RICK SERRITELLA'S TWO ROUND MOCK DRAFT

An early look at who might go where in the 2008 NFL Draft with our first two-round mock draft of the year.

ROUND 1
1. Miami (1-15): QB Matt Ryan, Boston College
2. St. Louis (3-13): OT Jake Long, Michigan
3. Atlanta (4-12): DT Glenn Dorsey, LSU
4. Oakland (4-12): DE Chris Long, Virginia
5. Kansas City (4-12): OT Ryan Clady, Boise State
6. New York Jets (4-12): RB Darren McFadden, Arkansas
7. New England (from San Francisco): CB Leodis McKelvin, Troy
8. Baltimore (5-11): DE Vernon Gholston, Ohio State
9. Cincinnati (7-9): DT Sedrick Ellis, USC
10. New Orleans (7-9): DT Pat Sims, Auburn
11. Buffalo (7-9): CB Dominique Rogers-Cromartie, Tennessee State
12. Denver (7-9): LB Keith Rivers, USC

13. Carolina (7-9): RB Rashard Mendenhall, Illinois
14. Chicago (7-9): OT Chris Williams, Vanderbilt
15. Detroit (7-9): RB Jonathan Stewart, Oregon
16. Arizona (8-8): FS Kenny Phillips, Miami
17. Minnesota (8-8): DE Phillip Merling, Clemson
18. Houston (8-8): CB Mike Jenkins, South Florida
19. Philadelphia (8-8): DE Derrick Harvey, Florida
20. Tampa Bay (9-7): OT Jeff Otah, Pittsburgh
21. Washington (9-7): LB Dan Connor, Penn State
22. Dallas (from Cleveland): RB Felix Jones, Arkansas
23. Pittsburgh (10-6): WR James Hardy, Indiana
24. Tennessee (10-6): CB Aqib Talib, Kansas
25. Seattle (10-6): DT Trevor Laws, Notre Dame
26. Jacksonville (11-5): LB Curtis Lofton, Oklahoma
27. San Diego (11-5): OG Brandon Albert, Virginia
28. Dallas (13-3): OT Carl Nicks, Nebraska
29. San Francisco (from Indianapolis): DE Lawrence Jackson, USC
30. Green Bay (13-3): OL O’neil Cousins, UTEP
31. New England (16-0): Pick Forfeited
32. New York Giants (10-6): FS DaJuan Morgan, North Carolina State

ROUND 2
33. Dolphins: OT Anthony Collins, Kansas
34. Rams: WR Malcolm Kelly, Oklahoma
35. Raiders: CB Antoine Cason, UNLV
36. Chiefs: WR Early Doucet, LSU
37. Jets: CB Brandon Flowers, Virginia Tech
38. Falcons: TE Dustin Keller, Purdue
39. Ravens: QB Brian Brohm, Louisville
40. 49ers: OG Chili Rachal, USC
41. Saints: DT Dre Moore, Maryland
42. Bills: WR DeSean Jackson, California
43. Broncos: OT Gosder Cherilus, Boston College
44. Panthers: LB Tavares Gooden, Miami
45. Bears: QB Joe Flacco, Delaware
46. Lions: LB Jerod Mayo, Tennessee
47. Bengals: DE Calais Campbell, Miami
48. Vikings: LB Quentin Groves, Auburn
49. Falcons (from Texans): CB Tarcy Porter, Indiana
50. Eagles: WR Devin Thomas, Michigan State
51. Cardinals: RB Chris Johnson, East Carolina
52. Redskins: WR Andre Caldwell, Florida
53. Buccaneers: SS Tyrell Johnson, Arkansas State
54. Steelers: OT Duane Brown, Virginia Tech
55. Titans: WR Mario Manningham, Michigan
56. Seahawks: OT Sam Baker, USC
57. Packers (from Browns): RB Jamaal Charles, Texas
58. Dolphins (from Chargers): LB Spencer Larson, Arizona
59. Jaguars: DT Kentwan Balmer, North Carolina
60. Colts: DT Red Bryant, Texas A&M
61. Packers: CB Justin King, Penn State
62. Cowboys: LB Erin Henderson, Maryland
63. Patriots: OG Roy Schuening, Oregon State
64. Giants: LB Xavier Adibi, Virginia Tech

Rookie Report: Aaron Ross (NYG-CB)

By Ralph Mancini, NFL Draft Bible Senior Writer

Determination is a strong trait found in those who are willing to kick back in the face of adversity even when the odds are stacked against them.

It was never in short supply for Giants rookie defensive back Aaron Ross when hobbled with a right shoulder injury versus the Cowboys last Sunday.

Having already checked out of the game during the first half of the playoff contest in order to get x-rays on his bruised shoulder, the San Antonio, Texas native went out there again in the third quarter and put his season on the line when pursuing hard-charging running back Marion Barber in the third quarter. The Cowboy Brahma bull had broken loose by finding an outside lane which had game-breaking play written all over it…until Ross went low and leveled Barber with what could’ve been a game-saving stop.

Ross aggravated the balky shoulder in the process, but his determination drove him to take one for the team.

It was that same single-minded pursuit that allowed the patient 17-year-old to wait two years before becoming a Texas Longhorn in 2001.

A high school transcript mix-up forced Ross to make up for a missing credit and take a ninth-grade course which wasn’t offered every term.

With the support of his mother, Cheryl, and girlfriend, Sanya Richards (the world’s top-ranked 400-meter runner), the gifted athlete bided his time by working odd jobs and discovering his love of poetry before finally strapping on the shoulder pads in 2003.

A standout defensive back, running back and wide receiver during his days at John Tyler High School, Ross became a full-time cornerback with Texas and it didn’t take him long to showcase his extraordinary ability despite playing behind Nathan Vasher at left corner.

The 6’0 ½” 193-pound phenom went on to record 27 tackles (23 solos), one stop for a loss and two pass break-ups in limited duty.

In addition to showing one-of-a-kind plant and drive skills when coming out of his breaks in coverage, Ross also proved to be an electrifying playmaker with the ball in his hands both on punt and interception returns.

As a junior in 2004, he ranked tenth in the nation with a 14.7-yard average on 34 punt returns---two of which went for touchdowns.

