Thursday, November 29, 2007

The Stock Exchange

By The Fantasy Trader, NFL Draft Bible/Fantasy Football Insider

We were on fire last week hitting in a big way with Kolby Smith and Deion Branch. In contrast, I just received my apology e-cards from Vince Young and Cedric Benson. This tends to be the last week of the fantasy regular season for most leagues so I understand the importance of getting a win. Here are the hot stocks being discussed this week and what you should do with them.

RB Adrian Peterson (“Associated Press” Peterson) – will get the start at running back for the Bears this week against the Giants. With Cedric Benson out for the season, it is his job to keep. Devin Hester has made it look like the Bears are scoring, but their offense is struggling. I do not like this start against a Giants defense that ranks 8th against the run. Peterson is only a last resort start. Watch Favre versus Romo on Thursday and then watch Eli vs. Rex.

RB Adrian Peterson (“Absolutely Phenomenal” Peterson) – will split carries this week against the Lions. I am an AP owner and I am starting him this week. My rationale is that the worst case scenario is: I bench him and he breaks two long touchdown runs. I could not live with that. I can live with a mediocre performance as long as he is healthy. Obviously do not start both, but Chester Taylor will also get enough carries to validate a fantasy start this week.

QB Jon Kitna – is no Eli Manning. Kitna is a must start this week against the worst pass defense in the NFL. Manning was in early holiday spirits when he handed the Vikings’ secondary 3 interceptions returned for touchdowns last week. The Lions have lost three in a row and I expect Mike Martz to give into his impulse and throw like crazy.

Denver Broncos running back- is more confusing than ever. We now have three players in the mix--Travis Henry, Selvin Young and Andre Hall. Whoever starts this week should go off against the Raiders and is a must start. Right now my money is on Young with Henry a close second. Owners will have to wait until the inactive list comes out on Sunday to make a decision. The Raiders are dead last against the run.

WR Marvin Harrison- should not be in your lineup even if he plays. The fact that he has not played in weeks tells you how serious the injury is. Anthony Gonzalez is Peyton Manning's new go-to guy after Wayne. Gonzalez had 6 catches for 105 yards on Thanksgiving.

RB Laurence Maroney- has put up tight end fantasy points this year. His game-winning touchdown last week has owners thinking he should start again. Maroney should not be started because the Patriots simply do not and will not run the football. This fantasy first rounder is averaging less than 10 carries a game and he is their workhorse.

DE-Washington Redskins- have suffered a great loss. The death of Sean Taylor will be the story on Sunday. He will be on his teammates’ minds and in their hearts before, during and after the game.

Packers @ Dallas- Thursday Night Game Update

Packer DB Charles Woodson to be game-time decision
Head coach Mike McCarthy will wait until shortly before kickoff to determine whether Charles Woodson will be healthy enough to play against the Cowboys, according to the Green Bay Press-Gazette. Woodson did not practice on Tuesday due to a toe injury.

Impact: Woodson is slated to go one on one with Terrell Owens all game, so this has major fantasy implications

Rookie Report- Patrick Willis (SF- OLB)

By Ralph Mancini, NFL Draft Bible/FFI Senior Writer

While San Francisco’s season has been nothing short of a colossal failure, the one thing both coaches and fans alike can hang their hats on is the continuing emergence of 2007 first-round pick Patrick Willis, who’s wasted no time in setting an example for his fellow teammates with both his relentless energy and unmatched work ethic.

Prior to being selected with the 11th pick in the 2007 NFL Draft, the 6’ 1” 242-pound linebacker blew away observers with his astonishing power by recording a 700-pound squat at the NFL combine along with dazzling them with outstanding sub 4.5 40 speed.

It was on the field, however, that the Ole’ Miss product truly made a case for himself with 133 tackles in only nine games as a senior middle linebacker. Willis followed that up with a stellar performance at the Senior Bowl. It was during that time that 49ers assistant head coach and former linebacker Mike Singletary learned of Willis’s diligence and willingness to become one of the best at his position.

Not only did the young Bruceton, Tennessee native ask lots of questions, but he proved to be very coachable and was extremely receptive to employing different techniques requested by NFL personnel.

Willis’s physical attributes and dogged film-study habits allowed him to make an immediate impact as one of San Francisco’s starting linebackers with 11 tackles (nine solo) and a forced fumble in his first professional game versus the Arizona Cardinals.
The 2006 Butkus Award winner has continued his ascent and currently leads the league in tackles with 128 after 12 weeks.

What’s been most impressive about Willis is the fact that he hasn’t in any way been overwhelmed by the speed of the professional game. In fact, the rookie has only built upon his reputation as a tackling machine and play maker.

Those skills were on display during the overtime session of San Francisco’s win over Arizona last week when Cardinal wide receiver Sean Morey looked to be on his way to a sure touchdown off a Kurt Warner pass when---out of nowhere---Willis enters the picture to make a touchdown-saving tackle at the 24 –yard line when Morey had already run over 50 yards downfield uncontested. The linebacker’s never-say-die attitude was rewarded when Arizona kicker Neil Rackers missed a 32-yard field goal attempt.

"It's not just speed on a play like that," commented 49ers head coach Mike Nolan, "it's want-to."
Singletary has even higher praise for the instinctive linebacker by comparing him to future Hall-of-Famer Ray Lewis.

The one area where Willis can stand to improve in is his pass coverage that's sometimes compromised by a slight lack in hip flexibility.

The 23-year old's love of the game should get him through any deficiencies he has in his game in his development as the ultimate three-down defender.
Willis's toughness is another attribute that should serve him well in his with his ability to play through a litany of injuries, including a broken middle finger, a sprained knee, a foot sprain and a dislocated shoulder.

This quick study's explosiveness to the ball will continue to strike fear in the hearts of running backs looking to gain the edge on the 49ers defense, and in a division chock full of high octane offenses Willis's contributions will be sorely needed to keep a low-scoring San Francisco team in most games.

Beyond all his football skills and intangibles, Willis is also regarded as a
genuinely classy individual who makes 'please' and 'thank you' major parts of his daily vocabulary.

His strong character was put to test prior to his 2006 senior year by the drowning death of his older brother. Willis responded with a monster season which has propelled him to a promising NFL career.

It would come as no shock to this writer to eventually see the young 49er being enshrined in the Pro Football Hall of Fame twenty years from now and be forever revered as a man who knows no obstacles.

Wednesday, November 28, 2007

The Buzz, Week 13

By Fantasy Phil Eletto, Fantasy Football Insiders Senior Writer

This week began with a terrible tragedy. Our deepest sympathies go out to the family and friends of Redskins’ safety Sean Taylor, who passed away after being shot in the leg in an apparent robbery of his Florida home.

