had the game in check, if not for the late 4th quarter heroics of McNabb (240 yds passing) and Brian Westbrook down the stretch which kept the game in question, but only for a moment.
Spin:
The Eagles offense continues to stall in the red-zone (4 FGs) as McNabb struggles with errant high throws and inconsistency passing (54.4% completion). Good news for fantasy owners the slow start has not slowed Westbrook’s numbers other than scores. A good sign, in the 4th quarter of Monday night’s game, Mcnabb finally showed flashes of is old self making the needed throws and moving the team. Fantasy owners will now be looking for a quicker start out of the gate in week 3.
MNF
Studs…
There is no question that the Redskins young quarterback Jason Campbell appears to be on the verge of stepping out of the shadows of mediocrity and into the limelight of stardom. His numbers are not yet fantasy worthy, but it could be just a matter of time. This kid has talent!
The Eagles running back Brian Westbrook just continues to do what he does. In two games he’s collected 14 passes for 112 yards while rushing for 181 yards on 37 carries (4.9 avg).
Busts…
So far this season has been a fantasy disappointment if you picked up any of the Eagles offensive players (except for aforementioned). Tightend LJ Smith has 4 receptions for 26 yards this season, while Eagle’s wide receiver Reggie Brown has only 3 catches for 41 yards. As McNabb’s recovery progresses it is hard to stay with players that post these kinds of numbers. Owners better look for other options for now.
One’s to watch…
Of course we like Jason Campbell and think that owners should keep a close eye on him. His got a rocket of an arm, a nice touch, and has shown tremendous poise at times this season. A little maturity and progression and this kid will be dynamite, especially with his receiving corp that should see a slight upgrade with the addition of Reche Caldwell.
Another Redskin worth watching and one who will benefit from the arrival of Caldwell is Antwaan Randle El, who’s already shown flashes of what he is capable of (5catches for 162 yards last week).
Sleepers…
Heading into this season there was a lot of speculation surrounding the health of running back Clinton Portis, there were even rumors circulating that he wasn’t even the best running back on the team. Portis has played through both games this season and has shown no slowing down. Owners who took a chance with a high pick can start breathing easier as it appears, nothing will keep him off the field this season.
Don’t hold your breaths…
If you drafted running back Ladell Betts hoping that he would eventually move into the starting line-up, you may need to look for other options to fill this void. Betts had only 8 touches in Monday Night’s win.
If you, like many others took a gamble drafting wide receiver Reggie Brown as your number two receiver, the honeymoon is over. McNabb’s slow start has paralyzed Brown’s value and with how the Eagle’s QB spreads the ball, this option could be a hit or miss from week to week.
~David G.Ortega
FFI
Saturday, September 15, 2007
FFI: DIAMONDS IN THE ROUGH
FFI: DIAMONDS IN THE ROUGH
SEPTEMBER 14th, 2007
Week Two Players to Watch!
In week two, patience, talent and opportunity are the right mix for some of the future fantasy stars.
WR-James Jones versus the Giants secondary; the Packers rookie wide receiver will get his second consecutive with receiver Greg Jennings slowed by injury. In week one, the Giants secondary had all sorts of problems and were torched for over 300 yards. With veteran Donald Driver drawing the most attention, Jones should be able to run free over the middle and downfield. Quarterback Brett Favre is too experienced and savy to not take advantage of this soft secondary. Expect to see Jones get a lot of balls on Sunday.
Prediction: 5 receptions for 85 yards and a touchdown.
TE-Eric Johnson versus the Buccaneers defense; the Saints tightend, Eric Johnson became a favorite target of quarterback Drew Brees in the Thursday night opener catching 8 passes for 57 yards. With so many weapons on offense for the Saints, it’s easy for defenses to forget that Johnson caught 82 passes in 2004. Johnson is not much for speed, so he won’t accumulate too many yards after the catch, but he can get open and has very hands. On Sunday you can expect to see Brees drop the ball over the middle to quite often.
Prediction: 7 catches for 70 yards.
WR-Brandon Marshall versus the Raiders secondary; there has been a lot said recently about the Raiders young corner Nnamdi Asomugha. But that most likely won’t be a worry for the Broncos 2nd year receiver Brandon Marshall. Asomugha will likely be preoccupied with his hands full of the Broncos other receiver Javon Walker. Marshall came along slowly last season, but finished strong once Cutler took the helm. In his final three games, Marshall had 11 of his season total 20 receptions. In week one he pulled in 5 passes for 52 yards including a score.
Prediction: 6 receptions for 100 yards and a touchdown.
RB-Ronnie Brown versus the Cowboys run defense; Along with getting lit up by the Giants passing game in week one, the Cowboys run defense was equally unimpressive. The Giants did not tally a large number of yards a week ago, but on 22 carries, they averaged 5.6 yards per carry. This could spell big relief for the Dolphins running game and in particular running back Ronnie Brown. Brown managed only 32 yards on 11 carries in week one, but that was on the road. This week the Dolphins are home and will get Brown more carries, so owners can expect to see a significant improvement in production.
Prediction: 22 carries for 95 yards and a score!
Last Week
Our search for Diamonds in week one proved to be more like bags of coal. The Eagles receiver Reggie Brown struggled with his shaky quarterback catching only a single pass. The Jets wideout Jerricho Cotchery was not quite as effective as he had been in the past against the Patriots catching 6 passes for only 57 yards. A big miss in week one was tightend Randy McMichael, who virtually nonexistent through three quarters finishing with only two catches. Only quarterback Matt Schaub panned out as a good pick for week one. He was good, not great passing completing 16 of 22 passes (72.7% completion) for 225 yards and a touchdown.
Overall grade D+.
~D.Ortega
FFI
SEPTEMBER 14th, 2007
Week Two Players to Watch!
In week two, patience, talent and opportunity are the right mix for some of the future fantasy stars.
WR-James Jones versus the Giants secondary; the Packers rookie wide receiver will get his second consecutive with receiver Greg Jennings slowed by injury. In week one, the Giants secondary had all sorts of problems and were torched for over 300 yards. With veteran Donald Driver drawing the most attention, Jones should be able to run free over the middle and downfield. Quarterback Brett Favre is too experienced and savy to not take advantage of this soft secondary. Expect to see Jones get a lot of balls on Sunday.
Prediction: 5 receptions for 85 yards and a touchdown.
TE-Eric Johnson versus the Buccaneers defense; the Saints tightend, Eric Johnson became a favorite target of quarterback Drew Brees in the Thursday night opener catching 8 passes for 57 yards. With so many weapons on offense for the Saints, it’s easy for defenses to forget that Johnson caught 82 passes in 2004. Johnson is not much for speed, so he won’t accumulate too many yards after the catch, but he can get open and has very hands. On Sunday you can expect to see Brees drop the ball over the middle to quite often.