Ross was none too shabby on the defensive end, recording three interceptions and nine pass break-ups. The rising star also had 62 tackles (35 solos) along with two stops behind the line of scrimmage.

Aside from his on-field exploits, Ross possessed a winning character which molded him into a very diligent worker on the collegiate level. It was his team-first character that enabled him to sit still and wait for his opportunity to finally earn a starting position in the Longhorn defensive backfield as a senior.

“The most impressive thing about Aaron is that he has a great heart and he wants to do what’s right,” said Texas head coach Mack Brown. “He’s been so passionate about trying to do what’s right to be successful. He’s not sensitive. He doesn’t get his feelings hurt easily when you try to coach him.”

Coming off a senior season in which he was unanimously voted in as an All-Big Twelve Conference first-team selection, Ross was also the recipient of the Jim Thorpe award, given to the nation’s top defensive back.

Even while battling a broken toe, the future NFL playmaker ranked third on his team with 80 tackles (59 solos), while also recording 19 pass deflections, one sack, three forced fumbles and six interceptions.

Ranked among the top five first round-caliber cornerbacks turning pro in 2007 by the NFL Draft Bible, Ross was chosen 20th overall by the New York Giants.

At first glance, several NFL talent evaluators were impressed with Ross’s fluid hips and remarkable second gear when tracking the ball. His one glaring blemish, however, was his lack of upper body strength which sometimes compromised his ability to slow down wide outs when trying to jam them at the line of scrimmage.

The minor deficiency could easily be solved by the fact that the 24-year-old Texan is blessed with a lean and athletic frame which would easily permit him to add ten pounds of muscle without affecting his 4.4 speed or quickness.

Following a disastrous 1-2 start to the season in which Big Blue’s defense surrendered 97 points, Ross was called upon to replace an ineffective Cory Webster in the starting lineup.

Under the tutelage of veterans Sam Madison and R. W. McQuarters, the rookie corner made immediate strides by producing two of the biggest plays of the Giants’ 35-24 rout over the rival New York Jets in week five.

Ross intercepted quarterback Chad Pennington twice, the second coming with 3:15 remaining in the fourth quarter and the G-men hanging on to a four-point lead.

Number 31 stepped in front of Pennington’s pass intended for Jerricho Cotchery and accelerated down the left sideline for a 43-yard game-sealing score.

Ross punctuated his fine play a week later by picking off Atlanta’s Joey Harrington as the Falcons tried to narrow New York’s 21-10 lead before the end of the first half.

Despite being outmuscled by some of the league’s top receivers and the occasional missed tackle, Ross has given his coaches reason to believe that he will not only be a competent starter, but one of the better performers at his position.

On the season, the former Longhorn finished third on the team in interceptions (three) and passes defended (nine) along with making 53 tackles.

Ross’s determination and true Texas grit should make him a fan favorite for many years to come.

If and when the Giants make it to Super Bowl XLII, New York Giant diehards will perhaps look back at Ross’s spectacular tackle of Marion Barber as a season-defining play.

Rookie Report: LaRon Landry (WAS-S)

By Ralph Mancini, NFL Draft Bible Senior Writer

The untimely death of Washington Redskins safety Sean Taylor was just as devastating to the psyches of his teammates as it was to the squad’s defensive backfield which lost not only an All Pro caliber performer, but a true leader as well.

On the field, no other player was as deeply affected by Taylor’s demise than fellow safety LaRon Landry who, upon being drafted as the sixth overall pick in the 2007 Draft, was expected to follow in the one-time Miami Hurricane’s footsteps and become the type of hard-hitting, impact safety that would eventually play a key role in turning the Redskins into a perennial contender.

The younger half of this dynamic duo no longer had the luxury of leaning on his mentor for guidance and in-game advice. It was now up to Landry and the rest of the Redskins family to rally the troops and break free from the chains of a mediocre 5-6 record. In the process of winning four out of their last five games, Washington not only wrote their own ticket to the playoffs, but also proved how tragedy can unite and empower the human spirit.

Faced with these circumstances, the former LSU standout showed no signs of inexperience and turned into an omnipresent force, seemingly having a hand in every tackle. Landry’s 95 tackles and seven passes defensed, while impressive, don’t show just how much the 6’ 2” 213-pound powerhouse developed throughout the year.

Ranked as the third most valuable player entering the league by the NFL Draft Bible last April, the Metairie, Louisiana native was a rare blend of top-end speed, range, coverage skills, tackling and pure hitting ability at his free safety position.

Landry’s physical gifts were undeniable from the first time he set foot on the practice field for LSU. The freshman starter quickly became a vital cog in head coach Nick Saban’s defensive scheme and helped propel the Tigers to a national championship.

Over his next three years at Baton Rouge, Landry developed a reputation for delivering several borderline hits that earned him the nickname “Dirty-Dirty”.

This heat-seeking missile would often turn to his brother Dawan for pointers on the mental aspects of the game. His elder by two years, Dawan was a promising safety in his own right for Georgia Tech and eventually wound up being drafted by the Baltimore Ravens.

LaRon admired his older sibling’s study habits and adopted his routine of constantly watching film to gain the upper hand on his upcoming opponents.

Though LaRon mirrored his brother from a mental aspect, there was no doubt over who was the more physically talented Landry.

Former LSU defensive coordinator Bo Pelini spared no superlatives when describing his prized safety by calling him “the total package.”

“I expect to see him some day playing in Hawaii,” he said. Pelini also provided a rave review of the youngster’s personal makeup by adding, “He’s a tremendous character kid with a great family background. He receives tremendous support from his family, and it shows.”

Landry’s most memorable performances as a Tiger came against some of the nation’s better programs. In games versus border rival Arkansas, the young playmaker collected four interceptions, including two key fourth quarter picks.

Landry wrapped up his collegiate career starting 48 of 52 games and recorded 12 interceptions--tied for third all-time in school history. He also led LSU in tackles in three of his four seasons and finished with a total of 315.

The 23-year-old carried his warrior mentality into the professional ranks and hasn’t been shy about using it against longtime veteran receivers, such as Chicago’s Mushin Muhammad, who was drilled by the rookie with a late hit. This hard-hitting style has raised the ire of reporters who’ve labeled Landry, “a great hitter”, but not yet a good player.