Last week brought us a return (and quick departure) of a former smoker, oops, that's rushing leader. Meanwhile, the week’s leading ball carrier was a “who’s he?” to the casual fan. All around it was a week of players emerging or finally living up to expectations. for the week ahead, we will see two guys with the same name playing the same position…but their careers are certainly headed in different directions. Another player who welcomes fines for using props in his celebration as it means he is finally doing something right for his team and fantasy owners alike.

Funny how little chatter you have heard about Larry Johnson’s status since Kolby Smith put up 150 yards and two scores. It was against the Raiders who are terrible against the run. Nonetheless, he is a rock solid #2 running back any league.

He’s back and so are the celebrations. Chad Johnson seems to re-emerge at this point every year. He may have disappointed to date, but you will get AT LEAST draft day value from here on out.

Earnest Graham shined versus a tough Washington run defense. Jeff Garcia’s status is cloudy and Michael Pittman is a perpetual injury. Roll with Graham in any game, any format.

Two Adrian Petersons return to prominence in their team’s offense. The Chicago version is a journeyman and his only upside is that he is the man in the Bear rushing attack— and now that Cedric Benson is done for the year, ‘attack’ may be too generous a word. Perhaps the best back in the NFL this season, while on the field anyway, the much more sexy (in a fantasy football sort of way) Adrian Peterson, he of the land of 1,000 lakes, will be eased into the flow–don’t expect pre-injury numbers this week.

Andre Hall showed speed but also patience last week and put himself in line for carries in the ugly Bronco backfield—depending on how bad his high-ankle sprain proves to be. Travis Henry has one week before his anticipated suspension kicks in, and says he is healthy. "They said it would be about a four-week injury and we're on week four," said Henry, who did not accompany the team to Chicago last weekend because he had the stomach flu. We should find out more today on the status of Selvin Young and his bum knee.

Anthony Gonzalez has developed impressive chemistry with Peyton Manning. While Manning makes any receiver better, after Reggie Wayne and Dallas Clark, Manning seems to look for the tall receiver next—get some of that action if possible. Marvin Harrison’s return is still unclear, but like Javon Walker last week, he will be little more than a decoy in his first week back.

St. Louis Rams quarterback Marc Bulger will play this Sunday against the Atlanta Falcons if he can pass the NFL's test for players who suffer concussions, but linebacker Pisa Tinoisamoa could be lost for the season due to a torn ligament in his left knee.

Roy Williams showed by his body language that he wasn't happy being overlooked in the game plan, but he downplayed the issue Monday. "That's a little first for me," Williams said. He had only three catches versus Calvin Johnson’s seven. Get used to it Roy, Johnson is a special talent, has turned around a terrible season into growth that makes him useful heading into fantasy playoffs, and increases his value considerably on draft day next year.

Cowboys receiver Patrick Crayton is expected to return this week for the huge match-up against the Packers. This is the game of the week, so buddy up with someone who will get the game-- it matters not if you like that person or not, just enjoy the game.

Eagles backup turned starter A. J. Feeley may get the nod as a precautionary move. "As a coach, you'd be foolish to stick somebody out there that has a bad thumb and a bad knee," coach Andy Reid said. "I'm hoping to see that he gets back and starts playing."

Jerricho Cotchery’s disappointing performance was TE Chris Baker’s gain. With Laveranues Coles out, many expected Cotchery to put up big numbers. Instead it was Baker who had six targets, and just missed a score last week. He has his limitations, but keep him in mind if Coles is out and you need to a filler at tight end.

Phillip Rivers still stinks, but seems to have taken to new wide receiver Chris Chambers, targeting him often. Chambers and Antonio Gates have thrived since the former Dolphin’s arrival. If someone can make sense of that deal, please explain in the comment link below.

Building on last week’s Buzz assessment of Matt Schaub, he certainly has learned to spread the ball. Andre Johnson had seven targets, but Kevin Walter and Owen Daniels shared the team lead in targets with nine. Andre Davis chipped in six targets of his own.

Another Texans receiver, Andre Davis’ role may have diminished with all-world Andre Johnson back in the fold. But do not be so fast to cut him—especially if you have a deep bench. He was still active in a strong Houston passing game. This is a team that will be playing from behind often and needing three receiver sets to catch up.

As quickly as Ricky Williams appeared, the multiple substance abuse violator is gone. He suffered a torn chest muscle in the second quarter of his first game back. The last thing Williams need is time off. Joining him on the Miami sideline is running back Jesse Chatman, who left the game with a neck injury. Stay tuned for updates on his availability this week. How cursed are the Dolphins at running back this season?

Quick Hits
Larry Fitzgerald
has turned it on and has placed himself among the best receivers in the league…that trend is a Kurt Warner injury away from reversing itself.

Tight ends get little love here, but Owen Daniels had a monster week. Not to be outdone, Tony Scheffler, Donald Lee (with a turkey-day game exception) and Vernon Davis have been putting up solid numbers for weeks now-- as good as most #2 or three receivers.

Likewise, Bo Scaife has been plenty active in the Tennessee passing game. His disappointing first half may mean he is available in your league, just don’t count on him to hit pay-dirt.

While it was nice to see Frank Gore get some robust numbers last week, don’t expect it again this year-- sell high. Next year he may be underrated by many—don’t let it be you.

Fred Taylor, not Maurice Jones-Drew, has been showing the young legs and seems to be getting a workload that makes him an useful option once again.

While there are weeks Marty Booker catches more passes, insiders tell us that Ted Ginn Jr. has become John Beck’s favorite target and he is always a block or two away from a big play. He may not be a factor this year, but keep an eye on him in next year's draft.

Nate Burleson. If you feel like you have seen his name before, it was most likely due to his plentiful natural ability, or wasting of it. Now you’ll see his name because the Minnesota receiver finds himself replacing D.J. Hackett, who is on the shelf for up to three weeks after re-injuring his ankle. Since Seattle has become a pass-first offense, Burleson should see his workload increase and Deion Branch, now healthy, should approach #1 wide receiver status.

Do not be intimidated by the effect of the Seahawks’ offensive output on their defense—it is still putting up solid numbers. The same can be surprisingly be said of both Cleveland and Denver’s defensive units–they’re not bad options on the cheap as one week plays--depending on match-up of course.

Justin Fargas has become THE Raider offense. Ride him until he breaks down or the match-up is brutal.

What brought more ire out of fantasy owners, Eli Manning’s numbers or his seeming lack of interest about how badly he played? Letting a bad performance roll off your back is one thing, giving the impression of not caring is quite another.

Trent Edwards is expected to return as starter. This is a ding on Lee Evans’ value unless Edwards saw how valuable Evans can be to a quarterback. Take a wait and see approach.

