By David Kaye, Fantasy Football Insiders
AFC Injury Report
Buffalo Bills safety George Wilson (fractured ribs) will miss the remainder of the season after being placed on injured reserve.
Dolphins running back Jesse Chatman (ankle) is questionable for Sunday’s game at New England after missing last week’s momentous victory with a lingering injury.
New York Jets quarterback Kellen Clemens (ribs) left Sunday’s divisional loss to the undefeated Patriots in the first quarter after being hit by defensive end Richard Seymour. Clemens’ status for this weekend’s game against at Tennessee is uncertain.
New England Patriots tight end Kyle Brady (ankle) is questionable for Sunday’s game against the streaking Dolphins.
Ravens Pro Bowl linebacker Ray Lewis (dislocated left finger) sustained the injury in the third quarter of Sunday’s disappointing loss to the hapless Dolphins. His status for next week’s game at Seattle is unknown at the current time.
Quarterback Kyle Boller’s (concussion) status is also unknown, while cornerback Chris McAlister (knee) is out for the season after being placed on injured reserve.
Jacksonville Jaguars running back Fred Taylor (right knee) is questionable for Sunday’s tilt against the woeful Raiders.
Denver Broncos quarterback Jay Cutler (knee) is probable for Monday’s game, while linebacker Ian Gold’s (knee) status is uncertain.
Tight end Daniel Graham (high ankle sprain) is questionable for next Monday night’s game at San Diego. With the Broncos out of the playoff picture, it’s likely that the coaching staff will shut Graham down for the final two games of the season.
Oakland Raiders electric running back Justin Fargas (sprained MCL) left Sunday’s loss to the AFC South champion Colts in the fourth quarter. It will not be determined until later in the week his status for Sunday’s matchup with the upstart Jaguars.
Defensive stalwart Shawne Merriman (knee) is questionable for Monday night’s game against the reeling Broncos, while running back Michael Turner (shoulder) is also questionable.
NFC Injury Report
Eagles offensive guard Shawn Andrews (sprained MCL) left Sunday’s victory after the first quarter. The extent of his injury will not be determined until he undergoes an MRI later in the week.
Tight end Matt Schobel (concussion) was hit by Cowboys safety Ken Hamlin early in the game and did not return. Hamlin should expect a fine although somehow no penalty was called on the play.
Dallas Cowboys tight end Anthony Fasano (concussion) and defensive end Chris Canty (left knee) both sustained minor injuries in Sunday’s NFC East showdown.
All-Pro quarterback Tony Romo (bruised right thumb) is probable for Saturday night’s game at Carolina.
Washington Redskins guard Randy Thomas (left arm) will miss the remainder of the season.
Giants tight end Jeremy Shockey (fractured left fibula) will undergo surgery this week and miss the remainder of the season.
Green Bay Packers fullback Korey Hall (knee) left Sunday’s 33-14 victory in the second quarter and did not return.
Arizona Cardinals tight end Leonard Pope (fractured right ankle) will miss the final two games of the season after undergoing surgery last week, while wide receiver Anquan Boldin (toe) is questionable for Sunday’s game against the lowly Falcons
HAPPY HOLIDAYS!!
Showing posts with label fantast football insiders. Show all posts
Showing posts with label fantast football insiders. Show all posts
Tuesday, December 18, 2007
Friday, December 7, 2007
The Black & Blue Report, Week 14
By Brad Kurtzberg, Fantasy Football Insiders
Chicago Bears—It will take nothing short of a miracle to get the Bears into this year’s playoffs. After Thursday night’s loss to Washington, the defending NFC champs are 5-8 with remaining games at Minnesota, vs. Green Bay and vs. New Orleans. The Bears would need to run the table and get plenty of help to sneak in as the second Wild Card team. Trust me, it won’t happen.
Brian Griese threw two costly picks against the Redskins on back-to-back plays. It seems that no matter who is behind center, Chicago’s offense is inconsistent and turnover prone. Griese hasn’t turned out to be that much better than Rex Grossman, having thrown 12 picks in seven starts. Regardless of how serious Grossman’s injury is, the Bears need to address the quaterback position in the offseason as neither Grossman nor Griese appear to be the answer. Griese is more valuable as a backup if the team wants him to stay.
Two reasons for Brian Urlacher’s mediocre season (by his standards) this year: his arthritic back and the lack of a strong defensive line. Urlacher is not very big and he has trouble shedding blocks if offensive linemen can get to him. Last year, Tank Johnson and the other Bears linemen kept Urlacher free to make plays. This year, the defensive line is not doing nearly as good a job of occupying blockers and they are finding ways to block Urlacher…The Bears continue to struggle to run the ball. Adrian Peterson’s stats are very Cedric Benson-like. The bottom line is that the offensive line is not opening many holes and the running backs the Bears have are not good enough to make something out of nothing.
Meanwhile, Devin Hester had a season-high five receptions on Thursday against Washington. The Bears would be wise to get him more involved in the offense. He and Bernard Berrian would make a good pair of deep threats…Chicago has benched safety Adam Archuleta. The free agent signee has had trouble in pass coverage all season and has also taken poor tackling angles when defending the run. Unfortunately for the Bears, his replacement, Brandon McGowan, hasn’t done much better and continues to make mental mistakes.
Detroit Lions—WR Roy Williams is likely out for the remainder of the season with a knee injury. That hurts the Lions because Williams remains their best deep threat and most reliable receiver. Still, this gives rookie Calvin Johnson a chance to shine. The second overall pick in last year’s draft has shown flashes but seems to be having trouble learning the complex Mike Martz offense. It’s not unusual for recievers to struggle in the NFL as rookies. These last four games should give Detroit’s coaching staff a better idea of how far Johnson has progressed this season
CB LaMarcus Hicks is also out for the season after breaking his ankle against the Vikings. The Lions lack depth in their secondary to begin with and Hicks’ absence will hurt them further…From the it’s probably not a coincidence department: Detroit’s six wins have come against teams with a combined .458 winning percentage. During their recent four-game losing streak, they have played teams with a winning percentage of .625…
Detroit’s biggest problem offensively is on the offensive line. OT George Foster has been playing poorly, G Blaine Saipaia has been forced to play tackle at times and Jonathan Scott has missed substantial time due to injury. Guard Damien Woody has been playing tackle as well. He’s done a workmanlike job but he’s no long term solution. The offensive line has had trouble pass protecting and opening holes for the run
Jon Kitna has been affected by the constant pressure he has been under. In the last three games, he has thrown only 3 TDs and 5 INTs. Kitna’s as tough as they come but the constant punishment he has taken this season is taking its toll.
Potential mismatch this week against Dallas: CB Fernando Bryant against Terrell Owens. Bryant is questionable for the game with a foot injury. The Lions would have trouble matching up against Owens and TE Jason Witten even if their secondary was healthy. Unfortunately, they are banged up. Unless the Lions get pressure on Tony Romo, the secondary could be in for a long day.
Green Bay Packers—Brett Favre is expected to start his 250th consecutive regular season game Sunday against the Raiders. That’s a good thing because backup Aaron Rogers, who played well against the Cowboys when Favre got hurt, is unavailable for at least the next two games due to an hamstring injury. The Pack signed former backup Craig Nall, recently released by Buffalo, to be Favre’s backup
Charles Woodson and Kabeer Gbaja-Biamila are still game-time decisions on Sunday. The Pack would not be wise to rush either back. KGB is more likely to start than Woodson is…The key for the Pack defensively this week will be to slow down RBs Justin Fargas and LaMont Jordan. The Raiders have trouble passing the football consistently but they are one of the top running teams in the league. The Pack must stay in their lanes and prevent big running plays
Ryan Grant has been a perfect fit for the Pack at RB. He gives the team a threat of the run but doesn’t seem to need a lot of carries to pick up big yards. Grant is a one-cut runner who finds holes and quickly exploits them
The Packers need some contribution from first round pick Justin Harrell down the stretch. With two members of their DT rotation (Johnny Jolly and Colin Cole) out with injuries, Harrell will get playing time. So far, he has not even been dressed for games unless injuries made it necessary. He also appears to be slow to pick up the team’s defensive scheme
A win over the Raiders would clinch the NFC North for the Packers regardless of what Detroit or Minnesota do…WR Donald Driver needs 102 yards to top the 1,000 yard mark for the fourth straight season. Driver just passed Hall of Famer Don Hutson for third on the Packers all-time receptions list with 490. He needs 105 to tie Sterling Sharpe for first all-time
Safeties Atari Bigby and Nick Collins are both weak in coverage. The Pack has had trouble covering TEs partially due to this problem. Bigby also takes too many interference calls which have been hurtful to the Pack..
Minnesota Vikings—One reason for the Vikings recent winning streak is the improved play of QB Tarvaris Jackson. While Jackson is still not the kind of QB who will win games for you with his arm, he is becoming an efficient and effective passer. During his last three games, Jackson has completed nearly 79 percent of his passes and his decision making has improved. He is now more able to go through his progressions and find secondary receivers. Jackson has four games left to show the Vikings’ coaching staff that he is worthy of being their QB of the future
DE Erasmus James is out for the season with a knee injury. DE Ray Edwards has been suspended for four games for violating the league’s substance abuse policy. The loss of those two players leaves Minnesota thin at DE. The Vikings just might get CB Antoine Winfield back for Sunday’s game in San Francisco. Winfield’s presence would really be a boost to the secondary
With Adrian Peterson and Chester Taylor, the Vikings may have the most explosive RB duo in the league. If healthy and given enough carries, Peterson is capable of gaining 2,000 yards on the ground in a season while Taylor can surpass 1,500. The two complement each other well and make life hard for opposing defenses
The Vikings’ schedule down the stretch is not too bad. After playing San Francisco this week, they finish by hosting Chicago on Monday night, hosting Washington and traveling to Denver.
Chicago Bears—It will take nothing short of a miracle to get the Bears into this year’s playoffs. After Thursday night’s loss to Washington, the defending NFC champs are 5-8 with remaining games at Minnesota, vs. Green Bay and vs. New Orleans. The Bears would need to run the table and get plenty of help to sneak in as the second Wild Card team. Trust me, it won’t happen.
Brian Griese threw two costly picks against the Redskins on back-to-back plays. It seems that no matter who is behind center, Chicago’s offense is inconsistent and turnover prone. Griese hasn’t turned out to be that much better than Rex Grossman, having thrown 12 picks in seven starts. Regardless of how serious Grossman’s injury is, the Bears need to address the quaterback position in the offseason as neither Grossman nor Griese appear to be the answer. Griese is more valuable as a backup if the team wants him to stay.
Two reasons for Brian Urlacher’s mediocre season (by his standards) this year: his arthritic back and the lack of a strong defensive line. Urlacher is not very big and he has trouble shedding blocks if offensive linemen can get to him. Last year, Tank Johnson and the other Bears linemen kept Urlacher free to make plays. This year, the defensive line is not doing nearly as good a job of occupying blockers and they are finding ways to block Urlacher…The Bears continue to struggle to run the ball. Adrian Peterson’s stats are very Cedric Benson-like. The bottom line is that the offensive line is not opening many holes and the running backs the Bears have are not good enough to make something out of nothing.
Meanwhile, Devin Hester had a season-high five receptions on Thursday against Washington. The Bears would be wise to get him more involved in the offense. He and Bernard Berrian would make a good pair of deep threats…Chicago has benched safety Adam Archuleta. The free agent signee has had trouble in pass coverage all season and has also taken poor tackling angles when defending the run. Unfortunately for the Bears, his replacement, Brandon McGowan, hasn’t done much better and continues to make mental mistakes.