Prediction: 7 catches for 70 yards.
WR-Brandon Marshall versus the Raiders secondary; there has been a lot said recently about the Raiders young corner Nnamdi Asomugha. But that most likely won’t be a worry for the Broncos 2nd year receiver Brandon Marshall. Asomugha will likely be preoccupied with his hands full of the Broncos other receiver Javon Walker. Marshall came along slowly last season, but finished strong once Cutler took the helm. In his final three games, Marshall had 11 of his season total 20 receptions. In week one he pulled in 5 passes for 52 yards including a score.
Prediction: 6 receptions for 100 yards and a touchdown.
RB-Ronnie Brown versus the Cowboys run defense; Along with getting lit up by the Giants passing game in week one, the Cowboys run defense was equally unimpressive. The Giants did not tally a large number of yards a week ago, but on 22 carries, they averaged 5.6 yards per carry. This could spell big relief for the Dolphins running game and in particular running back Ronnie Brown. Brown managed only 32 yards on 11 carries in week one, but that was on the road. This week the Dolphins are home and will get Brown more carries, so owners can expect to see a significant improvement in production.
Prediction: 22 carries for 95 yards and a score!
Last Week
Our search for Diamonds in week one proved to be more like bags of coal. The Eagles receiver Reggie Brown struggled with his shaky quarterback catching only a single pass. The Jets wideout Jerricho Cotchery was not quite as effective as he had been in the past against the Patriots catching 6 passes for only 57 yards. A big miss in week one was tightend Randy McMichael, who virtually nonexistent through three quarters finishing with only two catches. Only quarterback Matt Schaub panned out as a good pick for week one. He was good, not great passing completing 16 of 22 passes (72.7% completion) for 225 yards and a touchdown.
Overall grade D+.
~D.Ortega
FFI
Thursday, September 13, 2007
FFI: FIRE & ICE
FFI: FIRE & ICE
September 13th, 2007
Your Weekly update of players who are hot (on Fire) and their “stock is rising” and those who are not (Ice cold) with their “stock sinking!”
FIRE
After an exciting week of football several players set themselves apart from obscurity and took a definite step towards the top of fantasy stardom.
Quarterbacks on the rise…
Many experts have been critical of quarterback Ben Roethlisberger who was stuck playing in a very conservative system during the Cowher Era. Now begins the Tomlin Era and we can see that the Steelers are going to let Big Ben air it out. The result was four touchdowns in week one and looking ahead to week two Roethlisberger should have great success against a Bills secondary that not only allowed more than 300 yards passing in week one, but will now turn to untested defensive back Ashton Youboty to replace corner Jason Webster (IR)!
He may be no Elway, but the Broncos quarterback Jay Cutler appears poised to do an admirable job following his week one performance passing for more than 300 yards. In week two Cutler will face a Raiders secondary that was lit up for over 300 yards in their opener. The addition of a solid running game to support his passing efforts should afford Cutler the time he will need to find his sure handed receiving corp of Walker, Stokley, and the emerging youngster Brandon Marshall.
Running backs on the rise….
With all the speculation surrounding the Vikings running back Chester Taylor this week, if he will play, the real focus should be on their rookie running back Adrian Peterson. Whether Taylor plays or not, Peterson will likely see more of the action in the running game and passing game. Peterson broke loose for huge gains in week one and now he will face the Detriot Lions in the Silverdome on Sunday. It really won’t matter who this kid faces as long as he gets the rock, good things will happen. Against the Lions in week two Peterson should have another nice day of total yards.
For many fantasy owners that were forced to pick up Chris Brown in their draft as insurance or lack of better options, the pay-off in week one was incredible. Brown has always appeared to have this breakaway ability and big-game potential, but injuries and inconsistencies have made him less than desireable in recent seasons. After his tremendous preformance in week one, Brown will draw the Colts, a defense not noted for run-stuffing. With the defense concerend with stoping the Titans mobile and unpredictable QB, Brown could have another solid effort on Sunday in week 2.
Wide Receivers on the rise…
With the Bills secondary being torched in week one by the Broncos, you can expect to see the Steelers follow suit in week 2. One match-up Pittsburgh will be trying to line-up is wideout Santonio Holmes against the Bills young corner Ashton Youboty. Holmes was solid with a big play touchdown in week one, and there is no question the Steelers will try take advantage of his size and get him the ball in the red-zone in week two.
ICE
Just like those who rise to the top, there are those players in week one that may have fallen off the map heading into week two.
Quarterbacks with value sinking…
It may be to early to be thinking of trading JP Losman, but if you drafted the Bills quarterback you can not be happy with his first two match-ups this season. Last week he faced a tough Broncos secondary that held him to less than 100 yards passing and as he enters week two he’ll face a Steeler’s defense that recored 6 sacks last game.
Runningbacks with value sinking…
The New York Jets struggled last week to run the ball against the Patriots and one of the reasons one the ineffectiveness of running back Thomas Jones (calf). Jones has 14 carries for 42 yards last week for a 3-yard average. Jones has been hampered with a calf injury that has him limited in practice. This week he’ll face a stellar Raven’s defense, so the prospect of playing well at less than 100% does not look good.
If you are need of a starting running back stay away from the Cowboys running back Julius Jones. In a contract year, it appears to be that nothing has changed. Jones usually starts, but the back-up runningback Barber gets significant time on the field, especially goal-line opportunities. In a year that he needs to prove himself, Jones hardly created any attention with 66 quiet yards on Sunday night. The Cowboy’s other back gained one yard less with five fewer carries. Expect this trend to continue with Jones sharing the load and getting fewer chances to score each week.
Check for more updates and analysis.
~David G. Ortega
FFI
September 13th, 2007
Your Weekly update of players who are hot (on Fire) and their “stock is rising” and those who are not (Ice cold) with their “stock sinking!”
FIRE
After an exciting week of football several players set themselves apart from obscurity and took a definite step towards the top of fantasy stardom.
Quarterbacks on the rise…
Many experts have been critical of quarterback Ben Roethlisberger who was stuck playing in a very conservative system during the Cowher Era. Now begins the Tomlin Era and we can see that the Steelers are going to let Big Ben air it out. The result was four touchdowns in week one and looking ahead to week two Roethlisberger should have great success against a Bills secondary that not only allowed more than 300 yards passing in week one, but will now turn to untested defensive back Ashton Youboty to replace corner Jason Webster (IR)!
He may be no Elway, but the Broncos quarterback Jay Cutler appears poised to do an admirable job following his week one performance passing for more than 300 yards. In week two Cutler will face a Raiders secondary that was lit up for over 300 yards in their opener. The addition of a solid running game to support his passing efforts should afford Cutler the time he will need to find his sure handed receiving corp of Walker, Stokley, and the emerging youngster Brandon Marshall.