“Throw Me the Damn Ball”
Players who had ten or more passes directed at them last week:
Wes Welker 17 (one guess who benched him in favor of the aforementioned D. J. Hackett, ouch)
Larry Fitzgerald 16
Calvin Johnson 15
Chad Johnson 14
Derrick Mason 14
Hines Ward 13
Randy Moss 13
Donald Driver 13
Jeremy Shockey 12
Plaxico Burress 12
Reggie Wayne 12
Torry Holt 12
Frank Gore 12
Brandon Stokley 11
Brian Westbrook 11
Roddy White 10
Braylon Edwards 10
Kellen Winslow 10
Deion Branch 10
Isaac Bruce 10
Chris Cooley 10
Brandon Marshall 10

Please note our new feature and feel free to offer your comments by clicking the COMMENT link. If this doesn’t get you “buzzed” enough, feel free to fire questions to me at phil@nfldraftbible.com or tune in Sundays at 10:30 AM to www.scrubradio.com for the fantasy spot hosted by Jib Records www.jibmachinerecords.com. CEO John Templeman and I will be happy to discuss all things fantasy football. You can also check out our weekly podcast, posted every Saturday covering all the upcoming NFL games. It can be found on the “audio” tab at the top of the NFLDraftBible.com media player.
Rock on!

Tuesday, November 27, 2007

Busted, Bruised and Broken

By David Kaye, Fantasy Football Insiders

AFC Injury Report
Indianapolis Colts tight end Ben Utecht (sprained ankle) sustained the injury in last Thursday's victory over the woeful Falcons. Utecht is probable for this week's game against the Jaguars.

Jacksonville Jaguars tight end George Wrighster (leg) is questionable for Sunday's game at Indianapolis.

NFC Injury Report
New York Giants linebacker Antonio Pierce (ankle) suffered the injury during Sunday's debilitating home loss to the Vikings. He is currently listed as probable for this week's match-up at Chicago.

Philadelphia Eagles quarterback Donovan McNabb (ankle and thumb) sat out last week's loss to New England and is questionable for this week's game against the Seahawks. According to head coach Andy Reid, McNabb must be 100 percent healthy before he'll decide to play him.

Dallas Cowboys wide receiver Patrick Crayton (ankle) did not practice Sunday and sat out last week's blowout win over the woeful Jets. Crayton is questionable for Thursday's showdown against the 10-1 Packers.

Minnesota Vikings standout rookie running back Adrian Peterson (knee) is expected to return this week against the fading (they’ve lost 2 in a row) Lions after missing the previous two games. Head coach Brad Childress plans on bringing Peterson back into the offense slowly by having him split carries with veteran Chester Taylor.

Wide receiver Troy Williamson (head) is listed as questionable for Sunday's game against Detroit. Williamson has struggled as a big deep threat for the Vikings this season, with just 13 receptions for 201 yards in nine games.

Chicago Bears running back Cedric Benson (lower leg) will miss the remainder of the season after it was discovered that he'll require season-ending surgery. In his absence, backup Adrian Peterson will serve as the starter--acquire him if possible.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers quarterback Jeff Garcia (back) left last week's win over the Redskins after theteam's first offensive series. Garcia is listed as day-to-day and his status for Sunday's game against New Orleans is currently uncertain.

Running back Michael Pittman (ankle) is questionablefor this week's game against the Saints.

Seattle Seahawks wide receiver D. J. Hackett (right ankle) is questionable for Sunday's game atPhiladelphia after re-injuring his ankle in lastweek's win over the divisional rival Rams. Hackett missed six games earlier in the season with a bum ankle.

St. Louis Rams quarterback Marc Bulger (concussion) is questionable for Sunday's game against the Falcons.

Arizona Cardinals quarterback Kurt Warner (elbow, ribs) is probable for Sunday's game against the upstart Browns.

Monday, November 26, 2007

Ones To Watch, Week 13

By Ralph Mancini, NFL Draft Bible/FFi Senior Writer

A. J. FEELEY (QB-PHI)- Stepping in for an inactive Donovan McNabb, Feeley played with great confidence while going toe-to-toe with New England’s Tom Brady. The career backup wound up with 345-passing yards to go along with three touchdowns and three interceptions. Feeley should be able to put up similar numbers next week versus Seattle if McNabb needs another week off.

AVEION CASON (RB-DET)- The veteran runner established himself as Detroit’s go-to receiver out of the backfield. In Thursday’s game versus Green Bay, Cason gained 58 yards on four receptions. Quarterback Jon Kitna could continue looking his way more frequently in Mike Martz’s pass-oriented offense.

FRED JACKSON (RB-BUF)- The former NFL Europa standout chipped in with five carries for 18 yards along with five receptions for 47 yards in Buffalo’s 36-14 loss to Jacksonville. The 6’ 1” 215-pound Jackson first dazzled Bills coaches during the preseason with his explosiveness on catch-and-run plays. The former United Indoor Football League MVP is currently third on the running back depth chart behind Marshawn Lynch and Anthony Thomas.

ANTHONY GONZALEZ (WR-IND)- Peyton Manning finally began showing some confidence in rookie Anthony Gonzalez, connecting on five passes with the former Ohio State Buckeye for 105 yards. Gonzalez is a sharp route runner with very good speed.

GREG LEWIS (WR-PHI)- Lewis put his top-notch speed to good use in week 12, catching four passes for 88 yards and two scores against the mighty Patriots. The 27-year-old wide out may see a few deep balls coming his way next week against Seattle as Philadelphia will desperately try to keep its faint playoff hopes alive.

Searching The Scrap Heap

By Ralph Mancini, NFL Draft Bible/FFi Senior Writer

TRENT DILFER (SF-QB)- In no way, shape or form is Dilfer being touted as a start-worthy quarterback, but for those in deep leagues or ones that employ two starting passers, Dilfer may be a safe option in certain match-ups. When backed by a solid running game—as he was by in San Francisco’s 37-31 overtime victory over Arizona—Dilfer has enough smarts to avoid costly mistakes and hit his check-off receivers when there’s nothing open downfield. Up next for Dilfer and friends is a Carolina team that has seemingly hit rock bottom.

ANDRE HALL (DEN-RB)- Previously highlighted in Ones to Watch, Hall has strung together back-to-back stellar performances in place of the hobbled Selvin Young. In week 12’s overtime loss to Chicago, the 5’8” 212 pound-back flashed quick feet and fluid hips in carrying the load for the Broncos with 26 carries for 98 yards, including a 16-yard touchdown on a well-designed option play. The second-year professional is also a smooth receiver with soft hands as demonstrated by his two receptions for 69 yards. With multiple injuries in Denver’s backfield, Hall has a chance to become a weekly flex option.