Former NFL receiver and current TV color man Cris Collinsworth even suggested that Landry would much rather knock his adversary on his back than intercept a pass.

Teammate Reed Doughty had a firsthand view of how Landry whips himself up into a rage before every game, noticing that the rookie would neatly print the words “Suicide Mission” across his chest with a magic marker.

The Ronnie Lott clone had no qualms about playing out of position at strong safety at the start of the season and went on to make a key hit against Philadelphia in week two, nailing Eagles wide out Kevin Curtis on a fourth and six play with 1:10 remaining in the game. Landry separated the ball from the receiver and secured Washington’s 20-12 Monday night victory.

Landry was moved back to free safety following Taylor’s death and finally showcased his ball-hawking skills in Washington’s Wildcard playoff loss to Seattle.

In that game, the hard-hitting defender twice picked off a struggling Matt Hasselbeck who began forcing throws downfield before Seattle regrouped and finished off the Redskins in the second half by a 35-14 score.

While Landry may not be as spectacular as some other well known defensive backs, his range and instincts allow him to play both the pass and run with equal efficiency. His on-field smarts and will to succeed can only accelerate his path to filling the leadership role left vacant by number 21.

IMPACT ROOKIE- MATT MOORE (CAROLINA PANTHERS - QB)

By Ralph Mancini, NFL Draft Bible Senior Writer

Jake Delhomme’s week three elbow injury not only marked the end of the road for the seven-year NFL veteran’s 2007 campaign, it was also the death knell for Panthers head coach John Fox in his season-long struggle to find the right signal caller to right the ship of a punchless offense gone astray.

Second stringer David Carr was flat out disastrous in his feeble attempt to lead Carolina as he went on to average a paltry 4.3 yards per pass attempt. The ageless 44-year-old Vinny Testaverde proved to be much more effective, but found it rather difficult to make back-to-back starts due to his inability to bounce back from weekly bumps and bruises.

With the season already in shambles, Fox finally decided to see what he had in undrafted rookie quarterback Matt Moore who had the unenviable task of trying to penetrate a playmaking Seattle Seahawks defense in week 15.

Coming off an embarrassing 37-6 drubbing at the hands of the Jacksonville Jaguars the week prior, most Panthers fans had every right to expect a similar fate against Mike Holmgren’s pass-happy crew.

Moore, however, had other plans. The Van Nuys, California native put together an efficient, mistake-free performance, completing 19-of-27 passes for 208 yards in spearheading his team to a stunning 13-10 victory.

In addition to avoiding turnovers despite treacherous winds which kept the game scoreless during the first three quarters, Moore successfully put the ball in the hands of game-breaking wide out Steve Smith who recorded six receptions for 72 yards.

“I just couldn’t get the play out of my mouth…Guys were like, ‘Come on! Come on!’” said Moore while describing how he panicked and froze while calling a play in the huddle at the end of the first half.

The 23-year-old’s brief moment of trepidation could easily be understood, considering he was nothing more than a training camp long-shot in his short-lived, pre-season audition for the Dallas Cowboys.

The rookie free agent showed positive signs as a member of America’s Team and completed 21-of-29 passes for 182 yards with one touchdown and no interceptions. But despite that, Dallas released Moore on Sept. 1.

How ironic that Moore would end up facing off against his former team in his second professional start--a Dallas team also led by an un-drafted triggerman in first-time All Pro Tony Romo.

Although Moore did toss an interception and was sacked five times, he also threw his first NFL touchdown--an 11-yard strike to Smith. Hefollowed that up with a 57-yard pass play to Smith, which put kicker John Kasay in position to connect on a 25-yard field goal, as Carolina cut the Cowboy lead to seven points late in their 20-13 loss.

Projected as a day-two selection by the NFL Draft Bible, the lanky 6’ 3” 195-pound passer has the ability to throw deep, as well as the mental acumen to masterfully go through his progressions and often throw very catchable balls to his receivers.

Moore showed further evidence of his physical gifts in week 17 by exhibiting the poise of a 10-year veteran, hooking up with his targets on 15-of-24 pass attempts for 174 yards with two scores and one interception.

With the offense in the hands of youngsters Moore and running back DeAngelo Williams, the Panthers finally began showing some promise as they went on to outscore the playoff-bound Tampa Bay Buccaneers, 31-23.

While Moore’s late-season heroics don’t in any way guarantee him the starting quarterback role in 2008, one can be sure that the resilient field general will not be intimidated by the prospect of having to compete with the 33-year-old Jake Delhomme for the number one spot on the depth chart.

The gritty rookie faced much bleaker options when suffering a leg injury during his sophomore season at UCLA in 2003. In his absence, Moore’s starting position given to Drew Olsen. After taking a year off from football, the strong-armed multi-sport athlete enrolled at Oregon State where he established himself as the unquestioned leader of coach Mike Riley’s high-octane attack, and capped of his college career by throwing for 3,022 yards and 18 touchdowns in 2006.

Named the NFL Offensive Rookie of the Month for December, Moore has all the makings of the next Carolina quarterback to one day return the Panthers to the big game.

Rookie Report: Mason Crosby (K-- GB)

By Ralph Mancini, NFL Draft Bible Senior Writer

In looking back on Green Bay’s unexpected return to prominence in the NFC North this year, most fans will immediately point to Brett Favre’s dramatic comeback season or the defensive unit’s coming of age as key factors, but one component that’s been often overlooked is rock-solid kicking phenom, Mason Crosby who’s been delighting diehard cheeseheads with his pinpoint- accurate field goals and booming kickoffs.

Pegged by many to fall within the first three rounds of the 2007 NFL Draft, the University of Colorado placekicker was finally chosen with the 193rd pick of the sixth round on the heels of a collegiate career that saw him become the first player in the Big 12 to be named player of the week eight times.

During his four-year experience, the Lubbock, Texan dazzled fans by converting 138 of his 203 kickoffs into touchbacks. His accuracy, additionally, was also off the charts as he connected on 66 of 88 field goal attempts.

At the start of his first professional season, Crosby was faced with challenge of unseating incumbent kicker Dave Raymer who scored 109 points for the Green and Gold in 2006.
The 23-year-old wasted no time in making a case for himself by nailing a 52-yard field goal in his first preseason game versus the Pittsburgh Steelers at Heinz Field---the longest field goal ever kicked in that stadium.

