By The Fantasy Trader, NFL Draft Bible
I am just going to get this out of the way right now. I apologize for the Donovan McNabb prediction. He is extremely inconsistent and sorry if he burnt you last week. Hopefully you followed my advice on Chester Taylor and Andre Johnson. We have a bunch of guys to get to this week so here we go.
RB Kolby Smith- is a must start for LJ and Priest Holmes owners. He has only gained 60 yards in 15 touches, but faces a miserable Raiders defense. The Raiders are allowing over 150 yards rushing per game and have given up 16 rushing touchdowns. Smith has not looked all that impressive, but if you are not going to start him against Oakland then why bother having him?
QB Vince Young- started doing VY things again against the Broncos. He threw two late interceptions, but got back to scrambling and notched a rushing TD. He is a must start against a terrible Bengals secondary. They rank 26th in passing defense and will have a difficult time maintaining coverage when Young leaves the pocket. VY has been up and down so far, but needs to start this week.
WR Deion Branch- needed a week to get his feet wet. He had only three catches in his return, but should breakout against the Rams. The last time Branch visited St. Louis he scored two touchdowns. I expect a high scoring game between these two pass happy teams. The injury to Shaun Alexander may have been the best thing to happen to the Seahawks offense.
WR Brandon Marshall- has officially arrived. He has over 750 yards receiving and has become Jay Cutler’s #1 WR. The Broncos are back in contention and should receive help with the return of Javon Walker. The Bears are not as scary as they used to be. Chicago is giving up over 220 yards against the pass.
QB David Garrard- might be the answer to your QB woes. Garrard has returned and has scored double digit fantasy points in his last three games. He is still available in over 40% of fantasy leagues. He is a better choice than J.P. Losman, Jason Campbell or Jeff Garcia. He goes against a Bills defense that ranks 27th against the pass. They have surrendered 17 passing touchdowns.
RB Reuben Droughns- should be picked up by all Brandon Jacobs owners. Jacobs is doubtful this week against the Viking and I expect Droughns to start. Even if Derrick Ward is healthy enough to give it a go, Droughns will still vulture a TD. The big back also knows a little bit about starting. He rushed for over 1,200 yards with the Broncos in 2004 and the Browns in 2005.
RB Cedric Benson- is starting to look like the first round pick fantasy owners were hoping for. Since his tirade to the media, Benson has scored in back to back weeks. This week he should make it three in a row against the Broncos. Denver ranks 30th in rushing defense and is giving up 150 yards per game. Rex Grossman is not scaring anybody, so if Chicago is going to be successful it will be with Benson.
WR Jerricho Cotchery- will be the Jets #1 WR on Thanksgiving against the Cowboys. Laveranues Coles is doubtful and that should lead to more opportunities for Cotchery. The Cowboys secondary was torn apart by Jason Campbell, but Dallas does shut down the run. The Jets will pass often and this could be Kellen Clemens’ breakout game.
Showing posts with label the fantasy trader. Show all posts
Showing posts with label the fantasy trader. Show all posts
Wednesday, November 21, 2007
Friday, October 5, 2007
THE STOCK EXCHANGE
By The Fantasy Trader, NFL Draft Bible
We have reached the quarter mark here on the trading floor. The first four weeks have produced some surprises in Sammy Morris and Derek Anderson. The market has also seen some fatal crashes in Cadillac Williams and Deuce McAllister. What is important about this time of year is that owners need to realize that it is only the quarter mark. No championships have been won and no season has been lost. Now is the time where you either buy low or sell high. The market has dictated the value on these players and set a price accordingly. I’m sure the price is drastically different then it was on draft day.
BUY LOWQB Philip Rivers - Owners look to be jumping off the Norv Turner ship and are selling Rivers for IOU’s. Once LT becomes LT again, Rivers will be able to flourish. Turner needs time to work with Rivers. The Chargers faced top notch defenses in the Bears, Patriots and Packers. The schedule will get easier and the offense will get rolling.