Detroit Lions—WR Roy Williams is likely out for the remainder of the season with a knee injury. That hurts the Lions because Williams remains their best deep threat and most reliable receiver. Still, this gives rookie Calvin Johnson a chance to shine. The second overall pick in last year’s draft has shown flashes but seems to be having trouble learning the complex Mike Martz offense. It’s not unusual for recievers to struggle in the NFL as rookies. These last four games should give Detroit’s coaching staff a better idea of how far Johnson has progressed this season
CB LaMarcus Hicks is also out for the season after breaking his ankle against the Vikings. The Lions lack depth in their secondary to begin with and Hicks’ absence will hurt them further…From the it’s probably not a coincidence department: Detroit’s six wins have come against teams with a combined .458 winning percentage. During their recent four-game losing streak, they have played teams with a winning percentage of .625…
Detroit’s biggest problem offensively is on the offensive line. OT George Foster has been playing poorly, G Blaine Saipaia has been forced to play tackle at times and Jonathan Scott has missed substantial time due to injury. Guard Damien Woody has been playing tackle as well. He’s done a workmanlike job but he’s no long term solution. The offensive line has had trouble pass protecting and opening holes for the run
Jon Kitna has been affected by the constant pressure he has been under. In the last three games, he has thrown only 3 TDs and 5 INTs. Kitna’s as tough as they come but the constant punishment he has taken this season is taking its toll.
Potential mismatch this week against Dallas: CB Fernando Bryant against Terrell Owens. Bryant is questionable for the game with a foot injury. The Lions would have trouble matching up against Owens and TE Jason Witten even if their secondary was healthy. Unfortunately, they are banged up. Unless the Lions get pressure on Tony Romo, the secondary could be in for a long day.
Green Bay Packers—Brett Favre is expected to start his 250th consecutive regular season game Sunday against the Raiders. That’s a good thing because backup Aaron Rogers, who played well against the Cowboys when Favre got hurt, is unavailable for at least the next two games due to an hamstring injury. The Pack signed former backup Craig Nall, recently released by Buffalo, to be Favre’s backup
Charles Woodson and Kabeer Gbaja-Biamila are still game-time decisions on Sunday. The Pack would not be wise to rush either back. KGB is more likely to start than Woodson is…The key for the Pack defensively this week will be to slow down RBs Justin Fargas and LaMont Jordan. The Raiders have trouble passing the football consistently but they are one of the top running teams in the league. The Pack must stay in their lanes and prevent big running plays
Ryan Grant has been a perfect fit for the Pack at RB. He gives the team a threat of the run but doesn’t seem to need a lot of carries to pick up big yards. Grant is a one-cut runner who finds holes and quickly exploits them
The Packers need some contribution from first round pick Justin Harrell down the stretch. With two members of their DT rotation (Johnny Jolly and Colin Cole) out with injuries, Harrell will get playing time. So far, he has not even been dressed for games unless injuries made it necessary. He also appears to be slow to pick up the team’s defensive scheme
A win over the Raiders would clinch the NFC North for the Packers regardless of what Detroit or Minnesota do…WR Donald Driver needs 102 yards to top the 1,000 yard mark for the fourth straight season. Driver just passed Hall of Famer Don Hutson for third on the Packers all-time receptions list with 490. He needs 105 to tie Sterling Sharpe for first all-time
Safeties Atari Bigby and Nick Collins are both weak in coverage. The Pack has had trouble covering TEs partially due to this problem. Bigby also takes too many interference calls which have been hurtful to the Pack..
Minnesota Vikings—One reason for the Vikings recent winning streak is the improved play of QB Tarvaris Jackson. While Jackson is still not the kind of QB who will win games for you with his arm, he is becoming an efficient and effective passer. During his last three games, Jackson has completed nearly 79 percent of his passes and his decision making has improved. He is now more able to go through his progressions and find secondary receivers. Jackson has four games left to show the Vikings’ coaching staff that he is worthy of being their QB of the future
DE Erasmus James is out for the season with a knee injury. DE Ray Edwards has been suspended for four games for violating the league’s substance abuse policy. The loss of those two players leaves Minnesota thin at DE. The Vikings just might get CB Antoine Winfield back for Sunday’s game in San Francisco. Winfield’s presence would really be a boost to the secondary
With Adrian Peterson and Chester Taylor, the Vikings may have the most explosive RB duo in the league. If healthy and given enough carries, Peterson is capable of gaining 2,000 yards on the ground in a season while Taylor can surpass 1,500. The two complement each other well and make life hard for opposing defenses
The Vikings’ schedule down the stretch is not too bad. After playing San Francisco this week, they finish by hosting Chicago on Monday night, hosting Washington and traveling to Denver.
Monday, December 3, 2007
Ones To Watch, Week 14
By Ralph Mancini, Fantasy Football Insiders Senior Writer
AARON RODGERS (GB-QB)- The eternal benchwarmer finally took the field last Thursday and outperformed the legendary Brett Favre, keeping his team in the game against the almighty Cowboys. Rodgers was especially impressive at reading coverages and running for first downs when there was nothing open downfield. The young Packer threw for 201 yards and one touchdown. However, until Favre actually misses a start, Rodgers will be of no use to fantasy owners.
JASON SNELLING (ATL-RB)- Word out of Hotlanta is that Falcons head coach Bobby Petrino will be looking to make the rookie back a bigger part of the offensive game plan. After a promising preseason, Snelling has been a forgotten man with only six carries to date. The 232-pound bruiser is very quick at hitting the hole in short-yardage situations and does have decent enough speed to break off some good runs.
SAMKON GADO (MIA-RB)- With Jesse Chatman’s latest injury, recent pick up Samkon Gado should be in line to get some reps in the starting lineup. The 226-pounder has shown signs of being a serviceable power runner in the past, but does have a history of putting the ball on the ground.
WALLACE WRIGHT (NYJ-WR)- As the Jets may have to contend with the reality that Jerricho Cotchery may be out for the remainder of the season, receivers such as Wallace Wright will be given an opportunity to contribute in Gang Green’s regular offense. Known as more of a special teams ace, Wright made two catches for 24 yards versus the Dolphins in week 13. The 6’ 1” wide out is capable of making acrobatic receptions.
AUNDRAE ALLISON (MIN-WR)- The seldom-used rookie showed everyone that Sidney Rice isn’t the only Minnesota rookie who can make plays by scoring on a 103-yard kickoff return versus Detroit. Allison also gained a season-high 52 yards on two receptions. Coming out of East Carolina, the speedster was looked upon as a sure-handed receiver with the ability of producing long runs after the catch. The 6’ 0” 198-pounder is no shrinking violet when it comes to going over the middle to make a catch.
AARON RODGERS (GB-QB)- The eternal benchwarmer finally took the field last Thursday and outperformed the legendary Brett Favre, keeping his team in the game against the almighty Cowboys. Rodgers was especially impressive at reading coverages and running for first downs when there was nothing open downfield. The young Packer threw for 201 yards and one touchdown. However, until Favre actually misses a start, Rodgers will be of no use to fantasy owners.
JASON SNELLING (ATL-RB)- Word out of Hotlanta is that Falcons head coach Bobby Petrino will be looking to make the rookie back a bigger part of the offensive game plan. After a promising preseason, Snelling has been a forgotten man with only six carries to date. The 232-pound bruiser is very quick at hitting the hole in short-yardage situations and does have decent enough speed to break off some good runs.
SAMKON GADO (MIA-RB)- With Jesse Chatman’s latest injury, recent pick up Samkon Gado should be in line to get some reps in the starting lineup. The 226-pounder has shown signs of being a serviceable power runner in the past, but does have a history of putting the ball on the ground.
WALLACE WRIGHT (NYJ-WR)- As the Jets may have to contend with the reality that Jerricho Cotchery may be out for the remainder of the season, receivers such as Wallace Wright will be given an opportunity to contribute in Gang Green’s regular offense. Known as more of a special teams ace, Wright made two catches for 24 yards versus the Dolphins in week 13. The 6’ 1” wide out is capable of making acrobatic receptions.
AUNDRAE ALLISON (MIN-WR)- The seldom-used rookie showed everyone that Sidney Rice isn’t the only Minnesota rookie who can make plays by scoring on a 103-yard kickoff return versus Detroit. Allison also gained a season-high 52 yards on two receptions. Coming out of East Carolina, the speedster was looked upon as a sure-handed receiver with the ability of producing long runs after the catch. The 6’ 0” 198-pounder is no shrinking violet when it comes to going over the middle to make a catch.
Searching the Scrap Heap, Week 14
By Ralph Mancini, Fantasy Football Insiders Senior Writer
LUKE McCOWN- (TB-QB)- The 26-year-old backup unexpectedly stepped up and took charge of the Buccaneer’s offense, leading his team to a last-minute 27-23 victory versus New Orleans. The Louisiana Tech product looked every bit the gunslinger completing his first 15 passes on his way to putting up 313 yards for two scores and one interception. The 6’3” 212-pound quarterback is known to have a strong arm and very good work ethic. Look for McCown’s solid play to continue if he gets the start next week against Houston. Starter Jeff Garcia is currently suffering form a bruised back.
CHRIS BROWN- (TEN-RB)- Although Brown’s 175-yard performance in week one may seem like eons ago, the former University of Colorado standout has slowly but surely reestablished himself as a key offensive component in Tennessee’s offense since returning from injury two weeks ago. The lanky back finally hit pay dirt this week with a seven-yard scamper versus the Texans. Brown ended up with 46 yards on 11 carries along with two receptions for 11 yards on the afternoon. Look for Brown and LenDale White to continue wreaking havoc with the Chiefs and Jets on their schedule in weeks 15 and 16.
D’ANGELO WILLIAMS- (CAR-RB)- Williams makes a reappearance in STSH as he was at his explosive best with 17 rushes for 82 yards including a 46-yard catch versus the lowly San Francisco 49ers. It’s pretty obvious that Carolina’s offense improves exponentially with a healthy Vinny Testaverde starting at quarterback, which should create more opportunities for Williams. Don’t be surprised to see the Panthers’ coaching staff assign more carries to the 5’9” dynamo, who has quicker feet and better lateral movement than veteran DeShaun Foster.
BRYANT JOHNSON- (ARZ-WR)- Starting in place of a hobbled Larry Fitzgerald, Johnson became Kurt Warner’s go-to wide out with six receptions for 56 yards including a 1-yard touchdown grab in an invigorating win over the high-scoring Browns. At 6’ 3” 216 pounds, the Penn State product is a physical player with enough speed to be more than just a run-of-the-mill possession receiver. Expect Johnson to remain in the starting lineup with Anquan Boldin leaving this week’s game in the third quarter with an unspecified foot injury.
DESMOND CLARK- (CHI-TE)- Clark has reemerged as one of Rex Grossman’s primary targets during the past two weeks with 61 yards on two catches versus the Broncos in week 12, and 76 yards on six receptions with a touchdown in week 13 against the Giants. With fellow tight end Greg Olsen fading into the background, Clark is once again showing the speed, agility and soft hands that made him a very promising athlete a few years back. The 30-year-old veteran should have plenty of chances to continue his resurgence with the Redskins and Vikings on the schedule.
LUKE McCOWN- (TB-QB)- The 26-year-old backup unexpectedly stepped up and took charge of the Buccaneer’s offense, leading his team to a last-minute 27-23 victory versus New Orleans. The Louisiana Tech product looked every bit the gunslinger completing his first 15 passes on his way to putting up 313 yards for two scores and one interception. The 6’3” 212-pound quarterback is known to have a strong arm and very good work ethic. Look for McCown’s solid play to continue if he gets the start next week against Houston. Starter Jeff Garcia is currently suffering form a bruised back.