Upon claiming the starting kicker’s role, the former Buffalo began the regular season in grand style by going three-for-three on his field goal attempts which included a 53-yarder and a 42-yard kick with only seconds remaining as Green Bay outscored Philadelphia 16-13 in an early-season thriller.

The 6’ 1” 212-pound Crosby went on to become a very reliable contributor to a high-scoring offense and dispelled all concerns that his success as a collegian was nothing more than a product of the thin Colorado air.

A howitzer leg along with a perfect success rate on extra points have allowed Crosby to lead all NFL kickers in scoring with 131 points heading into the last week of the season.

Ranked first overall among placekickers by the 2007edition of the NFL Draft Bible , Crosby may very well be the best kicking prospect to enter the professional ranks since Sebastian Janikowski entered the league in 2000.

In the past, this special-teams marvel has proven to have the temperament to handle pressure when called upon to make game-deciding plays and is also versatile enough to handle punting duties if necessary.

In a league where field position is vital to the outcome of games, Crosby’s kickoff prowess is the ultimate secret weapon in forcing opposing squads to put together long drives in their hopes to generate points. Crosby’s exceptional ability in this area may prove crucial during postseason play, particularly in home games that may very well be played in less-than-desirable winter conditions.

Ones To Watch

By Ralph Mancini, Fantasy Football Insiders Senior Writer

With another action-packed fantasy football season in the books, it’s time to look ahead and gauge which players could see a dramatic rise in production.

MATT MOORE (QB-CAR)- Much like Tony Romo, Moore started his NFL career as an overlooked rookie who went undrafted last April. Due to the health issues and overall ineptness of those ahead of him on the depth chart, Moore was given an opportunity to start for Carolina in week 15. Despite the low expectations many had for the disappointing Panthers versus the playoff-bound Seahawks that week, Moore led his team to a 13-10 upset victory. Ranked ninth overall by the 2007 edition of the NFL Draft Bible, the 6’ 3” 195-pound signal caller throws a good deep ball and has the ability to read defenses which has helped him avoid costly errors. Moore could be in line for a starting role next season provided he puts on some weight and develops better accuracy. It will be interesting to see if the coaching staff will allow the Oregon State product to battle it out with veteran Jake Delhomme for the top spot at the quarterback position.

NAJEH DAVENPORT (RB-PIT)- This career backup proved to be ready, willing and able to fill in for an injured Willie Parker as he carried the load in Pittsburgh’s 41-24 victory over St. Louis. The 250-pound Jerome Bettis-clone plowed through the Rams defense for 123 rushing yards and two touchdowns, and displayed tremendous power and surprising speed once he got past the first level of defense. If the former Miami Hurricane continues to pulverize the opposition in the playoffs, he may be looking at more carries next season in a time-share role with the aforementioned Parker.

JUSTIN GAGE (WR-TEN)- Viewed by many as an underachiever going into the 2007 season, the 26-year-old Gage finally established himself as a starter and as one of Vince Young’s go-to guys alongside Roydell Williams. Though not blessed with electrifying speed, the 6’4” wide out specializes in making tough grabs over the middle, as well as breaking tackles after the catch. Look for the former Bear to improve upon his career-best 646 receiving yards (through 15 games) next season as Young develops as pocket passer.

LAURENT ROBINSON (WR-ATL)- If you’re in search of a blossoming player with true superstar potential, then look no further than Laurent Robinson of the Atlanta Falcons. Buried for part of the season behind the fading Joe Horn, the rookie speedster emerged from the shadows this Sunday by recording seven receptions for 114 yards, including a 74-yard touchdown catch in which he clearly burned Arizona’s Antrel Rolle. Entering the 2007 NFL Draft, Robinson was clocked at 4.38 in the forty and amazed talent evaluators with his 39-inch vertical jump. With a year under his belt and a more stable offense around him, this up-and-coming talent has all the tools to develop into a consistent playmaker.

BRENT CELEK (TE-PHI)- With starting tight end L.J. Smith probably on his way out as he assumes free agent status, Philadelphia will be hoping to replace the former Rutgers standout with their 2007 fifth-round pick--Brent Celek from the University of Cincinnati. Following a stellar preseason in which the 6’4” 255-pound tight end showcased superior hands and the skills to gain yards after the catch, Celek had a relatively quiet first year. However, following recent injuries to Smith and Matt Schobel, the promising youngster made noteworthy contributions to the Eagles offense in weeks 15 and 16 by catching five receptions for 85 yards, including a 29-yard pass.
GREG OLSEN (TE-CHI)- The 6’ 6” 252-pound physical specimen entered the league as the most athletic rookie at his position in 2007. So impressive was Olsen in training camp, that Chicago’s coaching staff began drawing up specific plays intended to get the ball into the hands of their prized first-year tight end. Those early plans were scrapped when Olsen suffered a knee injury late in the preseason. Despite showing flashes of his playmaking ability upon his return, including a five-week stretch in which he posted 22 receptions, the Wayne, New Jersey native was often victimized by poor play at the quarterback position along with the fact that he was frequently forced to play second fiddle to veteran tight end Desmond Clark. Ranked first overall among tight ends in the latest edition of the NFL Draft Bible, there’s no doubt that Chicago’s coaching staff will be devising new ways to maximize Olsen’s outstanding leaping ability in 2008.

Week 16 Fantasy FFI Head to Head Preview

For the last season, Fantasy Football Insiders spent a little extra time to ensure you have every possible perspective. On this weeks games we place each others analysis one above another (in no order whatsoever). If they agree, you get not one but two Insiders analysis, but where do you put your money if they disagree? We give you information, you make the educated call…

Saturday 8:15 PM
Dallas at Carolina

Brad Kurtzberg
Can the Cowboys bounce back after last week’s poor offensive performance against the Eagles? They need a win to secure home field advantage throughout the NFC playoffs. How badly is Tony Romo’s thumb injured? Would it be wise to rest Romo for a week or two before the playoffs? The Panthers upset the Seahawks last week to earn a little bit of respect after a tough season. They started their fourth different QB and each of them has at least one win. QB Matt Moore was cut by Dallas after the preseason and would love to show his former team he is an NFL caliber QB.