RB Larry Johnson- LJ was the consensus third pick overall on draft day, but is currently ranked 21st among running backs in fantasy points. Owners have to still like his 75 carries and 90 touches. His schedule will get better as he faces Jacksonville, Cincinnati and Oakland the next three weeks. Johnson is currently getting traded for guys like Ronnie Brown and Marion Barber. I would suggest dealing an over-producing back like Marion Barber and a middle of the road WR like Laveranues Coles or Ronald Curry.
RB Maurice Jones-Drew- Is anyone enjoying a bye week more than this guy? He is playing more like Maurice Clarett at this point. In some leagues he is actually on the waiver wire. Are you kidding me? I realize he has two fumbles and no touchdowns, but he will turn it around. Look for MJD to start turning it around this week against KC. Offer Ron Dayne or Ladell Betts for him and see what happens.
WR Torry Holt- If you drafted Holt expecting the Holt of years past then I told you so. He admitted that he would not be 100% early on. Owners are frustrated and will be looking to sell. The switch from an injured Marc Bulger to a healthy Guy Frerotte will only help Holt. Steven Jackson should return in a week or two and also provide relief.
WR Brandon Marshall- Does this rookie look good or what? Marshall has been solid and could easily be considered a sell high guy, but I think his numbers will only get better as Jay Cutler gains more experience. Javon Walker has gotten off to a slow start and has been bothered by injury. I’m not sure Marshall is ready to be a number 1 WR so it is very important that Walker stay healthy. Marshall will continue to feast on teams’ second corners.
SELL HIGHQB Brett Favre - I think I’m like the anti John Madden when it comes to this guy. Predicting the downfall of Favre has become a mainstay in this column and has failed to this point. Most owners of Favre have another elite quarterback. The golden Bret was drafted as a fantasy back up and now being shopped with Romo and Brady like value. Don’t take the bait and if you have him sell, sell, sell like orange juice in Trading Places.
RB LaMont Jordan- He has done everything his owners hoped for when they took him between rounds 8 and 10. Now it is time to part ways if you still can. Jordan let the cat out of the bag when he hurt his back last week. The return of Dominic Rhodes and the emergence of Justin Fargas spell doom for the good LJ. (Sorry Larry) The Raiders signed Rhodes as a free agent and are not about to let their money go to waste. Dangle Jordan from your line and see if anyone bites.
RB Ronnie Brown- Brown is currently the number 1 ranked RB in fantasy. I got stuck with him in one league in the back of the first round. He has out played the other guys available at that point like Thomas Jones, Travis Henry and Cedric Benson. Now I’m selling and looking to land an elite WR like Steve Smith and a decent back. The Dolphins passing game will likely be the demise of Brown. Teams will eventually take him away and make Miami go to someone else. He might’ve single handily won weeks for his owners. You really can’t ask for more, but this is a business. Sell him like the elite stock he isn’t.
WR Randy Moss- Here is the best case of fantasy mimicking real life. The Patriots stole him from the Raiders and owners stole him on draft day. He is by far, and I mean real far, the number 1 ranked receiver. You can get crazy Viking day value for him. He will continue to produce, but he can’t do this every week. You can trade him for any receiver and a decent running back.
WR Braylon Edwards- I actually hung out with Edwards the night before he was picked by the Browns. This guy is a smooth cat, but not a top 5 fantasy receiver. He is also a Cleveland Brown. Bernie Kosar is not walking through that door so Derek Anderson will have to keep it up all season. Edwards has 375 yards and 4 TD already. Owners should use him as a great second player to get a trade over the top. He is a nice throw in to get an elite back or WR.
We have reached the quarter mark here on the trading floor. The first four weeks have produced some surprises in Sammy Morris and Derek Anderson. The market has also seen some fatal crashes in Cadillac Williams and Deuce McAllister. What is important about this time of year is that owners need to realize that it is only the quarter mark. No championships have been won and no season has been lost. Now is the time where you either buy low or sell high. The market has dictated the value on these players and set a price accordingly. I’m sure the price is drastically different then it was on draft day.
