Sunday, September 30, 2007

FFI: FIRE & ICE
September 30th, 2007




Your Weekly update of players who are hot (on Fire) and their “stock is rising” and those who are not (Ice cold) with their “stock sinking!”

FIRE

Week 3 of the NFL continued much like the previous week; LT and LJ were slow out of the blocks, the Saints offense didn’t produce and wide receivers continued to be the biggest playmakers.

These were some of the Notable “Hot Players” from week three;

· QB Donovan McNabb passed for 381 yards and threw 4 touchdowns.
· QB Phillip Rivers passed for 306 yards and 3 touchdowns.
· WR Kevin Curtis caught 11 passes for 221 yards with 3 scores.
· WR Roddy White had 7 receptions for 127 yards and a score.
· WR Brandon Marshall caught 7 balls for 133 yards.
· WR Anquan Boldin hauled in 14 catches for 181 yards and 2 scores.
· RB DeShaun Fosterpicked up 122 yards on 20 carries and a touchdown.
· RB Ronnie Brown ran for 112 yards on 23 carries with 2 touchdowns.
· RB Thomas Jones rushed for 110 yards on 25 carries.

Quarterbacks on the rise…

Quarterback Tom Brady of the Patriots continues to ignite. Through the first three games this season Brady has completed 70 of 88 passes (79.5%) for 887 yards and thrown 10 touchdowns!
Take: Right now Brady looks solid matched up against any defense. On Monday Night against a feeble Cincy defense, things could get out of hand.

In Detroit, the Lions quarterback Jon Kitna leads all NFL passers with 980 yards (326.6 yards/game), while completing 68.4% (78 of 114 passing). Kitna has only 6 touchdowns, but his numbers are solid for any QB1.
Take: Kitna is throwing the ball well this season, although he does have 4 picks. On Sunday the Lions get the injury riddled Bears defense. If the “O” line can protect Kitna, he could find the end-zone a few more times Sunday.

Carson Palmer is averaging over 300 yards per game this season and has thrown 9 touchdowns. He is also completing 64.0% (80 of 125) of his passes on the season.
Take: Carson continues to sizzle and looks to keep heating up Monday Night against the Patriots.

The Cowboys are sitting on top of the East and in big part due to the play of quarterback Tony Romo. Romo has been brilliant completing 51 of 88 passes for 860 yards with 8 touchdowns. For the year, Romo has a passer rating of 111.9 (ranked 3rd among starters).
Take: Romo looked solid this season and on Sunday when the Cowboys meet the Rams, he could look even better.


Running backs on the rise….

The Raiders running back Lamont Jordan has been big for the Black Nation carrying the ball 69 times in three games for 350 yards rushing with two touchdowns. Jordan has also added 11 receptions for 121 yards.
Take: Jordan has proven that he is durabel, but can he sustain his current pace. On Sunday against Miami Jordan will continue to carry the load.

The Eagles running back Brian Westbrook looked more like Superman last Sunday, rushing for over 100 yards and receiving for over 100 yards. On the year Westbrook has 291 yards rushing and 223 yards receiving with 3 scores (2 ru, 1 rec).
Take: The Eagles runner is unstoppable at times and looks invincable, if he can stay healthy. If he can play Sunday night, Superman will fly again.

Quietly the Seahawks Pro-Bowl running back Shaun Alexander is on a pace to rush for over 1400 yards. On the year Alexander has 275 yards on 66 carries with 2 touchdowns.
Take: Alexander’s numbers are not quite what they were two seasons ago when he scored 28 touchdowns. This season he has been running well and figures to get stronger as the season continues.

In relief of injured running back Brandon Jacobs, the Giants new starter Derrick Ward has filled in admirably. Ward is averaging 5.1 yards per carry and has tallied 273 yards on the ground this season.
Take: The latest word indicated Ward could miss action in week 4, but if he’s healthy he remains a strong play.

Wide Receivers on the rise…

The Broncos wide receiver Brandon Marshall played fantastic in week 3 pulling down 7 passes for 133 yards and a score.
Take: He will continue to get targeted often with Javon Walker lining up opposite.

The Packers wideout James Jones continues to improve his numbers each week. Last Sunday he collected 6 passes for 79 yards both season highs.
Take: With Jennings back, the field will be wide-spread and many opportunities for the Packers aerial game to take flight.


ICE

Would you ever think that you would see Larry Johnson averaging only 2.8 yards per carry and LaDanian Tomlinson 2.3 yards. The Fantasy Football universe must be upside down for the moment, but the stars could be aligning as these two get set to take the field against one another on Sunday. The question will be, can one of these two finally get hot under the California sun?

Here were the week 3 fantasy flops and notable "Cold Players" that continue to struggle;

· QB Rex Grossman with too many turnovers was benched this week.
· QB JP Losman was injured on the first play from scrimmage in week 3.
· QB Marc Bulger went cold in week 3 throwing three picks.
· RB Tatum Bell could be heading to the bench soon.
· RB Julius Jones is averaging 3.3 yards per carry.
· RB Brandon Jackson is averaging 2.6 yards per carry.
· WR Jerry Porter has only 4 catches this season.
· WR Joe Horn has only 6 catches on the year.
· WR Donte Stallworth continues to spectate.



Receivers with value sinking…

The Bills wideout Lee Evans can’t seem to find a catch this season. The offense continues to struggle and with the loss of Losman for a while, this fantasy play will continue to sink into obscurity.

The Saints wide receiver Devery Henderson, elevated to the number two spot replacing Joe Horn this season, has all but disappeared in 2007. The Saints offense is reeling and Henderson is not getting targeted much. With only 4 catches his value is not much to speak of.

The Rams offense is another one of those enigmas in the 07 campaign. They have the names, but no production and one of the biggest culprits is wide receiver Drew Bennett. Injuries have slowed his take-off out of the gate and through three games his 4 catches are quite disappointing.

Running backs with value sinking…

With LenDale White the starter now in Tennessee, Titans running back Chris Brown is seeing less action and will likely continue this trend.

With no touchdowns this season and limited action Panthers running back DeAngelo Williams could see his carries diminish, if DeShaun Foster continues to run well.

By David G. Ortega
FFI

Thursday, September 27, 2007

FFI: MNF GAME NOTES

FFI: MNF GAME NOTES
SEPTEMBER 26th, 2007



MONDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL WEEK 3

So what if the Saints, ain’t what everyone thought they were? So what do you say Denny Green, are they who you thought they were? So far this season, they have been anything, but what fantasy owners want them to be. On Monday Night the team out of New Orleans pulled another no show as they were upstaged by their counterparts from Tennessee.

Young the Passer

The game itself had very little storyline as the New Orleans Saints continued to struggle in 2007. What some people anticipated being a charged up night of excitement from the home team in front of a delirious crowd was far less. In fact the only player making noise in the early going was the Titans 2nd year quarterback Vince Young.

Young displayed the maturity of an age-old veteran, showing composure and assertive decision making in the early going. Young led the Titans to an early 10-0 lead in the first half on a 35 yard pass to his receiver Brandon Jones. The offense was supported with the tough rushing of Len Dale White, who carried the ball 17 times for 50 yards, including a one-yard run in the 3rd quarter.

On the evening Young finished with 14 of 22 passing for 164 yards and two scores to lead the Titans. Although Young did not pad the stat book, he continually made plays he had to throughout the evening to keep his team in position to win and that may have been the biggest difference between the two starting quarterbacks on Monday Night.

The Saints team leader and starting quarterback Drew Brees, just could not find his rhythm all evening. Brees fired 45 balls on the night completing 29, but most were to underneath routes for very short yardage. Brees passed for 225 yards in what looked like a repeat performance of NFL opening night to many that watched.


The Saints offense produced very little excitement and even less to cheer about. Limited to only 13 touches on the evening, running back Reggie Bush could only muster 35 yards of offense. Brees had all sorts of trouble connecting downfield and had just as much trouble turning the ball over. As a result Brees was pick-off four times, including three by Titan’s linebacker Keith Bulluck, the last of which came with :58 left on the clock, sealing New Orleans fate in a 31-14 loss.

Spin:
The Saints have to be one of the biggest surprises and disappointments in the 2007 season. Returning with virtually the same offensive talent as a year ago, the team is just unable to generate points (12.6 pts/game). Defenses seem to be scheming much better and are doing a solid job accounting for the elusive RB Reggie Bush. Brees appears to be in a funk and there’s not telling when he’ll snap out of it. As long as this trend continues many fantasy owners will have to endure the misery right along with the Saints.


MNF
Studs…
For the record, there were no real Studs last Monday, just a couple of honorable mentions. The Titans Vince Young threw two touchdowns on the night, but only passed for 164 yards. His passing numbers may never be Manning-like, but Young is a playmaker and finds ways to score. In most fantasy leagues touchdowns are big, so as long as Young finds the end-zone he will always have good value.

Just the name Brandon Jones is not going to scare anyone, but the capable receiver has potential to make more noise this season. As his quarterback grows and matures, so will Jones’ production. On Monday, the Titan’s wideout played well, catching 4 passes for 73 yards, including a 35 yard score.

Busts…
The is no question, thus far this season, there have been no bigger busts than running back Reggie Bush and quarterback Drew Brees. Bush has only reached the end-zone twice this season and is averaging a mediocre 2.8 yards per carry. His 16 catches put him on a pace to catch 80 balls this season, but he is only averaging 4.4 yards per reception. Brees, on the other hand is playing even more poorly since he is coming off a 4500 yard passing season. In his first three starts Brees has passed for a mere 677 yards, most coming in garbage time, while turning the ball over 9 times (7 ints, 2 fum) for a passer rating of 57.1. If you put that all together, Bush and Brees spell fantasy nightmare.

Montsers (IDP)…
Whenever a player comes up with three picks in one game, including the icer, he IS a monster! On the evening the Titans linebacker, Keith Bulluck finished with four tackles to go with his career high 3 interceptions. Another notable for the evening was Titans linebacker David Thorton, who finished with 13 tackles, including 10 solo.

One’s to watch…
The Titans tightend Bo Scaife, considered to be a very good pass receiving option, had 3 catches for 26 yards and a score. As Young continues to develop his passing legs, Scaife could see his numbers increase.

Sleepers…
The Saints did see a few good things in their loss to the Titans and that was the play of wide receiver Lance Moore. Moore was very active in the passing game with 6 catches for 54 yards. As the Saints go forward and look for ways to spark the offense, it would not surprise to see the team turn to some of its younger raw talent like Moore.

Don’t hold your breaths…
Many fantasy owners were getting very excited when Chris Brown broke loose for 175 yards in week one. Some could be anxiously awaiting for another explosive performance from the Titans running back, but now demoted to the back-up spot behind White, it could be a long wait.