CHRIS BROWN- (TEN-RB)- Although Brown’s 175-yard performance in week one may seem like eons ago, the former University of Colorado standout has slowly but surely reestablished himself as a key offensive component in Tennessee’s offense since returning from injury two weeks ago. The lanky back finally hit pay dirt this week with a seven-yard scamper versus the Texans. Brown ended up with 46 yards on 11 carries along with two receptions for 11 yards on the afternoon. Look for Brown and LenDale White to continue wreaking havoc with the Chiefs and Jets on their schedule in weeks 15 and 16.
D’ANGELO WILLIAMS- (CAR-RB)- Williams makes a reappearance in STSH as he was at his explosive best with 17 rushes for 82 yards including a 46-yard catch versus the lowly San Francisco 49ers. It’s pretty obvious that Carolina’s offense improves exponentially with a healthy Vinny Testaverde starting at quarterback, which should create more opportunities for Williams. Don’t be surprised to see the Panthers’ coaching staff assign more carries to the 5’9” dynamo, who has quicker feet and better lateral movement than veteran DeShaun Foster.
BRYANT JOHNSON- (ARZ-WR)- Starting in place of a hobbled Larry Fitzgerald, Johnson became Kurt Warner’s go-to wide out with six receptions for 56 yards including a 1-yard touchdown grab in an invigorating win over the high-scoring Browns. At 6’ 3” 216 pounds, the Penn State product is a physical player with enough speed to be more than just a run-of-the-mill possession receiver. Expect Johnson to remain in the starting lineup with Anquan Boldin leaving this week’s game in the third quarter with an unspecified foot injury.
DESMOND CLARK- (CHI-TE)- Clark has reemerged as one of Rex Grossman’s primary targets during the past two weeks with 61 yards on two catches versus the Broncos in week 12, and 76 yards on six receptions with a touchdown in week 13 against the Giants. With fellow tight end Greg Olsen fading into the background, Clark is once again showing the speed, agility and soft hands that made him a very promising athlete a few years back. The 30-year-old veteran should have plenty of chances to continue his resurgence with the Redskins and Vikings on the schedule.
Thursday, November 1, 2007
WEEK NINE FANTASY PREVIEW
Dan Lewis, Fantasy Football Insiders
San Diego @ Minnesota
San Diego’s blowout over the Texans last week didn’t really tell me much about the Chargers. Chris Chambers owners were glad to see he got 5 of 6 targets to WRs in the game, and that he caught a TD. Chambers maintained his high-target, low-reception ratio that he’s used to from the Dolphins, so he seems at home in San Diego. Minny’s Adrian Peterson came back to reality and was held in check by the Eagles. Bad matchup for him and Chester Taylor this week: the Chargers have allowed only 2 rushing TDs to date. Tarvaris Jackson will be back in this week after Kelly Holcomb was injured. Who cares?
Arizona @ Tampa Bay
Kurt Warner will be starting again for the Cardinals, so keep an eye on what sort of kooky injury he will suffer in this one. The Cardinals have a pretty bad defense, so start Earnest Graham, who is clearly still favored by Gruden over Michael Bennett. Joey Galloway and Ike Hilliard are both strong plays in this one.
Carolina @ Tennessee
If anyone is still starting Vince Young, you need to stop. Now. LenDale White is making a strong move to become the featured back in Tennessee, but rookie Chris Henry is keeping up with him. White gets the bulk of the carries, and gets goal line carries, so he remains the stronger option. Carolina’s pointless offense remains pointless. It says something about David Carr when you read that he is forced back into the lineup because Vinny Testaverde is injured. David Carr is bad… DeShaun Foster is a sit against the Titans.
Green Bay @ Kansas City
Ryan Grant did what no other Packer runner could: gain 100 yards rushing. Granted, it was against the porous Broncos, but this was the first time this season that the Packers really committed to the run game. Kansas City is decent against the run, but isn’t great. Coach Mike McCarthy was apparently beaming when talking about Grant after the game, so I’d start him as a flex if you need him. The Packers’ defense is good, but not good enough to bench your Chiefs. Despite an iffy matchup, get Dwayne Bowe in there.
Washington @ New York Jets
Here’s a matchup between two teams that looked kinda pathetic last week. Kellen Clemens is finally replacing my beloved Penningnoodlearm at QB, but his matchup is bad this week, so look elsewhere for your desperate QB needs. Thomas Jones also has a poor matchup against this tough D. Laveranues Coles may not play this week, and if he sits, Jerricho Cotchery and Brad Smith will see more looks, though the Skins are tough. Leon Washington will have chances to bust a big run, and his kick returns are a bonus. Start all your Redskins, including Santana Moss, who unbenched himself last week and caught 6 passes.
Denver @ Detroit
I see a lot of points scored in this game. Denver has Champ Bailey and Dre’ Bly at CB, but the Lions are deep at receiver and have put up good points in all but one game this season. I see another good game for Kevin Jones here: if the Packers could run for over 100 on the Broncos, then anyone can. Detroit can’t stop anyone. The only question will be Travis Henry’s health, and Mike Shanahan’s dastardliness and cunning. This may be a game-time decision, so have Selvin Young ready to insert if need be.
San Francisco @ Atlanta
Frank Gore was ineffective last week, and hurt his ankle. If he plays this week, though, he’ll have a great matchup against Atlanta. If he can’t go, Michael Robinson is likely to start in his place, making him a sneaky sleeper play. Vernon Davis had maybe his best game last week, so his talent and high draft position make him alluring again. If he continues to play well he could become a solid play the rest of the year. The 49ers allow over 100 on the ground, although I cringe even thinking about starting a RB on the Falcons. Jerious Norwood is explosive, but I can’t recommend starting him or Warrick Dunn. Roddy White has been a nice surprise, but he’ll have Nate Clements on him most likely, which is tough.
Cincinnati @ Buffalo
The Bengals have been frustrating lately. Carson Palmer’s production is way down, and they’ve been pounding Kenny Watson. Rudi Johnson looks like he’ll be back this week, just in time for Watson to be out with a concussion. Watson may still play, though, but Buffalo usually allows plenty of yards for 2 backs to share. Monitor the injuries, but both are solid if they play. Ugh. J.P. Losman back at QB. I don’t know what it is, but I just hate this guy. He looks like a dummy in every headshot I’ve seen of him, and he never appears in control on the field. He just throws it as far as he can to Lee Evans. These two have done a nice job of using each other to convince an unsuspecting public of their talents. Unfortunately for us fantasy players, we have to use these idiots. Use Evans, but not Losman.
Jacksonville @ New Orleans
The scientist in me loves watching Quinn Gray out there for the Jaguars: he is so bad at passing that he creates a situation in which everyone on the field knows that they are going to run, and that if they don’t, the Visor** will throw the ball 5 yards wide of his target. We don’t see many controlled experiments like these in the NFL. Even though the Saints have been pretty good against the run lately, don’t expect Visor to be throwing much, cuz he can’t. If the Saints stop Fred Taylor and MJD, then the Jags lose. Marques Colston finally broke out last week, and David Patten had another productive game. The Jags are a tough defense, but the Saints seem to have figured things out again.
**The Visor refers to Quinn Gray. Did anyone else notice that when he first came into the game against the Colts he had a dark, LaDainian-style visor on his helmet, which he later removed? Why was it on there in the first place if he wasn’t going to play with it? I like to think he didn’t know he was a quarterback until he went into the game…
Seattle @ Cleveland
Cleveland has been surprisingly prolific this year, putting up points against almost everyone they’ve played (Pittsburgh held them to 7 in Week 1). Seattle will present a challenge for them, but Braylon Edwards and Kellen Winslow have been very explosive lately, and are unsittable. Shaun Alexander has a great matchup against Cleveland, but he has been stopping himself lately. I’ve always gotten a weird impression from him, like he isn’t committed and doesn’t care. He’s running hesitantly this season, and has lost all explosiveness. If he can’t do anything against the Browns, I’m pronouncing him dead.
Houston @ Oakland
It looks like the Sage Rosenfels show this weekend for the Texans. Kevin Walter is his favorite target, so get him in there. The question going into the game will be which Texan RB will start. Joe Echemandu looked good last week, but left with a hammy. Ahman is dinged, and Ron Dayne is a little dinged and hasn’t been effective. You’re going to need to monitor this all week and see what they say on Sunday, but whoever starts should run very well against the Raiders. Justin Fargas has been outperforming LaMont Jordan for Oakland, and he is a decent play this week. I don’t trust the Raider receivers much because Daunte Culpepper spreads the ball and runs it himself a lot; the Texans stop opposing WRs fairly well anyway.
New England @ Indianapolis
What can I say here? You never sit anyone on either of these teams, so don’t sit anyone on either of these teams. Except Laurence Maroney, who couldn’t even score with the Patriots up 38-0. There are a few possible explanations for the Patriots’ play calling this season. Maybe Bill Belichick is a degenerate gambler who thinks he gets extra when he doubles the point spread. Maybe he has Tom Brady on his fantasy team. Maybe his opponent every week has Laurence Maroney. Maybe he’s just a big fat arrogant smug meanie. Whatever the reason, they’re unstoppable, he knows it, and he’s making sure everyone else knows it. The Kenton Keith story didn’t last too long, as he got far fewer carries last week. Joseph Addai is back to his stud fantasy form.
Dallas @ Philadelphia
Forgotten this week will be this classic divisional battle. Reggie Brown may finally be forgetting that he’s a mediocre, inconsistent receiver, which bodes well for his owners. He outperformed Kevin Curtis across the board last week, and is becoming McNabb’s favorite target. He’s got a good matchup against Dallas, too. I’d sit Julius Jones against Philly’s stout run D, but start Marion Barber, who gets all the goal line carries.
Baltimore @ Pittsburgh
The Ravens are getting McNair and Heap back this week, just in time to face Pittsburgh, who will crush them. If you have McGahee, Heap, or Derrick Mason, you’re probably starting them, but none has a good matchup here. Baltimore has been great against the run this year, but just average against the pass. Look for Roethlisberger, Hines Ward and Santonio Holmes to be active in this one. Ward’s return has hurt Heath Miller’s red zone production, but he’s still a solid play.
San Diego @ Minnesota
San Diego’s blowout over the Texans last week didn’t really tell me much about the Chargers. Chris Chambers owners were glad to see he got 5 of 6 targets to WRs in the game, and that he caught a TD. Chambers maintained his high-target, low-reception ratio that he’s used to from the Dolphins, so he seems at home in San Diego. Minny’s Adrian Peterson came back to reality and was held in check by the Eagles. Bad matchup for him and Chester Taylor this week: the Chargers have allowed only 2 rushing TDs to date. Tarvaris Jackson will be back in this week after Kelly Holcomb was injured. Who cares?
Arizona @ Tampa Bay
Kurt Warner will be starting again for the Cardinals, so keep an eye on what sort of kooky injury he will suffer in this one. The Cardinals have a pretty bad defense, so start Earnest Graham, who is clearly still favored by Gruden over Michael Bennett. Joey Galloway and Ike Hilliard are both strong plays in this one.
Carolina @ Tennessee
If anyone is still starting Vince Young, you need to stop. Now. LenDale White is making a strong move to become the featured back in Tennessee, but rookie Chris Henry is keeping up with him. White gets the bulk of the carries, and gets goal line carries, so he remains the stronger option. Carolina’s pointless offense remains pointless. It says something about David Carr when you read that he is forced back into the lineup because Vinny Testaverde is injured. David Carr is bad… DeShaun Foster is a sit against the Titans.