BUY LOWQB Philip Rivers - Owners look to be jumping off the Norv Turner ship and are selling Rivers for IOU’s. Once LT becomes LT again, Rivers will be able to flourish. Turner needs time to work with Rivers. The Chargers faced top notch defenses in the Bears, Patriots and Packers. The schedule will get easier and the offense will get rolling.
RB Larry Johnson- LJ was the consensus third pick overall on draft day, but is currently ranked 21st among running backs in fantasy points. Owners have to still like his 75 carries and 90 touches. His schedule will get better as he faces Jacksonville, Cincinnati and Oakland the next three weeks. Johnson is currently getting traded for guys like Ronnie Brown and Marion Barber. I would suggest dealing an over-producing back like Marion Barber and a middle of the road WR like Laveranues Coles or Ronald Curry.
RB Maurice Jones-Drew- Is anyone enjoying a bye week more than this guy? He is playing more like Maurice Clarett at this point. In some leagues he is actually on the waiver wire. Are you kidding me? I realize he has two fumbles and no touchdowns, but he will turn it around. Look for MJD to start turning it around this week against KC. Offer Ron Dayne or Ladell Betts for him and see what happens.
WR Torry Holt- If you drafted Holt expecting the Holt of years past then I told you so. He admitted that he would not be 100% early on. Owners are frustrated and will be looking to sell. The switch from an injured Marc Bulger to a healthy Guy Frerotte will only help Holt. Steven Jackson should return in a week or two and also provide relief.
WR Brandon Marshall- Does this rookie look good or what? Marshall has been solid and could easily be considered a sell high guy, but I think his numbers will only get better as Jay Cutler gains more experience. Javon Walker has gotten off to a slow start and has been bothered by injury. I’m not sure Marshall is ready to be a number 1 WR so it is very important that Walker stay healthy. Marshall will continue to feast on teams’ second corners.
SELL HIGHQB Brett Favre - I think I’m like the anti John Madden when it comes to this guy. Predicting the downfall of Favre has become a mainstay in this column and has failed to this point. Most owners of Favre have another elite quarterback. The golden Bret was drafted as a fantasy back up and now being shopped with Romo and Brady like value. Don’t take the bait and if you have him sell, sell, sell like orange juice in Trading Places.
RB LaMont Jordan- He has done everything his owners hoped for when they took him between rounds 8 and 10. Now it is time to part ways if you still can. Jordan let the cat out of the bag when he hurt his back last week. The return of Dominic Rhodes and the emergence of Justin Fargas spell doom for the good LJ. (Sorry Larry) The Raiders signed Rhodes as a free agent and are not about to let their money go to waste. Dangle Jordan from your line and see if anyone bites.
RB Ronnie Brown- Brown is currently the number 1 ranked RB in fantasy. I got stuck with him in one league in the back of the first round. He has out played the other guys available at that point like Thomas Jones, Travis Henry and Cedric Benson. Now I’m selling and looking to land an elite WR like Steve Smith and a decent back. The Dolphins passing game will likely be the demise of Brown. Teams will eventually take him away and make Miami go to someone else. He might’ve single handily won weeks for his owners. You really can’t ask for more, but this is a business. Sell him like the elite stock he isn’t.
WR Randy Moss- Here is the best case of fantasy mimicking real life. The Patriots stole him from the Raiders and owners stole him on draft day. He is by far, and I mean real far, the number 1 ranked receiver. You can get crazy Viking day value for him. He will continue to produce, but he can’t do this every week. You can trade him for any receiver and a decent running back.
WR Braylon Edwards- I actually hung out with Edwards the night before he was picked by the Browns. This guy is a smooth cat, but not a top 5 fantasy receiver. He is also a Cleveland Brown. Bernie Kosar is not walking through that door so Derek Anderson will have to keep it up all season. Edwards has 375 yards and 4 TD already. Owners should use him as a great second player to get a trade over the top. He is a nice throw in to get an elite back or WR.