ADRIAN PETERSON (CHI-RB)- The other Adrian Peterson filled in admirably for Cedric Benson who was forced out early in Chicago’s week 12 match-up versus Denver with a leg injury. On the day, Peterson gained 45 yards and a touchdown on the ground while pulling in five receptions for 41 yards. The 28-year-old back did a nice job of following his blocks on his way to gaining tough yards inside. Peterson is a disciplined runner with serious durability issues.
ANTHONY THOMAS (BUF-RB)- Although not as quick or elusive as rookie phenom Marshawn Lynch, Thomas is a workhorse that keeps getting stronger with more carries. In Buffalo’s 36-14 loss to Jacksonville, Thomas was the focal point of the offense with 46 yards and a touchdown on the ground and eight receptions for 45 yards in the passing game. If Lynch continues to sit out the remainder of the season, the one-time Chicago Bear has a chance of improving week 12’s output versus lesser defenses on the upcoming schedule.

ERNEST WILFORD (JAX-WR)- The oft-overshadowed receiver may be seeing an rise in his production thanks to the remarkable progress shown by his quarterback David Garrard, who’s beginning to develop increased poise throwing from the pocket. The Virginia Tech product was frequently targeted by Garrard and recorded 60 yards on five catches. The 6’ 4’ wide out masterfully created separation by fluidly coming in and out of his breaks.

DARRELL JACKSON (SF-WR)- The former Seahawk finally showed signs of snapping out of his season-long funk by hauling in five catches for 43 yards in week 12. A sweet match-up versus Carolina next week may see Jackson improve upon his latest stats. The veteran wide out displayed quickness in gaining separation from Arizona’s depleted secondary.

RECHE CALDWELL (WASH-WR)- Caldwell emerged from the shadows in week 12 by registering five catches for 43 yards. Despite being a total non-factor this year, the journeyman does have the requisite speed and agility to be a productive component of Washington’s aerial attack in the coming weeks. Towards the end of the 2006 season, Caldwell emerged as Tom Brady’s go-to receiver with 61 receptions for 760 yards and five scores. In the past, the one-time Charger received his fair-share of criticism for dropping catchable balls and not being the best route runner.

JABBAR GAFFNEY (NE-WR)- New England’s fourth receiver is undoubtedly talented enough to occupy a much more prominent role on any other NFL team. The sure-handed possession receiver was on the receiving end of a 19-yard touchdown pass from Tom Brady versus the Eagles. Gaffney is known as an excellent route runner with above-average body control.

Sunday, November 25, 2007

SUNDAY MORNING QUARTERBACK

VINNY TESTAVERDE UPDATE
Vinny Testaverde experienced back stiffness Saturday morning and has been added to the injury report as questionable, the Carolina Observer reports. David Carr is the fallback option if Testavderde can't go.

AHMAN GREEN UPDATE
Ahman Green will miss his fifth straight game on Sunday. However, the Texans don't need an extra player right now, so he won't head to injured reserve at this point, according to the Houston Chronicle. "We're in a position with our roster where we don't have to force our hand," he said. "Let's hope for the best, and hope he steps out here next week ready to play again."

REGGIE BUSH UPDATE
Reggie Bush took part in limited practices Wednesday and Thursday before skipping Friday's session due to his bruised shin and sore ankle. "I'm hopeful with the work Reggie has gotten, we'll have him," coach Sean Payton told the New Orleans Times-Picayune.

MICHAEL PITTMAN UPDATE
Michael Pittman hasn't practiced this week after aggravating his ailing ankle last week, according to the St. Petersburg Times.

JESSE CHATMAN UPDATE
The Dolphins consider Jesse Chatman to be questionable for Monday's game due to an injured right ankle. "We'll make that decision in a couple of days. We don't need to make it yet." coach Cam Cameron told the Miami Herald, "It can come a long way by [Saturday]. We have a significant practice [Saturday] and a walk-through on Sunday, so we've still got some time."

REGGIE WILLIAMS UPDATE
Reggie Williams was a late addition to the Jaguars' injury report on Friday. He's listed as questionable due to a back injury, according to the Florida Times-Union.

DJ HACKETT UPDATE
D.J. Hackett was held out of practice Wednesday and Thursday because of his sore knee. However, he was able to return to the mix for Friday's session, according to the Seattle Times.

TODD HEAP UPDATE
The Ravens are listing Todd Heap as doubtful for Sunday's game due to his ailing hamstring.

Thursday, November 22, 2007

Week 12 Preview

By Brad Kurtzberg, Fantasy Football Insiders

First of all, Happy Thanksgiving to everyone reading this column and their families. This is my favorite holiday. What could be bad with food, family and football? There are now three games on Thursday with the NFL Network bringing a limited number of households the matchup between Indianapolis and Atlanta. As we begin the home stretch of the NFL season, keep a lookout for key injuries that affect entire teams like Albert Haynesworth’s injury that has hurt the Titans’ defense. Here is a look at this week’s matchups which will help you win your fantasy league.

Thursday 12:30 PM ET

Green Bay at Detroit
The most traditional Turkey Day rivalry features these two NFC North teams. Detroit-Green Bay brings back memories of Starr, Hornung, Karris and Night Train Lane in the 60s. Oh how Vince Lombardi hated the short week that preceded a road game in Detroit. This year, the game has playoff implications with the Pack 9-1 and the Lions 6-4. Detroit is facing a must-win here as Green Bay would take a four-game lead in the division with five games to play if it wins here. The Lions have lost two straight. Both teams are eager to show their stuff on a national stage. If you want to see a great game within the game matchup, watch Packers CB Al Harris battle Lions WR Roy Williams. It promises to be a great, physical confrontation.

Stud: Brett Favre, QB Green Bay. The Lions to force a lot of turnovers, but they also give up a lot of yards. Their secondary is ranked 30th in the league. Most importantly, the Lions third and fourth CBs can’t stay with the Packers’ depth at WR. Look for Favre to have a big day on Sunday, even if he throws a pick or two.
Dud: Kevin Jones, RB Detroit. Jones has been hampered by a foot injury that cost him limited him to 21 yards on 15 carries total in the last two games. The Packers have a good run defense and the Lions shy away from the run too quickly.
Sleeper: Jon Kitna, QB Detroit. Kitna will be under pressure throughout the game but he figures to throw 40-45 passes and will put up good fantasy numbers before the game is over.


Thursday 4:15 PM ET

N.Y. Jets at Dallas
The Jets surprised everybody by shocking the Steelers a week ago at Giants Stadium. Dallas is coming off three straight division games with next week’s game against Green Bay looming on the horizon. Is this a let down game for the Cowboys? I doubt it, but the Jets certainly are not going to roll over and die. The Jets found both a pass rush and a running game last week against Pittsburgh, but can they find a way to contain Terrell Owens and Tony Romo?