~David G.Ortega
FFI

WEEK FOUR FANTASY PREVIEW

Dan Lewis, Fantasy Football Insiders

Green Bay @ Minnesota

Green Bay comes into this game hot, having just overcome its biggest test of the year against San Diego last Sunday. Brett Favre looks great so far, which should continue against this Vikings defense. Minny has been great at stopping the run, but not the pass. Start Favre and WR Donald Driver for sure. WR Greg Jennings came back last week and got as many looks as WR James Jones, who had served as the Pack’s #2 for the first two games. Jennings also caught and ran for the game-winning touchdown. Both are decent starts if you need them. I would sit all Packer RBs this week. Between the muddled rotation of runners and the Vikings’ stifling run defense, this is not a good week for Brandon Jackson, DeShawn Wynn, or anyone else running for Green Bay. TEs Donald Lee and Bubba Franks remained solid last week, with Lee catching four passes and Franks catching a TD, so use them if you need them again. For Minnesota, RB Adrian Peterson remains the team’s only viable fantasy option. RB Chester Taylor may be back this week, but Peterson remains the play here regardless. I’d sit Taylor until he shows something.

Oakland @ Miami

Miami RB Ronnie Brown exploded for 3 TDs and over 200 yards of total offense vs. the Jets last week. Oakland is allowing over 100 yards to opposing running backs this season, so Ronnie has another nice matchup here. Get him in. WR Chris Chambers is also a nice play; he is getting by far the most targets from QB Trent Green, and is bound to catch a touchdown soon. Oakland RB LaMont Jordan is having a great season, and should play well against the Dolphins, who allow close to 140 yards per game to running backs. Coach Lane Kiffin has not revealed whether Josh McCown or Daunte Culpepper will start this week, but I’d stay away from this situation for now. Start WR Ronald Curry, who is getting the majority of the looks for Oakland. WR Jerry Porter is also getting targeted, but hasn’t been able to make many plays yet. If you’re desperate for a WR this week, give Porter a look.

New York Jets @ Buffalo

Buffalo enters this game without starting QB J.P. Losman. While Losman has not been very good this season, he is still their starting QB, and losing him will hurt, especially with rookie Trent Edwards starting. Stick with WR Lee Evans this week despite his slow start. WR Peerless Price is worth a look if you really, really need a WR in a pinch. Marshawn Lynch is also a good start against a porous Jets run D. For New York, Thomas Jones had his best game of the year last week, and should have another good one vs. the Bills. QB Chad Pennington has a nice matchup if you need a bye week fill-in. WRs Laveranues Coles and Jericho Cotchery are also nice plays. TE Chris Baker isn’t too involved in the offense, but continues to get lots of looks in the endzone, and caught another touchdown last week. He’s a nice play. The Jets’ defense, surprisingly, has a really nice matchup against a Buffalo offense led by a rookie QB, and is startable if you need it.

Houston @ Atlanta

Houston TE Owen Daniels had 7 catches last week, and will play well again, especially with top WR Andre Johnson out again this week. Don’t expect much from the rest of the Houston WR corps, as Atlanta has been good at shutting down opposing wide-outs; Carolina’s Steve Smith was held to a single catch last week. RB Ahman Green had an MRI this week on his injured knee, and it remains unclear for now whether or not he will play. However, whoever does start for Houston at RB has a great matchup against Atlanta. If Green is out, Ron Dayne is the logical choice to start, but monitor the situation as Sunday approaches. Whether it’s Green, Dayne, or Samkon Gado, give them a look depending on who starts. Houston’s defense is also a good start this week against Atlanta. For the Falcons, start TE Alge Crumpler. WR Roddy White seems to be QB Joey Harrington’s favorite target, and had a good game last week with 7 catches and a TD. If you need him, start him. Atlanta RBs are not good starts. Neither is QB Joey Harrington.

Chicago @ Detroit

The Bears have been in the news this week because of the benching of disappointing QB Rex Grossman. QB Brian Griese was given a gorgeous matchup for his first week as the starter, and you should give him a look if you need a fill-in. Detroit is allowing almost 300 yards passing per game, and let Donovan McNabb and Kevin Curtis torch them repeatedly last week. WR Bernard Berrian is a great play this week, and WR Muhsin Muhammad, despite having done very little thus far, is worth a look this week against Detroit. RB Cedric Benson hasn’t been impressive yet, but the Lions are about as good a matchup as he’s going to get. You have to start him. Continue to monitor RB Adrian Peterson, though, as coach Lovie Smith seems to be tiring of Benson and could give more of the load to Peterson. TE Desmond Clark has a decent chance to catch a TD, too. Chicago’s defense hasn’t been as dominant as expected this season, and the Lions’ offense is explosive. QB Jon Kitna and WR Roy Williams are strong starts. WRs Mike Furrey and Shaun McDonald split the remaining WR targets last week after WR Calvin Johnson went down with a back injury. Both are decent plays this week, especially if Calvin can’t go. I hesitate to recommend RB Tatum Bell this week, but the Bears have not stopped the run well, allowing close to 100 yards per game, and close to 6 catches per game to running backs. They’re also missing Tommie Harris from their D-line. You can start him if you need him.

St. Louis @ Dallas

One of the top pickups this week has been St. Louis rookie RB Brian Leonard, who is filling in for the injured Steven Jackson. Leonard is a play because he is a starting running back who is known for having good hands out of the backfield, but the Cowboys are tough against the run this season, and Steven Jackson hadn’t seen too much success thus far. QB Marc Bulger and WR Torry Holt are also starts, just like every week, but the Rams will likely have more problems going forward having lost yet another starting offensive lineman last week (G Mark Setterstrom). WR Isaac Bruce injured his head last week, but it appears he will be ready to play. Start him if you need him. TE Randy McMichael has been very disappointing, and I’m done starting him for now. Dallas’ offense has been stellar. QB Tony Romo, RB Marion Barber III, WR Terrell Owens are starts every week, and should see plenty of success against St. Louis’ defense. Jason Witten is becoming an every week play, but the Rams have played decently against the tight end. Play him anyway. RB Julius Jones is losing his role for the Cowboys, but he may be able to break a long one against this defense. He’s a good bye week fill-in this week.

Baltimore @ Cleveland

Baltimore’s QB picture is messy, but both Kyle Boller and Steve McNair look for WR Derrick Mason and TE Todd Heap plenty, so start them. RB Willis McGahee is a start against the Browns’ unimpressive defense. Mark Clayton had a nice debut last week, and Cleveland won’t do much to stop him. Even WR Demetrius Williams could make some noise here. Other than WR Braylon Edwards (if you need him) and TE Kellen Winslow, sit all of your Browns this week against Baltimore.

Tampa Bay @ Carolina

Tampa Bay was impressive again last week against the Rams, but questions abound in the backfield. RB Carnell Williams was benched after a fumble, and RB Earnest Graham came in and ran for 75 yards and 2 TDs on just 8 carries. RB Michael Pittman also contributed. The question this week is who will be the main back for coach Jon Gruden. Gruden reaffirmed that Williams is the feature back, but Gruden can be unpredictable. Earnest Graham is a great pickup this week, and he’s playable if you need a fill-in. The Bucs always want to commit to the run, especially in the red zone, so Graham has a chance to do some damage even if he isn’t featured this week. Cadillac is a play regardless, but don’t be surprised if Gruden does something crazy. QB Jeff Garcia was good again last week, and is a good bye week fill-in. WR Joey Galloway is also a play. TE Alex Smith hasn’t done too much yet this year, but Carolina hasn’t been great vs. the tight end, and he could get some looks. Play him if you’re desperate. Carolina has some questions at QB entering this week, so keep an eye on whether Jake Delhomme or David Carr starts. I wouldn’t start either one, though, against this improved Bucs defense. TE Jeff King remains one of their favorite targets, so play him if you need him this week. WR Steve Smith had a tough time against Atlanta last week, but he’s a stud, so start him. Tampa allowed the Rams’ Steven Jackson to slowly pound his way to over 100 yards, but Carolina won’t commit to one of its runners enough for either one to have a huge game this week. They are decent plays.

Seattle @ San Francisco

Seattle RB Shaun Alexander has a broken wrist, but will play; it doesn’t change his status, so start him. WRs Deion Branch, Nate Burleson, and Bobby Engram continue to get most of the targets from QB Matt Hasselbeck, and all are decent plays again this week. San Francisco’s offense hasn’t quite gotten it together this year yet. Seattle’s defense against the pass is average, so you can start WRs Darrell Jackson if you’ve been using him. RB Frank Gore hasn’t been great yet, but he’s talented and will turn it on eventually. Start him.

Kansas City @ San Diego

RB LaDainian Tomlinson wasn’t as successful against Green Bay as he and his owners had hoped for, but he scored. The Chiefs aren’t good against the run, so he should be able to get going here. QB Phillip Rivers threw for 300 yards in last week’s shootout, finding WRs Vincent Jackson and Buster Davis for a TD each. This shows Rivers can still do it, but he has been inconsistent since last season. You can’t count on this from week to week, but San Diego’s passing game has a nice matchup this week. The Chiefs continue to struggle on offense, with another tough matchup for RB Larry Johnson. I hate to advocate benching a first rounder for two weeks in a row, but I will. Sit him if you have a viable alternative. Start TE Tony Gonzalez, though.

Pittsburgh @ Arizona

Pittsburgh’s offense has been solid all year, and the Cardinals’ defense isn’t too imposing. Start QB Ben Roethlisberger, if you need him. RB Willie Parker and WRs Hines Ward and Santonio Holmes are also good plays this week. TE Heath Miller continues to see an expanded role, so start him as well. The Cardinals have a strange QB situation at the moment. Kurt Warner played at two separate times for Arizona last week, and was effective. I’d stay away from both Warner and QB Matt Leinart simply to avoid this mess, but I’d start WRs Anquan Boldin and Larry Fitzgerald because both are explosive and threats to score. RB Edgerrin James has a terrible matchup, and shouldn’t be played unless there is no other option.

Denver @ Indianapolis

The Colts have been tough against the run so far, but the Broncos pound RB Travis Henry, so start him. Start both WRs Javon Walker and Brandon Marshall, who continues to impress and outperformed Walker last week. QB Jay Cutler isn’t a great play, but a decent bye week fill-in. Start all your usual Colts. TE Dallas Clark caught another TD last week, and is getting close to an every week play.

Philadelphia @ New York Giants

Wow, Donovan. Way to shut all of your critics up. McNabb exploded last week and made WR Kevin Curtis look like a superstar. Curtis got all but 4 of the targets to WRs last week, and he seems to have become McNabb’s favorite receiver. Start him this week. WR Reggie Brown remains a huge disappointment, but the Giants’ defense has been bad this year, so it’s a good matchup. If you need him, give him one more try this week. RB Brian Westbrook has an injured knee and injured ribs, but he always plays despite his status. If it’s announced that he cannot go, RBs Correll Buckhalter and Tony Hunt will likely split carries. I’d prefer Buckhalter in that situation, but he is also nicked up. Watch these injuries closely as the week progresses and plan accordingly. The Giants’ offense woke up in the second half last week. Start QB Eli Manning if you need him. RB Derrick Ward continues to impress, but he may lose goal line carries to RB Reuben Droughns, as he did last week. He’s been good though, so start him. WR Plaxico Burress is a start, as is TE Jeremy Shockey.