Running backs on the rise….
With all the speculation surrounding the Vikings running back Chester Taylor this week, if he will play, the real focus should be on their rookie running back Adrian Peterson. Whether Taylor plays or not, Peterson will likely see more of the action in the running game and passing game. Peterson broke loose for huge gains in week one and now he will face the Detriot Lions in the Silverdome on Sunday. It really won’t matter who this kid faces as long as he gets the rock, good things will happen. Against the Lions in week two Peterson should have another nice day of total yards.
For many fantasy owners that were forced to pick up Chris Brown in their draft as insurance or lack of better options, the pay-off in week one was incredible. Brown has always appeared to have this breakaway ability and big-game potential, but injuries and inconsistencies have made him less than desireable in recent seasons. After his tremendous preformance in week one, Brown will draw the Colts, a defense not noted for run-stuffing. With the defense concerend with stoping the Titans mobile and unpredictable QB, Brown could have another solid effort on Sunday in week 2.
Wide Receivers on the rise…
With the Bills secondary being torched in week one by the Broncos, you can expect to see the Steelers follow suit in week 2. One match-up Pittsburgh will be trying to line-up is wideout Santonio Holmes against the Bills young corner Ashton Youboty. Holmes was solid with a big play touchdown in week one, and there is no question the Steelers will try take advantage of his size and get him the ball in the red-zone in week two.
ICE
Just like those who rise to the top, there are those players in week one that may have fallen off the map heading into week two.
Quarterbacks with value sinking…
It may be to early to be thinking of trading JP Losman, but if you drafted the Bills quarterback you can not be happy with his first two match-ups this season. Last week he faced a tough Broncos secondary that held him to less than 100 yards passing and as he enters week two he’ll face a Steeler’s defense that recored 6 sacks last game.
Runningbacks with value sinking…
The New York Jets struggled last week to run the ball against the Patriots and one of the reasons one the ineffectiveness of running back Thomas Jones (calf). Jones has 14 carries for 42 yards last week for a 3-yard average. Jones has been hampered with a calf injury that has him limited in practice. This week he’ll face a stellar Raven’s defense, so the prospect of playing well at less than 100% does not look good.
If you are need of a starting running back stay away from the Cowboys running back Julius Jones. In a contract year, it appears to be that nothing has changed. Jones usually starts, but the back-up runningback Barber gets significant time on the field, especially goal-line opportunities. In a year that he needs to prove himself, Jones hardly created any attention with 66 quiet yards on Sunday night. The Cowboy’s other back gained one yard less with five fewer carries. Expect this trend to continue with Jones sharing the load and getting fewer chances to score each week.
Check for more updates and analysis.
~David G. Ortega
FFI
WEEK TWO PLAYER MATCHUPS
Indianapolis @ Tennessee
Indianapolis is coming off a game where they dominated New Orleans offensively and defensively. Start Peyton Manning, Joseph Addai, and both Marvin Harrison and Reggie Wayne, just like every week. Dallas Clark had a few big receptions last week, but he can be inconsistent from game to game. The surprising Indianapolis defense, which seems like a different unit with Bob Sanders in the lineup, should also have a good outing against a lackluster Tennessee offense. Temper your expectations for Tennessee’s offense. Vince Young is great on the field, but has yet to show consistency in fantasy. None of their receivers has established himself yet, and Vince spread the ball around last week. Chris Brown is interesting coming off of a huge 175 yard performance, but he will likely be neutralized as soon as the Colts take a lead and the Titans are forced to pass.
Green Bay @ New York Giants
The Giants’ offense is in trouble, having lost Brandon Jacobs and Eli Manning last week. New York is also matched up against the impressive Green Bay defense. The team is still maintaining that Eli may play this week, but most reports have him out for about a month. With Jared Lorenzen starting, the value of all Giants receivers goes down. You still want to start Plaxico Burress, since he can snatch a jump ball in the end zone in any game, but sit the rest, including Amani Toomer, who had nine catches last week. Derrick Ward had a good game last week, and against another defense he’d be a decent start, but not this week. The Giants’ defense was terrible last week, allowing 45 points to Dallas. Brett Favre is a good start if you need him, as are Donald Driver and James Jones at receiver. Vernand Morency was limited in practice this week, so follow this situation as Sunday approaches to see whether he or Brandon Jackson will get carries. Depending on who plays more, these guys could be decent plays as well.
Cincinnati @ Cleveland
Start all of your Bengals this week, including the Cincy defense, which looked very impressive against Baltimore and should look great again against Cleveland’s inept offense. Braylon Edwards and Joe Jurevicius will get passes thrown to them in garbage time once the Bengals take the lead, just like the Steelers did, but of the 14 passes thrown to these two last week, Browns’ QBs only connected on 5 of them. Kellen Winslow should also catch a few balls.
Houston @ Carolina
The Panthers are coming off of a 27 point performance, beating the Rams. Steve Smith had a big game, and he’ll be targeted all day in this one too. Start him. Drew Carter caught two TDs last week, so see if he can impress again and establish his role in this offense. RBs DeShaun Foster and DeAngelo Williams split carries, but Foster did more with his. The Texans shut down the Chiefs’ running game last week, but will have a tougher time with Carolina. They’ll split carries again, making neither a great option. For Houston, Andre Johnson is a good start, just like he is most weeks. Ahman Green will have some difficulty rushing against the Panthers, who shut down Steven Jackson last week, but he should catch a few passes for those of you in point per reception leagues. Also, TE Owen Daniels could have a decent game. Carolina was a good matchup for tight ends last season, and Daniels had a number of nice games last year. If you need a TE in a pinch, give Daniels a look.
New Orleans @ Tampa Bay
Start Brees, both Deuce and Reggie, and Colston for sure, which you probably do every week. Devery Henderson, despite only three catches last week, did catch a few short ones, which he did not do last year, and was clearly the Saints’ number two option at receiver. He’ll remain in this role this week, and should have a few deep chances as well. Tight end Eric Johnson had eight catches last week, and he is a decent play again. The Bucs don’t usually have many viable fantasy options, but monitor their RB situation as the week progresses. The Saints have trouble stopping the run, and whether it’s Cadillac Williams, Michael Pittman, or Earnest Graham starting, the Buccaneers have as good a chance as ever to put up some numbers on the ground. The difficulty for Tampa’s runners will be opportunities, since New Orleans could take an early lead and force them to pass; Joey Galloway and Ike Hilliard will be the beneficiaries.