Stud: Terrell Owens, WR Dallas. The Jets don’t have a CB who can match up with Owens who should have a big day on national television. Owens has a four inch and 20 pound advantage over rookie CB Darrelle Revis who will face his toughest test yet in the mercurial T.O. If the Jets leave the rookie one-on-one with Owens, expect a big day for the Cowboys WR.
Dud: Thomas Jones, RB N.Y. Jets. Jones had a big game a week ago against Pittsburgh but hasn’t been able to put together anything consistent. He has still yet to score a TD this season in 10 games. The Cowboys run defense ranks 4th in the league and they just added Tank Johnson to the mix to make it even tougher to run up the middle. If the Jets fall behind early, Jones will be even less of a factor.
Sleeper: Marion Barber, RB Dallas. It would be easy to go with Tony Romo here and it wouldn’t be wrong either, but Barber will be up against the 29th ranked run defense in the league on Thursday. Although he’s struggled in the past three games, look for Barber to get back on track in time for Thanksgiving dinner.


Thursday 8:15 PM ET

Indianapolis at Atlanta
The Colts have limped through their last few games after injuries to both of their offensive tackles, WR Marvin Harrison and TE Dallas Clark and many other players on offense have felled them. They eked out a win against Kansas City last week but their offense was nowhere near what it usually is. The Falcons were thrashed by the Bucs last week, ending their two game winning streak. Byron Leftwich was benched in favor of Joey Harrington who played fairly well in relief. Odds are that Harrington starts Thursday night. The Falcons hope the Colts malaise lasts at least one more week.

Stud: Joseph Addai, RB Indianapolis. Addai is the one thing the Colts can rely on when all else fails this season. Even playing behind a patchwork offensive line, Addai went over 100 total yards last week and added a TD. The Falcons run defense is ranked 25th in the league and they are not as strong up the middle since cutting Grady Jackson loose. In addition, both starting DTs, Trey Lewis and Rod Coleman, are nursing injuries and may not play.
Dud: Joey Harrington, QB Atlanta. Harrington played well in relief last week but the Colts have a strong pass defense, presently ranked 2nd in the league. Even without Dwight Freeney, Indy should be able to put some pressure on Joey Harrington. Harrington also lacks consistency and to expect him to play well two weeks in a row may be asking a lot.
Sleeper: Peyton Manning, QB Indianapolis. Manning has been off the past two games but gradually, he is getting his weapons back and should return to form. Atlanta is 29th in the league with just 14 sacks in 10 games. If they can’t pressure Manning, he will pick them apart.


Sunday 1:00 PM ET

Tennessee at Cincinnati
These former division rivals meet in a game that means a lot to the Titans who desperately need to recover after losing their last two games. Tennessee is still 6-4 and in the thick of the AFC Wild Card race, but they can’t afford to lose too many more games. The Bengals are a team in disarray. They have a lot of talent on offense but their defense can’t stop anybody and their coaching staff seems to have lost the players. DT Albert Haynesworth’s status is still up in the air for Tennessee. Without the big DT in the lineup, teams have been successful running right at the Titans.

Stud: LenDale White, RB Tennessee. White has had two bad games after three straight 100-plus yard games. The Titans run the ball more than any other team in the league and they will be going against the Bengals who 27th against the run. Look for White and Chris Brown to pound the ball effectively all day long.
Dud: Rudi Johnson, RB Cincinnati. Johnson hasn’t had a good fantasy game since week two. Injuries to him and his offensive line have really hampered him and he is splitting playing time with Kenny Watson. Watson and Johnson may do just fine if Albert Haynesworth is not playing or not up to par, but don’t expect Johnson to have a big fantasy performance.
Sleeper: Carson Palmer, QB Cincinnati. The Titans defense is tough but Palmer is still one of the better QBs in the league. He has 18 TD passes in 10 games and has completed more than 66 percent of his passes in the last five games. Even if he throws a few picks in a comeback attempt, at the end of the day, Palmer puts up good fantasy numbers.

Houston at Cleveland
Cleveland’s near miraculous win last week in Baltimore gives them a 6-4 record and puts the Cinderella Browns right in the heart of the playoff chase. Houston has been very inconsistent this year but at 5-5, they can be a part of the playoff equation with a win, too. Cleveland is 4-1 at home but their defense is still struggling. Houston’s defense appears to be rounding into form and looked strong last week against the Saints.

Stud: Andre Johnson, WR Houston. Johnson finally returned to action for the first time since week 2 and was effective immediately. He has 20 catches for 4 TDs in three games this year and has topped the 100-yard mark in all three. He has a height and strength advantage on Cleveland’s CB Eric Wright who injured his knee last Sunday (check status) and should have a big day Sunday.
Dud: Ron Dayne, RB Houston. Dayne has played well the past two weeks but will have a tougher time running up the middle of the Browns’ defense which has improved of late.
Sleeper: Matt Schaub, QB Houston. Schaub faces a Cleveland pass defense ranked 31st in the league and he has his favorite and most dangerous receiver back in Andre Johnson. The Browns may also be without CB Eric Wright who is their best cover man. Look for Schaub to shine in Cleveland.

Buffalo at Jacksonville
The Bills had their winning streak abruptly halted by the Patriots while the Jags continued to roll along, defeating the Chargers handily to improve to 7-3. The Bills can make a statement by winning here although it is likely they will still be missing rookie RB Marshawn Lynch. The Jaguars are just a game behind the Colts in the AFC South.

Stud: Maurice Jones-Drew, RB Jacksonville. Jones-Drew is the better fantasy pick this week. The Bills run defense is ranked 22nd in the league and is particularly vulnerable up the middle. Running inside is Jones-Drew’s strong suit. The diminutive RB also have TDs in back-to-back games.
Dud: Anthony Thomas, RB Buffalo. Is Marshawn Lynch can’t go, the Bills will try to ride the “A-Train.” Thomas is not very nifty and runs best inside, right into the strength of the Jaguars’ defense. Thomas was an afterthought last week, but when you lose 56-10, most RBs are not going to get a lot of carries. This week, Thomas will remain a poor fantasy option.
Sleeper: Lee Evans, WR Buffalo. Evans is the top weapon in the Buffalo passing attack and the Jaguars give up a lot of yards through the air (27th in the league against the pass). Look for Evans and J.P. Losman to hook up for a few lengthy gains on Sunday.