Green Bay @ Kansas City
Ryan Grant did what no other Packer runner could: gain 100 yards rushing. Granted, it was against the porous Broncos, but this was the first time this season that the Packers really committed to the run game. Kansas City is decent against the run, but isn’t great. Coach Mike McCarthy was apparently beaming when talking about Grant after the game, so I’d start him as a flex if you need him. The Packers’ defense is good, but not good enough to bench your Chiefs. Despite an iffy matchup, get Dwayne Bowe in there.
Washington @ New York Jets
Here’s a matchup between two teams that looked kinda pathetic last week. Kellen Clemens is finally replacing my beloved Penningnoodlearm at QB, but his matchup is bad this week, so look elsewhere for your desperate QB needs. Thomas Jones also has a poor matchup against this tough D. Laveranues Coles may not play this week, and if he sits, Jerricho Cotchery and Brad Smith will see more looks, though the Skins are tough. Leon Washington will have chances to bust a big run, and his kick returns are a bonus. Start all your Redskins, including Santana Moss, who unbenched himself last week and caught 6 passes.
Denver @ Detroit
I see a lot of points scored in this game. Denver has Champ Bailey and Dre’ Bly at CB, but the Lions are deep at receiver and have put up good points in all but one game this season. I see another good game for Kevin Jones here: if the Packers could run for over 100 on the Broncos, then anyone can. Detroit can’t stop anyone. The only question will be Travis Henry’s health, and Mike Shanahan’s dastardliness and cunning. This may be a game-time decision, so have Selvin Young ready to insert if need be.
San Francisco @ Atlanta
Frank Gore was ineffective last week, and hurt his ankle. If he plays this week, though, he’ll have a great matchup against Atlanta. If he can’t go, Michael Robinson is likely to start in his place, making him a sneaky sleeper play. Vernon Davis had maybe his best game last week, so his talent and high draft position make him alluring again. If he continues to play well he could become a solid play the rest of the year. The 49ers allow over 100 on the ground, although I cringe even thinking about starting a RB on the Falcons. Jerious Norwood is explosive, but I can’t recommend starting him or Warrick Dunn. Roddy White has been a nice surprise, but he’ll have Nate Clements on him most likely, which is tough.
Cincinnati @ Buffalo
The Bengals have been frustrating lately. Carson Palmer’s production is way down, and they’ve been pounding Kenny Watson. Rudi Johnson looks like he’ll be back this week, just in time for Watson to be out with a concussion. Watson may still play, though, but Buffalo usually allows plenty of yards for 2 backs to share. Monitor the injuries, but both are solid if they play. Ugh. J.P. Losman back at QB. I don’t know what it is, but I just hate this guy. He looks like a dummy in every headshot I’ve seen of him, and he never appears in control on the field. He just throws it as far as he can to Lee Evans. These two have done a nice job of using each other to convince an unsuspecting public of their talents. Unfortunately for us fantasy players, we have to use these idiots. Use Evans, but not Losman.
Jacksonville @ New Orleans
The scientist in me loves watching Quinn Gray out there for the Jaguars: he is so bad at passing that he creates a situation in which everyone on the field knows that they are going to run, and that if they don’t, the Visor** will throw the ball 5 yards wide of his target. We don’t see many controlled experiments like these in the NFL. Even though the Saints have been pretty good against the run lately, don’t expect Visor to be throwing much, cuz he can’t. If the Saints stop Fred Taylor and MJD, then the Jags lose. Marques Colston finally broke out last week, and David Patten had another productive game. The Jags are a tough defense, but the Saints seem to have figured things out again.
**The Visor refers to Quinn Gray. Did anyone else notice that when he first came into the game against the Colts he had a dark, LaDainian-style visor on his helmet, which he later removed? Why was it on there in the first place if he wasn’t going to play with it? I like to think he didn’t know he was a quarterback until he went into the game…
Seattle @ Cleveland
Cleveland has been surprisingly prolific this year, putting up points against almost everyone they’ve played (Pittsburgh held them to 7 in Week 1). Seattle will present a challenge for them, but Braylon Edwards and Kellen Winslow have been very explosive lately, and are unsittable. Shaun Alexander has a great matchup against Cleveland, but he has been stopping himself lately. I’ve always gotten a weird impression from him, like he isn’t committed and doesn’t care. He’s running hesitantly this season, and has lost all explosiveness. If he can’t do anything against the Browns, I’m pronouncing him dead.
Houston @ Oakland
It looks like the Sage Rosenfels show this weekend for the Texans. Kevin Walter is his favorite target, so get him in there. The question going into the game will be which Texan RB will start. Joe Echemandu looked good last week, but left with a hammy. Ahman is dinged, and Ron Dayne is a little dinged and hasn’t been effective. You’re going to need to monitor this all week and see what they say on Sunday, but whoever starts should run very well against the Raiders. Justin Fargas has been outperforming LaMont Jordan for Oakland, and he is a decent play this week. I don’t trust the Raider receivers much because Daunte Culpepper spreads the ball and runs it himself a lot; the Texans stop opposing WRs fairly well anyway.
New England @ Indianapolis
What can I say here? You never sit anyone on either of these teams, so don’t sit anyone on either of these teams. Except Laurence Maroney, who couldn’t even score with the Patriots up 38-0. There are a few possible explanations for the Patriots’ play calling this season. Maybe Bill Belichick is a degenerate gambler who thinks he gets extra when he doubles the point spread. Maybe he has Tom Brady on his fantasy team. Maybe his opponent every week has Laurence Maroney. Maybe he’s just a big fat arrogant smug meanie. Whatever the reason, they’re unstoppable, he knows it, and he’s making sure everyone else knows it. The Kenton Keith story didn’t last too long, as he got far fewer carries last week. Joseph Addai is back to his stud fantasy form.
Dallas @ Philadelphia
Forgotten this week will be this classic divisional battle. Reggie Brown may finally be forgetting that he’s a mediocre, inconsistent receiver, which bodes well for his owners. He outperformed Kevin Curtis across the board last week, and is becoming McNabb’s favorite target. He’s got a good matchup against Dallas, too. I’d sit Julius Jones against Philly’s stout run D, but start Marion Barber, who gets all the goal line carries.
Baltimore @ Pittsburgh
The Ravens are getting McNair and Heap back this week, just in time to face Pittsburgh, who will crush them. If you have McGahee, Heap, or Derrick Mason, you’re probably starting them, but none has a good matchup here. Baltimore has been great against the run this year, but just average against the pass. Look for Roethlisberger, Hines Ward and Santonio Holmes to be active in this one. Ward’s return has hurt Heath Miller’s red zone production, but he’s still a solid play.
Thursday, October 18, 2007
WEEK SEVEN FANTASY PREVIEW
San Francisco @ New York Giants
Eli Manning is looking a lot better, and the Giants are running really well using all three of their backs. I like Reuben Droughns and Brandon Jacobs, who both got carries last week. I’m tempted to play Amani Toomer, who had a great game last week, but San Fran stops opposing WR pretty well. I don’t like many 49ers this week, regardless of whether Alex Smith plays or not.
Atlanta @ New Orleans
New Orleans finally woke up, and I like them again this week. David Patten was the beneficiary last week, but where has he been? He hasn’t done anything in years. Play Lance Moore, who is younger and also returns kicks. Short of Jerious Norwood breaking a long run like last week, which he hadn’t done before this season, I don’t like any Falcons even against the weak Saints’ D. Byron Leftwich takes about 20 minutes to drop back and throw, and behind that line he’ll have problems. Falcons wide-outs are also targeted fairly evenly, and it remains to be seen who Leftwich will look for.
New England @ Miami
With Sammy Morris out, it looks like Kevin Faulk will probably be the guy this week, but the Patriots are crafty and could surprise everyone by using Heath Evans. I wouldn’t be surprised, though, if they go up very early and both runners make noise. I’d lean toward Faulk over Evans, but it’s hard to call. Without Chris Chambers, who was traded to San Diego, the Dolphins are even more pathetic on offense. Ronnie Browns will probably catch a lot of passes, but it’s hard to run on the Pats.
Arizona @ Washington
Kurt, I know you tend to hurt yourself, but couldn’t you have maybe lasted more than 2 drop backs? You made your coach put in Tim Rattay. Yuck. Warner may be back this week, but regardless, Washington is nasty to passing games, and I’d play my Cardinals with care. Santana Moss supposedly benched himself last week, but if he plays this week he has a great matchup. Randle-El is also a play if he suits up.
Baltimore @ Buffalo
Baltimore has been iffy against the pass, allowing a few teams to go off. But I just don’t see Trent Edwards, who has been mostly dinking (sometimes dunking), down the field. Buffalo’s O gets dominated here. Kyle Boller is starting, and could see some success against the Bills.
Tampa Bay @ Detroit
OK, so my hunch about Earnest Graham didn’t quite pan out last week. But, I’m sticking with my guy here. He’s a strong runner, they pound it at the goal line, and Detroit is Swiss cheese. Michael Bennett probably won’t factor in much this soon after being acquired, so Graham is still the man here for now. Ike Hilliard is also a strong play. Tatum Bell wanted to get traded, but wasn’t. Welcome back to potential fantasy relevance, Kevin Jones. He’s decent this week.
Tennessee @ Houston
If Vince Young’s injury forces Kerry Collins into the lineup, get ready for some ineptitude. He looked awful last year for the Titans. LenDale White will play well, especially if Chris Brown is out. Houston’s Kevin Walter continues to play well, but the Titans are tough. I’m also sitting the Texans run game against Tennessee.
Kansas City @ Oakland
Jeff Webb surprised and was targeted as many times as Dwayne Bowe last week, but I’d wait to see this again before I buy. Bowe has tough corner Nnamdi Asomugha, but I’d play him anyway. Ronald Curry still got the most targets last week, but I’d keep watching Jerry Porter. Neither is great this week, though.
New York Jets @ Cincinnati
Alright, loyal NFL Draft Bible readers, I need to get something off my chest. I am a New York Jets fan. This is a rough year for Gang Green, and for their quarterback, Chad Pennington, whom I have loved for years.. He has always had a noodle-arm, but his arm is the least of his problems right now. He used to make up for it with sound decision-making, accurate passing, and good leadership. Right now, those positive qualities are absent, and the Jets are left with just the weak arm: ask Thomas Jones, Laveranues Coles and Jerricho Cotchery. Sure, Jones had 120 yards last week, but much of that came on the Jets’ first drive of the game before the Eagles remembered Pennington can’t throw more than 12 yards down field. Now, having said all of this, Coach Mangini is sticking with Chad this week, and the Bengals certainly won’t provide too much resistance: they allow almost 250 yards in the air and almost 150 on the ground. Start all of your Jets this week, but get ready for some potential changes in the coming weeks.
Oh, I almost forgot. Start all your Bengals: the Jets’ D may have more holes than the O.
Minnesota @ Dallas
Adrian! I had been thinking that Peterson would be a sell because of Chester Taylor coming back, the fact that he was relying on some big plays to get his yards, and that the Vikings were going to see some tougher opponents coming up. Never mind all of that. Peterson is the most talented player on his team, and as much as I want to caution his owners from counting too heavily on a guy who needs to bust big runs for points, I can’t. He’s too good. He keeps breaking out for monster gains. Forget Chester. Forget the Bears’ defense. Forget the Cowboys’ defense. He’s a great player, and will score for you against most teams. For Dallas, it’s the usual story against Minny. Sit the running backs, start everyone involved in the passing game (2nd best run D, worst pass D).
Chicago @ Philadelphia
After being torched by Adrian Peterson last week, the Bears get to face Brian Westbrook, another excellent open field runner. I could see this game being all about Westbrook running and catching screens all day, and I still can’t rely on any Eagle WRs. I’m still banking on Reggie Brown eventually emerging here, but this isn’t a great matchup. Cedric Benson runs like an old man, and looks generally lame. Sit him and get the other Adrian Peterson, who I bet will be fantasy relevant before the end of the year.