New England @ Cincinnati

This matchup seems almost unfair. New England’s unstoppable offense meets the inept Bengals’ defense. WRs Randy Moss and Wes Welker are getting most of QB Tom Brady’s attention, so start them, but sit WR Donte Stallworth, as he has done almost nothing all year. RB Laurence Maroney is a start, as is RB Sammy Morris (if you need him), who has been given more of a workload lately. The Bengals are bound to put up numbers, as they do every week, so start QB Carson Palmer, WRs Chad Johnson and T.J. Houshmandzadeh. Monitor RB Rudi Johnson’s injury situation this week. If he goes, he’s a start. Otherwise, give RB Kenny Watson a look this week, but he may not get too many looks this week as Cincy tries to keep up with the Pats.

Monday, September 24, 2007

MONDAY INJURY REPORT

QUARTERBACKS
-- Jake Delhomme, Carolina Panthers - elbow - Status unknown
-- J.P. Losman, Buffalo Bills - sprained knee - Status unknown
-- Jay Cutler, Denver Broncos - mild ankle sprain - Status unknown
-- Josh McCown, Oakland Raiders - foot - Status unknown
-- Steve McNair, Baltimore Ravens - aggravated groin - Status unknown

RUNNING BACKS
-- Brian Westbrook, Philadelphia Eagles - ribs - X-rays negative; Status unknown
-- Rudi Johnson, Cincinnati Bengals - hamstring - Status unknown
-- Clinton Portis, Washington Redskins - undisclosed - Returned to game
-- Ahman Green, Houston Texans - sprained knee - MRI pending; Status unknown
-- Fred Taylor, Jacksonville Jaguars - bruised leg - Status unknown
-- DeShawn Wynn, Green Bay Packers - ankle - Status unknown

FULLBACKS
-- Paul Smith, Denver Broncos - neck - Status unknown

WIDE RECEIVERS
-- Santana Moss, Washington Redskins - strained groin - Status unknown
-- Hines Ward, Pittsburgh Steelers - bone bruise in leg - Expected to play
-- Calvin Johnson, Detroit Lions - back - Status unknown
-- Jacoby Jones, Houston Texans - separated shoulder - Status unknown

TIGHT ENDS
-- Antonio Gates, San Diego Chargers - hand - Remained in game
-- Vernon Davis, San Francisco 49ers - sprained knee - MRI pending; Status unknown

Saturday, September 22, 2007

FFI: THE FOUR HORSEMEN (WK 3)

SEPTEMBER 21st, 2007



The FSH Week Three Players to Watch!

Week three offers some very interesting looks and few tough match-ups, but as we do every week we present those which we like very much. Here are the four Fantasy Studs that will ride high in week 3.

QB-Donovan McNabb versus the Lions pass defense; Out of the gate, Philly’s quarterback Donovan McNabb has basically limped his way and his team to an 0-2 start. In Monday Night’s loss, McNabb did show some flashes down the stretch and an indication that he could be shaking off some of the rust. At home this Sunday facing the Lions (21st ranked pass defense), Mcnabb should continue to shake the rust and get healthy fast.
Prediction: 21 of 28 passing for 315 yards 2 tds.

RB-LaDanian Tomlinson versus the Packers run defense; The Packers know they have a tough match-up when they see the Chargers on the schedule, but add a hungry LaDanian Tomlinson who’s ready to break-out and the combination spells dangerous. LT is much too good to be held in check for three consecutive games. At home on Sunday LT will shake loose and gobble up big yards.
Prediction: 28 carries for 155 yards, 4 catches for 35 yards and two scores.

WR-Roy Williams against the Eagles corners; The Lions are on the road playing the Eagles and hoping to improve to 3-0. One key component they will look to will be there big target, wide receiver Roy Williams. Williams will face an under-sized and under matched secondary. Williams at 6’3” has great size and a big advantage over the Eagles smaller secondary, expect to see him targeted often in the red-zone.
Prediction: 8 receptions for 125 yards and 1td.

TE-Greg Olsen versus the Cowboys secondary; The Bears offense has barely been heard of this season, but Sunday night against the Cowboys they will need to make noise. Rookie tightend Greg Olsen has yet to see a play, but will be on the field Sunday night. Olsen is a great talent at the position, he has nice hands and speed and could be targeted quite often. The Bears have yet to have someone stand out on the receiving front and Olsen could be one of those players that does.
Prediction: 6 catches for 65 yards and a score.

Last week’s results…

The Steelers QB, Big Ben Roethlisberger was not great, but did play well throwing for 242 yards with a score. The Rams super-stud running back Steven “Action” Jackson did not fair as well, by Action’s standards. Jackson totaled just 96 yards with no appearances in the end-zone. The Packers wide receiver Donald Driver had a strong performance with 8 catches for 73 yards and a touchdown. The Ravens tightend, Todd Heap was solid in week two with 7 receptions for 76 yards and a score.
Overall Grade B+

~David G.Ortega
FFI

FFI: FIRE & ICE REPORT

FFI: FIRE & ICE
September 20th, 2007

Your Weekly update of players who are hot (on Fire) and their “stock is rising” and those who are not (Ice cold) with their “stock sinking!”

FIRE

Week 2 of the NFL was filled with more action and explosions than a 4th of July celebration. With high-scoring, lots of touchdowns, tons of yardage, week 2 was Fantasy Football.

Here are some of the Notable “Hot Players” from week two;

· QB Brett Favre tossed three touchdowns
· QB Derek Anderson fired 5 touchdowns
· QB Marc Bulger passed for 368 yards
· RB Jamal Lewis broke free for 216 yards rushing
· RB Lamont Jordan rushed for 159 yards
· WR Chad Johnson caught 11 passes for 209 yards with 2tds
· WR Deion Branch has 122 yards receiving
· WR Isaac Bruce pulled down 8 passes for 145 yards
· TE Todd Heap caught 7 passes for 76 yards and a score

Quarterbacks on the rise…

Leading all field generals through two weeks of the NFL, the Patriots quarterback Tom Brady. Brady is the highest ranked starting quarterback in the league with a rating of 134.2. He has also averaged 288 yards passing per game while tossing 6 touchdowns in his first two starts!
Take: Brady takes his bunch on the road to Buffalo and looks to keep this cooking.

In Big “D” the Cowboys are getting more than excited about their teams chances, especially with the play of young quarterback Tony Romo. In his first two games this season, Romo has passed for 531 yards (265.5-yds/gm) with 6 touchdowns and is the second highest rated passer (119.3).
Take: Romo will be tested Sunday night when he faces the NFC Champion Bears, but he appears to be a quick study and could pass with flying colors.

The Bengal’s quarterback Carson Palmer had a career day in week 2 passing for over 400 yards and tossing 6 touchdowns. His big passing day helped raised his season totals to 595 yards passing with a league leading 8 touchdowns.
Take: Carson is more than just on fire, he’s En Fuego and has a very good match-up this weekend against the Seahawks.

Quietly Panthers quarterback Jake Delhomme has worked his way back toward the top of the upper echelon of NFL passers. In two weeks Delhomme has thrown 6 touchdowns and achieved a passer rating of 112.2 (7th).
Take: As long as WR Steve Smith is on the field Delhomme’s numbers will continue to be strong. Delhomme should find continued success in week 3.

Running backs on the rise….

The Broncos, like machines just keep producing ground gainers year after year and running back Travis Henry appears to be no exception. Through his first two games, Henry has gained 267 yards (133.5-yds/gm) in two games this season and has looked strong averaging over 5 yards per carry. The Broncos have consisitently been amongst the top of the league in rushing and Henry looks as though he will keep them there again this season.
Take: The Jags roll into town on Sunday in week 3 and when looking at the problems they had with Tennessee, Henry should be able to notch another 100-yard game.

Another team that breeds top runners simply because they have one is the Pittsburgh Steelers. Running back Willie Parker broke into the league only a few years ago and in 2005 as the starter in Steel-Town began his surge to the top. Rusihing for over 1200 yards in 05, and then topping 1400 last season, he has become one of the best runners since his arrival. This season Parker is 3rd in the NFL with 235 yards.
Take: Parker faces a tough test against the Niners, but the Steelers have too much balance. It will be tough for San Francisco to stop Parker who will get plenty of carries.

With the loss of Tiki Barber (retirement) and Brandon Jacobs falling to injury early in the season, many would have thought the Giants running game would have become non-existent. Enter running back Derrick Ward, who has breathed life into the Giants ground game rushing for 179 yards this season.
Take: Ward has yet to face a stellar run defense and Sunday he’ll face the Redskins run defense that is allowing 4.5 yards per carry, look for good yardage.

Wide Receivers on the rise…

The Jets young wideout Jerricho Cotchery is quickly making a name for himself and gaining recognition in the NFL. Last week against a tough Ravens defense Cotchery accumulated 165 yards receiving elevating his season total to 222 yards (5th best in the NFL).
Take: With much of the attention focused on Coles, Cotchery has been taking advantaged of being unoticed and could continue this week against the Dolphins.

Last season the Broncos acquired a big-time playmaker in Javon Walker. His season a year ago was disrupted with a quarterback change. Now settled in with his new field general, Walker has arrived again. In his first two games Walker has 17 catches for 220 yards.
Take: As his quarterback matures and gains confidence, so will the Broncos play-calling. Walker will see more big play opportunities as the season progresses.

With a new quarterback at the helm, suddenly Dolphins wide receiver Chris Chambers has come out of hiding and landed near the top of the fantasy receivers list. In two weeks Chambers has caught 15 passes for 201 yards, but has yet to find the end-zone.
Take: No doubt that Green and Chambers are getting this thing dialed in and this Sunday could be Chambers first appearance in the end-zone.


ICE

Just like like the cream of the crop will rsie, there continues to be those that fall. Here are the fallen heros through two weeks.

Some of the notables that are still trying to get it out of first gear;

· QB JP Losman has passed for only 251 yards
· QB Rex Grossman has only one touchdown pass and three interceptions
· QB Joey Harrington has not thrown a touchdown this season
· RB Fred Taylor has only 72 yards rushing this season
· RB Ronnie Brown has only 65 yards on the ground
· WR Vincent Jackson has only 71 yards receiving this season
· WR Eric Moulds has caught 3 passes for 22 yards
· WR Muhsin Muhammad has only 2 receptions.
· TE Vernon Davis has only 27 receiving yards this season.



Quarterbacks with value sinking…

The Chiefs offense has yet to get out of the gate this season. Quaterback Damon Huard has not looked very good this season passing for only 343 yards with a just one touchdown pass and three interceptions.

The Vikings aerial game has lacked any air under the helm of quarterback Tavarius Jackson. Jackson has thrown five picks this season and has a rating of 40.0 this season.

The Niners quarterback Alex Smith has stumbled out the gate this season, completing only 54.2 % of his throws for a mere 252 yards.

Wide-receivers with value sinking…

The Eagles offense has been very quiet this season and no one has been as quiet as wide receiver Reggie Brown. Brown has only caught 3 balls for 41 yards.

The Ravens wide receiver Mark Clayton has yet to be healthy long enough to get any substantial looks. Clayton has caught just a single pass for minus one yard.