Stud: Marion Barber, RB Dallas. Barber was Mr. Everything against Detroit but was ignored for the most part in the loss to the Eagles. With Romo’s thumb hurting, look for the Cowboys to emphasize the running game even more than usual and that means Barber will shine against the Panthers’ 19th ranked run defense.
Dud: Matt Moore, QB Carolina. Moore was 19-of-27 for 207 yards with 0 TDs and 0 INTs in his first NFL start. He will be lucky to duplicate those numbers against Dallas’ tough defense. Look for the rookie to face all kinds of pressure and make some critical mistakes. If the Panthers are going to win, they have to run the ball more than throw it.
Sleeper: Jason Witten, TE Dallas. Witten has more than 1,000 yards receiving, a rarity for an NFL TE and he has scored 7 TDs on the season. He also has back-to-back 100-plus yard games coming into Saturday night’s contest. Safety Chris Harris is tough and physical but will have trouble keeping up with Witten over the course of the game.

Dan Lewis
Dallas @ Carolina
Carolina’s defense is actually better than you might expect given their lame season, but not good enough to merit benching any of your Cowboys (except for Julius Jones, who I don’t consider a start anymore at all). Steve Smith hasn’t been catching touchdowns, but has still been active, and is a start this week. Last week also saw DeAngelo Williams edge out DeShaun Foster in carries. It seems like the coaching staff is starting to favor Williams, but neither is a good play this week against Dallas.


Sunday 1:00 PM ET
Green Bay at Chicago

Dan
Ryan Grant is a definite start against the Bears’ overrated defense (can you even say they’re overrated anymore?). Donald Driver is a start as usual. Greg Jennings, who can’t stop catching touchdowns and has caught at least one in all but 2 of the games he’s played, is also obviously a start. Sit all your Bears. Yes, even Kyle Orton. I have a feeling he’s not a good player…

Ryan Grant is a definite start against the Bears’ overrated defense (can you even say they’re overrated anymore?). Donald Driver is a start as usual. Greg Jennings, who can’t stop catching touchdowns and has caught at least one in all but 2 of the games he’s played, is also obviously a start. Sit all your Bears. Yes, even Kyle Orton. I have a feeling he’s not a good player…

Brad
The Packers beat the Rams handily last week in yet another record-breaking game for Brett Favre. The Bears fell to the Vikings on Monday night after holding an early first half lead. Kyle Orton is the latest starting QB for the Bears to show that he is not the long term answer. Orton just doesn’t have the arm to be more than a steady backup. The Bears won the first meeting between these two teams and the Pack will be looking for revenge. Green Bay can still secure home field advantage for the NFC playoffs if the Cowboys loose one of their remaining games and the Pack wins both of theirs.

Stud: Ryan Grant, RB Green Bay. Even though Grant only had 60 total yards last week against St. Louis, he scored a TD for the fourth straight week to keep fantasy owners happy. The Pack will be playing in windy and cold Chicago rather than a dome so look for the running game to get more emphasis. Chicago can’t stop the run (ranked 25th in the league) so Grant should do well.
Dud: Adrian Peterson, RB Chicago. Peterson just doesn’t have it as a runner. He gained only 26 yards against the Vikings although he did catch 51 yards worth of passes. Peterson didn’t find the end zone either. The Bears’ offensive line is not a great run blocking unit. The Green Bay run defense is good enough to bottle up Peterson.
Sleeper: Brett Favre, QB Green Bay. Favre will be facing a Bears’ defense that ranks 26th against the pass. He may throw a pick or two, but Favre will put up good numbers after watching his receivers make big gains after the catch all game long. Donald Driver is already over 1,000 yards for the season and Greg Jennings needs 122 total yards in two games to join him. Jennings has 12 TD catches and has scored in six straight games.

Cleveland @ Cincinnati

Dan
Remember what happened last time these teams met? Carson Palmer threw 6 TDs, 2 each to Chad and Houshmandzadeh, and Rudi Johnson ran for 118. Derek Anderson, in his first start of the season, by the way, threw 5 TDs, 2 each to Braylon and Joe Jurevicius, and 1 to Kellen Winslow, and Jamal Lewis ran for 216 and a TD. Rudi Johnson is dinged up so keep an eye on his status as the week progresses, but whoever starts at RB for the Bengals this week has a great matchup. Not much has changed with these teams since Week 2, so start all your normal Bengals and Browns. Even Chris Henry (watch his injury status as well) and Joe Jurevicius are decent plays here if you need an extra WR.

Brad
The Battle of Ohio means a lot to one of these teams and before the season started, most people would have guessed it would have been the Bengals. Cincy fell to 5-9 after an embarrassing loss to the 49ers last week. Cleveland improved to 9-5 and is in the driver’s seat for a Wild Card and may even win the AFC North if the Steelers stumble again. The weather is expected to be wet which would be the second straight bad weather game for the Browns.

Stud: Jamal Lewis, RB Cleveland. Lewis has gone over 100 yards in three of the Browns’ last four games. In the snow a week ago, he ran for 163 yards. If the weather is wet and nasty again on Sunday, Lewis will continue to be the mainstay of the Cleveland attack. Cincinnati’s run defense (24th in the league) has struggled all year.
Dud: Kenny Watson, RB Cincinnati. Watson has lost playing time to Rudi Johnson since RJ’s return to health. Look for Watson to play second fiddle again on Sunday.
Sleeper: T.J. Houshmandzadeh, WR Cincinnati. The Bengals star wideout has 101 catches and 11 TDs already this year. If the Browns put CB Eric Wright on Chad Johnson, Houshmandzadeh will get a more favorable matchup against CB Leigh Bodden. It’s time for T.J. to find the end zone again.

Kansas City at Detroit

Brad
The good news is that one of these teams is going to have a lengthy and embarrassing losing streak come to an end. The Lions have lost six straight after getting off to a 6-2 start and have now been eliminated from playoff competition. The Chiefs have done them one better by losing seven in a row after getting off to a 4-3 early season record. The Lions were embarrassed by the Chargers last week while the Chiefs fell to the Titans. Both of these teams play against each other’s strengths. The Lions defense can’t stop the pass but the Chiefs aren’t a good passing team. The Chiefs can’t stop the run and the Lions are next-to-last at rushing the football. Something has got to give.