St. Louis @ Seattle
Shaun. Please. You were the MVP 2 years ago. You look hesitant, slow, and bored. But if you can’t have yourself a game this week, then I don’t know what to tell you. The Rams can’t do anything on either side of the ball, so Shaun should have the chance to run in the second half this week. By the way, keep an eye on Leonard Weaver, who broke a big one, and could get a bigger role as the season progresses. D.J. Hackett looks like he’ll play this week, and he couldn’t have a better matchup. Bobby Engram, and even Nate Burleson are solid starts also. Marc Bulger is back this week, so Torry Holt should see a better game. Seattle’s defense is fairly middle-of-the-road, so use your Rams as you would any other week.
Pittsburgh @ Denver
Denver’s rush defense has fallen quite a bit this season, allowing 187 yards per game. This makes Najeh Davenport startable this week. Pittsburgh is also getting Santonio Holmes and Hines Ward back this week, but Denver is great vs. the pass. Denver’s RB situation is a bit up in the air, but it’s not a good week against Pittsburgh.
Indianapolis @ Jacksonville
You can’t ever sit your Colts, but the Jags have given them problems in the past. Maurice Jones-Drew is back, and is a start for sure. As for Jaguar receivers, it’s anyone’s guess from week to week who will emerge as they are pretty egalitarian. I don’t particularly like any of them.
Eli Manning is looking a lot better, and the Giants are running really well using all three of their backs. I like Reuben Droughns and Brandon Jacobs, who both got carries last week. I’m tempted to play Amani Toomer, who had a great game last week, but San Fran stops opposing WR pretty well. I don’t like many 49ers this week, regardless of whether Alex Smith plays or not.
Atlanta @ New Orleans
New Orleans finally woke up, and I like them again this week. David Patten was the beneficiary last week, but where has he been? He hasn’t done anything in years. Play Lance Moore, who is younger and also returns kicks. Short of Jerious Norwood breaking a long run like last week, which he hadn’t done before this season, I don’t like any Falcons even against the weak Saints’ D. Byron Leftwich takes about 20 minutes to drop back and throw, and behind that line he’ll have problems. Falcons wide-outs are also targeted fairly evenly, and it remains to be seen who Leftwich will look for.
New England @ Miami
With Sammy Morris out, it looks like Kevin Faulk will probably be the guy this week, but the Patriots are crafty and could surprise everyone by using Heath Evans. I wouldn’t be surprised, though, if they go up very early and both runners make noise. I’d lean toward Faulk over Evans, but it’s hard to call. Without Chris Chambers, who was traded to San Diego, the Dolphins are even more pathetic on offense. Ronnie Browns will probably catch a lot of passes, but it’s hard to run on the Pats.
Arizona @ Washington
Kurt, I know you tend to hurt yourself, but couldn’t you have maybe lasted more than 2 drop backs? You made your coach put in Tim Rattay. Yuck. Warner may be back this week, but regardless, Washington is nasty to passing games, and I’d play my Cardinals with care. Santana Moss supposedly benched himself last week, but if he plays this week he has a great matchup. Randle-El is also a play if he suits up.
Baltimore @ Buffalo
Baltimore has been iffy against the pass, allowing a few teams to go off. But I just don’t see Trent Edwards, who has been mostly dinking (sometimes dunking), down the field. Buffalo’s O gets dominated here. Kyle Boller is starting, and could see some success against the Bills.
Tampa Bay @ Detroit
OK, so my hunch about Earnest Graham didn’t quite pan out last week. But, I’m sticking with my guy here. He’s a strong runner, they pound it at the goal line, and Detroit is Swiss cheese. Michael Bennett probably won’t factor in much this soon after being acquired, so Graham is still the man here for now. Ike Hilliard is also a strong play. Tatum Bell wanted to get traded, but wasn’t. Welcome back to potential fantasy relevance, Kevin Jones. He’s decent this week.
Tennessee @ Houston
If Vince Young’s injury forces Kerry Collins into the lineup, get ready for some ineptitude. He looked awful last year for the Titans. LenDale White will play well, especially if Chris Brown is out. Houston’s Kevin Walter continues to play well, but the Titans are tough. I’m also sitting the Texans run game against Tennessee.
Kansas City @ Oakland
Jeff Webb surprised and was targeted as many times as Dwayne Bowe last week, but I’d wait to see this again before I buy. Bowe has tough corner Nnamdi Asomugha, but I’d play him anyway. Ronald Curry still got the most targets last week, but I’d keep watching Jerry Porter. Neither is great this week, though.
New York Jets @ Cincinnati
Alright, loyal NFL Draft Bible readers, I need to get something off my chest. I am a New York Jets fan. This is a rough year for Gang Green, and for their quarterback, Chad Pennington, whom I have loved for years.. He has always had a noodle-arm, but his arm is the least of his problems right now. He used to make up for it with sound decision-making, accurate passing, and good leadership. Right now, those positive qualities are absent, and the Jets are left with just the weak arm: ask Thomas Jones, Laveranues Coles and Jerricho Cotchery. Sure, Jones had 120 yards last week, but much of that came on the Jets’ first drive of the game before the Eagles remembered Pennington can’t throw more than 12 yards down field. Now, having said all of this, Coach Mangini is sticking with Chad this week, and the Bengals certainly won’t provide too much resistance: they allow almost 250 yards in the air and almost 150 on the ground. Start all of your Jets this week, but get ready for some potential changes in the coming weeks.
Oh, I almost forgot. Start all your Bengals: the Jets’ D may have more holes than the O.
Minnesota @ Dallas
Adrian! I had been thinking that Peterson would be a sell because of Chester Taylor coming back, the fact that he was relying on some big plays to get his yards, and that the Vikings were going to see some tougher opponents coming up. Never mind all of that. Peterson is the most talented player on his team, and as much as I want to caution his owners from counting too heavily on a guy who needs to bust big runs for points, I can’t. He’s too good. He keeps breaking out for monster gains. Forget Chester. Forget the Bears’ defense. Forget the Cowboys’ defense. He’s a great player, and will score for you against most teams. For Dallas, it’s the usual story against Minny. Sit the running backs, start everyone involved in the passing game (2nd best run D, worst pass D).
Chicago @ Philadelphia
After being torched by Adrian Peterson last week, the Bears get to face Brian Westbrook, another excellent open field runner. I could see this game being all about Westbrook running and catching screens all day, and I still can’t rely on any Eagle WRs. I’m still banking on Reggie Brown eventually emerging here, but this isn’t a great matchup. Cedric Benson runs like an old man, and looks generally lame. Sit him and get the other Adrian Peterson, who I bet will be fantasy relevant before the end of the year.
St. Louis @ Seattle
Shaun. Please. You were the MVP 2 years ago. You look hesitant, slow, and bored. But if you can’t have yourself a game this week, then I don’t know what to tell you. The Rams can’t do anything on either side of the ball, so Shaun should have the chance to run in the second half this week. By the way, keep an eye on Leonard Weaver, who broke a big one, and could get a bigger role as the season progresses. D.J. Hackett looks like he’ll play this week, and he couldn’t have a better matchup. Bobby Engram, and even Nate Burleson are solid starts also. Marc Bulger is back this week, so Torry Holt should see a better game. Seattle’s defense is fairly middle-of-the-road, so use your Rams as you would any other week.
Pittsburgh @ Denver
Denver’s rush defense has fallen quite a bit this season, allowing 187 yards per game. This makes Najeh Davenport startable this week. Pittsburgh is also getting Santonio Holmes and Hines Ward back this week, but Denver is great vs. the pass. Denver’s RB situation is a bit up in the air, but it’s not a good week against Pittsburgh.
Indianapolis @ Jacksonville
You can’t ever sit your Colts, but the Jags have given them problems in the past. Maurice Jones-Drew is back, and is a start for sure. As for Jaguar receivers, it’s anyone’s guess from week to week who will emerge as they are pretty egalitarian. I don’t particularly like any of them.
Monday, October 15, 2007
WEEK 7 WAIVER WIRE HELP
SEARCHING THE SCRAP HEAP
VINNY TESTAVERDE (CAR-QB)- If you have any extra space on your roster, make room for Vinny. Yes, that Vinny---43-years young. Signed just days ago to fill in for a banged-up David Carr, the 21st year journeyman authored a very credible performance versus the Cardinals this Sunday by completing 20 of 30 passes for 206 yards and one touchdown. Testaverde kept his team out of trouble and also uncorked some long throws, including a 65-yard touchdown to Steve Smith. While Carr will probably regain his starting role, coach John Fox will not be hesitant to turn to Vinny from Elmont once again if necessary.
D’ANGELO WILLIAMS (CAR-RB)- The second-year runner clearly distanced himself from the less explosive DeShaun Foster by breaking off some long runs to the outside during the second half of Carolina’s 25-10 victory over Arizona. Williams capped off his day with a 75-yard burst down the left sideline and later added a 13-yard touchdown run. The writing’s on the wall, and it won’t be long before Carolna starts phasing out the fumble-prone Foster in favor of the younger, faster Williams.
TROY WILLIAMSON (MIN-WR)- The much maligned and often criticized Williamson put his best attribute (his speed) on grand display Sunday by scoring on a 60-yard touchdown pass against Chicago. Although, he only ended up with two receptions, it should be noted that Tarvaris Jackson is back starting at quarterback and while that may alarm most Viking fans, the 24-year-old signal caller has a good arm and will be looking to Williamson quite often when he needs to throw it deep.
ERIC MOULDS (TEN-WR)- Far removed from his halcyon days in Buffalo, Moulds has gradually been carving out a bigger role for himself as a reliable possession receiver in Tennessee’s aerial attack. Following his four-catch 31-yard performance versus Atlanta last week, Moulds recorded 6 receptions for 49 yards. In bigger leagues, the grizzled veteran may be one to look at as a bye-week fill-in.
CHRIS HENRY (CIN-WR)- The troubled, but extremely gifted receiver is only two weeks away from returning from his eight-week suspension. Picking him up now could pay immediate dividends for those looking to reinforce their receiver corps. Quite simply, Henry is the most talented third receiver in the league and his 6’4” frame can pose matchup nightmares for nickelbacks trying to defend him.
RYAN LONGWELL (MIN-K)- The oft-overlooked Longwell has been a model of consistency this season by connecting on eight of nine field goal attempts. The former Packer kicked field goals of 48 and 55 yards in Minnesota’s 34-31 win over Chicago. The fact that Longwell plays his home games indoors is another added bonus.
ONES TO WATCH
KERRY COLLINS (TENN-QB)- Collins stepped in for starting quarterback Vince Young, who left Sunday’s game versus Tampa Bay with a groin injury, and didn’t exactly distinguish himself with 10 completions for 125 yards. Monitor Young’s status. At last report, he is considered day-to-day. Although he still has a strong enough arm to make deep throws, Collins can be disastrous when forced out of the pocket. The former Giant is a total crapshoot at this point.
LEONARD WEAVER (SEA-RB)- In the wake of Mack Strong’s retirement, Weaver has assumed the role of lead fullback in Seattle’s backfield. Blessed with good size (242 pounds), quick feet and soft hands, Weaver put his talents to good use versus New Orleans with three carries for 40 yards and four receptions for 53 yards. Weaver might be looking at more carries if Shaun Alexander continues to disappoint.
KEENAN McCARDELL (WASH-WR)- The recently signed 37-year-old chipped in with two catches for 30 yards in Washington’s 17-14 loss to Green Bay. Although it’s hard to speculate how many snaps McCardell will get going forward, it’s safe to say that the Redskins should make more room for the dependable possession receiver on a team with so many health risks and question marks at the position.