Although the Patriots seem to be new and improved, wide receiver Donte Stallworth can not stake any of that claim. The Pat’s wideout has only 3 receptions this season for 38 yards



~David G. Ortega
FFI

Thursday, September 20, 2007

FAVORABLE FANTASY MATCHUPS

By Dan Lewis, Fantasy football Insiders

Miami @ New York Jets

The Jets have faced two tough defenses (Ravens and Patriots) in their first two games, but look for some improvement this week against the Dolphins. Miami allowed 191 yards rushing to Washington Week 1 and 166 to Baltimore Week 2. Looks like a nice opportunity for Thomas Jones turn it on. Start WRs Coles and Cotchery for the Jets as well, but sit QB Chad Pennington, if he even plays, to make sure he comes back well from his ankle injury. For Miami, WR Chris Chambers is second in targets on the season with 27, and is bound to get opportunities against the Jets and their lackluster pass rush (0 sacks in 2007). Marty Booker may even make some noise in this game. Start Ronnie Brown this week also, as he had 2 of his top 4 rushing performances of last year against the Jets.

San Francisco @ Pittsburgh

The Steelers have been dominant thus far, but face a solid 2-0 49ers team. Start RB Willie Parker. You can start WRs Hines Ward and Santonio Holmes, but don’t expect too much as San Francisco’s defense is far better than either Buffalo’s or Cleveland’s. This goes for Ben Roethlisberger as well. TE Heath Miller doesn’t always put up big numbers, but he gets looks in the endzone and has a chance to score every week, so use him if you need him. For the 49ers, Frank Gore is an every week start. Darrell Jackson has been disappointing thus far, and he faces a solid Pittsburgh defense. Temper expectations. Arnaz Battle was also disappointing after a strong Week 1, and until Alex Smith improves, these two receivers will have problems. Vernon Davis was irrelevant again, and until he shows some of his explosive potential, he’s staying on my bench.

St. Louis @ Tampa Bay

Tampa Bay faces a defense not much better than the Saints’ squad that they scored on last week. Jeff Garcia is making a case for himself as a strong backup option, and with a few more solid performances could be considered as a matchup play going forward. Gruden seems committed to pounding Cadillac Williams, so he’ll get touchdown opportunities if they present themselves. Start him. Joey Galloway was his explosive self again, and he should have chances against the Rams again. We are all waiting for St. Louis’ Steven Jackson to turn it on. The more he plays, and the more the Rams’ retooled O-line can play together, the better Jackson will be. It’s not panic time yet, so get him in there. Bulger is an every week start, as is Torry Holt. Isaac Bruce made a strong case for himself last week with 8 catches for 145 yards, but Tampa’s defense is superior to New Orleans. Randy McMichael hasn’t clicked yet, and Tampa has been strong against tight ends so far this year. Not a strong play.

San Diego @ Green Bay

Two great defenses face off in this one, making it a tough game for players on both sides. Start LaDainian and Gates obviously. The Packers have a muddled running back picture, with rumors that DeShawn Wynn will start this week over rookie Brandon Jackson. Jackson had more carries last week, but Wynn was far more effective, averaging 5 yards per carry. However, neither is a good play against San Diego. Donald Driver is a start every week, and will likely get some looks as soon as the Chargers shut down the Packer running game. Both Green Bay TE Donald Lee and Bubba Franks had good games last week, but the Giants have been killed by tight ends the past two weeks now. Make those tight ends do it again before expecting too much.

Detroit @ Philadelphia

The feisty, pass-happy Lions face the disappointing Eagles, whose franchise quarterback looks distressed. Donovan McNabb had problems other than his own injuries on Monday night, but when he was given time to throw, and open receivers to throw to, he often missed them. This is a game for him to get back on track against a very weak Detroit defense, so start him if you need him. RB Brian Westbrook is dinged up again with that nagging knee, but he played well through several questionables last year, and he remains the Eagles only viable offensive option, especially in Coach Andy Reid’s stubborn pass-heavy offense. If he is ruled out for Sunday, Correll Buckhalter would likely start, but rookie Tony Hunt is also in the picture, and could emerge given the opportunity. Donovan has yet to develop chemistry with any of his receivers, so keep an eye on who he’s targeting this week; in the meantime, Reggie Brown and Kevin Curtis have gotten the most looks, but Jason Avant and Hank Baskett will probably be in the mix as well. None is a particularly strong play. The Lions’ QB Jon Kitna is a start, as are Roy Williams, Calvin Johnson, and a surprising Shaun McDonald, who has reunited with offensive coordinator Mike Martz from their days in St. Louis, and gotten more looks than last year’s surprise, Mike Furrey. RB Tatum Bell is an uninspiring play, as Martz has shown an eagerness to abandon the run in the past.

Arizona @ Baltimore

Despite Baltimore’s defense, WRs Larry Fitzgerald and Anquan Boldin are starts. Edgerrin James has gotten off to a nice start, but he faces a defense that has allowed only 60 yards rushing per game on the season, so sit him. Sit QB Matt Leinart as well. Steve McNair looks like he’ll play this week, but don’t play him. Derrick Mason has been targeted 12 times in both games this year; look for that to continue this week. Mark Clayton is working his way back from his toe injury. He is expected to reclaim his starting role for the Ravens, and he is a nice fantasy option if you need him. TE Todd Heap always starts.

Buffalo @ New England

This game should be a massacre. New England has been dominant, and Buffalo has been anemic. Tom Brady, Laurence Maroney, and Randy Moss are starts and should all have very nice games. Brady is notorious in the fantasy world for spreading the ball to his receivers, but he’s been consistently targeting Moss and Wes Welker more often this year. He should be able to pass to whomever he wants in this one, and those two remain great plays this week. Temper expectations for Donte Stallworth, as he hasn’t done much yet. Benjamin Watson is also a good play. Buffalo’s Lee Evans remains a potential deep threat, so start him. Roscoe Parrish has the second most targets for the Bills behind Evans, and he could make some noise in garbage time once the Pats take a sizeable lead.

Indianapolis @ Houston

The surprising Texans face their division rivals, but without top WR Andre Johnson. This fact, coupled with Indy’s strong defense, lowers QB Matt Schaub’s potential this week. RB Ahman Green could catch some balls out of the backfield, and he is a decent play. No Texan WR not named Andre Johnson has more than 2 catches on the season, so monitor Jacoby Jones and Kevin Walter to see who gets the looks, but don’t start either one this week.. Owen Daniels remains a decent TE option. Start all of your Colts (Manning, Addai, Harrison, Wayne, and even Dallas Clark, if he plays this week (neck)).

Minnesota @ Kansas City

Minnesota’s run-heavy offense faces the uninspiring Chiefs. QB Tarvaris Jackson may not play, but it doesn’t matter. Don’t start any Viking receivers or QBs. It looks at this point as though Chester Taylor may be back this week, so monitor the situation as Sunday approaches to see if you get a sense of how many carries he and Adrian Peterson will get. If Taylor is indeed back, both runners are strong plays. For the Chiefs, start Tony Gonzalez. RB Larry Johnson faces the top defense vs. the run in the NFL, and coupled with his slow start to the year (49 yards per game), I would look into alternate options this week.

Jacksonville @ Denver

Jacksonville has been unimpressive for fantasy thus far, including a disappointing start for RB Maurice Jones-Drew. Don’t look for the offense to get on track this week. If you have Jones-Drew or Fred Taylor, you may not have great alternatives, but temper expectations for them. For Denver, I’d start QB Jay Cutler, RB Travis Henry, and WR Javon Walker with high hopes. WR Brandon Marshall has also looked good, and he is startable.

Cleveland @ Oakland

Cleveland comes off of its astonishing 51 point game over the Bengals, but it ends here. I think Cincy’s defense may just be that bad… Oakland has a top defense vs. the pass, so sit Derek Anderson. Braylon Edwards and Joe Jurevicius were nice plays last week, but not this week. Start Edwards if you need him. Kellen Winslow is a start this week. Look for Oakland WR Ronald Curry to bounce back from last week’s disappointing performance. LaMont Jordan has been nothing but impressive this year, and he should continue to play well this week.

Cincinnati @ Seattle

Look for Seattle WR Bobby Engram to emerge this week. Cincinnati can’t stop anybody, and Engram has been effective in the past for Mike Holmgren. Engram and Deion Branch will have nice games this week. Nate Burleson is actually also a good play for this week because of the Bengals’ defensive ineptitude. For those of you in scoring systems where offensive players earn points for kick returns, Burleson deserves serious consideration, as Cincy will score and give him ample opportunity to return kicks. Start the typical Bengals this week (Carson, Chad, TJ, and Rudi).

New York Giants @ Washington

Washington QB Jason Campbell comes off of an encouraging outing against the Eagles. He’s making a case for himself as a bye-week replacement and decent backup. Start both Santana Moss, as you do most weeks, and Antwaan Randle-El against the Giants’ inept defense. Clinton Portis and Ladell Betts should play well. Betts has gotten fewer carries than some have speculated he might get this season, but against the Giants there should be enough gaping holes for 2 runners to share. Also, Happy Birthday, Chris Cooley owners. Expect an explosive day. The Giants have been terrible covering the TE thus far. For the Giants, start WR Plaxico Burress for sure, and the scrappy Derrick Ward and the improving Eli Manning, if you need them. Shockey is a decent play as well.

Carolina @ Atlanta

Atlanta may be the worst team in the NFL. They haven’t played a particularly strong offense yet, but Carolina will look great against them. Start Steve Smith for sure. WRs Keary Colbert and Drew Carter have been getting the rest of the targets from QB Jake Delhomme, but these aren’t particularly exciting options. The Carolina RB situation is muddled, but both DeShaun Foster and DeAngelo Williams could have nice games this week. Start them if needed. Tight End Jeff King has gotten some looks from Delhomme as well, and if you are trapped in some sort of dire TE shortage, he’s worth a look this week vs. the Falcs. Alge Crumpler’s matchup is decent.

Dallas @ Chicago

Dallas will have its troubles vs. the Bears. RBs Marion Barber III and Julius Jones don’t have a great matchup, but Barber is a threat to score a touchdown every week, so start him. Terrell Owens and Tony Romo are also starts, but if you have another option at QB, consider it over Romo. No WR has established himself in place of injured Terry Glenn. Neither Patrick Crayton nor Sam Hurd has impressed, so leave them alone this week. Jason Witten seems to have taken advantage of his Week 1 matchup against the Giants, but had problems against the Dolphins last week, catching only 2 passes. The Bears won’t make things any easier on him. For Chicago, don’t expect much from Cedric Benson or Adrian Peterson. Start WR Bernard Berrian, and TE Desmond Clark could have a nice game here.

Tennessee @ New Orleans

New Orleans is a mess. They aren’t giving Deuce McAllister the ball, Reggie Bush plays running back like a punt returner, and no receiver other than Marques Colston seems interested in excelling. Look for them to get back on track eventually, but the solid Tennessee defense won’t make it easy for them. I’d continue to start Deuce and Bush. Drew Brees and Colston are also starts. I was high on Devery Henderson coming into the season, but he dropped three passes last week, including a touchdown, and was benched for the second half. I’m not starting any Saints receivers other than Colston until this offense remembers how to play. For Tennessee, Vince Young is a solid play. My impression this season has been that Jeff Fisher wants to give the ball to LenDale White more than Chris Brown, so White is the stronger play. WR Brandon Jones is also a decent play, although the Titans’ passing game can be unpredictable.