New Orleans at Carolina
The Saints have dropped two straight after winning four in a row to get back to .500. If they didn’t play in the NFC South, their playoff hopes would be all but over. Carolina hasn’t been the same team without Jake Delhomme. Vinny Testaverde is a stopgap QB at best at this point in his career. At least the Panthers should have WR Steve Smith back. Without Smith, they had no explosive, big play weapons on offense last week.

Stud: Drew Brees, QB New Orleans. Brees is averaging 273 yards per game and has thrown at least one TD in the past six games. The Saints running game is average at best without Deuce McAllister, so Brees will be relied upon to carry the weight. He remains a good if not great fantasy option.
Dud: Reggie Bush, RB New Orleans. Bush has been a disappointment this year. When McAllister went down, he did not pick up the slack and prove himself to be an elite NFL RB. His best value is as a receiver out of the backfield but as a runner from scrimmage, he has proven average at best. Against the Panthers, look for Bush to again have more success as a receiver. If he doesn’t find the end zone, he will not be a good fantasy producer.
Sleeper: Steve Smith, WR Carolina. The Saints DBs are 28th against the pass. Even with Vinny Testaverde at QB, Smith should be the focus of the Panthers’ attack and should find himself open frequently against the vulnerable New Orleans defense.

Oakland at Kansas City
Both of these teams are fading fast. The Chiefs have dropped three in a row but in the AFC’s Mild, Mild West, they are just a game out of first place. In days past, this was a great AFL rivalry game. Where have you gone, Len Dawson, Otis Taylor, Willie Lanier, Darryl Lamonica, George Blanda, Ben Davidson…This game won’t be pretty. Oakland is trying to end a 17-game losing streak against division opponents.

Stud: Kansas City Defense. The Raiders have trouble moving the ball and the Chiefs defense did a good job shutting down the Colts last week. Kansas City is tied for 8th in the league in points allowed. How many points do you think Oakland can score?
Dud: Dante Culpepper, QB Oakland. Culpepper put up a lot of yards last week against the Vikings but the Chiefs pass defense is much better than the Minnesota’s. Don’t look for big numbers from Culpepper who will probably be wondering when JaMarcus Russell will be taking his job.
Sleeper: Kolby Smith, RB Kansas City. With the retirement of Priest Holmes and Larry Smith still out of the lineup with an injured foot, unheralded Kolby Smith becomes the man. Still, the Raiders can’t stop the run at all and even an unknown like Smith should pick up solid yards this week.

Washington at Tampa Bay
The Bucs are alone in first place in the NFC South while the Redskins have fallen to 5-5 after a few tough division losses including last week’s close call against Dallas. Joe Gibbs and company know they have to win on Sunday to keep their fading Wild Card hopes alive. Both of these teams win with defense first. Jason Campbell of Washington has been showing improvement in recent weeks.

Stud: Clinton Portis, RB Washington. Portis was a non-factor last week against Dallas, gaining only 36 yards. It’s very tough to pass on Tampa’s defense while against the run, they are only average. Portis topped the 100-yard mark the previous two games and should get back on track on Sunday against the Bucs.
Dud: Jason Campbell, QB Washington. Campbell is definitely making steady progress. In the last two games, he has thrown 5 TDs and just 1 INT and last week, he topped the 300-yard mark for the first time. Unfortunately, Tampa Bay has the league’s 3rd best pass defense. Campbell isn’t consistent yet but he’s getting better. This just isn’t the week to expect big things out of him.
Sleeper: Jeff Garcia, QB Tampa Bay. Garcia is a smart QB who will find ways to exploit the banged up Redskins secondary. Even though he only completed 10 passes last week, he had 2 TDs. Washington’s pass defense will fall victim to the veteran duo of Joey Galloway and Ike Hilliard.

Minnesota at N.Y. Giants
The Giants rebounded with a big win over Detroit last Sunday and now look to stop the Vikings who edged the Raiders last week. The Vikings will most likely still be without rookie RB Adrian Peterson while the Giants are missing RB Brandon Jacobs. The big difference is that the Giants can move the ball consistently through the air while the Vikings are still struggling to do so.

Stud: Eli Manning, QB N.Y. Giants. Eli Manning is not an elite fantasy QB yet, but he has thrown 15 TDs in 10 games and will be facing the NFL’s worst pass defense. It’s very tough to run against the Vikings but Manning should be able to move the ball consistently through the air on Sunday.
Dud: Tarvaris Jackson, QB Minnesota. Jackson was very accurate last Sunday against Oakland but still only threw for 171 yards and did not throw a TD pass. The Giants lead the league in sacks and should force Jackson into some mistakes.
Sleeper: Chester Taylor, RB Minnesota. Taylor gained more than 200 total yards last week and scored 3 TDs. While the Giants have a better run defense than the lowly Raiders, Taylor will be the focal point of the Minnesota attack and should get plenty of touches on Sunday with solid if not spectacular results.

Seattle at St. Louis
It wasn’t long ago these two teams were meeting to decide the NFC title. The Seahawks are injury riddled but still lead the division at 6-4. The Rams have won two straight after starting 0-8 and are starting to find some consistency on offense after a rash of injuries decimated their offensive line and skill position players. The Rams would love nothing more than to play spoiler and hurt Seattle’s chances at the playoffs.

Stud: Matt Hasselbeck, QB Seattle. The Seahawks are a pass-first team, especially with Shaun Alexander still out of the lineup. Hasselbeck has also been consistent, throwing 2 TD passes in each of the last five games. The St. Louis defense doesn’t put much pressure on opposing QBs and is average at best. Look for Hasselbeck to have a good game.
Dud: Brian Leonard, RB St. Louis. With a healthy Steven Jackson back in the lineup, Leonard’s touches have diminished significantly. He is also nursing a minor groin injury. Don’t look for big numbers from him on Sunday.
Sleeper: Maurice Morris, RB Seattle. Morris has TDs in the last two games and has also gained 87 yards rushing each of the last two weeks. Look for similar results on Sunday.


Sunday 4:00 PM ET

San Francisco at Arizona
The Niners have lost eight straight and have the worst offense in the league. The Cards are a team moving in the right direction and have evened their record at 5-5. To stay in the Wild Card hunt, Arizona needs a win at home. Alex Smith is out and Trent Dilfer will start again for San Francisco.

Stud: Kurt Warner, QB Arizona. Warner has 5 TDs in his last two games and seems to be adjusting well to playing with his injured arm. He has plenty of weapons to throw to and will add to his numbers against the Niners this week.
Dud: Trent Dilfer, QB San Francisco. Dilfer has the thankless task of trying to make the San Francisco offense move. Arizona’s defense has been very opportunistic in recent weeks and has forced a lot of turnovers. San Francisco won’t explode for a lot of points.
Sleeper: Edgerrin James, RB Arizona. The Niners rank 24th against the run. While James has not gained a lot of yards the past few weeks, he has 2 TDs in the last 3 games and should find some running room against San Francisco as the Cards try to hold their lead.