JUSTIN GAGE (TENN-WR)- The fifth-year professional is commonly looked upon as a disappointment. Gage did show some vital signs this Sunday with four receptions for 82 yards, including a 42-yard grab. At 6’4” 212 pounds, Gage has the tools to make tough catches over the middle, although as a receiver he isn’t the fleetest of foot.
DAVID ANDERSON (HOU-WR)- The obscure wide out was frequently targeted in Houston’s loss to Jacksonville and finished with three receptions for 30 yards. With Andre’ Johnson rumored to be at least another month, the Colorado State product may continue to see more time as a third receiver. Keep an eye on him once rookie Jacoby Jones returns.
VINNY TESTAVERDE (CAR-QB)- If you have any extra space on your roster, make room for Vinny. Yes, that Vinny---43-years young. Signed just days ago to fill in for a banged-up David Carr, the 21st year journeyman authored a very credible performance versus the Cardinals this Sunday by completing 20 of 30 passes for 206 yards and one touchdown. Testaverde kept his team out of trouble and also uncorked some long throws, including a 65-yard touchdown to Steve Smith. While Carr will probably regain his starting role, coach John Fox will not be hesitant to turn to Vinny from Elmont once again if necessary.
D’ANGELO WILLIAMS (CAR-RB)- The second-year runner clearly distanced himself from the less explosive DeShaun Foster by breaking off some long runs to the outside during the second half of Carolina’s 25-10 victory over Arizona. Williams capped off his day with a 75-yard burst down the left sideline and later added a 13-yard touchdown run. The writing’s on the wall, and it won’t be long before Carolna starts phasing out the fumble-prone Foster in favor of the younger, faster Williams.
TROY WILLIAMSON (MIN-WR)- The much maligned and often criticized Williamson put his best attribute (his speed) on grand display Sunday by scoring on a 60-yard touchdown pass against Chicago. Although, he only ended up with two receptions, it should be noted that Tarvaris Jackson is back starting at quarterback and while that may alarm most Viking fans, the 24-year-old signal caller has a good arm and will be looking to Williamson quite often when he needs to throw it deep.
ERIC MOULDS (TEN-WR)- Far removed from his halcyon days in Buffalo, Moulds has gradually been carving out a bigger role for himself as a reliable possession receiver in Tennessee’s aerial attack. Following his four-catch 31-yard performance versus Atlanta last week, Moulds recorded 6 receptions for 49 yards. In bigger leagues, the grizzled veteran may be one to look at as a bye-week fill-in.
CHRIS HENRY (CIN-WR)- The troubled, but extremely gifted receiver is only two weeks away from returning from his eight-week suspension. Picking him up now could pay immediate dividends for those looking to reinforce their receiver corps. Quite simply, Henry is the most talented third receiver in the league and his 6’4” frame can pose matchup nightmares for nickelbacks trying to defend him.
RYAN LONGWELL (MIN-K)- The oft-overlooked Longwell has been a model of consistency this season by connecting on eight of nine field goal attempts. The former Packer kicked field goals of 48 and 55 yards in Minnesota’s 34-31 win over Chicago. The fact that Longwell plays his home games indoors is another added bonus.
ONES TO WATCH
KERRY COLLINS (TENN-QB)- Collins stepped in for starting quarterback Vince Young, who left Sunday’s game versus Tampa Bay with a groin injury, and didn’t exactly distinguish himself with 10 completions for 125 yards. Monitor Young’s status. At last report, he is considered day-to-day. Although he still has a strong enough arm to make deep throws, Collins can be disastrous when forced out of the pocket. The former Giant is a total crapshoot at this point.
LEONARD WEAVER (SEA-RB)- In the wake of Mack Strong’s retirement, Weaver has assumed the role of lead fullback in Seattle’s backfield. Blessed with good size (242 pounds), quick feet and soft hands, Weaver put his talents to good use versus New Orleans with three carries for 40 yards and four receptions for 53 yards. Weaver might be looking at more carries if Shaun Alexander continues to disappoint.
KEENAN McCARDELL (WASH-WR)- The recently signed 37-year-old chipped in with two catches for 30 yards in Washington’s 17-14 loss to Green Bay. Although it’s hard to speculate how many snaps McCardell will get going forward, it’s safe to say that the Redskins should make more room for the dependable possession receiver on a team with so many health risks and question marks at the position.
JUSTIN GAGE (TENN-WR)- The fifth-year professional is commonly looked upon as a disappointment. Gage did show some vital signs this Sunday with four receptions for 82 yards, including a 42-yard grab. At 6’4” 212 pounds, Gage has the tools to make tough catches over the middle, although as a receiver he isn’t the fleetest of foot.
DAVID ANDERSON (HOU-WR)- The obscure wide out was frequently targeted in Houston’s loss to Jacksonville and finished with three receptions for 30 yards. With Andre’ Johnson rumored to be at least another month, the Colorado State product may continue to see more time as a third receiver. Keep an eye on him once rookie Jacoby Jones returns.
Monday, October 1, 2007
NFL RECAP
BREAKING NEWS
*Jason Cole, of Yahoo! Sports, reports Tampa Bay Buccaneers RB Cadillac Williams (knee) suffered a potentially career-threatening torn patellar tendon in his right leg Week 4, according to a source close to Williams. Williams is expected to see renowned orthopedic surgeon Dr. James Andrews Monday, Oct. 1, according to a member of Williams' family.
SUNDAY'S STANDOUTS:
QUARTERBACKS
344 Bett Favre, Green Bay
339 Tony Romo, St. Louis
317 Matt Schaub, Houston
307 Steve McNair, Baltimore
RUNNING BACKS
179 Justin Fargas, Oakland
136 Joseph Addai, Indianapolis
134 Ronni Brown, Miami
132 LaDainian Tomlinson, San Diego
131 Travis Henry, Denver
123 Larry Johnson, Kansas City
112 Adrian Peterson, Minnesota
104 Willis McGahee, Baltimore
103 Correll Buckhalter, Philadelphia
WIDE RECEIVERS
184 Patrick Crayton, Dallas
164 Dwayne Bowe, Kansas City
130 Deion Branch, Seattle
128 Santonio Holmes, Pittsburgh
123 Larry Fitzgerald, Arizona
117 Andre Davis, Houston
116 Jerricho Cotchery, New York (A)
114 Ike Hilliard, Tampa Bay Buccaneers
FANTASY FOOTBALL INSIDERS: WORKING THE WAIVER WIRE
GUS FREROTTE (STL-QB)- No, these aren't the 1994 Washington Redskins led by quarterback Heath Shuler. The 36-year-old Gus Frerotte is still going strong as the backup signal caller in St. Louis. Frerotte was called into duty late in the third quarter this week to take over for the ailing Marc Bulger, who was playing with two broken ribs. With his team down by 28 points to Dallas, the former Redskin only completed three of six passes for 29 yards, but in the past he has shown flashes of completing long pass plays in coach Scott Linehan's system. Bulger owners would be advised to invest in Frerotte, who has the tools to string together a few productive games throwing to Torry Holt, Isaac Bruce and company.
EARNEST GRAHAM (TB-RB)- As mentioned in last week's Ones to Watch, Graham will have a key role in Tampa Bay's running game, and with the latest injury to Carnell "Cadillac" Williams, it's high time to make a move for the powerful, hard-charging Graham who's now in line for the lion's share of carries. Tampa Bay also has a very favorable schedule.
JUSTIN FARGAS (OAK-RB)- Son of Antonio Fargas of Starsky & Hutch fame, the younger Fargas put on an Oscar-worthy performance versus the Dolphins by exploding for 179-yards on 22-carries, including a 48-yard scamper. Fargas was immediately called into duty following an apparent back injury to Lamont Jordan shortly before halftime. Once heralded as the top high school recruit out of Encino, CA., the 27-year-old has always possessed extraordinary quickness, but he shouldn't be mistaken for a durable back due to a history of significant injuries.
ANTHONY GONZALEZ (IND-WR)- Granted, the rookie receiver out of Ohio State has had a relatively quiet season thus far, but Gonzalez will certainly be called upon to start for the Colts if star wide out Marvin Harrison misses any time due to his latest injury. Although the ailment is currently being diagnosed as a bruised knee, further revelations may ensue later in the week. Although the first-year wide out only caught one pass for 19 yards, it would be wise to stash him on your bench. Soon or later, Manning will find a way to better incorporate his skills in the Colts high-octane attack.
SIDNEY RICE (MIN-WR)- Touted as having an excellent set of hands out of South Carolina, the 6'4" Rice is making the Vikings look good for selecting him as a second pick in this year's draft. Against the Packers, Rice had six receptions for 75 yards, including a 15-yard touchdown at the end of the game. Not blessed with sprinter's speed, the rookie does a credible job fighting for the ball and making plays after the catch. Minnesota could finally be getting fed up with the disappointing Troy Williamson and make Rice a centerpiece of their offense.
DONALD LEE (TE-GB)- If you're hurting at tight end, Donald Lee may be your man to soothe the pain. With four catches and 66-yards against the Lions in week four, Lee has now recorded four receptions in each of his first four games. Unlike starting tight end Bubba Franks, Lee has the moves and overall athleticism to continue serving as one of quarterback Brett Favre's favorite targets. With no hint of a running game this year, Green Bay will air it out early and often.
*Jason Cole, of Yahoo! Sports, reports Tampa Bay Buccaneers RB Cadillac Williams (knee) suffered a potentially career-threatening torn patellar tendon in his right leg Week 4, according to a source close to Williams. Williams is expected to see renowned orthopedic surgeon Dr. James Andrews Monday, Oct. 1, according to a member of Williams' family.
SUNDAY'S STANDOUTS:
QUARTERBACKS
344 Bett Favre, Green Bay
339 Tony Romo, St. Louis
317 Matt Schaub, Houston
307 Steve McNair, Baltimore
RUNNING BACKS
179 Justin Fargas, Oakland
136 Joseph Addai, Indianapolis
134 Ronni Brown, Miami
132 LaDainian Tomlinson, San Diego
131 Travis Henry, Denver
123 Larry Johnson, Kansas City
112 Adrian Peterson, Minnesota
104 Willis McGahee, Baltimore
103 Correll Buckhalter, Philadelphia
WIDE RECEIVERS
184 Patrick Crayton, Dallas
164 Dwayne Bowe, Kansas City
130 Deion Branch, Seattle
128 Santonio Holmes, Pittsburgh
123 Larry Fitzgerald, Arizona
117 Andre Davis, Houston
116 Jerricho Cotchery, New York (A)
114 Ike Hilliard, Tampa Bay Buccaneers
FANTASY FOOTBALL INSIDERS: WORKING THE WAIVER WIRE
GUS FREROTTE (STL-QB)- No, these aren't the 1994 Washington Redskins led by quarterback Heath Shuler. The 36-year-old Gus Frerotte is still going strong as the backup signal caller in St. Louis. Frerotte was called into duty late in the third quarter this week to take over for the ailing Marc Bulger, who was playing with two broken ribs. With his team down by 28 points to Dallas, the former Redskin only completed three of six passes for 29 yards, but in the past he has shown flashes of completing long pass plays in coach Scott Linehan's system. Bulger owners would be advised to invest in Frerotte, who has the tools to string together a few productive games throwing to Torry Holt, Isaac Bruce and company.
EARNEST GRAHAM (TB-RB)- As mentioned in last week's Ones to Watch, Graham will have a key role in Tampa Bay's running game, and with the latest injury to Carnell "Cadillac" Williams, it's high time to make a move for the powerful, hard-charging Graham who's now in line for the lion's share of carries. Tampa Bay also has a very favorable schedule.