Tuesday, September 18, 2007

FFI: MNF GAME NOTES

FFI: MNF GAME NOTES
SEPTEMBER 17th, 2007




MONDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL WEEK 2

This game was anything but a barn-burner and although it did not play out quite to what many fans had hope, it did offer some interesting storylines to follow for the rest of the season!


Redskins Make Statement

If you had any questions as to how good this year’s Redskins team would be, on Monday night all questions were answered. We won’t crown these boys champions of the NFC East, but to go on the road, in Philly and come out with a win on Monday night has got to make a statement. And for those who are listening, the Redskins will be a player in the race for the East title.

Keeping in mind thus far this season the Eagles have not looked very good, we have to be reminded this is an Andy Reid team and he will get this ship righted. As for Washington, things appear to be clicking and Head Coach Joe Gibbs in his 4th year back with the team may just have found one of his missing links in quarterback Jason Campbell.

In a game that figured to favor the hometown Eagles, Washington’s young quarterback quickly dispelled that theory. Quarterback Jason Campbell continued to show poised as a strong leader for Washington’s offense and showed his leadership through his play. On Monday night he lead the Redskins to a 20-12 win completing 16 of 29 passes for 209 yards with a touchdown and making plays when he needed. Campbell had great pocket presence stepping up and into his throw when he needed and moving out the pocket and using his mobility when the time called for it. He was effective all night and kept the chains moving, leading the Redskins to 19 first downs. Campbell added 6 runs for 39 yards avoiding the Eagles pass rush and was sacked only once all night.

Campbell was not the Redskins only bright spot on the night, running back Clinton Portis ran hard between the tackles picking up 69 yards on 17 carries including one score. Santana Moss put up solid numbers catching 6 passes for 89 yards.

The Eagles on the whole did not fair well with inconsistent play from their quarterback Donovan McNabb. Errant throws, passes that were off the mark, and the inability to avoid the pressure of the Redskins pass rush defined the veteran’s Monday night. Only running back, Brian Westbrook stood out and produced favorable fantasy numbers, rushing for 96 yards and catching 8 passes for another 66 yards.

On the night the Redskins controlled the action and pretty much had the game in check, if not for the late 4th quarter heroics of McNabb (240 yds passing) and Brian Westbrook down the stretch which kept the game in question, but only for a moment.

Spin:
The Eagles offense continues to stall in the red-zone (4 FGs) as McNabb struggles with errant high throws and inconsistency passing (54.4% completion). Good news for fantasy owners the slow start has not slowed Westbrook’s numbers other than scores. A good sign, in the 4th quarter of Monday night’s game, Mcnabb finally showed flashes of is old self making the needed throws and moving the team. Fantasy owners will now be looking for a quicker start out of the gate in week 3.

MNF
Studs…

There is no question that the Redskins young quarterback Jason Campbell appears to be on the verge of stepping out of the shadows of mediocrity and into the limelight of stardom. His numbers are not yet fantasy worthy, but it could be just a matter of time. This kid has talent!

The Eagles running back Brian Westbrook just continues to do what he does. In two games he’s collected 14 passes for 112 yards while rushing for 181 yards on 37 carries (4.9 avg).

Busts…
So far this season has been a fantasy disappointment if you picked up any of the Eagles offensive players (except for aforementioned). Tightend LJ Smith has 4 receptions for 26 yards this season, while Eagle’s wide receiver Reggie Brown has only 3 catches for 41 yards. As McNabb’s recovery progresses it is hard to stay with players that post these kinds of numbers. Owners better look for other options for now.

One’s to watch…
Of course we like Jason Campbell and think that owners should keep a close eye on him. His got a rocket of an arm, a nice touch, and has shown tremendous poise at times this season. A little maturity and progression and this kid will be dynamite, especially with his receiving corp that should see a slight upgrade with the addition of Reche Caldwell.

Another Redskin worth watching and one who will benefit from the arrival of Caldwell is Antwaan Randle El, who’s already shown flashes of what he is capable of (5catches for 162 yards last week).

Sleepers…
Heading into this season there was a lot of speculation surrounding the health of running back Clinton Portis, there were even rumors circulating that he wasn’t even the best running back on the team. Portis has played through both games this season and has shown no slowing down. Owners who took a chance with a high pick can start breathing easier as it appears, nothing will keep him off the field this season.

Don’t hold your breaths…
If you drafted running back Ladell Betts hoping that he would eventually move into the starting line-up, you may need to look for other options to fill this void. Betts had only 8 touches in Monday Night’s win.

If you, like many others took a gamble drafting wide receiver Reggie Brown as your number two receiver, the honeymoon is over. McNabb’s slow start has paralyzed Brown’s value and with how the Eagle’s QB spreads the ball, this option could be a hit or miss from week to week.


~David G.Ortega
FFI

Saturday, September 15, 2007

FFI: DIAMONDS IN THE ROUGH

FFI: DIAMONDS IN THE ROUGH
SEPTEMBER 14th, 2007




Week Two Players to Watch!

In week two, patience, talent and opportunity are the right mix for some of the future fantasy stars.

WR-James Jones versus the Giants secondary; the Packers rookie wide receiver will get his second consecutive with receiver Greg Jennings slowed by injury. In week one, the Giants secondary had all sorts of problems and were torched for over 300 yards. With veteran Donald Driver drawing the most attention, Jones should be able to run free over the middle and downfield. Quarterback Brett Favre is too experienced and savy to not take advantage of this soft secondary. Expect to see Jones get a lot of balls on Sunday.
Prediction: 5 receptions for 85 yards and a touchdown.


TE-Eric Johnson versus the Buccaneers defense; the Saints tightend, Eric Johnson became a favorite target of quarterback Drew Brees in the Thursday night opener catching 8 passes for 57 yards. With so many weapons on offense for the Saints, it’s easy for defenses to forget that Johnson caught 82 passes in 2004. Johnson is not much for speed, so he won’t accumulate too many yards after the catch, but he can get open and has very hands. On Sunday you can expect to see Brees drop the ball over the middle to quite often.
Prediction: 7 catches for 70 yards.


WR-Brandon Marshall versus the Raiders secondary; there has been a lot said recently about the Raiders young corner Nnamdi Asomugha. But that most likely won’t be a worry for the Broncos 2nd year receiver Brandon Marshall. Asomugha will likely be preoccupied with his hands full of the Broncos other receiver Javon Walker. Marshall came along slowly last season, but finished strong once Cutler took the helm. In his final three games, Marshall had 11 of his season total 20 receptions. In week one he pulled in 5 passes for 52 yards including a score.
Prediction: 6 receptions for 100 yards and a touchdown.


RB-Ronnie Brown versus the Cowboys run defense; Along with getting lit up by the Giants passing game in week one, the Cowboys run defense was equally unimpressive. The Giants did not tally a large number of yards a week ago, but on 22 carries, they averaged 5.6 yards per carry. This could spell big relief for the Dolphins running game and in particular running back Ronnie Brown. Brown managed only 32 yards on 11 carries in week one, but that was on the road. This week the Dolphins are home and will get Brown more carries, so owners can expect to see a significant improvement in production.
Prediction: 22 carries for 95 yards and a score!


Last Week

Our search for Diamonds in week one proved to be more like bags of coal. The Eagles receiver Reggie Brown struggled with his shaky quarterback catching only a single pass. The Jets wideout Jerricho Cotchery was not quite as effective as he had been in the past against the Patriots catching 6 passes for only 57 yards. A big miss in week one was tightend Randy McMichael, who virtually nonexistent through three quarters finishing with only two catches. Only quarterback Matt Schaub panned out as a good pick for week one. He was good, not great passing completing 16 of 22 passes (72.7% completion) for 225 yards and a touchdown.
Overall grade D+.

~D.Ortega
FFI

Thursday, September 13, 2007

FFI: FIRE & ICE

FFI: FIRE & ICE
September 13th, 2007



Your Weekly update of players who are hot (on Fire) and their “stock is rising” and those who are not (Ice cold) with their “stock sinking!”

FIRE

After an exciting week of football several players set themselves apart from obscurity and took a definite step towards the top of fantasy stardom.

Quarterbacks on the rise…

Many experts have been critical of quarterback Ben Roethlisberger who was stuck playing in a very conservative system during the Cowher Era. Now begins the Tomlin Era and we can see that the Steelers are going to let Big Ben air it out. The result was four touchdowns in week one and looking ahead to week two Roethlisberger should have great success against a Bills secondary that not only allowed more than 300 yards passing in week one, but will now turn to untested defensive back Ashton Youboty to replace corner Jason Webster (IR)!

He may be no Elway, but the Broncos quarterback Jay Cutler appears poised to do an admirable job following his week one performance passing for more than 300 yards. In week two Cutler will face a Raiders secondary that was lit up for over 300 yards in their opener. The addition of a solid running game to support his passing efforts should afford Cutler the time he will need to find his sure handed receiving corp of Walker, Stokley, and the emerging youngster Brandon Marshall.

Running backs on the rise….

With all the speculation surrounding the Vikings running back Chester Taylor this week, if he will play, the real focus should be on their rookie running back Adrian Peterson. Whether Taylor plays or not, Peterson will likely see more of the action in the running game and passing game. Peterson broke loose for huge gains in week one and now he will face the Detriot Lions in the Silverdome on Sunday. It really won’t matter who this kid faces as long as he gets the rock, good things will happen. Against the Lions in week two Peterson should have another nice day of total yards.

For many fantasy owners that were forced to pick up Chris Brown in their draft as insurance or lack of better options, the pay-off in week one was incredible. Brown has always appeared to have this breakaway ability and big-game potential, but injuries and inconsistencies have made him less than desireable in recent seasons. After his tremendous preformance in week one, Brown will draw the Colts, a defense not noted for run-stuffing. With the defense concerend with stoping the Titans mobile and unpredictable QB, Brown could have another solid effort on Sunday in week 2.

Wide Receivers on the rise…

With the Bills secondary being torched in week one by the Broncos, you can expect to see the Steelers follow suit in week 2. One match-up Pittsburgh will be trying to line-up is wideout Santonio Holmes against the Bills young corner Ashton Youboty. Holmes was solid with a big play touchdown in week one, and there is no question the Steelers will try take advantage of his size and get him the ball in the red-zone in week two.

ICE

Just like those who rise to the top, there are those players in week one that may have fallen off the map heading into week two.

Quarterbacks with value sinking…

It may be to early to be thinking of trading JP Losman, but if you drafted the Bills quarterback you can not be happy with his first two match-ups this season. Last week he faced a tough Broncos secondary that held him to less than 100 yards passing and as he enters week two he’ll face a Steeler’s defense that recored 6 sacks last game.



Runningbacks with value sinking…

The New York Jets struggled last week to run the ball against the Patriots and one of the reasons one the ineffectiveness of running back Thomas Jones (calf). Jones has 14 carries for 42 yards last week for a 3-yard average. Jones has been hampered with a calf injury that has him limited in practice. This week he’ll face a stellar Raven’s defense, so the prospect of playing well at less than 100% does not look good.