Denver at Chicago
Both of these teams were expected to be contenders and both have been wildly inconsistent this season. The Broncos are tied for the lead in the AFC West despite being only 5-5. Chicago, last year’s NFL Super Bowl representative, has not gotten consistent play from their QBs and no longer has a dominating defense due mostly to injuries. Both teams need to win to keep themselves in the playoff picture.

Stud: Selvin Young, RB Denver. Young faces a Bears defense that is ranked 26th against the run. With Travis Henry held out of practice with a bad knee, Young should get most of the carries for Denver. The Broncos seemingly can run effectively with any RB back there. The Bears can’t seem to stop anybody from running.
Dud: Rex Grossman, QB Chicago. Grossman’s numbers weren’t so terrible last week against Seattle although he didn’t throw any TD passes. This week, he faces a tougher pass defense in Denver which features CBs Champ Bailey and Dre’ Bly.
Sleeper: Cedric Benson, RB Chicago. Benson showed flashes last week before the Bears stopped giving him the ball. He ran for 89 yards and a TD which gives him TDs in two straight games. The Denver run defense is 30th in the league. If Benson can ever have a good game statistically, this is it.

Baltimore at San Diego
The Ravens lost a game against Cleveland last week that they literally thought they had won after time expired in the 4th quarter. They are now 4-6 and fading fast from any remote hopes of making the playoffs. The Chargers wouldn’t be in much better shape if they weren’t in such a weak division. Both of these teams have been inconsistent underachievers this year.

Stud: Baltimore Defense. The Ravens defense is still ranked 6th overall and 2nd against the run. They seem to be built to stop the Chargers strengths and should have a good game if they can put pressure on Philip Rivers.
Dud: Kyle Boller, QB Baltimore. Boller threw for 279 yards last week against a weak Browns’ defense but only threw one TD. He faces a much better defense in San Diego, at least on paper. Boller is just not a fantasy stud.
Sleeper: Willis McGahee, RB Baltimore. San Diego is ranked 23rd against the run and McGahee is hot, having scored a TD in each of the last five games. He remains the focal point of the Baltimore attack.

Sunday 8:15 PM ET

Philadelphia at New England
Now it’s the Eagles turn to be sacrificial lambs against the mighty Pats. Too bad Philadelphia doesn’t have a healthy starting QB. Donovan McNabb says he will play but check his status to see if he can overcome a bruised thumb and a sprained ankle. New England will roll on national TV again.

Stud: Tom Brady, QB New England. Brady has 38 TD passes and has not thrown fewer than 3 TDs in any game. The Eagles pass defense is middle of the pack, but the Pats just have too many weapons.
Dud: Donovan McNabb, QB Philadelphia. If he is able to play, don’t look for a big game from McNabb. The Pats have 29 sacks, good for 4th in the league and are 5th in the NFL against the pass. McNabb has been inconsistent all year.
Sleeper: Randy Moss, WR New England. Moss had 4 TDs last week, has 16 on the season already and has at least one TD in every game except one this year. If you don’t play him and he’s on your roster, shame on you.

Monday 8:30 PM ET

Miami at Pittsburgh
The Dolphins are still looking for their first win of the year. They get the unenviable task of facing the Steelers in Pittsburgh (where they are 5-0) after they are coming off an embarrassing loss to the 2-8 Jets. The fact that the game is on national TV only adds to the Steelers desire to kick a little butt. Can the Dolphins pass the 76 Bucs and stay winless for the season? Stay tuned.

Stud: Willie Parker, RB Pittsburgh. The Dolphins are dead last in the league at stopping the run and Pittsburgh is a run-first offense. Parker should bounce back and go over the 1,000 yard mark for the season on Monday night.
Dud: John Beck, QB Miami. Beck will face a defense that blitzes from all over and is effective at disguising its coverages. That’s a tall order for a rookie making his second game, even if the Steelers don’t have Troy Polamalu in the lineup.
Sleeper: Ben Roethlisberger, QB Pittsburgh. “Big Ben” will be eager to bounce back from a poor showing against the Jets.

ROOKIE REPORT-DARRELLE REVIS (NYJ-CB)

By Ralph Mancini, Fantasy Football Insiders Senior Writer

Although the New York Jets might’ve had bigger holes to plug in their less-than-formidable defense during last April’s NFL Draft, you’d have to search far and wide for one anyone taking issue with their selection of the ultra-athletic and physical cornerback Darrelle Revis out of the University of Pittsburgh.
Not only did Jets management look at Revis as the top cornerback coming out of college, but they thought enough of the 5’ 11” 204-pound standout to trade up from the 25th to 14th slot to secure his services. During his collegiate years, the Aliquippa, Pennsylvania native established himself as an impact player worthy of a starting 11 of his first 12 games as a freshman.
Following his successful 2004 campaign in which he broke up or defended 26 passes, Revis went on to earn Big East first-team honors not only for his shutdown abilities in coverage, but also for his skills as a big-play artist on punt returns. He took his role as difference maker to another level as a senior by returning two interceptions for touchdowns versus the universities of Virginia and Cincinnati.
Revis’s signature game took place with his team locking horns with their heated rivals from the University of West Virginia in the infamous “Backyard Brawl.” It was during this game that the future first rounder authored a 73-yard punt return that saw him break numerous tackles before hitting pay dirt. The opening stage of Revis’s professional career was marred by a 20-day holdout during training camp. However, after three weeks of getting acclimated to his new surroundings, the determined 22-year-old was hell-bent on being an instant contributor for the Green and White.
In week one, the dynamic cornerback was one of Gang Green’s few bright spots as he showcased his hard tackling to the opposition. His nitty-gritty, hard-nosed play was particularly effective in week four as Revis kept coming with the blitz forcing Bills quarterback Trent Edwards into at least three incompletions.
In addition, the multi-faceted corner went on to also break up two pass plays and record his first NFL interception by getting underneath Buffalo receiver Roscoe Parrish and returning it 19 yards.
In that same game, however, Revis also exposed his deficiencies, looking uncomfortable in covering the slot receiver position. Edwards ended up throwing 11 times in his direction and completed nine of those pass attempts for 83 yards. His shortcomings in that game propelled him to work on his technique and improve his coverage, allowing him to better utilize his exceptional quickness.
Although Revis’s 4.53 forty time doesn’t quite match up with that of fellow rookie corner Leon Hall, who checks in with a 4.39, the young Jet has enough physical velocity to keep up with NFL wide outs on deep routes and patterns.
In addition, Revis is adept at jamming his adversaries at the line of scrimmage, depriving them of a clean release.
Athletically, Revis is the complete package as demonstrated by the fact that he not only played five different positions on his high school football team, but was also an outstanding basketball player and track runner. Much like a number of current NFL stars, Revis’s good bloodlines have allowed him to make a smooth transition into professional ball, and play with extreme confidence from the get-go.
In fact, the rising star has publicly stated that his uncle, former NFL defensive lineman Sean Gilbert, has been his role model and inspiration in his journey up the ranks.
His strong personality and leadership qualities have translated positively on the field. To date, Revis leads his team with 47 solo tackles. If Jets management successfully revamps their defensive corps in the off-season with more beef on the defensive line and one or two linebackers suited for their 3-4 scheme, look for Revis to flourish into a premiere playmaking ball-hawk with a nasty streak to match.