Monday, August 13, 2007
QUARTERBACKS IN THE WINGS
By The Fantasy Trader, NFL Draft Bible
Have you ever tried to explain Fantasy Football to someone who has never played? Well, we draft real players and form a team that competes each week. Fantasy Football is like being a real owner. If this were true, then why does the fantasy quarterback get the shaft?
Just about the entire first round will be running backs. Part of the reason for this is that there is so much depth at the quarterback position. Tony Romo, Vince Young, Jeff Garcia, David Garrard and Jay Cutler started the season as backups, but got the full-time gig and made serious contributions. So much is made of the backup running back, but let’s see who might breakout in the backup quarterback role.
David Carr, Carolina Panthers-- Has there ever been a better example of losing your job and it being considered a good career move? Carr picked himself up off the ground 41 times last year. Despite the lack of protection he still managed to complete 68.3% of his passes and is only 28 years old. Now he’s in Carolina backing up Jake Delhomme, who struggled last year and will have a short leash to start 07. Carr has more mobility than Delhomme and arguably as good an arm. The one thing he never had was Delhomme’s surrounding talent.
Gus Frerotte, St. Louis Rams-- It seems that Frerotte always finds his way behind center. Marc Bulger played all sixteen games last year for the first time in his career and was limited to eight games in 2005. Frerotte made the most with his surrounding talent in Miami. If you have a disposable roster spot, Bulger owners might want to consider drafting Frerotte as an insurance policy. At the very least, he is worth a waiver pick as a viable fantasy option should Bulger go down.
Brady Quinn, Cleveland Browns-- After missing nearly two weeks of training camp, it appears Quinn has no shot at starting the season as the Browns quarterback. Charlie Frye and Derek Anderson will compete for the starting job. Last season, the two combined to throw just 15 TDs and 25 INTs. Quinn has learned under Charlie Weis and has the mobility and arm strength to make an immediate impact. The Browns are preaching patience, but so were the Titans and Cardinals last season. Chances are he starts before mid-season.
Damon Huard, Kansas City Chiefs-- He will probably be the week one starter for the Chiefs, but that doesn’t mean he will get drafted in your league. The fact that there is a quarterback debate between Huard and rookie Brody Croyle is mind-boggling. In ten games last season, Huard threw 11 TDs and just 1 INT. Assuming Larry Johnson returns, he also makes every passing game a little bit better. With a weak offensive line, veteran leadership is a must.
Kellen Clemens, New York Jets-- The Jets should just call this guy Pennington number two. His game is eerily similar, as he possesses the same frame and has shown acute accuracy. Clemens seems to also possess a stronger arm of the two. Pennington did play sixteen games last season, but only played in twenty-three during the three prior seasons. Clemens was explosive at Oregon where he threw 41 TDs over his last two seasons. The Jets have veteran wide receivers, which will help with his transition should the opportunity present itself.
The name has changed to protect the innocent. The Fantasy Trader will give you the inside access into league developments to help keep you ahead of your fantasy competition.
Email him at: fantasytrader@nfldraftbible.com
Have you ever tried to explain Fantasy Football to someone who has never played? Well, we draft real players and form a team that competes each week. Fantasy Football is like being a real owner. If this were true, then why does the fantasy quarterback get the shaft?
Just about the entire first round will be running backs. Part of the reason for this is that there is so much depth at the quarterback position. Tony Romo, Vince Young, Jeff Garcia, David Garrard and Jay Cutler started the season as backups, but got the full-time gig and made serious contributions. So much is made of the backup running back, but let’s see who might breakout in the backup quarterback role.
David Carr, Carolina Panthers-- Has there ever been a better example of losing your job and it being considered a good career move? Carr picked himself up off the ground 41 times last year. Despite the lack of protection he still managed to complete 68.3% of his passes and is only 28 years old. Now he’s in Carolina backing up Jake Delhomme, who struggled last year and will have a short leash to start 07. Carr has more mobility than Delhomme and arguably as good an arm. The one thing he never had was Delhomme’s surrounding talent.