Buffalo @ Pittsburgh
Buffalo’s Marshawn Lynch played well last week, but he is only a decent start against a tougher Steelers D. Lee Evans is always a start, and always has a chance to connect on a bomb from J.P. Losman. The Bills’ defense looked a lot better than it was last week: they allowed only 15 points, but let Jay Cutler throw for 304 yards and Travis Henry run for 139. This looks good for Ben Roethlisberger, who should continue his strong play this week. Willie Parker, Hines Ward, and Santonio Holmes are good plays this week, and Big Ben looks for Heath Evans in the end zone every week.
Atlanta @ Jacksonville
The Jaguars should have success running on the Falcons, as Minnesota did last week and most teams will this season. Both Maurice Jones-Drew and Fred Taylor are strong plays this week. Surprisingly, Dennis Northcutt led the Jaguars’ receivers in targets (9) and catches (4) last week. Watch to see if this continues against Atlanta, but I’m not buying him just yet. Atlanta is facing a Jacksonville defense that was expected to be stout against the run, but allowed Chris Brown to gain 175 rushing yards last week for Tennessee. The Jaguars should get it together and stop RBs Warrick Dunn and Jerious Norwood this week, so neither is a good play. Alge Crumpler is the only good play for the Falcons this week.
San Francisco @ St. Louis
The Niners’ defense looked much improved on Monday Night against the Cardinals, containing Arizona’s vaunted passing game. They’ll have to show it again this week against the high-flying Rams before I really believe in them. Start Bulger and Holt. Steven Jackson, coming off of a very disappointing performance against Carolina, should have a much better game this week. Keep in mind he didn’t play at all in the preseason, so rust likely played a part against the Panthers. Also, keep an eye on the Rams’ receivers. Isaac Bruce has been there for years, but watch for how many passes are thrown to him and Drew Bennett, who plays his first game with St. Louis this week. For San Francisco, Frank Gore starts every game. Darrell Jackson wasn’t all that impressive last week, but start him against the Rams. Also, keep a close eye on Arnaz Battle, who could break out this season as the 49er passing game improves. He and Jackson were targeted equally last week, and he could emerge, especially if Jackson’s knee continues to bother him.
Minnesota @ Detroit
The Lions’ defense is bad, so look for a big game from the Vikings’ running game. The problem is that Chester Taylor’s hip injury last week created some uncertainty as to whether he or Adrian Peterson will carry the load this week. Monitor Taylor’s status this week and plan accordingly, but if they both play, they should both have big games anyway. I don’t trust the Vikings’ passing game, even though the Lions allowed Josh McCown to throw for 313 yards and 2 TDs, so don’t start Tarvaris Jackson or any of their uninspiring receivers. Detroit should be able to throw on Minnesota, so Kitna is a good start. The ball was spread evenly between receivers Roy Williams, Calvin Johnson, Mike Furrey and Shaun McDonald last week, but Williams, Johnson, and Furrey are all good plays this week (McDonald will have to do it again before I believe in him). See if Kitna leans on any of these guys more this week, but don’t be surprised if Mike Martz’s offense keeps the ball evenly distributed.
Seattle @ Arizona
For Seattle, Shaun Alexander starts every week, and should play well against Arizona’s mediocre defense. Arizona gave Alex Smith and the 49ers problems last week, but Matt Hasselbeck should play better. Start him and Deion Branch if needed, and keep an eye on Nate Burleson. Depending on your scoring system, Burleson’s return yards on kickoffs and punts will help, and this could finally be the year where he emerges as a reliable receiving option. Bobby Engram is also in the mix here. Matt Leinart looked overmatched against San Francisco, and his problems may continue against Seattle and its speedy defense. As a result, temper expectations for WRs Larry Fitzgerald and Anquan Boldin, but start them anyway. Edgerrin James looked great on a few runs last week, and scored. Start him this week for sure.
Dallas @ Miami
Dallas’ defense was a big disappointment last week, but its opponent this week has its own problems. Nevertheless, Chris Chambers was QB Trent Green’s favorite target last game, and he should be able to get open against Dallas, especially if CB Terence Newman is out again. Ronnie Brown will benefit from Jesse Chatman’s injury, and maybe this will be the week where he decides to seize the RB job. If Chatman can’t go, Brown’s value increases this week. For Dallas, Tony Romo, Terrell Owens, and Marion Barber are all starts. Julius Jones is falling out of my favor, since all he seems to do is gain some yards between the 20s. Barber looks far better when he carries the ball, so don’t look for Jones to get more carries anytime soon. His only chance to score is on a long run. WR Patrick Crayton was poised for a nice game last week with Terry Glenn out, but he managed only 3 catches. Sam Hurd caught a long TD, so watch to see who gets the targets after Owens.
Kansas City @ Chicago
Kansas City couldn’t do much of anything last week on either side of the ball, and things don’t look any prettier this week going to Chicago. TE Tony Gonzalez is a start every week, but may run into trouble against Chicago’s fast linebackers. Larry Johnson is also a start every week, especially if he keeps catching passes like last week, but he’ll have problems against a stout Bear defense as well. As unpredictable as the Bear offense is for fantasy, it should have a good game here. You can even start Rex Grossman this week if you need to, but only if you need to. Bernard Berrian will have a good game, as should Cedric Benson (if he decides he wants it). Continue to monitor this RB situation, as Adrian Peterson had almost as many yards as Benson did last week on fewer than half the carries.
New York Jets @ Baltimore
The Jets had a rough game against New England all around, and losing QB Chad Pennington doesn’t help matters. They’re also up against the scary Baltimore defense. Sit all of your Jets except Laveranues Coles if you need him. Keep an eye on second year QB Kellen Clemens, though, and see if he shows you anything in his first NFL start. His mobility and strong arm could surprise people. Baltimore had its own troubles on offense last week, which was particularly disappointing since it went up against Cincinnati’s 30th ranked defense from last season. With Steve McNair banged up as well and possibly out this week, your Ravens don’t look good this week either. Willis McGahee has had some tremendous games against the Jets from his days with the Bills, so start him, but he has yet to show much with the Ravens. Todd Heap is a start every week. Also, continue to monitor the Ravens’ receivers. Derrick Mason seemed to rediscover his connection with McNair last week; McNair targeted young Demetrius Williams nine times, and Williams made some really nice catches. Mark Clayton could reclaim his spot in the mix as well.
Oakland @ Denver
Oakland’s offense saw some success against Detroit last week, but Denver will be a different story. The Broncos historically play very well against the run, which does not bode well for Oakland RB LaMont Jordan, who had a nice game with 70 yards, a TD, and 9 catches. You can start him, but PPR leagues are where he’ll be more valuable. Ronald Curry caught 10 passes and looked great last week. Start him this week again. Denver’s offense also looked effective despite only scoring 15 points against the Bills last week. Oakland had a great pass defense last season, but start WR Javon Walker anyway. WR Brandon Marshall is a decent play, as is QB Jay Cutler. RB Travis Henry should have another very nice game this week, as he should most weeks running behind that offensive line and in Mike Shanahan’s system. Denver’s defense is also a good play this week.