JUSTIN FARGAS (OAK-RB)- Son of Antonio Fargas of Starsky & Hutch fame, the younger Fargas put on an Oscar-worthy performance versus the Dolphins by exploding for 179-yards on 22-carries, including a 48-yard scamper. Fargas was immediately called into duty following an apparent back injury to Lamont Jordan shortly before halftime. Once heralded as the top high school recruit out of Encino, CA., the 27-year-old has always possessed extraordinary quickness, but he shouldn't be mistaken for a durable back due to a history of significant injuries.
ANTHONY GONZALEZ (IND-WR)- Granted, the rookie receiver out of Ohio State has had a relatively quiet season thus far, but Gonzalez will certainly be called upon to start for the Colts if star wide out Marvin Harrison misses any time due to his latest injury. Although the ailment is currently being diagnosed as a bruised knee, further revelations may ensue later in the week. Although the first-year wide out only caught one pass for 19 yards, it would be wise to stash him on your bench. Soon or later, Manning will find a way to better incorporate his skills in the Colts high-octane attack.
SIDNEY RICE (MIN-WR)- Touted as having an excellent set of hands out of South Carolina, the 6'4" Rice is making the Vikings look good for selecting him as a second pick in this year's draft. Against the Packers, Rice had six receptions for 75 yards, including a 15-yard touchdown at the end of the game. Not blessed with sprinter's speed, the rookie does a credible job fighting for the ball and making plays after the catch. Minnesota could finally be getting fed up with the disappointing Troy Williamson and make Rice a centerpiece of their offense.
DONALD LEE (TE-GB)- If you're hurting at tight end, Donald Lee may be your man to soothe the pain. With four catches and 66-yards against the Lions in week four, Lee has now recorded four receptions in each of his first four games. Unlike starting tight end Bubba Franks, Lee has the moves and overall athleticism to continue serving as one of quarterback Brett Favre's favorite targets. With no hint of a running game this year, Green Bay will air it out early and often.
Tuesday, August 14, 2007
THE PHIL ELETTO TOP 100
These rankings are for basic scoring formats. Tight end’s have been ranked as wide receivers, so figure a 5% bump in value if your league mandates a tight end.
1 LaDanian Tomlinson: Don’t expect last year, but if you have any doubt, I want to be in your league
2 Steven Jackson: Pure monster, the coaching staff knows it and the system exploits it
3 Shaun Alexander: Let them worry about last year and his 30 years of age, we were talking about him last year like we talk about Tomlinson this year
4 Larry Johnson: For my money, this is a much better soap-opera than the Vick case--at least it’s all football related
5 Travis Henry: Too many things have to go wrong for him to not earn this. They say Moss needed a change of scenery?
6 Frank Gore: Opposite of Alexander--how quickly we forget his injury plagued past. I just want less risk in this slot. The later he lasts, the better I like him.
7 Reggie Bush: Too many weapons to be higher, but too much talent to go lower. Yardage/points per game makes him 5 overall
8 Willis McGahee: I am absolutely drooling over his upside this year
9 Joseph Addai: Flip-flop with Henry if Tarik Glenn plays, which does not seem likely
10 Peyton Manning: Money in the bank, but I have a hard time taking him before the RB's in front of him (and a few behind, if on the clock)
11 Laurence Maroney: A younger, stronger Westbrook. How much of the good Westbrook vs the bad is the question
12 Steve Smith: Will get you points in every game he is in, which is any time he can walk
13 Brian Westbrook: Injury waiting to happen, but an all-category monster when on the field. Points per catch or yardage leagues bump him up 5 spots
14 Rudy Johnson: Quietly does his thing year after year to little or no fanfare
15 Willie Parker: Love him in yardage leagues. Barlow and Davenport may snag a few more short touchdowns than Parker owners can handle
16 Clinton Portis: Expect a repeat of last year, except for his alter-ego's
17 Chad Johnson: This is the year he puts it all together
18 Carson Palmer: Rather have him here than pay the price for Peyton
19 Edgerrin James: Last year’s expectations come to fruition this year
20 Tory Holt: All is happy as can be in Ram-land. He should mirror last year’s numbers
21 Terrell Owens: Do you feel lucky? Better upside than any receiver but Smith and Ocho Cinco but with more risk, so I wuss out on this one
22 Marvin Harrison: I need to see the slowdown year before worrying about making him my #1 WR.He is like that security blanket from childhood.
23 Reggie Wayne: More upside than Harrison, but I won’t bet against Marvin
24 Cedric Benson: All alone, but is that a good thing, and is the entire Bears offense jekyll or hyde? Last of the clear cut starters, so take note of the rise in volatility and question marks from here on out, but he could be this year’s Frank Gore
25 Larry Fitzgerald: Sick talent + being surrounded by very good talent at the skill positions = no brainer
26 Roy Williams: The decision between him and Fitzgerald is like the decision between a brunette with a perfect body vs. a blonde with…
27 Brandon Jacobs: LaMont Jordan with more upside
28 Drew Brees: Having Bush puts him ahead of Brady (get your mind out of the gutter!)
29 Marques Colston: I so badly want to put him higher, but can’t tell you to do so, to the chagrin of our own Dr. Bill Chackes
30 Javon Walker: This offense will break records (figuratively) or hearts. Although the former is an exaggeration, that is my bet
31 Carnell Williams: He is another guy that has the talent and could surprise if your looking for upside. With all the noise about the quarterback situation, he may slip
32 Maurice Jones-Drew: This guy can get it done, likely earning more than this slot
33 Ronnie Brown: Trent Green staying healthy improves Brown's standing considerably
34 Andre Johnson: Expect a repeat of last year. Ever use him in Madden? He is a monster!
35 Duece McAllister: The quietest 10 Touchdowns, 1,000 yards of '06
36 Tom Brady: It’s not hard to imagine a 5-10% increase last year’s numbers, but you will have to pay for it. I pass
37 Thomas Jones: Still don’t understand why he came so cheap. Helps you more in yardage leagues than touchdown leagues
38 Jamal Lewis: Few go to Cleveland looking for the Fountain of Youth, but he has a year or two left
39 Ahman Green: New team, new system, can put up numbers when healthy
40 Anquan Boldin: He never hurts you unless he is hurt himself
41 DeAngelo Williams: Has all the ability in the world, and it sure is fun to watch him exploit the room Smith opens up
42 Lamont Jordan: zzzzz. Do we hear sleeper? There is no "sleeper" per se anymore so look at him as unexpected/cheap sources of points.
43 Chester Taylor: Loved him until Adrian Peterson got drafted
44 Antonio Gates: As much fun as you can have owning a tight end
45 Randy Moss: I am pumped if I can get him here
46 Marshawn Lynch: $75 million invested in the offensive line, and not a ton of attention on him because of the expectation of "running back by committee." C'mon, are you scared of 100 year old Anthony Thomas?
47 Fred Taylor: Where once you couldn’t keep him ON the field, now we can’t get him off of it
48 Marion Barber: Was a Bill Parcells favorite, if he couldn't wrestle job from Jones then he won’t start now. It will take Wade Phillips half the season to figure out what Parcells ultimately did--Julius Jones cannot handle a starting gig
49 Marc Bulger: Bruises as easily as a peach, but can be as lethal as QBs 10-15 spots higher
50 Hines Ward: Been up and down last few years, but with a stabilized offense expect the "up"
51 Adrian Peterson: Are we all getting too excited given the $$ they paid Taylor and Peterson’s injury history? I smell a two-headed running back
52 Calvin Johnson: Rookies back to back. Selecting a rookie WR this early is unprecedented but warranted. Swing for the fences, look at the guys below, maybe one of the guys below slips to your next pick--you are set.
53 Donovan McNabb: 75% as of 8/1, that’s not a ringing endorsement, but it’s too early to go jumping off any bridges.
54 Kevin Jones: He's the type of guy that will bust out when everyone least expects it. You can get him here, zero downside other than that chronic foot, and Tatum Bell getting a fire under his…
55 TJ Houshmandzadeh: Best name since Tshimanga Biakabutuka and he’s a great receiver who will only benefit from Chris Henry's stupidity
56 Donald Driver: I want any WR that is Brett Favre's favorite target
57 Lee Evans: Would not be surprised if he finishes the season up to 20 spots higher, but I am not a J.P. Losman fan at all
58 Santana Moss: Not feeling the Redskins offense, but someone will put up #3 WR numbers and he has the best chance at them
59 Jon Kitna: Liked him last year, LOVE him this year
60 Plaxico Burress: So tired of this story--million dollar skills, ten cent head. As a number two, he could disappoint, as a #3 you will be thrilled.
61 Deion Branch: Got the number one gig and this offense should be a pleasant surprise
62 Brandon Jackson: Morency starting will only last a 1/4 of the season, and their O line is no prize
63 Laveranues Coles: Going to get a million balls thrown his way
64 Chris Chambers: Whenever his quarterback can get him the ball, he has exploded
65 Braylon Edwards: see Chris Chambers, only the quarterback situation is not nearly as optimistic
66 Vincent Jackson: Red zone monster
67 Reggie Brown: Ton of talent, it is a shame his value is tied to Donovan McNabb's health
68 Jay Cutler: Like Travis Henry, too many things need to go wrong for him to fail. No sure thing but they will not be looking insert Patrick Ramsey unless its an emergency
69 Joey Galloway: He keeps on going, but I don’t want to be left holding the pieces when his production dries up
70 Mark Clayton: Has to love the arrival of Willis McGahee, which will give him a fighting chance to run free
71 Tatum Bell: Martz loves him, but the evil genius is no friend to running backs
*At this point there is a considerable drop off in talent other than quarterbacks, Defenses/Individual defensive players/Kickers. If you don’t have a quarterback or have to play a TE, you have waited long enough. If you have any means of moving 2 picks for 1 to move up, do so.
72 Jerious Norwood: He will get his chance to start out of the gate, but any Falcon will have to come cheap for me
73 Todd Heap: Owners never complain or rejoice, but he is a tight end, what do you expect?
74 Ladell Betts: Clinton Portis always gives the backup a game or two of value
75 Matt Hasselbeck: Why is he falling so far?
76 Tony Gonzalez: Chiefs wide receivers scare nobody, so the passing game is his to rule
77 Darrell Jackson: Hardly the missing piece, but brings valuable experience and talent, just has to stay out of the trainer’s room
78 Matt Leinart: Let’s not go nuts, but this season he should be a pleasure to own
79 Vince Young: Betting on a sophomore slump
80 Muhsin Muhammad: He is getting the majority of the balls regardless, but a successful QB means high scoring offense. If not you have too many low scoring games
81 LenDale White: His value is the opposite of his scale readings, meaning weight up, fortunes down
82 Phillip Rivers: Poor man’s Drew Brees with more mobility
83 Kevin Curtis: Perfect fit with plenty of upside as Brown has had trouble staying healthy
84 DeShaun Foster: Starting and talented but "fragile" must be Italian
85 Devery Henderson: Departure of Joe Horn allows his skills to shine and be the forgotten man alongside Marques Colston, Reggie Bush and company
86 Donte Stallworth: A polished version of Devery Henderson, but the WR glut hurts more than Tom Brady helps. Always seems to be nicked up
87 Chris Brown: Another "good if on the field but…" and may lose job if LenDale White learns to lay off the White Castle
88 Jerricho Cotchery: Flew under the radar everywhere but New York, can he do it again?
89 Vernand Morency: Will get the numbers at the end of the season, but if you owned him you will wonder when those points came
90 D.J. Hackett: Another great value pick. Years ago they would label him a sleeper
91 Kellen Winslow, Jr.: Tight end rule. Always had the talent, I think he will start to show it this year
92 Greg Jennings: Great chemistry with Favre and little depth after him
93 Santonio Holmes: He has had time to marinate in the offense and Pittsburgh passing game will surprise
94 Bernard Berrian: Speed to burn but how many points will the Bears score? If you haven't guessed it, I’m down on the Bears offense across the board
95 Troy Williamson: At this point would you prefer to have some retread veteran or a guy with an extra helping of upside. I will take the upside hold the onions (and hopefully the dropsies)
96 Ben Roethlisberger: Got a really solid feeling on him this year, he should be cheap as well
97 Chris Cooley: Love his versatility and his prominence in the offense, but how good will it be?
98 Terry Glenn: HE doesn’t have all that much upside per se, but unpredictability of Owens OR coverage he draws--either way Owens helps him.