Gus Frerotte, St. Louis Rams-- It seems that Frerotte always finds his way behind center. Marc Bulger played all sixteen games last year for the first time in his career and was limited to eight games in 2005. Frerotte made the most with his surrounding talent in Miami. If you have a disposable roster spot, Bulger owners might want to consider drafting Frerotte as an insurance policy. At the very least, he is worth a waiver pick as a viable fantasy option should Bulger go down.
Brady Quinn, Cleveland Browns-- After missing nearly two weeks of training camp, it appears Quinn has no shot at starting the season as the Browns quarterback. Charlie Frye and Derek Anderson will compete for the starting job. Last season, the two combined to throw just 15 TDs and 25 INTs. Quinn has learned under Charlie Weis and has the mobility and arm strength to make an immediate impact. The Browns are preaching patience, but so were the Titans and Cardinals last season. Chances are he starts before mid-season.
Damon Huard, Kansas City Chiefs-- He will probably be the week one starter for the Chiefs, but that doesn’t mean he will get drafted in your league. The fact that there is a quarterback debate between Huard and rookie Brody Croyle is mind-boggling. In ten games last season, Huard threw 11 TDs and just 1 INT. Assuming Larry Johnson returns, he also makes every passing game a little bit better. With a weak offensive line, veteran leadership is a must.
Kellen Clemens, New York Jets-- The Jets should just call this guy Pennington number two. His game is eerily similar, as he possesses the same frame and has shown acute accuracy. Clemens seems to also possess a stronger arm of the two. Pennington did play sixteen games last season, but only played in twenty-three during the three prior seasons. Clemens was explosive at Oregon where he threw 41 TDs over his last two seasons. The Jets have veteran wide receivers, which will help with his transition should the opportunity present itself.
The name has changed to protect the innocent. The Fantasy Trader will give you the inside access into league developments to help keep you ahead of your fantasy competition.
Email him at: fantasytrader@nfldraftbible.com
Thursday, August 9, 2007
QUARTERBACKS IN THE WINGS
By The Fantasy Trader, NFL Draft Bible
Have you ever tried to explain Fantasy Football to someone who has never played? Well, we draft real players and form a team that competes each week. Fantasy Football is like being a real owner. If this were true, then why does the fantasy quarterback get the shaft?
Just about the entire first round will be running backs. Part of the reason for this is that there is so much depth at the quarterback position. Tony Romo, Vince Young, Jeff Garcia, David Garrard and Jay Cutler started the season as backups, but got the full-time gig and made serious contributions. So much is made of the backup running back, but let’s see who might breakout in the backup quarterback role.
David Carr, Carolina Panthers-- Has there ever been a better example of losing your job and it being considered a good career move? Carr picked himself up off the ground 41 times last year. Despite the lack of protection he still managed to complete 68.3% of his passes and is only 28 years old. Now he’s in Carolina backing up Jake Delhomme, who struggled last year and will have a short leash to start 07. Carr has more mobility than Delhomme and arguably as good an arm. The one thing he never had was Delhomme’s surrounding talent.
Gus Frerotte, Denver Broncos-- It seems that Frerotte always finds his way behind center. Marc Bulger played all sixteen games last year for the first time in his career and was limited to eight games in 2005. Frerotte made the most with his surrounding talent in Miami. If you have a disposable roster spot, Bulger owners might want to consider drafting Frerotte as an insurance policy. At the very least, he is worth a waiver pick as a viable fantasy option should Bulger go down.
Brady Quinn, Cleveland Browns-- After missing nearly two weeks of training camp, it appears Quinn has no shot at starting the season as the Browns quarterback. Charlie Frye and Derek Anderson will compete for the starting job. Last season, the two combined to throw just 15 TDs and 25 INTs. Quinn has learned under Charlie Weis and has the mobility and arm strength to make an immediate impact. The Browns are preaching patience, but so were the Titans and Cardinals last season. Chances are he starts before mid-season.