San Diego @ New England
This is San Diego’s second elite opponent in two weeks, but its big-time fantasy players are must-starts every week: Ladainian Tomlinson and Antonio Gates. Tomlinson couldn’t run anywhere last week against Chicago, but still found ways to score, running for a tough 7 yard TD and throwing for another one. The Patriots destroyed the Jets defense, but will have more difficulty this week. Start Tom Brady every week. If you have other options, consider sitting RB Laurence Maroney against the Chargers, whose tough defense against the run will cause problems. It will be difficult to predict the fates of Patriot wide outs every week: Randy Moss went off last week while Donte Stallworth caught just one pass. Brady spreads the ball around, and many of the Patriot receivers will be feast-or-famine for your fantasy team. It’s hard to sit Moss after his game last week, so don’t, but don’t be too surprised if he disappoints. Stallworth should catch more than one this week, and Wes Welker will be solid as a possession receiver again.
Washington @ Philadelphia
Philadelphia looks to be more efficient this week against a Washington defense that played OK against the Dolphins. Washington isn’t as tough as Green Bay was for QB Donovan McNabb, so look for a good game from him and from Eagle receivers. McNabb should find WR Reggie Brown more than once in this one, and see if WR Jason Avant can have another solid game this week. Brian Westbrook should have a very good game here. For the Redskins, see if Clinton Portis can repeat his nice performance from last week. Start him, but don’t necessarily expect a huge game. Santana Moss will be his erratic self again going deep.
Indianapolis is coming off a game where they dominated New Orleans offensively and defensively. Start Peyton Manning, Joseph Addai, and both Marvin Harrison and Reggie Wayne, just like every week. Dallas Clark had a few big receptions last week, but he can be inconsistent from game to game. The surprising Indianapolis defense, which seems like a different unit with Bob Sanders in the lineup, should also have a good outing against a lackluster Tennessee offense. Temper your expectations for Tennessee’s offense. Vince Young is great on the field, but has yet to show consistency in fantasy. None of their receivers has established himself yet, and Vince spread the ball around last week. Chris Brown is interesting coming off of a huge 175 yard performance, but he will likely be neutralized as soon as the Colts take a lead and the Titans are forced to pass.
Green Bay @ New York Giants
The Giants’ offense is in trouble, having lost Brandon Jacobs and Eli Manning last week. New York is also matched up against the impressive Green Bay defense. The team is still maintaining that Eli may play this week, but most reports have him out for about a month. With Jared Lorenzen starting, the value of all Giants receivers goes down. You still want to start Plaxico Burress, since he can snatch a jump ball in the end zone in any game, but sit the rest, including Amani Toomer, who had nine catches last week. Derrick Ward had a good game last week, and against another defense he’d be a decent start, but not this week. The Giants’ defense was terrible last week, allowing 45 points to Dallas. Brett Favre is a good start if you need him, as are Donald Driver and James Jones at receiver. Vernand Morency was limited in practice this week, so follow this situation as Sunday approaches to see whether he or Brandon Jackson will get carries. Depending on who plays more, these guys could be decent plays as well.
Cincinnati @ Cleveland
Start all of your Bengals this week, including the Cincy defense, which looked very impressive against Baltimore and should look great again against Cleveland’s inept offense. Braylon Edwards and Joe Jurevicius will get passes thrown to them in garbage time once the Bengals take the lead, just like the Steelers did, but of the 14 passes thrown to these two last week, Browns’ QBs only connected on 5 of them. Kellen Winslow should also catch a few balls.
Houston @ Carolina
The Panthers are coming off of a 27 point performance, beating the Rams. Steve Smith had a big game, and he’ll be targeted all day in this one too. Start him. Drew Carter caught two TDs last week, so see if he can impress again and establish his role in this offense. RBs DeShaun Foster and DeAngelo Williams split carries, but Foster did more with his. The Texans shut down the Chiefs’ running game last week, but will have a tougher time with Carolina. They’ll split carries again, making neither a great option. For Houston, Andre Johnson is a good start, just like he is most weeks. Ahman Green will have some difficulty rushing against the Panthers, who shut down Steven Jackson last week, but he should catch a few passes for those of you in point per reception leagues. Also, TE Owen Daniels could have a decent game. Carolina was a good matchup for tight ends last season, and Daniels had a number of nice games last year. If you need a TE in a pinch, give Daniels a look.
New Orleans @ Tampa Bay
Start Brees, both Deuce and Reggie, and Colston for sure, which you probably do every week. Devery Henderson, despite only three catches last week, did catch a few short ones, which he did not do last year, and was clearly the Saints’ number two option at receiver. He’ll remain in this role this week, and should have a few deep chances as well. Tight end Eric Johnson had eight catches last week, and he is a decent play again. The Bucs don’t usually have many viable fantasy options, but monitor their RB situation as the week progresses. The Saints have trouble stopping the run, and whether it’s Cadillac Williams, Michael Pittman, or Earnest Graham starting, the Buccaneers have as good a chance as ever to put up some numbers on the ground. The difficulty for Tampa’s runners will be opportunities, since New Orleans could take an early lead and force them to pass; Joey Galloway and Ike Hilliard will be the beneficiaries.
Buffalo @ Pittsburgh
Buffalo’s Marshawn Lynch played well last week, but he is only a decent start against a tougher Steelers D. Lee Evans is always a start, and always has a chance to connect on a bomb from J.P. Losman. The Bills’ defense looked a lot better than it was last week: they allowed only 15 points, but let Jay Cutler throw for 304 yards and Travis Henry run for 139. This looks good for Ben Roethlisberger, who should continue his strong play this week. Willie Parker, Hines Ward, and Santonio Holmes are good plays this week, and Big Ben looks for Heath Evans in the end zone every week.
Atlanta @ Jacksonville
The Jaguars should have success running on the Falcons, as Minnesota did last week and most teams will this season. Both Maurice Jones-Drew and Fred Taylor are strong plays this week. Surprisingly, Dennis Northcutt led the Jaguars’ receivers in targets (9) and catches (4) last week. Watch to see if this continues against Atlanta, but I’m not buying him just yet. Atlanta is facing a Jacksonville defense that was expected to be stout against the run, but allowed Chris Brown to gain 175 rushing yards last week for Tennessee. The Jaguars should get it together and stop RBs Warrick Dunn and Jerious Norwood this week, so neither is a good play. Alge Crumpler is the only good play for the Falcons this week.