If you are need of a starting running back stay away from the Cowboys running back Julius Jones. In a contract year, it appears to be that nothing has changed. Jones usually starts, but the back-up runningback Barber gets significant time on the field, especially goal-line opportunities. In a year that he needs to prove himself, Jones hardly created any attention with 66 quiet yards on Sunday night. The Cowboy’s other back gained one yard less with five fewer carries. Expect this trend to continue with Jones sharing the load and getting fewer chances to score each week.

Check for more updates and analysis.

~David G. Ortega
FFI

WEEK TWO PLAYER MATCHUPS

Indianapolis @ Tennessee
Indianapolis is coming off a game where they dominated New Orleans offensively and defensively. Start Peyton Manning, Joseph Addai, and both Marvin Harrison and Reggie Wayne, just like every week. Dallas Clark had a few big receptions last week, but he can be inconsistent from game to game. The surprising Indianapolis defense, which seems like a different unit with Bob Sanders in the lineup, should also have a good outing against a lackluster Tennessee offense. Temper your expectations for Tennessee’s offense. Vince Young is great on the field, but has yet to show consistency in fantasy. None of their receivers has established himself yet, and Vince spread the ball around last week. Chris Brown is interesting coming off of a huge 175 yard performance, but he will likely be neutralized as soon as the Colts take a lead and the Titans are forced to pass.

Green Bay @ New York Giants
The Giants’ offense is in trouble, having lost Brandon Jacobs and Eli Manning last week. New York is also matched up against the impressive Green Bay defense. The team is still maintaining that Eli may play this week, but most reports have him out for about a month. With Jared Lorenzen starting, the value of all Giants receivers goes down. You still want to start Plaxico Burress, since he can snatch a jump ball in the end zone in any game, but sit the rest, including Amani Toomer, who had nine catches last week. Derrick Ward had a good game last week, and against another defense he’d be a decent start, but not this week. The Giants’ defense was terrible last week, allowing 45 points to Dallas. Brett Favre is a good start if you need him, as are Donald Driver and James Jones at receiver. Vernand Morency was limited in practice this week, so follow this situation as Sunday approaches to see whether he or Brandon Jackson will get carries. Depending on who plays more, these guys could be decent plays as well.

Cincinnati @ Cleveland
Start all of your Bengals this week, including the Cincy defense, which looked very impressive against Baltimore and should look great again against Cleveland’s inept offense. Braylon Edwards and Joe Jurevicius will get passes thrown to them in garbage time once the Bengals take the lead, just like the Steelers did, but of the 14 passes thrown to these two last week, Browns’ QBs only connected on 5 of them. Kellen Winslow should also catch a few balls.

Houston @ Carolina
The Panthers are coming off of a 27 point performance, beating the Rams. Steve Smith had a big game, and he’ll be targeted all day in this one too. Start him. Drew Carter caught two TDs last week, so see if he can impress again and establish his role in this offense. RBs DeShaun Foster and DeAngelo Williams split carries, but Foster did more with his. The Texans shut down the Chiefs’ running game last week, but will have a tougher time with Carolina. They’ll split carries again, making neither a great option. For Houston, Andre Johnson is a good start, just like he is most weeks. Ahman Green will have some difficulty rushing against the Panthers, who shut down Steven Jackson last week, but he should catch a few passes for those of you in point per reception leagues. Also, TE Owen Daniels could have a decent game. Carolina was a good matchup for tight ends last season, and Daniels had a number of nice games last year. If you need a TE in a pinch, give Daniels a look.

New Orleans @ Tampa Bay
Start Brees, both Deuce and Reggie, and Colston for sure, which you probably do every week. Devery Henderson, despite only three catches last week, did catch a few short ones, which he did not do last year, and was clearly the Saints’ number two option at receiver. He’ll remain in this role this week, and should have a few deep chances as well. Tight end Eric Johnson had eight catches last week, and he is a decent play again. The Bucs don’t usually have many viable fantasy options, but monitor their RB situation as the week progresses. The Saints have trouble stopping the run, and whether it’s Cadillac Williams, Michael Pittman, or Earnest Graham starting, the Buccaneers have as good a chance as ever to put up some numbers on the ground. The difficulty for Tampa’s runners will be opportunities, since New Orleans could take an early lead and force them to pass; Joey Galloway and Ike Hilliard will be the beneficiaries.

Buffalo @ Pittsburgh
Buffalo’s Marshawn Lynch played well last week, but he is only a decent start against a tougher Steelers D. Lee Evans is always a start, and always has a chance to connect on a bomb from J.P. Losman. The Bills’ defense looked a lot better than it was last week: they allowed only 15 points, but let Jay Cutler throw for 304 yards and Travis Henry run for 139. This looks good for Ben Roethlisberger, who should continue his strong play this week. Willie Parker, Hines Ward, and Santonio Holmes are good plays this week, and Big Ben looks for Heath Evans in the end zone every week.

Atlanta @ Jacksonville
The Jaguars should have success running on the Falcons, as Minnesota did last week and most teams will this season. Both Maurice Jones-Drew and Fred Taylor are strong plays this week. Surprisingly, Dennis Northcutt led the Jaguars’ receivers in targets (9) and catches (4) last week. Watch to see if this continues against Atlanta, but I’m not buying him just yet. Atlanta is facing a Jacksonville defense that was expected to be stout against the run, but allowed Chris Brown to gain 175 rushing yards last week for Tennessee. The Jaguars should get it together and stop RBs Warrick Dunn and Jerious Norwood this week, so neither is a good play. Alge Crumpler is the only good play for the Falcons this week.

San Francisco @ St. Louis
The Niners’ defense looked much improved on Monday Night against the Cardinals, containing Arizona’s vaunted passing game. They’ll have to show it again this week against the high-flying Rams before I really believe in them. Start Bulger and Holt. Steven Jackson, coming off of a very disappointing performance against Carolina, should have a much better game this week. Keep in mind he didn’t play at all in the preseason, so rust likely played a part against the Panthers. Also, keep an eye on the Rams’ receivers. Isaac Bruce has been there for years, but watch for how many passes are thrown to him and Drew Bennett, who plays his first game with St. Louis this week. For San Francisco, Frank Gore starts every game. Darrell Jackson wasn’t all that impressive last week, but start him against the Rams. Also, keep a close eye on Arnaz Battle, who could break out this season as the 49er passing game improves. He and Jackson were targeted equally last week, and he could emerge, especially if Jackson’s knee continues to bother him.

Minnesota @ Detroit
The Lions’ defense is bad, so look for a big game from the Vikings’ running game. The problem is that Chester Taylor’s hip injury last week created some uncertainty as to whether he or Adrian Peterson will carry the load this week. Monitor Taylor’s status this week and plan accordingly, but if they both play, they should both have big games anyway. I don’t trust the Vikings’ passing game, even though the Lions allowed Josh McCown to throw for 313 yards and 2 TDs, so don’t start Tarvaris Jackson or any of their uninspiring receivers. Detroit should be able to throw on Minnesota, so Kitna is a good start. The ball was spread evenly between receivers Roy Williams, Calvin Johnson, Mike Furrey and Shaun McDonald last week, but Williams, Johnson, and Furrey are all good plays this week (McDonald will have to do it again before I believe in him). See if Kitna leans on any of these guys more this week, but don’t be surprised if Mike Martz’s offense keeps the ball evenly distributed.

Seattle @ Arizona
For Seattle, Shaun Alexander starts every week, and should play well against Arizona’s mediocre defense. Arizona gave Alex Smith and the 49ers problems last week, but Matt Hasselbeck should play better. Start him and Deion Branch if needed, and keep an eye on Nate Burleson. Depending on your scoring system, Burleson’s return yards on kickoffs and punts will help, and this could finally be the year where he emerges as a reliable receiving option. Bobby Engram is also in the mix here. Matt Leinart looked overmatched against San Francisco, and his problems may continue against Seattle and its speedy defense. As a result, temper expectations for WRs Larry Fitzgerald and Anquan Boldin, but start them anyway. Edgerrin James looked great on a few runs last week, and scored. Start him this week for sure.

Dallas @ Miami
Dallas’ defense was a big disappointment last week, but its opponent this week has its own problems. Nevertheless, Chris Chambers was QB Trent Green’s favorite target last game, and he should be able to get open against Dallas, especially if CB Terence Newman is out again. Ronnie Brown will benefit from Jesse Chatman’s injury, and maybe this will be the week where he decides to seize the RB job. If Chatman can’t go, Brown’s value increases this week. For Dallas, Tony Romo, Terrell Owens, and Marion Barber are all starts. Julius Jones is falling out of my favor, since all he seems to do is gain some yards between the 20s. Barber looks far better when he carries the ball, so don’t look for Jones to get more carries anytime soon. His only chance to score is on a long run. WR Patrick Crayton was poised for a nice game last week with Terry Glenn out, but he managed only 3 catches. Sam Hurd caught a long TD, so watch to see who gets the targets after Owens.

Kansas City @ Chicago
Kansas City couldn’t do much of anything last week on either side of the ball, and things don’t look any prettier this week going to Chicago. TE Tony Gonzalez is a start every week, but may run into trouble against Chicago’s fast linebackers. Larry Johnson is also a start every week, especially if he keeps catching passes like last week, but he’ll have problems against a stout Bear defense as well. As unpredictable as the Bear offense is for fantasy, it should have a good game here. You can even start Rex Grossman this week if you need to, but only if you need to. Bernard Berrian will have a good game, as should Cedric Benson (if he decides he wants it). Continue to monitor this RB situation, as Adrian Peterson had almost as many yards as Benson did last week on fewer than half the carries.

New York Jets @ Baltimore
The Jets had a rough game against New England all around, and losing QB Chad Pennington doesn’t help matters. They’re also up against the scary Baltimore defense. Sit all of your Jets except Laveranues Coles if you need him. Keep an eye on second year QB Kellen Clemens, though, and see if he shows you anything in his first NFL start. His mobility and strong arm could surprise people. Baltimore had its own troubles on offense last week, which was particularly disappointing since it went up against Cincinnati’s 30th ranked defense from last season. With Steve McNair banged up as well and possibly out this week, your Ravens don’t look good this week either. Willis McGahee has had some tremendous games against the Jets from his days with the Bills, so start him, but he has yet to show much with the Ravens. Todd Heap is a start every week. Also, continue to monitor the Ravens’ receivers. Derrick Mason seemed to rediscover his connection with McNair last week; McNair targeted young Demetrius Williams nine times, and Williams made some really nice catches. Mark Clayton could reclaim his spot in the mix as well.

Oakland @ Denver
Oakland’s offense saw some success against Detroit last week, but Denver will be a different story. The Broncos historically play very well against the run, which does not bode well for Oakland RB LaMont Jordan, who had a nice game with 70 yards, a TD, and 9 catches. You can start him, but PPR leagues are where he’ll be more valuable. Ronald Curry caught 10 passes and looked great last week. Start him this week again. Denver’s offense also looked effective despite only scoring 15 points against the Bills last week. Oakland had a great pass defense last season, but start WR Javon Walker anyway. WR Brandon Marshall is a decent play, as is QB Jay Cutler. RB Travis Henry should have another very nice game this week, as he should most weeks running behind that offensive line and in Mike Shanahan’s system. Denver’s defense is also a good play this week.