Damon Huard, Kansas City Chiefs-- He will probably be the week one starter for the Chiefs, but that doesn’t mean he will get drafted in your league. The fact that there is a quarterback debate between Huard and rookie Brody Croyle is mind-boggling. In ten games last season, Huard threw 11 TDs and just 1 INT. Assuming Larry Johnson returns, he also makes every passing game a little bit better. With a weak offensive line, veteran leadership is a must.
Kellen Clemens, New York Jets-- The Jets should just call this guy Pennington number two. His game is eerily similar, as he possesses the same frame and has shown acute accuracy. Clemens seems to also possess a stronger arm of the two. Pennington did play sixteen games last season, but only played in twenty-three during the three prior seasons. Clemens was explosive at Oregon where he threw 41 TDs over his last two seasons. The Jets have veteran wide receivers, which will help with his transition should the opportunity present itself.
The Fantasy Trader goes by alias as he is a fantasy football secret weapon. Keep it posted all season long on Fantasy Football Insiders as he provides the weekly Stock Report every Friday!
Email: fantasytrader@nfldraftbible.com
Have you ever tried to explain Fantasy Football to someone who has never played? Well, we draft real players and form a team that competes each week. Fantasy Football is like being a real owner. If this were true, then why does the fantasy quarterback get the shaft?
Just about the entire first round will be running backs. Part of the reason for this is that there is so much depth at the quarterback position. Tony Romo, Vince Young, Jeff Garcia, David Garrard and Jay Cutler started the season as backups, but got the full-time gig and made serious contributions. So much is made of the backup running back, but let’s see who might breakout in the backup quarterback role.
David Carr, Carolina Panthers-- Has there ever been a better example of losing your job and it being considered a good career move? Carr picked himself up off the ground 41 times last year. Despite the lack of protection he still managed to complete 68.3% of his passes and is only 28 years old. Now he’s in Carolina backing up Jake Delhomme, who struggled last year and will have a short leash to start 07. Carr has more mobility than Delhomme and arguably as good an arm. The one thing he never had was Delhomme’s surrounding talent.
Gus Frerotte, Denver Broncos-- It seems that Frerotte always finds his way behind center. Marc Bulger played all sixteen games last year for the first time in his career and was limited to eight games in 2005. Frerotte made the most with his surrounding talent in Miami. If you have a disposable roster spot, Bulger owners might want to consider drafting Frerotte as an insurance policy. At the very least, he is worth a waiver pick as a viable fantasy option should Bulger go down.
Brady Quinn, Cleveland Browns-- After missing nearly two weeks of training camp, it appears Quinn has no shot at starting the season as the Browns quarterback. Charlie Frye and Derek Anderson will compete for the starting job. Last season, the two combined to throw just 15 TDs and 25 INTs. Quinn has learned under Charlie Weis and has the mobility and arm strength to make an immediate impact. The Browns are preaching patience, but so were the Titans and Cardinals last season. Chances are he starts before mid-season.
Damon Huard, Kansas City Chiefs-- He will probably be the week one starter for the Chiefs, but that doesn’t mean he will get drafted in your league. The fact that there is a quarterback debate between Huard and rookie Brody Croyle is mind-boggling. In ten games last season, Huard threw 11 TDs and just 1 INT. Assuming Larry Johnson returns, he also makes every passing game a little bit better. With a weak offensive line, veteran leadership is a must.
Kellen Clemens, New York Jets-- The Jets should just call this guy Pennington number two. His game is eerily similar, as he possesses the same frame and has shown acute accuracy. Clemens seems to also possess a stronger arm of the two. Pennington did play sixteen games last season, but only played in twenty-three during the three prior seasons. Clemens was explosive at Oregon where he threw 41 TDs over his last two seasons. The Jets have veteran wide receivers, which will help with his transition should the opportunity present itself.
The Fantasy Trader goes by alias as he is a fantasy football secret weapon. Keep it posted all season long on Fantasy Football Insiders as he provides the weekly Stock Report every Friday!
Email: fantasytrader@nfldraftbible.com
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