Stud: Kolby Smith, RB Kansas City. Smith was stopped cold last week after two strong games in a row. The Lions are bad at stopping the run but horrible against the pass. That means that Smith should have some room to maneuver against the Lions’ defense. Kansas City coach Herm Edwards likes conservative game plans and this week will be no different.
Dud: Jeff Webb, WR Kansas City. Webb has eight catches total in the last seven games and has become a non-factor for the Chiefs. In those seven games, he has never topped the 33 yard mark and has no TDs.
Sleeper: Kevin Jones, RB Detroit. Jones has the talent to run effectively, especially against the Chiefs 26th ranked run defense. The problem is that the Lions coaching staff tends to abandon the run too easily. They would be foolish to do that this week, wouldn’t they?

Dan
Detroit has completely collapsed. Who else is stunned beyond belief? I know I am!
…
Seriously, the Lions stink, but they still had some relevant fantasy WR performances reminiscent of last season when garbage time alone made Mike Furrey playable. KC’s defense is decent against the pass, though, and when you add that to the whimsy of Mike Martz you get a cloudy picture. Start them at your own risk. KC has had less success against the run, but the Lions also are inconsistent in their decision to commit to Kevin Jones. He is also a risk-reward play. Kolby Smith has a great matchup and is nearly a must-start.

Philadelphia @ New Orleans

Dan
New Orleans is great news for Eagle WRs, so monitor Reggie Brown’s injury status this week. If he plays, he has a great matchup. If not, Kevin Curtis should see even more passes thrown his way. I wouldn’t trust the other Eagle WRs, though: McNabb targets different ones from week to week, so you can’t count on any particular one for your playoff game. For the Saints, David Patten has seen the second most looks behind Colston lately, and has a TD in his last 2 games. Philly isn’t great against WRs, so Patten is worth a start if you need someone. Aaron Stecker has been great, so start him again even if Reggie Bush is active.

Brad
The Eagles are coming off the biggest win of their season when they upset the conference leading Cowboys. Although it will be too little too late as far as the playoffs go, the Eagles are looking to gain respect as they build towards next season. The Saints are 7-7 and edged the Cardinals last week to keep their playoff hopes alive. A loss would end the Saints chances of catching the Vikings for the last Wild Card spot.

Stud: Brian Westbrook, RB Philadelphia. Westbrook gained 144 total yards against Dallas last week. The New Orleans defense has trouble stopping the pass and Westbrook should rack up a lot of receiving yards even if his rushing output is only average. Westbrook is a fantasy stud.
Dud: Reggie Bush, RB New Orleans. Bush is expected to be available against the Eagles but stay away. He has an injured knee and the Saints have a good rushing defense. Bush just hasn’t been a big factor on the field or as a fantasy player this season.
Sleeper: Marques Colston, WR New Orleans. Colston has been hot lately, catching 17 passes for more than 200 yards and 3 TDs in the past two games. He has been Drew Brees’ favorite receiver in the recent Saints revival. Colston has a big size advantage over the Eagles CBs and should have another big game.

Houston at Indianapolis

Brad
The Colts have nailed down the second slot in the AFC playoffs and a first round bye. The Texans are out of the playoff hunt but can still secure the first winning season in franchise history by earning victories in their last two games. Tony Dungy would be foolish to ruin the team’s momentum now by resting his top players unless the game gets out of hand. Indianapolis is riding a five-game winning streak and in the past, attempts to rest the team and have them slow down have backfired.

Stud: Andre Johnson, WR Houston. Johnson is one of the best fantasy players in the league. Last week he grabbed six passes for 86 yards and a TD, giving him seven TDs in seven games this year. Regardless of whom the QB is and who is covering Johnson, he always has productive games from a fantasy viewpoint.
Dud: Sage Rosenfels, QB Houston. Rosenfels will struggle a bit against the league’s top rated pass defense. Look for him to have decent but not good stats before the game is over as the Colts slow down the Texans’ offense.
Sleeper: Peyton Manning, QB Indianapolis. Manning is “downgraded” to sleeper just because the game means nothing to the Colts. It would be foolish for the Indy coaching staff to remove Manning unless one team has huge lead so look for him to play at least three quarters Sunday.

Dan
Ron Dayne is dinged up, but neither he nor Darius Walker has a good matchup against the Colts. Look elsewhere. Since coming back from injury Andre Johnson has been a weekly monster, but Kevin Walter has stayed involved. He’s an option this week, but not a great one. Tony Dungy has said he may play his starters more going into the playoffs this year than he has in the past, but Joseph Addai and Reggie Wayne may see less playing time this week and next. Kenton Keith will likely get more carries going forward, especially in Week 17. Anthony Gonzalez is a start this week, especially with Wayne possibly playing less.


New York Giants at Buffalo

Brad
The Giants failed to clinch a playoff spot last Sunday night in the wind swept Meadowlands while the Bills were eliminated by losing in blizzard-like conditions in Cleveland. The Giants are without TE Jeremy Shockey for the rest of the season. The Bills would love to finish with a winning record even though the playoffs are now out of reach. They are an improving team heading in the right direction.

Stud: Plaxico Burress, WR N.Y. Giants. Burress is 6’5” and has a huge height advantage over the Bills’ two starting CBs, Jabari Greer (5’11”) and Terrence McGee (5’9”). The Bills’ pass defense ranks 28th in the league and they have had problems putting pressure on opposing QBs all year. This should be a banner day for Burress.
Dud: Trent Edwards, QB Buffalo. Edwards has thrown 5 TD passes all season and four of them came in one game against the dreadful Dolphins. He’s only topped the 200-yard mark in a game twice this season. While Edwards has a lot of potential as an NFL QB, he is not a good fantasy option this week.
Sleeper: Brandon Jacobs, RB N.Y. Giants. Jacobs gained 130 yards last week against the Redskins and should get plenty of carries as the weather doesn’t expect to be wonderful up in Buffalo either. The Bills run defense is 22nd in the league. Jacobs will also pick up some receiving yards but the Giants usually turn elsewhere in short yardage.