San Francisco @ St. Louis
The Niners’ defense looked much improved on Monday Night against the Cardinals, containing Arizona’s vaunted passing game. They’ll have to show it again this week against the high-flying Rams before I really believe in them. Start Bulger and Holt. Steven Jackson, coming off of a very disappointing performance against Carolina, should have a much better game this week. Keep in mind he didn’t play at all in the preseason, so rust likely played a part against the Panthers. Also, keep an eye on the Rams’ receivers. Isaac Bruce has been there for years, but watch for how many passes are thrown to him and Drew Bennett, who plays his first game with St. Louis this week. For San Francisco, Frank Gore starts every game. Darrell Jackson wasn’t all that impressive last week, but start him against the Rams. Also, keep a close eye on Arnaz Battle, who could break out this season as the 49er passing game improves. He and Jackson were targeted equally last week, and he could emerge, especially if Jackson’s knee continues to bother him.
Minnesota @ Detroit
The Lions’ defense is bad, so look for a big game from the Vikings’ running game. The problem is that Chester Taylor’s hip injury last week created some uncertainty as to whether he or Adrian Peterson will carry the load this week. Monitor Taylor’s status this week and plan accordingly, but if they both play, they should both have big games anyway. I don’t trust the Vikings’ passing game, even though the Lions allowed Josh McCown to throw for 313 yards and 2 TDs, so don’t start Tarvaris Jackson or any of their uninspiring receivers. Detroit should be able to throw on Minnesota, so Kitna is a good start. The ball was spread evenly between receivers Roy Williams, Calvin Johnson, Mike Furrey and Shaun McDonald last week, but Williams, Johnson, and Furrey are all good plays this week (McDonald will have to do it again before I believe in him). See if Kitna leans on any of these guys more this week, but don’t be surprised if Mike Martz’s offense keeps the ball evenly distributed.
Seattle @ Arizona
For Seattle, Shaun Alexander starts every week, and should play well against Arizona’s mediocre defense. Arizona gave Alex Smith and the 49ers problems last week, but Matt Hasselbeck should play better. Start him and Deion Branch if needed, and keep an eye on Nate Burleson. Depending on your scoring system, Burleson’s return yards on kickoffs and punts will help, and this could finally be the year where he emerges as a reliable receiving option. Bobby Engram is also in the mix here. Matt Leinart looked overmatched against San Francisco, and his problems may continue against Seattle and its speedy defense. As a result, temper expectations for WRs Larry Fitzgerald and Anquan Boldin, but start them anyway. Edgerrin James looked great on a few runs last week, and scored. Start him this week for sure.
Dallas @ Miami
Dallas’ defense was a big disappointment last week, but its opponent this week has its own problems. Nevertheless, Chris Chambers was QB Trent Green’s favorite target last game, and he should be able to get open against Dallas, especially if CB Terence Newman is out again. Ronnie Brown will benefit from Jesse Chatman’s injury, and maybe this will be the week where he decides to seize the RB job. If Chatman can’t go, Brown’s value increases this week. For Dallas, Tony Romo, Terrell Owens, and Marion Barber are all starts. Julius Jones is falling out of my favor, since all he seems to do is gain some yards between the 20s. Barber looks far better when he carries the ball, so don’t look for Jones to get more carries anytime soon. His only chance to score is on a long run. WR Patrick Crayton was poised for a nice game last week with Terry Glenn out, but he managed only 3 catches. Sam Hurd caught a long TD, so watch to see who gets the targets after Owens.
Kansas City @ Chicago
Kansas City couldn’t do much of anything last week on either side of the ball, and things don’t look any prettier this week going to Chicago. TE Tony Gonzalez is a start every week, but may run into trouble against Chicago’s fast linebackers. Larry Johnson is also a start every week, especially if he keeps catching passes like last week, but he’ll have problems against a stout Bear defense as well. As unpredictable as the Bear offense is for fantasy, it should have a good game here. You can even start Rex Grossman this week if you need to, but only if you need to. Bernard Berrian will have a good game, as should Cedric Benson (if he decides he wants it). Continue to monitor this RB situation, as Adrian Peterson had almost as many yards as Benson did last week on fewer than half the carries.
New York Jets @ Baltimore
The Jets had a rough game against New England all around, and losing QB Chad Pennington doesn’t help matters. They’re also up against the scary Baltimore defense. Sit all of your Jets except Laveranues Coles if you need him. Keep an eye on second year QB Kellen Clemens, though, and see if he shows you anything in his first NFL start. His mobility and strong arm could surprise people. Baltimore had its own troubles on offense last week, which was particularly disappointing since it went up against Cincinnati’s 30th ranked defense from last season. With Steve McNair banged up as well and possibly out this week, your Ravens don’t look good this week either. Willis McGahee has had some tremendous games against the Jets from his days with the Bills, so start him, but he has yet to show much with the Ravens. Todd Heap is a start every week. Also, continue to monitor the Ravens’ receivers. Derrick Mason seemed to rediscover his connection with McNair last week; McNair targeted young Demetrius Williams nine times, and Williams made some really nice catches. Mark Clayton could reclaim his spot in the mix as well.
Oakland @ Denver
Oakland’s offense saw some success against Detroit last week, but Denver will be a different story. The Broncos historically play very well against the run, which does not bode well for Oakland RB LaMont Jordan, who had a nice game with 70 yards, a TD, and 9 catches. You can start him, but PPR leagues are where he’ll be more valuable. Ronald Curry caught 10 passes and looked great last week. Start him this week again. Denver’s offense also looked effective despite only scoring 15 points against the Bills last week. Oakland had a great pass defense last season, but start WR Javon Walker anyway. WR Brandon Marshall is a decent play, as is QB Jay Cutler. RB Travis Henry should have another very nice game this week, as he should most weeks running behind that offensive line and in Mike Shanahan’s system. Denver’s defense is also a good play this week.
San Diego @ New England
This is San Diego’s second elite opponent in two weeks, but its big-time fantasy players are must-starts every week: Ladainian Tomlinson and Antonio Gates. Tomlinson couldn’t run anywhere last week against Chicago, but still found ways to score, running for a tough 7 yard TD and throwing for another one. The Patriots destroyed the Jets defense, but will have more difficulty this week. Start Tom Brady every week. If you have other options, consider sitting RB Laurence Maroney against the Chargers, whose tough defense against the run will cause problems. It will be difficult to predict the fates of Patriot wide outs every week: Randy Moss went off last week while Donte Stallworth caught just one pass. Brady spreads the ball around, and many of the Patriot receivers will be feast-or-famine for your fantasy team. It’s hard to sit Moss after his game last week, so don’t, but don’t be too surprised if he disappoints. Stallworth should catch more than one this week, and Wes Welker will be solid as a possession receiver again.
