Thursday, November 29, 2007

The Stock Exchange

By The Fantasy Trader, NFL Draft Bible/Fantasy Football Insider

We were on fire last week hitting in a big way with Kolby Smith and Deion Branch. In contrast, I just received my apology e-cards from Vince Young and Cedric Benson. This tends to be the last week of the fantasy regular season for most leagues so I understand the importance of getting a win. Here are the hot stocks being discussed this week and what you should do with them.

RB Adrian Peterson (“Associated Press” Peterson) – will get the start at running back for the Bears this week against the Giants. With Cedric Benson out for the season, it is his job to keep. Devin Hester has made it look like the Bears are scoring, but their offense is struggling. I do not like this start against a Giants defense that ranks 8th against the run. Peterson is only a last resort start. Watch Favre versus Romo on Thursday and then watch Eli vs. Rex.

RB Adrian Peterson (“Absolutely Phenomenal” Peterson) – will split carries this week against the Lions. I am an AP owner and I am starting him this week. My rationale is that the worst case scenario is: I bench him and he breaks two long touchdown runs. I could not live with that. I can live with a mediocre performance as long as he is healthy. Obviously do not start both, but Chester Taylor will also get enough carries to validate a fantasy start this week.

QB Jon Kitna – is no Eli Manning. Kitna is a must start this week against the worst pass defense in the NFL. Manning was in early holiday spirits when he handed the Vikings’ secondary 3 interceptions returned for touchdowns last week. The Lions have lost three in a row and I expect Mike Martz to give into his impulse and throw like crazy.

Denver Broncos running back- is more confusing than ever. We now have three players in the mix--Travis Henry, Selvin Young and Andre Hall. Whoever starts this week should go off against the Raiders and is a must start. Right now my money is on Young with Henry a close second. Owners will have to wait until the inactive list comes out on Sunday to make a decision. The Raiders are dead last against the run.

WR Marvin Harrison- should not be in your lineup even if he plays. The fact that he has not played in weeks tells you how serious the injury is. Anthony Gonzalez is Peyton Manning's new go-to guy after Wayne. Gonzalez had 6 catches for 105 yards on Thanksgiving.

RB Laurence Maroney- has put up tight end fantasy points this year. His game-winning touchdown last week has owners thinking he should start again. Maroney should not be started because the Patriots simply do not and will not run the football. This fantasy first rounder is averaging less than 10 carries a game and he is their workhorse.

DE-Washington Redskins- have suffered a great loss. The death of Sean Taylor will be the story on Sunday. He will be on his teammates’ minds and in their hearts before, during and after the game.

Packers @ Dallas- Thursday Night Game Update

Packer DB Charles Woodson to be game-time decision
Head coach Mike McCarthy will wait until shortly before kickoff to determine whether Charles Woodson will be healthy enough to play against the Cowboys, according to the Green Bay Press-Gazette. Woodson did not practice on Tuesday due to a toe injury.

Impact: Woodson is slated to go one on one with Terrell Owens all game, so this has major fantasy implications

Rookie Report- Patrick Willis (SF- OLB)

By Ralph Mancini, NFL Draft Bible/FFI Senior Writer

While San Francisco’s season has been nothing short of a colossal failure, the one thing both coaches and fans alike can hang their hats on is the continuing emergence of 2007 first-round pick Patrick Willis, who’s wasted no time in setting an example for his fellow teammates with both his relentless energy and unmatched work ethic.

Prior to being selected with the 11th pick in the 2007 NFL Draft, the 6’ 1” 242-pound linebacker blew away observers with his astonishing power by recording a 700-pound squat at the NFL combine along with dazzling them with outstanding sub 4.5 40 speed.

It was on the field, however, that the Ole’ Miss product truly made a case for himself with 133 tackles in only nine games as a senior middle linebacker. Willis followed that up with a stellar performance at the Senior Bowl. It was during that time that 49ers assistant head coach and former linebacker Mike Singletary learned of Willis’s diligence and willingness to become one of the best at his position.

Not only did the young Bruceton, Tennessee native ask lots of questions, but he proved to be very coachable and was extremely receptive to employing different techniques requested by NFL personnel.

Willis’s physical attributes and dogged film-study habits allowed him to make an immediate impact as one of San Francisco’s starting linebackers with 11 tackles (nine solo) and a forced fumble in his first professional game versus the Arizona Cardinals.
The 2006 Butkus Award winner has continued his ascent and currently leads the league in tackles with 128 after 12 weeks.

What’s been most impressive about Willis is the fact that he hasn’t in any way been overwhelmed by the speed of the professional game. In fact, the rookie has only built upon his reputation as a tackling machine and play maker.

Those skills were on display during the overtime session of San Francisco’s win over Arizona last week when Cardinal wide receiver Sean Morey looked to be on his way to a sure touchdown off a Kurt Warner pass when---out of nowhere---Willis enters the picture to make a touchdown-saving tackle at the 24 –yard line when Morey had already run over 50 yards downfield uncontested. The linebacker’s never-say-die attitude was rewarded when Arizona kicker Neil Rackers missed a 32-yard field goal attempt.

"It's not just speed on a play like that," commented 49ers head coach Mike Nolan, "it's want-to."
Singletary has even higher praise for the instinctive linebacker by comparing him to future Hall-of-Famer Ray Lewis.

The one area where Willis can stand to improve in is his pass coverage that's sometimes compromised by a slight lack in hip flexibility.

The 23-year old's love of the game should get him through any deficiencies he has in his game in his development as the ultimate three-down defender.
Willis's toughness is another attribute that should serve him well in his with his ability to play through a litany of injuries, including a broken middle finger, a sprained knee, a foot sprain and a dislocated shoulder.

This quick study's explosiveness to the ball will continue to strike fear in the hearts of running backs looking to gain the edge on the 49ers defense, and in a division chock full of high octane offenses Willis's contributions will be sorely needed to keep a low-scoring San Francisco team in most games.

Beyond all his football skills and intangibles, Willis is also regarded as a
genuinely classy individual who makes 'please' and 'thank you' major parts of his daily vocabulary.

His strong character was put to test prior to his 2006 senior year by the drowning death of his older brother. Willis responded with a monster season which has propelled him to a promising NFL career.

It would come as no shock to this writer to eventually see the young 49er being enshrined in the Pro Football Hall of Fame twenty years from now and be forever revered as a man who knows no obstacles.