99 Brett Favre: Captain obvious comment of the board--If upright he will be slinging. Running game is no given and neither is the defense.
100 Leon Washington: A much younger version of Warrick Dunn which means lots of yards, some BIG plays, limited touchdowns
1 LaDanian Tomlinson: Don’t expect last year, but if you have any doubt, I want to be in your league
2 Steven Jackson: Pure monster, the coaching staff knows it and the system exploits it
3 Shaun Alexander: Let them worry about last year and his 30 years of age, we were talking about him last year like we talk about Tomlinson this year
4 Larry Johnson: For my money, this is a much better soap-opera than the Vick case--at least it’s all football related
5 Travis Henry: Too many things have to go wrong for him to not earn this. They say Moss needed a change of scenery?
6 Frank Gore: Opposite of Alexander--how quickly we forget his injury plagued past. I just want less risk in this slot. The later he lasts, the better I like him.
7 Reggie Bush: Too many weapons to be higher, but too much talent to go lower. Yardage/points per game makes him 5 overall
8 Willis McGahee: I am absolutely drooling over his upside this year
9 Joseph Addai: Flip-flop with Henry if Tarik Glenn plays, which does not seem likely
10 Peyton Manning: Money in the bank, but I have a hard time taking him before the RB's in front of him (and a few behind, if on the clock)
11 Laurence Maroney: A younger, stronger Westbrook. How much of the good Westbrook vs the bad is the question
12 Steve Smith: Will get you points in every game he is in, which is any time he can walk
13 Brian Westbrook: Injury waiting to happen, but an all-category monster when on the field. Points per catch or yardage leagues bump him up 5 spots
14 Rudy Johnson: Quietly does his thing year after year to little or no fanfare
15 Willie Parker: Love him in yardage leagues. Barlow and Davenport may snag a few more short touchdowns than Parker owners can handle
16 Clinton Portis: Expect a repeat of last year, except for his alter-ego's
17 Chad Johnson: This is the year he puts it all together
18 Carson Palmer: Rather have him here than pay the price for Peyton
19 Edgerrin James: Last year’s expectations come to fruition this year
20 Tory Holt: All is happy as can be in Ram-land. He should mirror last year’s numbers
21 Terrell Owens: Do you feel lucky? Better upside than any receiver but Smith and Ocho Cinco but with more risk, so I wuss out on this one
22 Marvin Harrison: I need to see the slowdown year before worrying about making him my #1 WR.He is like that security blanket from childhood.
23 Reggie Wayne: More upside than Harrison, but I won’t bet against Marvin
24 Cedric Benson: All alone, but is that a good thing, and is the entire Bears offense jekyll or hyde? Last of the clear cut starters, so take note of the rise in volatility and question marks from here on out, but he could be this year’s Frank Gore
25 Larry Fitzgerald: Sick talent + being surrounded by very good talent at the skill positions = no brainer
26 Roy Williams: The decision between him and Fitzgerald is like the decision between a brunette with a perfect body vs. a blonde with…
27 Brandon Jacobs: LaMont Jordan with more upside
28 Drew Brees: Having Bush puts him ahead of Brady (get your mind out of the gutter!)
29 Marques Colston: I so badly want to put him higher, but can’t tell you to do so, to the chagrin of our own Dr. Bill Chackes
30 Javon Walker: This offense will break records (figuratively) or hearts. Although the former is an exaggeration, that is my bet
31 Carnell Williams: He is another guy that has the talent and could surprise if your looking for upside. With all the noise about the quarterback situation, he may slip
32 Maurice Jones-Drew: This guy can get it done, likely earning more than this slot
33 Ronnie Brown: Trent Green staying healthy improves Brown's standing considerably
34 Andre Johnson: Expect a repeat of last year. Ever use him in Madden? He is a monster!
35 Duece McAllister: The quietest 10 Touchdowns, 1,000 yards of '06
36 Tom Brady: It’s not hard to imagine a 5-10% increase last year’s numbers, but you will have to pay for it. I pass
37 Thomas Jones: Still don’t understand why he came so cheap. Helps you more in yardage leagues than touchdown leagues
38 Jamal Lewis: Few go to Cleveland looking for the Fountain of Youth, but he has a year or two left
39 Ahman Green: New team, new system, can put up numbers when healthy
40 Anquan Boldin: He never hurts you unless he is hurt himself
41 DeAngelo Williams: Has all the ability in the world, and it sure is fun to watch him exploit the room Smith opens up
42 Lamont Jordan: zzzzz. Do we hear sleeper? There is no "sleeper" per se anymore so look at him as unexpected/cheap sources of points.
43 Chester Taylor: Loved him until Adrian Peterson got drafted
44 Antonio Gates: As much fun as you can have owning a tight end
45 Randy Moss: I am pumped if I can get him here
46 Marshawn Lynch: $75 million invested in the offensive line, and not a ton of attention on him because of the expectation of "running back by committee." C'mon, are you scared of 100 year old Anthony Thomas?
47 Fred Taylor: Where once you couldn’t keep him ON the field, now we can’t get him off of it
48 Marion Barber: Was a Bill Parcells favorite, if he couldn't wrestle job from Jones then he won’t start now. It will take Wade Phillips half the season to figure out what Parcells ultimately did--Julius Jones cannot handle a starting gig
49 Marc Bulger: Bruises as easily as a peach, but can be as lethal as QBs 10-15 spots higher
50 Hines Ward: Been up and down last few years, but with a stabilized offense expect the "up"
51 Adrian Peterson: Are we all getting too excited given the $$ they paid Taylor and Peterson’s injury history? I smell a two-headed running back
52 Calvin Johnson: Rookies back to back. Selecting a rookie WR this early is unprecedented but warranted. Swing for the fences, look at the guys below, maybe one of the guys below slips to your next pick--you are set.
53 Donovan McNabb: 75% as of 8/1, that’s not a ringing endorsement, but it’s too early to go jumping off any bridges.
54 Kevin Jones: He's the type of guy that will bust out when everyone least expects it. You can get him here, zero downside other than that chronic foot, and Tatum Bell getting a fire under his…
55 TJ Houshmandzadeh: Best name since Tshimanga Biakabutuka and he’s a great receiver who will only benefit from Chris Henry's stupidity
56 Donald Driver: I want any WR that is Brett Favre's favorite target
57 Lee Evans: Would not be surprised if he finishes the season up to 20 spots higher, but I am not a J.P. Losman fan at all
58 Santana Moss: Not feeling the Redskins offense, but someone will put up #3 WR numbers and he has the best chance at them
59 Jon Kitna: Liked him last year, LOVE him this year
60 Plaxico Burress: So tired of this story--million dollar skills, ten cent head. As a number two, he could disappoint, as a #3 you will be thrilled.
61 Deion Branch: Got the number one gig and this offense should be a pleasant surprise
62 Brandon Jackson: Morency starting will only last a 1/4 of the season, and their O line is no prize
63 Laveranues Coles: Going to get a million balls thrown his way
64 Chris Chambers: Whenever his quarterback can get him the ball, he has exploded
65 Braylon Edwards: see Chris Chambers, only the quarterback situation is not nearly as optimistic
66 Vincent Jackson: Red zone monster
67 Reggie Brown: Ton of talent, it is a shame his value is tied to Donovan McNabb's health
68 Jay Cutler: Like Travis Henry, too many things need to go wrong for him to fail. No sure thing but they will not be looking insert Patrick Ramsey unless its an emergency
69 Joey Galloway: He keeps on going, but I don’t want to be left holding the pieces when his production dries up
70 Mark Clayton: Has to love the arrival of Willis McGahee, which will give him a fighting chance to run free
71 Tatum Bell: Martz loves him, but the evil genius is no friend to running backs
*At this point there is a considerable drop off in talent other than quarterbacks, Defenses/Individual defensive players/Kickers. If you don’t have a quarterback or have to play a TE, you have waited long enough. If you have any means of moving 2 picks for 1 to move up, do so.
72 Jerious Norwood: He will get his chance to start out of the gate, but any Falcon will have to come cheap for me
73 Todd Heap: Owners never complain or rejoice, but he is a tight end, what do you expect?
74 Ladell Betts: Clinton Portis always gives the backup a game or two of value
75 Matt Hasselbeck: Why is he falling so far?
76 Tony Gonzalez: Chiefs wide receivers scare nobody, so the passing game is his to rule
77 Darrell Jackson: Hardly the missing piece, but brings valuable experience and talent, just has to stay out of the trainer’s room
78 Matt Leinart: Let’s not go nuts, but this season he should be a pleasure to own
79 Vince Young: Betting on a sophomore slump
80 Muhsin Muhammad: He is getting the majority of the balls regardless, but a successful QB means high scoring offense. If not you have too many low scoring games
81 LenDale White: His value is the opposite of his scale readings, meaning weight up, fortunes down
82 Phillip Rivers: Poor man’s Drew Brees with more mobility
83 Kevin Curtis: Perfect fit with plenty of upside as Brown has had trouble staying healthy
84 DeShaun Foster: Starting and talented but "fragile" must be Italian
85 Devery Henderson: Departure of Joe Horn allows his skills to shine and be the forgotten man alongside Marques Colston, Reggie Bush and company
86 Donte Stallworth: A polished version of Devery Henderson, but the WR glut hurts more than Tom Brady helps. Always seems to be nicked up
87 Chris Brown: Another "good if on the field but…" and may lose job if LenDale White learns to lay off the White Castle
88 Jerricho Cotchery: Flew under the radar everywhere but New York, can he do it again?
89 Vernand Morency: Will get the numbers at the end of the season, but if you owned him you will wonder when those points came
90 D.J. Hackett: Another great value pick. Years ago they would label him a sleeper
91 Kellen Winslow, Jr.: Tight end rule. Always had the talent, I think he will start to show it this year
92 Greg Jennings: Great chemistry with Favre and little depth after him
93 Santonio Holmes: He has had time to marinate in the offense and Pittsburgh passing game will surprise
94 Bernard Berrian: Speed to burn but how many points will the Bears score? If you haven't guessed it, I’m down on the Bears offense across the board
95 Troy Williamson: At this point would you prefer to have some retread veteran or a guy with an extra helping of upside. I will take the upside hold the onions (and hopefully the dropsies)
96 Ben Roethlisberger: Got a really solid feeling on him this year, he should be cheap as well
97 Chris Cooley: Love his versatility and his prominence in the offense, but how good will it be?
98 Terry Glenn: HE doesn’t have all that much upside per se, but unpredictability of Owens OR coverage he draws--either way Owens helps him.
99 Brett Favre: Captain obvious comment of the board--If upright he will be slinging. Running game is no given and neither is the defense.
100 Leon Washington: A much younger version of Warrick Dunn which means lots of yards, some BIG plays, limited touchdowns
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