Dan
Marshawn Lynch got more carries than Fred Jackson last week, and should again this week, so start him. Start Lee Evans also. Brandon Jacobs is coming off 120 yards against Washington, and has an excellent matchup against Buffalo, so make sure he’s in your lineup. Plaxico Burress is a definite start, but the interesting Giant WR is Sinorice Moss, who saw an expanded role in the offense after Jeremy Shockey went down with a broken leg. He’s a risky play for the playoffs, though, so I’d stay away.

Oakland @ Jacksonville

Dan
Justin Fargas is out for the year, so it looks like LaMont Jordan and Dominic Rhodes will split carries for the rest of the season. None are starts this week against Jacksonville, though, but watch to see who gets the bulk of carries because their matchup against San Diego in Week 17 is a favorable one. Ronald Curry is really the only borderline-worth a start Raider, but even he will have difficulty against the Jags. The Raiders’ defense is 31st against the run and 7th against the pass, so the Jags would be crazy not to pound them with Fred Taylor and MJD. Start both with confidence.

Brad
The Jaguars have clinched a Wild Card berth while the Raiders are playing for next year. First overall pick JaMarcus Russell is not scheduled to start but should see some playing time. The Raiders will also be without RB Justin Fargas who is out for the year with a sprained knee. Jacksonville has been on a roll and should not let up as they head for the playoffs.
Stud: Fred Taylor, RB Jacksonville. Taylor has topped the 100-yard mark in four straight games and has scored a TD in three of them. The Raiders are 31st in the league at stopping the run. Taylor should have a field day.
Dud: Josh McCown, QB Oakland. McCown hasn’t topped 160 yards in a game since opening day and he is unlikely to play the entire contest this Sunday as JaMarcus Russell will almost certainly play. The Jaguars have a vulnerable pass defense but the Raiders won’t be able to take advantage.
Sleeper: Maurice Jones-Drew, RB Jacksonville. The Jaguars running game is a two-man party and Jones-Drew should also be very productive. He had 99 total yards last week against a tough Pittsburgh defense. He should add to that against a weak Raiders unit.

Sunday 4:00 PM ET
Atlanta at Arizona

Brad
The Falcons are a mess and must be looking forward to the end of this season that was over before it began. Interim Coach Emmitt Thomas is a good coach who is in a thankless situation. He deserved a shot at a head coaching job many years ago but probably didn’t get it because of racial considerations. To judge him by the performance of the Falcons now is unfair. The Cardinals are out of the playoffs now but are heading in the right direction under rookie head coach, Ken Whisenhunt. Two more wins and the Cards can finish at .500.

Stud: Edgerrin James, RB Arizona. James has quietly gone over 1,000 yards for the season and had 95 total yards last week. The Falcons have trouble stopping the run and James should have a good game.
Dud: Warrick Dunn, RB Atlanta. Dunn has carried only 24 times for 52 yards in the last three games and is losing playing time to Jerious Norwood. Don’t look for a big game from Dunn this Sunday.
Sleeper: Chris Redmond, QB Atlanta. No, you’re not going crazy. Redmond has a favorable matchup. As a fantasy QB, Redmond had two good games and one disaster which came last week. The Cardinals pass defense is one of the league’s weakest and Redmond should be able to put up good numbers.

Dan
Atlanta, they are terrible. Jerious Norwood is getting more carries, and is a lot more explosive than Warrick Dunn, but you probably have better options if you’re in the playoffs. Michael Jenkins has been more involved of late, but Roddy White has been the man in the passing game all year. I still give Roddy the nod in this one. It looks like Larry Fitzgerald and Anquan Boldin will both play this week, so Bryant Johnson, Jerheme Urban and Steve Breaston likely lose whatever value they had. Edgerrin James has a great matchup here.

Tampa Bay @ San Francisco

Dan
Frank Gore has been more involved lately, and ran for 100 yards last week. His matchup isn’t great this week, but he is their entire offense right now, so he’s worth a play unless you have better options. Tampa completely dominated Atlanta last week, and San Francisco’s defense isn’t any scarier than Atlanta’s. Start your usual Bucs this week.

Brad
Even though they’ve clinched a playoff berth and cannot earn a bye, the Bucs are still hoping to finish as the NFC’s third seed so don’t look for them to let up. Jon Gruden isn’t the kind of coach who knows how to take his foot off the accelerator anyway. The 49ers are coming off one of their best efforts of the season, a mistake free victory over the Bengals on national TV. They may be playing for Coach Mike Nolan’s job.

Stud: Tampa Bay Defense. The 49ers have one of the least effective offenses in the league and the Bucs’ defense is stellar. If the Bucs can contain Frank Gore, they will shut down the San Francisco passing game as well. Tampa Bay ranks third in the league against the run and is tied for first in points allowed.
Dud: Shaun Hill, QB San Francisco. Hill played a good game last week but is not prime fantasy material. At his best, he’s an average fantasy QB and the Bucs’ defense will keep him from playing his best on Sunday.
Sleeper: Earnest Graham, RB Tampa Bay. Graham has been a great mid-season pickup in most leagues. Last week, Graham had 119 total yards and scored a TD for the sixth straight game. San Francisco is 23rd in the league against the run.

Miami at New England

Brad
The Dolphins are finally off the snide after beating the Ravens in overtime last week. The Patriots are two games away from being the first team since Don Shula’s 1972 Dolphins to finish the regular season with a perfect record. The cold weather slowed down the New England offense a week ago and the team has struggled (relatively) for the past few games. That being said, they still haven’t lost a game. The Dolphins are very banged up and severely outclassed but they still haven’t quit and should give the Pats a game. Don’t expect New England to let up in their quest for perfection.

Stud: Tom Brady, QB New England. Brady hasn’t been as dominant the past few weeks but he’s still the league’s MVP. He wants to break Peyton Manning’s season TD mark and lead the Pats to a perfect season. Miami may not have Jason Taylor available which would only make Brady’s job easier. Dud: Miami Defense. The Dolphins defense is overmatched against New England. Unless the weather is very bad, stay far away from the Fish’s defense.
Sleeper: Randy Moss, WR New England. Again, Moss has been relatively quiet the past few games but he should bounce back this Sunday. In the first meeting with Miami this season, Moss had 122 yards and 2 TDs.