San Diego @ New England
This is San Diego’s second elite opponent in two weeks, but its big-time fantasy players are must-starts every week: Ladainian Tomlinson and Antonio Gates. Tomlinson couldn’t run anywhere last week against Chicago, but still found ways to score, running for a tough 7 yard TD and throwing for another one. The Patriots destroyed the Jets defense, but will have more difficulty this week. Start Tom Brady every week. If you have other options, consider sitting RB Laurence Maroney against the Chargers, whose tough defense against the run will cause problems. It will be difficult to predict the fates of Patriot wide outs every week: Randy Moss went off last week while Donte Stallworth caught just one pass. Brady spreads the ball around, and many of the Patriot receivers will be feast-or-famine for your fantasy team. It’s hard to sit Moss after his game last week, so don’t, but don’t be too surprised if he disappoints. Stallworth should catch more than one this week, and Wes Welker will be solid as a possession receiver again.

Washington @ Philadelphia
Philadelphia looks to be more efficient this week against a Washington defense that played OK against the Dolphins. Washington isn’t as tough as Green Bay was for QB Donovan McNabb, so look for a good game from him and from Eagle receivers. McNabb should find WR Reggie Brown more than once in this one, and see if WR Jason Avant can have another solid game this week. Brian Westbrook should have a very good game here. For the Redskins, see if Clinton Portis can repeat his nice performance from last week. Start him, but don’t necessarily expect a huge game. Santana Moss will be his erratic self again going deep.

Wednesday, September 12, 2007

FFI: MNF GAME NOTES

FFI: MNF GAME NOTES
SEPTEMBER 10th, 2007



DOUBLE THE FUN ON MONDAY NIGHT
The opening weekend of the NFL season, with a planned double-header scheduled for Monday night had all the promise of night filled with excitement and great plays. Well for half the night we were entertained with some of that, but the other half was anything but memorable.

Ravens give one away

A quote to remember; “You don’t have to be a genius to figure out it’s tough to win in the NFL when you turn the ball over (and six times, does anything really need to be said).”
~said by someone who lost somewhere

Whenever you have a divisional match-up there is always that scent of heated rivalry. Throw in the mix, Chad Johnson and Ray Lewis and you have a made for television event. On Monday night, both players found themselves center stage when the Ravens met the Bengals for the first game of the Monday night double header.

The Bengal’s team leader and quarterback Carson Palmer looked very sharp early in the game connecting often with his two-headed monster, wideouts Johnson and TJ Houshmandzadeh (something that can be expected through-out the season). Palmer finished the night completing 20 of 32 for 194 yards and 2 touchdowns. Ocho Cinco (Johnson) did all of his damage in the first half catching 5 passes for 95 yards, including a 39 yard touchdown score. TJ was consistent through-out the night (9 receptions, 50 yards, 1td), unlike Ocho Cinco, who disappeared in the second half.

On the other sideline, the Raven’s own field general started showing signs of wear and his age. Quarterback Steve McNair suffered what appeared to be a slight groin injury early in the game and needed to get it wrapped (as seen on TV with a screen of towels covering the All-Pro). McNair looked rusty, some of his throws were not sharp and at time he struggled to move around the pocket (making the injury quite apparent). While Air-McNair failed to get off the ground with any effectiveness, the Ravens running game when Head Coach Brian Billick decided to stay with it did well (4.3 yds/gain). The Raven’s new starting running back Willis McGahee gained 77 yards on 19 carries. The only bright spot in the passing game for Baltimore was the play of wide receiver Derrick Mason (7 receptions, 76 yards), trying to prove to old savy veteran is not done.

The Big story on the night however was turnovers. The Ravens committed 6 on the night and you just can’t win when you do that.

Spin:
McNair struggled in the opener and did not look comfortable all night, fumbling three times. There has been no update to McNair’s injury, but even if he gets healthy or if the team is forced to go with back-up Kyle Boller, the Ravens offense is on its’ way to quickly become a fantasy nightmare, unless they learn how to run the ball soon with McGahee.



The Cardinals top Niners in sleeper

There wasn’t much to look at in the night-cap when the San Francisco 49ers and Arizona Cardinals met. Both offenses struggled to sustain any kind of rhythm or drives. It wasn’t until the last few minutes of the game before there was any real excitement.

The Cards quarterback Matt Leinart really struggled in the pocket, having all kinds of trouble moving around. The Niners did a good job getting a push up the middle and putting pressure on the Ex-Trojan all night. When Leinart did have time, he was hesitant to pull the trigger. As a result the feared aerial attack of Arizona was grounded all night. The only pleasant surprise was the hard-nose running of Edgerrin James who tallied 92 yards on 26 carries with a touchdown (could be a good sign for gamers that took a chance on the Edge early).

The Niners did just enough to win this game and that was the worst part. They only did just enough. Quarterback Alex Smith was off target all night, his receivers could not hold onto any passes and the offensive play calling left a lot to be desired. When you have running back, Frank Gore that led the NFC in rushing a year ago, 18 carries will not get it done. The only drive where the Niners looked fluent or moved the ball with any poise was the final drive (even then, Niner fans were holding their breaths). As if winning was not enough, the Niners tried their best to add excitement and drama fumbling away the possible win, only to recover the loose ball in the end-zone to preserve the opportunity. Fortunately too, the only points that matter to the Niners are real points and not fantasy.

Spin:
Do not take too much away from this game other than to realize both teams did a very good job in the off-season to improve their defenses. These teams are loaded with too much talent to have another game like this (at least not next week). Gore will get his touches and Leinart will settle down and make the throw he must.

~D.Ortega

FFI


Monday, September 10, 2007

SETTLE DOWN

By Ross Mandel, Special To Fantasy Football Insiders

Hey you. Yes, I’m talking to you. Don’t do it—don’t hit that “Fantasy Panic Button.” Every season after week one, scores of fantasy players overreact—dumping or trading players based on their opening game performances. Don’t be this person. Need a reason? How about these: 16 for 30 for 170 yards with 1 TD and 1 INT. That’s what Drew Brees did last season in week one. Needless to say, his season improved, but how many people cut or traded Brees for nothing after that debut? Roy Williams’ 2006 opener read 3 catches for 36 yards. Marion Barber III had 26 total yards in last season’s week 1. Frank Gore had 87 yards rushing. How did these guys end up doing for their patient fantasy owners, and how many people felt fantasy shame after dealing them?

Hasty decision-making has never won a fantasy title. So settle down owners of Larry Johnson, Steven Jackson, Deion Branch, Lee Evans, and the rest of the week 1 underperformers. Don’t be the one who panics—don’t let yourself give in to the anger of the Dark Side that you’re feeling because your guy had an off week. It’s only one week. Besides, even if you did want to make an ill-advised trade, you’re dealing from a weakened hand—your player’s value is low. You’re not even getting value.

So what should you do? If you feel a need to do something, I have the solution. Turn it around—buy low! Send some emails out to frustrated owners, asking what they want for their “bust” players. If you phrase your email properly and reach the right owner, you could end up getting Lee Evans for a song. You could end up getting Maurice Jones-Drew for a spare part. Jones-Drew had 2 rushes for 8 yards last season in week 1. How’d he end up doing? Jacksonville’s running game didn’t produce much yesterday—so swipe Jones-Drew from whoever owns him. Odds are they’re sitting in front of their computer thinking, ‘what was I thinking? I could have drafted Chris Brown!’ Pillage those who have no fantasy discipline and fear not the repercussions.

Stealing is legal—in fact, it should be encouraged in fantasy football! So not be afraid of upsetting someone after you steal from them—there are no friends in fantasy football. I mean, come on—I know most of you are in leagues with friends…what’s better than getting the better of your buddy in a trade? That’s what it’s all about. Your job is to win. So make an offer—what’s the worst that can happen? But whatever you do—relax. Don’t overreact. There’s nothing worse than making a trade based on one week, then having that guy turn into a stud for the rest of the campaign. Don’t do it.

Saturday, September 8, 2007

FFI: THE FOUR HORSEMEN (WK 1)

FSH: THE FOUR HORSEMEN
SEPTEMBER 8th, 2007


The Strong Plays for Week One!

Looking over the week one match-ups, we’re trying to find evidence, trends, or even history that will offer up a clue of what you can expect and should see on Sunday.

Here are four match-ups we like for the opening week of the 2007 season and why we like them!

QB-Matt Leinart versus the 49ers defense; Although the Niners are coming off a nice season of improvement a year ago, when they arrive in Arizona on Monday night they will face a team they were unable to beat last year. The Cardinals swept the Niners in 2006 and their offense was one of the primary reasons averaging 30 points per game and 370 net yards. Leinart started most of last season and enjoyed a very good training camp. This season he will lead a Cardinals offense that appears primed to pick up just where they left off a year ago!
Prediction: 24 for 30 passing for 275 yards and three touchdowns!


RB-Lamont Jordan versus the Lions defense; When the Raiders picked up Dominique Rhodes in the off-season, suddenly it seemed like Lamont Jordan had fell off the earth. Heading into many fantasy drafts Jordan’s name wasn’t even a whisper in the early rounds. Even when Rhodes returns, he will likely back-up Jordan at the running back position. Jordan is a compact back, who runs hard. He has nice hands out of the backfield and is a very durable runner. He was slowed down a bit last season with injuries, but heading into the 2007 campaign he is healthy and will start out against last season’s 21st ranked run defense!
Prediction: 24 carries for 95 yards, 5 receptions for 35 yards and two touchdowns (1 rush, 1 rec)

WR-Chris Chambers versus the Redskins defense; This season Chambers will have a reliable source to deliver him the ball in quarterback Trent Green. There’s no the Dolphin’s are going to run the ball, but Sunday against a Redskin’s defense that had a league low 19 sacks, they will take advantage of their new field general. A proven QB to throw the ball will resurrect Chambers from the receiving graveyard. Chambers has proven in the past that he has to talent to be a big play receiver and is capable of having big games as was evident in week 13 of the 2005 season (15 catches for 238 yards and a score). Chambers will match up against a Redskins secondary where their starting corners had two picks between them all last season. There’s no doubt Chambers will be Green’s go-to-receiver on Sunday.
Prediction: 8 receptions for 115 yards and one touchdown.

TE-Tony Gonzales versus the Texans defense; Last season when Green went down and Huard came in Gonzales was still the go-to-guy in the passing game. A year ago, Gonzales had 9 games with 5 or more receptions with Huard the QB in five of those games. The two also connected three times for touchdowns. With Huard being named the starter, Gonzales will benefit with the chemistry these two developed last season. On Sunday they will go to work against last years 22nd ranked pass defense.
Prediction: 6 receptions for 75 yards and a touchdown

~David G.Ortega
FSH

WEEK ONE FANTASY PREVIEW

By Dan Lewis, NFL Draft Bible

New Orleans @ Indianapolis
In this matchup of what will be two of the NFL’s top offenses, look for huge games from both your Saints and Colts. Neither team showed much ability to stop anyone last season. For the Colts, Manning, Addai, Harrison, and Wayne are must-starts every week, and shouldn’t disappoint here. Brees and Colston will undoubtedly hook up several times, and Deuce McAllister and Reggie Bush must be eager to face the Colts notoriously poor run-D. Keep an eye on Saints’ WRs Deverey Henderson and Terrance Copper as well, as these deep threats compete for looks from Brees.