Washington @ Philadelphia
Philadelphia looks to be more efficient this week against a Washington defense that played OK against the Dolphins. Washington isn’t as tough as Green Bay was for QB Donovan McNabb, so look for a good game from him and from Eagle receivers. McNabb should find WR Reggie Brown more than once in this one, and see if WR Jason Avant can have another solid game this week. Brian Westbrook should have a very good game here. For the Redskins, see if Clinton Portis can repeat his nice performance from last week. Start him, but don’t necessarily expect a huge game. Santana Moss will be his erratic self again going deep.
Wednesday, September 12, 2007
FFI: MNF GAME NOTES
FFI: MNF GAME NOTES
SEPTEMBER 10th, 2007
DOUBLE THE FUN ON MONDAY NIGHT
The opening weekend of the NFL season, with a planned double-header scheduled for Monday night had all the promise of night filled with excitement and great plays. Well for half the night we were entertained with some of that, but the other half was anything but memorable.
Ravens give one away
A quote to remember; “You don’t have to be a genius to figure out it’s tough to win in the NFL when you turn the ball over (and six times, does anything really need to be said).”
~said by someone who lost somewhere
Whenever you have a divisional match-up there is always that scent of heated rivalry. Throw in the mix, Chad Johnson and Ray Lewis and you have a made for television event. On Monday night, both players found themselves center stage when the Ravens met the Bengals for the first game of the Monday night double header.
The Bengal’s team leader and quarterback Carson Palmer looked very sharp early in the game connecting often with his two-headed monster, wideouts Johnson and TJ Houshmandzadeh (something that can be expected through-out the season). Palmer finished the night completing 20 of 32 for 194 yards and 2 touchdowns. Ocho Cinco (Johnson) did all of his damage in the first half catching 5 passes for 95 yards, including a 39 yard touchdown score. TJ was consistent through-out the night (9 receptions, 50 yards, 1td), unlike Ocho Cinco, who disappeared in the second half.
On the other sideline, the Raven’s own field general started showing signs of wear and his age. Quarterback Steve McNair suffered what appeared to be a slight groin injury early in the game and needed to get it wrapped (as seen on TV with a screen of towels covering the All-Pro). McNair looked rusty, some of his throws were not sharp and at time he struggled to move around the pocket (making the injury quite apparent). While Air-McNair failed to get off the ground with any effectiveness, the Ravens running game when Head Coach Brian Billick decided to stay with it did well (4.3 yds/gain). The Raven’s new starting running back Willis McGahee gained 77 yards on 19 carries. The only bright spot in the passing game for Baltimore was the play of wide receiver Derrick Mason (7 receptions, 76 yards), trying to prove to old savy veteran is not done.
The Big story on the night however was turnovers. The Ravens committed 6 on the night and you just can’t win when you do that.
Spin:
McNair struggled in the opener and did not look comfortable all night, fumbling three times. There has been no update to McNair’s injury, but even if he gets healthy or if the team is forced to go with back-up Kyle Boller, the Ravens offense is on its’ way to quickly become a fantasy nightmare, unless they learn how to run the ball soon with McGahee.
SEPTEMBER 10th, 2007
DOUBLE THE FUN ON MONDAY NIGHT
The opening weekend of the NFL season, with a planned double-header scheduled for Monday night had all the promise of night filled with excitement and great plays. Well for half the night we were entertained with some of that, but the other half was anything but memorable.
Ravens give one away
A quote to remember; “You don’t have to be a genius to figure out it’s tough to win in the NFL when you turn the ball over (and six times, does anything really need to be said).”
~said by someone who lost somewhere
Whenever you have a divisional match-up there is always that scent of heated rivalry. Throw in the mix, Chad Johnson and Ray Lewis and you have a made for television event. On Monday night, both players found themselves center stage when the Ravens met the Bengals for the first game of the Monday night double header.
The Bengal’s team leader and quarterback Carson Palmer looked very sharp early in the game connecting often with his two-headed monster, wideouts Johnson and TJ Houshmandzadeh (something that can be expected through-out the season). Palmer finished the night completing 20 of 32 for 194 yards and 2 touchdowns. Ocho Cinco (Johnson) did all of his damage in the first half catching 5 passes for 95 yards, including a 39 yard touchdown score. TJ was consistent through-out the night (9 receptions, 50 yards, 1td), unlike Ocho Cinco, who disappeared in the second half.
On the other sideline, the Raven’s own field general started showing signs of wear and his age. Quarterback Steve McNair suffered what appeared to be a slight groin injury early in the game and needed to get it wrapped (as seen on TV with a screen of towels covering the All-Pro). McNair looked rusty, some of his throws were not sharp and at time he struggled to move around the pocket (making the injury quite apparent). While Air-McNair failed to get off the ground with any effectiveness, the Ravens running game when Head Coach Brian Billick decided to stay with it did well (4.3 yds/gain). The Raven’s new starting running back Willis McGahee gained 77 yards on 19 carries. The only bright spot in the passing game for Baltimore was the play of wide receiver Derrick Mason (7 receptions, 76 yards), trying to prove to old savy veteran is not done.
The Big story on the night however was turnovers. The Ravens committed 6 on the night and you just can’t win when you do that.
Spin:
McNair struggled in the opener and did not look comfortable all night, fumbling three times. There has been no update to McNair’s injury, but even if he gets healthy or if the team is forced to go with back-up Kyle Boller, the Ravens offense is on its’ way to quickly become a fantasy nightmare, unless they learn how to run the ball soon with McGahee.
The Cardinals top Niners in sleeper
There wasn’t much to look at in the night-cap when the San Francisco 49ers and Arizona Cardinals met. Both offenses struggled to sustain any kind of rhythm or drives. It wasn’t until the last few minutes of the game before there was any real excitement.
The Cards quarterback Matt Leinart really struggled in the pocket, having all kinds of trouble moving around. The Niners did a good job getting a push up the middle and putting pressure on the Ex-Trojan all night. When Leinart did have time, he was hesitant to pull the trigger. As a result the feared aerial attack of Arizona was grounded all night. The only pleasant surprise was the hard-nose running of Edgerrin James who tallied 92 yards on 26 carries with a touchdown (could be a good sign for gamers that took a chance on the Edge early).
The Niners did just enough to win this game and that was the worst part. They only did just enough. Quarterback Alex Smith was off target all night, his receivers could not hold onto any passes and the offensive play calling left a lot to be desired. When you have running back, Frank Gore that led the NFC in rushing a year ago, 18 carries will not get it done. The only drive where the Niners looked fluent or moved the ball with any poise was the final drive (even then, Niner fans were holding their breaths). As if winning was not enough, the Niners tried their best to add excitement and drama fumbling away the possible win, only to recover the loose ball in the end-zone to preserve the opportunity. Fortunately too, the only points that matter to the Niners are real points and not fantasy.