Dan
This will be all that Jets-Patriots should have been. Start all your Patriots. Samkon Gado hasn’t been great, but he’s been scoring touchdowns. Gado will lose carries with Jesse Chatman likely playing this week, so both are risky plays. But, New England has been run on at times this season, and Miami ran well against them in their last matchup, so if you’re desperate, monitor this situation and play Chatman if he’s healthy.

Baltimore @ Seattle

Dan
Seattle can be run on this year, so start Willis McGahee if you haven’t been using him for some reason. With Marcus Trufant likely on Derrick Mason, Mark Clayton has a chance to make some noise. Only start him if you’re desperate, though. Seattle can’t run lately and probably won’t try to against Baltimore’s stout run D. Deion Branch and Bobby Engram have great matchups here and are definite starts. Nate Burleson is also worth a look.

Brad
The Seahawks are battling for the third spot in the NFC playoffs with the Bucs but other than that, have little incentive. The Ravens are toast, having lost eight straight games including an embarrassing defeat against the previously winless Dolphins last Sunday. It may already be too late for the Ravens to save Brian Billick’s job.

Stud: Matt Hasselbeck, QB Seattle. The Ravens run defense is still solid but the pass defense ranks 23rd in the league. The Seahawks struggle to run the ball but throw it just fine. Hasselbeck threw for only one TD last week but has 25 for the season and should fine easy pickings against the Ravens.
Dud: Shaun Alexander, RB Seattle. Baltimore’s run defense is 2nd in the league and Alexander has only gained 50 yards or more in a game once in the last seven games he’s played. Maurice Morris will split carries with Alexander as the Seahawks struggle to find a running game in time for the playoffs.
Sleeper: Willie McGahee, RB Baltimore. McGahee topped 100 yards again last week against the Dolphins. He remains the only constant in the Ravens’ attack and the Seahawks run defense is average at best.

N.Y. Jets at Tennessee

Brad
The Jets played the Patriots tough last week but lost yet again while the Titans gutted out a win over the Chiefs that kept their playoff hopes alive. The Jets will likely start Chad Pennington at QB as Kellen Clemens injured his rib although Coach Eric Mangini will not make an official announcement. Tennessee needs this game more than the Jets who are just playing out the string.

Stud: LenDale White, RB Tennessee. White has gained 216 rushing yards in the last two games. The Jets run defense is 30th in the league. With the Titans unable to rely on their passing attack, White will be their main weapon.
Dud: Justin Gage, WR Tennessee. The Titans are very inconsistent when throwing the ball and Gage has been a non-factor the past two games, catching four passes for 57 yards and 0 TDs. The Jets pass defense is not bad but the biggest problem Gage faces is the inconsistency of Vince Young
Sleeper: Tennessee Defense. The Jets can’t throw the ball down the field with Pennington at QB and the Titans should be able to slow down the New York running game. The Jets shouldn’t put up too many points.

Dan
LenDale White is back to getting most of the carries for the Titans, and he will pound the Jets all day. He’s a must-start. Roydell Williams and Justin Gage have been the most active in the Titans’ passing attack, but Williams has caught more TDs. He’s worth a look against this Jets pass D. The Titans can be run on lately, but who is still starting Thomas Jones? Laveranues Coles and Jericho Cotchery are both usable this week, but Coles may be out with a knee, so monitor his status.

Sunday 8:15 PM ET

Washington at Minnesota

Dan
Adrian Peterson will be the focal point here, and is a start as always. Tarvaris Jackson looked bad last week against Chicago, and Sidney Rice, who is unlikely to play this week, was the only receiver in Minnesota who was worth even a look, so sit the rest of your Vikings. Clinton Portis has been running very well lately, but he’s benchable against Minny if you have other options. The Vikings have among the worst pass defenses in the league, so Santana Moss is a start.

Brad
The winner of this game will have the inside track to the final NFC playoff spot. Minnesota controls their own destiny and just needs to win their final two games to make the postseason. They have won five straight games despite an inconsistent passing game. The Redskins have dedicated their season to the late Sean Taylor who was murdered earlier this month in his home. This is a big game for both teams.

Stud: Adrian Peterson, RB Minnesota. Peterson had 95 total yards and 2 TDs against the Bears. The Redskins have a good run defense but Peterson should be rounding back into form as he gradually recovers from his knee injury.
Dud: Clinton Portis, RB Washington. Portis will have trouble against the Minnesota run defense which is the league’s best. Portis is at his best in between the tackles and that’s where the Vikings’ run defense is strongest. Look for a lower rushing total for Portis than usual.
Sleeper: Todd Collins, QB Washington. While the Vikings run defense is the league’s best, their pass defense ranks dead last. Collins is a wily veteran who made his first start last week in 10 years and led the Redskins to a big win in the swirling winds of Giants Stadium. He should have a very good game against Minnesota.


Monday 8:30 PM ET

Denver at San Diego

Brad
The Broncos are playing out the string and are just 2-5 on the road. The Chargers overcame a slow start to clinch the AFC West title but they cannot earn a first round bye in the playoffs. Denver was beaten handily by Houston last Thursday while the Chargers crushed the Lions.

Stud: LaDainian Tomlinson, RB San Diego. Tomlinson is on his usual late-season roll and has been the catalyst for the Chargers offense. The Broncos have had trouble stopping the run all year and are ranked 29th.
Dud: Travis Henry, RB Denver. Henry is playing but he has admitted his knee won’t be 100 percent for the rest of this season. He will also split carries with Selvin Young and other backs so don’t look for a big game from him Monday night.
Sleeper: Jay Cutler, QB Denver. The Chargers weakness on defense is their secondary and Cutler has been improving in fits and starts over the course of the year.

Dan
LaDainian Tomlinson is dominating again, and just in time for the fantasy playoffs too. Who does he have this week: the NFL’s 4th worst run defense? I’d sit Chambers and Vincent Jackson against Denver’s Champ-Bly combo. Brandon Marshall has been the only active Denver WR lately, so sit the others. San Diego has also been weak against the run, so Selvin Young and Travis Henry have good matchups. It’s up to the evil Mike Shanahan who gets more touches, so start them at your own risk as usual.

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