Philadelphia @ Green Bay
The Eagles offense will be as good as Donovan McNabb can make them, and when he’s not injured, he does not disappoint. He and Brian Westbrook are explosive together, but the interesting player to watch is Reggie Brown. Can he perform like his owners hope he can? Donovan made Donte’ Stallworth look amazing at times last season, and he could develop something with Brown as well. For the Packers, Brett Favre was very inconsistent last season, and the Eagles’ blitzing style could coax some very wobbly, errant passes from the veteran. Keeping in mind Donald Driver’s ailing foot, and injuries that have slowed both GB RBs Brandon Jackson and Vernand Morency in practice this week, the Packers could be in for a tough game, and Brett Favre’s record 147th win as a starter may have to come later. Start McNabb, Westbrook, and Brown from the Eagles, and Driver and Jackson from the Packers. The Eagles’ D should play well also.

Atlanta @ Minnesota
This game isn’t too interesting from a fantasy standpoint. The Falcons are running with Joey Harrington at QB, and a motley receiving corps that couldn’t make much of anything work with Michael Vick running the show. The Falcons also are up against the NFL’s top run-D from last season (61.6 ypg!!). The Vikings could suffer from losing their defensive coordinator, Mike Tomlin, to the Steelers, but they retained most key starters and have added rookie Chad Greenway to their linebackers. The Vikings’ offense faces similar problems; the Falcons’ defense ranked 9th last season in rushing ypg. The strength of both offenses is on the ground, and the strength of both defenses is stopping the run. Keep an eye on Adrian Peterson of the Vikings, who makes his NFL debut, but don’t look for outstanding numbers in this game, especially since he will split carries with incumbent Chester Taylor. Taylor and Peterson are OK plays for the Vikings. The Vikings’ defense should perform well also.

Miami @ Washington
Miami’s new regime gets its first shot against Washington’s lackluster defense. Miami’s running game was disappointing last season, and Washington did add LB London Fletcher-Baker, which should help against the run. Ronnie Brown couldn’t even definitively beat out Jesse Chatman in training camp. Trent Green also plays his first game for the Dolphins, and will have the opportunity to throw to a far more talented receiver than he ever had in KC: Chris Chambers. Chambers is also coming off a very disappointing season, but perhaps Cam Cameron can motivate him to play more to his potential. For Washington, Jason Campbell is healthy, but don’t start him. Clinton Portis practiced this week and should be ready to go. Santana Moss is always boom or bust. Start Portis, Moss and TE Chris Cooley for Washington; Ronnie Brown and Chris Chambers for Miami.

New England @ New York Jets
This game became much more interesting for the Jets’ offense when Rodney Harrison was suspended for his violation of the NFL’s substance abuse policy. New England’s pass defense suffers tremendously without Harrison, and in 2005 was among the NFL’s worst without him. Chad Pennington, Laveranues Coles and Jerricho Cotchery will all benefit from this. New England sported a stout run D last year, so keep your expectations measured for Thomas Jones and Leon Washington. For New England, Tom Brady gets to test out all of his new toys at WR against the Jets’ mediocre pass defense. Laurence Maroney should have a big game against the Jets’ poor run defense. These teams are both difficult for fantasy purposes because of the versatility of their offenses, but expect decent numbers from your Jets, and a good game from Maroney. Brady and Stallworth are also starts.

Tennessee @ Jacksonville
This game starts with Maurice Jones-Drew, but the good times end there. Although Tennessee’s defense was pretty bad last season, too much about the Jaguars offense is unclear. They seem to have a different WR break out every game, and with David Garrard being named the surprise starter, there are many mysteries about how Jacksonville’s offense will unfold. Garrard had good chemistry with Matt Jones at the end of last season, but Reggie Williams and Ernest Wilford also had big games at times. Wait and see with their passing game. For the Titans, Vince Young is the favorite of many, but last year he had problems moving the ball against this defense. Tennessee’s defense did score three touchdowns against the Jags in their second matchup last year, but don’t expect a repeat of such a fluke. Start Jones-Drew for sure, and Fred Taylor of you have to. The Jaguars defense is also solid. Stay away from everyone else.

Denver @ Buffalo
Mike Shanahan has his best running back since Terrell Davis in Travis Henry, and Buffalo can’t stop the run. Henry should be salivating. Also, with Nate Clements off to San Francisco, Buffalo loses its top shutdown corner, which helps Jay Cutler and Javon Walker in particular. Buffalo’s offense may have a tough year this year. J.P. Losman impressed some last season, but Marshawn Lynch will have problems behind a poor offensive line and against a solid Denver run defense. Henry should have a monster game, and Cutler, Walker, and WR Brandon Marshall will be good for Denver. Also keep an eye on Daniel Graham, who could emerge in the coming weeks as a nice option at TE. For Buffalo, start Lynch only if you have to. Lee Evans will have to deal with Champ Bailey, but he should start every week.

Pittsburgh @ Cleveland
Cleveland’s defense is not good so most of your Steelers should have nice games this week. Ben Roethlisberger is primed for a comeback season after last year’s disappointment, and he’s ready to carry more of a load than he did in his Super Bowl year. Hines Ward and Santonio Holmes are good plays. Willie Parker is a first round running back (who ran for 223 yards in a game against the Browns last year) and starts every week. Also, look for tight end Heath Miller to get some looks. For Cleveland, Braylon Edwards and Kellen Winslow are your only decent options. Someone is going to have to catch the ball in garbage time…

Carolina @ St. Louis
St. Louis has an explosive offense, and Carolina has been disappointing for a few years now. Steven Jackson is a stud. Marc Bulger is also studly. Torry Holt has some knee issues, but with Drew Bennett banged up and likely out this week, Holt should put up some numbers. This is also a chance to see if Randy McMichael can be as successful as some have predicted in Scott Linehan’s TE-friendly offense. Start Steve Smith always. There should be rushing yards to be had against the Rams, but whether DeShaun Foster or DeAngelo Williams will get them remains to be seen. Bet on Foster here, but monitor the situation closely.

Kansas City @ Houston
Nothing too exciting here. You start Larry Johnson every week, and he should play well against the Texans despite his holdout. Tony Gonzalez is also a start every week. For the Texans, Andre Johnson is a start, as is Ahman Green. Watch Green, as he could have a slight fantasy resurgence in Houston, especially in point per reception leagues. Matt Schaub needs to show something before he is considered

Tampa Bay @ Seattle
Tampa doesn’t excite too much usually, but Cadillac could have a nice game against Seattle’s small defensive front. I always want to count Joey Galloway out, but then he surprises me with a few huge receptions. For Seattle, start Shaun Alexander, but watch how he moves. He is getting older, and doesn’t have the line he had in his monster year. Matt Hasselbeck can start if you need him, but he has fantasy disappointment Deion Branch and sleeper D. J. Hackett to throw to. You can start these players, but don’t expect too much.

Chicago @ San Diego
This should be a great game, but a tough one for fantasy. Chicago’s offense relies on the unreliable Rex Grossman, and against San Diego’s defense it could have difficulty. This makes Grossman, Bernard Berrian, and other Bears’ receivers, shaky plays. Cedric Benson fell into the starting job in Chicago, but he isn’t liked in the locker room, and he could be a bust this year. San Diego is also a great defense vs. the run, so temper your expectations for Benson, and keep an eye on the other Adrian Peterson, Benson’s backup; see how the Bears use him, and how Benson responds. For San Diego, LaDainian Tomlinson is fantasy’s top player, and Antonio Gates is its best tight end. They obviously start every week. Phillip Rivers could have problems against Chicago’s defense, which affects super-sleeper Vincent Jackson and other Charger receivers. You can start both defenses and San Diego’s could have a great day.

Detroit @ Oakland
These are potentially the two worst teams in football, but Detroit does have some things to offer the fantasy world. Mike Martz’s offense is prolific, and with the addition of Calvin Johnson to Roy Williams and Mike Furrey, Jon Kitna should have another huge year (21 TDs and 22 INTs isn’t a huge year, is it? I’d say “he could have a huge year”). Oakland, though, quietly had a very good defense last season. Kitna is a start, as is Roy Williams. It’ll be interesting to see how the Lions work Calvin Johnson into the receiver rotation. Mike Furrey may start now, but Calvin is silly good. Martz also finds ways to get the ball to many receivers, so Calvin not starting may not matter for fantasy. You can start Calvin and Furrey if you need to. As for the Lions running game, it is not good, and this is a bad week for it anyway so stay away from their RBs. You can start LaMont Jordan if you have to, but I want to wait and see if he can do anything this year before I start him. Don’t start any other Raiders. They stink.

New York Giants @ Dallas
As long as Eli Manning has Plaxico Burress to throw bombs to, he has the potential to put up fantasy numbers. Burress practiced this week despite his bad back, and is a decent play. Eli Manning should be a backup in most leagues until he proves he can be the quarterback he was drafted to be. Brandon Jacobs is one of the meanest runners in the league, and he seems to want to run into and over as many defenders as he can on his way down the field. Start him. Dallas’ defense should be improved this year with Wade Phillips and his aggressive style. Demarcus Ware will shine in Shawn Merriman’s role, and will wreak havoc on Eli unless his line can protect him (which it probably can’t). Start the Dallas D. On offense, Tony Romo faded badly down the stretch last season, but faces a mediocre Giants defense. Romo, Julius Jones, Marion Barber III, Terrell Owens, and even Jason Witten (if you need him) are good plays this week. Keep an eye on the Cowboys’ RB situation. Will their roles be similar to last season, or will Phillips experiment?

Baltimore @ Cincinnati
Prolific offense vs. downright dirty defense. Baltimore’s defense won my matchup for me last year more than once with all its sacks, turnovers, and defensive touchdowns. The loss of Adalius Thomas could hurt a little, but it is still a must start, even against the Bengals. Willis McGahee is also a decent play this week. Todd Heap starts every week. Cincinnati ranked last in pass defense last season, so you can start your Ravens receivers this week if you need to. Derrick Mason and Mark Clayton should have solid games, and see if McNair finds sleeper Demetrius Williams at all. For the Bengals, their offensive players start every week, even against this defense. Get Carson Palmer, Chad Johnson, Rudi Johnson, and T. J. Houshmandzadeh in there.

Arizona @ San Francisco
Arizona’s potentially explosive offense faces off against San Fran’s shiny new defense. You probably don’t have to start either of these quarterbacks this week, so don’t. Boldin and Fitzgerald start every week for Arizona. Edgerrin James had an awful year last season, but could come back to life this season. Maybe. He’s an OK play. For the 49ers, Frank Gore is always a start. Darrell Jacksonshould have a good week against Arizona’s lackluster corners. Vernon Davis could also have a nice game. He is ultra-talented, and it’ll only take him learning the system and getting into a rhythm with Alex Smith for him to explode.