Spin:
Do not take too much away from this game other than to realize both teams did a very good job in the off-season to improve their defenses. These teams are loaded with too much talent to have another game like this (at least not next week). Gore will get his touches and Leinart will settle down and make the throw he must.
~D.Ortega
There wasn’t much to look at in the night-cap when the San Francisco 49ers and Arizona Cardinals met. Both offenses struggled to sustain any kind of rhythm or drives. It wasn’t until the last few minutes of the game before there was any real excitement.
The Cards quarterback Matt Leinart really struggled in the pocket, having all kinds of trouble moving around. The Niners did a good job getting a push up the middle and putting pressure on the Ex-Trojan all night. When Leinart did have time, he was hesitant to pull the trigger. As a result the feared aerial attack of Arizona was grounded all night. The only pleasant surprise was the hard-nose running of Edgerrin James who tallied 92 yards on 26 carries with a touchdown (could be a good sign for gamers that took a chance on the Edge early).
The Niners did just enough to win this game and that was the worst part. They only did just enough. Quarterback Alex Smith was off target all night, his receivers could not hold onto any passes and the offensive play calling left a lot to be desired. When you have running back, Frank Gore that led the NFC in rushing a year ago, 18 carries will not get it done. The only drive where the Niners looked fluent or moved the ball with any poise was the final drive (even then, Niner fans were holding their breaths). As if winning was not enough, the Niners tried their best to add excitement and drama fumbling away the possible win, only to recover the loose ball in the end-zone to preserve the opportunity. Fortunately too, the only points that matter to the Niners are real points and not fantasy.
Spin:
Do not take too much away from this game other than to realize both teams did a very good job in the off-season to improve their defenses. These teams are loaded with too much talent to have another game like this (at least not next week). Gore will get his touches and Leinart will settle down and make the throw he must.
~D.Ortega
FFI
Monday, September 10, 2007
SETTLE DOWN
By Ross Mandel, Special To Fantasy Football Insiders
Hey you. Yes, I’m talking to you. Don’t do it—don’t hit that “Fantasy Panic Button.” Every season after week one, scores of fantasy players overreact—dumping or trading players based on their opening game performances. Don’t be this person. Need a reason? How about these: 16 for 30 for 170 yards with 1 TD and 1 INT. That’s what Drew Brees did last season in week one. Needless to say, his season improved, but how many people cut or traded Brees for nothing after that debut? Roy Williams’ 2006 opener read 3 catches for 36 yards. Marion Barber III had 26 total yards in last season’s week 1. Frank Gore had 87 yards rushing. How did these guys end up doing for their patient fantasy owners, and how many people felt fantasy shame after dealing them?
Hasty decision-making has never won a fantasy title. So settle down owners of Larry Johnson, Steven Jackson, Deion Branch, Lee Evans, and the rest of the week 1 underperformers. Don’t be the one who panics—don’t let yourself give in to the anger of the Dark Side that you’re feeling because your guy had an off week. It’s only one week. Besides, even if you did want to make an ill-advised trade, you’re dealing from a weakened hand—your player’s value is low. You’re not even getting value.
So what should you do? If you feel a need to do something, I have the solution. Turn it around—buy low! Send some emails out to frustrated owners, asking what they want for their “bust” players. If you phrase your email properly and reach the right owner, you could end up getting Lee Evans for a song. You could end up getting Maurice Jones-Drew for a spare part. Jones-Drew had 2 rushes for 8 yards last season in week 1. How’d he end up doing? Jacksonville’s running game didn’t produce much yesterday—so swipe Jones-Drew from whoever owns him. Odds are they’re sitting in front of their computer thinking, ‘what was I thinking? I could have drafted Chris Brown!’ Pillage those who have no fantasy discipline and fear not the repercussions.
Stealing is legal—in fact, it should be encouraged in fantasy football! So not be afraid of upsetting someone after you steal from them—there are no friends in fantasy football. I mean, come on—I know most of you are in leagues with friends…what’s better than getting the better of your buddy in a trade? That’s what it’s all about. Your job is to win. So make an offer—what’s the worst that can happen? But whatever you do—relax. Don’t overreact. There’s nothing worse than making a trade based on one week, then having that guy turn into a stud for the rest of the campaign. Don’t do it.
Hey you. Yes, I’m talking to you. Don’t do it—don’t hit that “Fantasy Panic Button.” Every season after week one, scores of fantasy players overreact—dumping or trading players based on their opening game performances. Don’t be this person. Need a reason? How about these: 16 for 30 for 170 yards with 1 TD and 1 INT. That’s what Drew Brees did last season in week one. Needless to say, his season improved, but how many people cut or traded Brees for nothing after that debut? Roy Williams’ 2006 opener read 3 catches for 36 yards. Marion Barber III had 26 total yards in last season’s week 1. Frank Gore had 87 yards rushing. How did these guys end up doing for their patient fantasy owners, and how many people felt fantasy shame after dealing them?
Hasty decision-making has never won a fantasy title. So settle down owners of Larry Johnson, Steven Jackson, Deion Branch, Lee Evans, and the rest of the week 1 underperformers. Don’t be the one who panics—don’t let yourself give in to the anger of the Dark Side that you’re feeling because your guy had an off week. It’s only one week. Besides, even if you did want to make an ill-advised trade, you’re dealing from a weakened hand—your player’s value is low. You’re not even getting value.
So what should you do? If you feel a need to do something, I have the solution. Turn it around—buy low! Send some emails out to frustrated owners, asking what they want for their “bust” players. If you phrase your email properly and reach the right owner, you could end up getting Lee Evans for a song. You could end up getting Maurice Jones-Drew for a spare part. Jones-Drew had 2 rushes for 8 yards last season in week 1. How’d he end up doing? Jacksonville’s running game didn’t produce much yesterday—so swipe Jones-Drew from whoever owns him. Odds are they’re sitting in front of their computer thinking, ‘what was I thinking? I could have drafted Chris Brown!’ Pillage those who have no fantasy discipline and fear not the repercussions.
Stealing is legal—in fact, it should be encouraged in fantasy football! So not be afraid of upsetting someone after you steal from them—there are no friends in fantasy football. I mean, come on—I know most of you are in leagues with friends…what’s better than getting the better of your buddy in a trade? That’s what it’s all about. Your job is to win. So make an offer—what’s the worst that can happen? But whatever you do—relax. Don’t overreact. There’s nothing worse than making a trade based on one week, then having that guy turn into a stud for the rest of the campaign. Don’t do it.
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