Wednesday, November 21, 2007

STOCK EXCHANGE

By The Fantasy Trader, NFL Draft Bible

I am just going to get this out of the way right now. I apologize for the Donovan McNabb prediction. He is extremely inconsistent and sorry if he burnt you last week. Hopefully you followed my advice on Chester Taylor and Andre Johnson. We have a bunch of guys to get to this week so here we go.


RB Kolby Smith- is a must start for LJ and Priest Holmes owners. He has only gained 60 yards in 15 touches, but faces a miserable Raiders defense. The Raiders are allowing over 150 yards rushing per game and have given up 16 rushing touchdowns. Smith has not looked all that impressive, but if you are not going to start him against Oakland then why bother having him?

QB Vince Young- started doing VY things again against the Broncos. He threw two late interceptions, but got back to scrambling and notched a rushing TD. He is a must start against a terrible Bengals secondary. They rank 26th in passing defense and will have a difficult time maintaining coverage when Young leaves the pocket. VY has been up and down so far, but needs to start this week.

WR Deion Branch- needed a week to get his feet wet. He had only three catches in his return, but should breakout against the Rams. The last time Branch visited St. Louis he scored two touchdowns. I expect a high scoring game between these two pass happy teams. The injury to Shaun Alexander may have been the best thing to happen to the Seahawks offense.

WR Brandon Marshall-
has officially arrived. He has over 750 yards receiving and has become Jay Cutler’s #1 WR. The Broncos are back in contention and should receive help with the return of Javon Walker. The Bears are not as scary as they used to be. Chicago is giving up over 220 yards against the pass.

QB David Garrard-
might be the answer to your QB woes. Garrard has returned and has scored double digit fantasy points in his last three games. He is still available in over 40% of fantasy leagues. He is a better choice than J.P. Losman, Jason Campbell or Jeff Garcia. He goes against a Bills defense that ranks 27th against the pass. They have surrendered 17 passing touchdowns.


RB Reuben Droughns- should be picked up by all Brandon Jacobs owners. Jacobs is doubtful this week against the Viking and I expect Droughns to start. Even if Derrick Ward is healthy enough to give it a go, Droughns will still vulture a TD. The big back also knows a little bit about starting. He rushed for over 1,200 yards with the Broncos in 2004 and the Browns in 2005.

RB Cedric Benson- is starting to look like the first round pick fantasy owners were hoping for. Since his tirade to the media, Benson has scored in back to back weeks. This week he should make it three in a row against the Broncos. Denver ranks 30th in rushing defense and is giving up 150 yards per game. Rex Grossman is not scaring anybody, so if Chicago is going to be successful it will be with Benson.

WR Jerricho Cotchery- will be the Jets #1 WR on Thanksgiving against the Cowboys. Laveranues Coles is doubtful and that should lead to more opportunities for Cotchery. The Cowboys secondary was torn apart by Jason Campbell, but Dallas does shut down the run. The Jets will pass often and this could be Kellen Clemens’ breakout game.

The Buzz

By Fantasy Phil Eletto, Senior Fantasy Football Insiders

Usually, the more the season progresses, the more you would expect to get to some sense of stability. Fat chance this year—nobody can hit at 100%, but we at Fantasy Football Insiders try to get you in line to (at the very least) know the options so there are no surprises at the waiver deadline. Unlike some other buzzes (Ya hear me Ricky Williams?), this should help you stay on top of your game. Enough of the stuffing, let’s carve up this turkey…

Of little surprise out of Kansas City camp, Larry Johnson will miss another week. Not expected was the news that Priest Holmes once again is expected to retire following his latest neck injury. Holmes re-injured his neck in Sunday's 13-10 loss to the Indianapolis Colts and his career is in doubt, FOXSports.com has learned. Holmes returned from a nearly two-year hiatus earlier this season, an absence that was also a result of a neck injury. Hope you didn’t jump off the Kolby Smith bandwagon last week.

As predicted here last week, the Texans offense was in mid season form despite having its full starting lineup playing together for the first time since September, when Andre Johnson last played. In his absence, Matt Schaub was forced to develop chemistry with other receivers and the result is a more balanced attack.

Yet another of last week’s predictions came true--not only did Chester Taylor prove to be a capable replacement for injured Adrian Peterson, he went ballistic. He will get one maybe two more games until Peterson is expected to return. Taylor is a must play for you in all games he is expected to start.

In a continuing trend with Brodie Croyle running the Kansas City offense, Tony Gonzalez’s loss seems to be Dwayne Bowe’s good fortune. His match-ups have not been at all favorable the last two weeks, but his production has. His eleven pass targets were more than the other three wide receivers and Gonzalez COMBINED.

Vince Young looked like his old self and reclaims his value now that his legs are again a weapon. That is what was missing since he came back from his injured quadriceps and those legs will keep defenses honest, allowing him the time he needs to go through his progressions. Five Titans’ receivers had four or more targets. Good thing because LenDanle White seems to be wearing down lately.

Panther wide receiver Steve Smith and his injured shin is expected to play on Sunday against New Orleans, the Charlotte Observer reported. "I think there's a much better chance (of his playing) this week than say, later in the week last week," coach John Fox said. “I feel better this Monday than I did last Monday.” Backup receiver Drew Carter started for him last week and had 5 catches for 132 yards and a TD. Keary Colbert chipped in with five catches on 14 targets.

Travis Henry’s hearing will be Friday. Broncos coach Mike Shanahan said that if Henry’s test was positive, he would not be on the football team. “We’ll let due process take care of itself … but if the test was positive, after what he promised me, he would not be on this football team.” So here’s the deal: If Henry is not suspended, he’s the starter if healthy, but Selvin Young should play about 20-25% of the time when healthy. If Henry is out and Young is healthy (he left the game with a knee injury but is reportedly fine), he’s the guy, with Andre Hall (he of the 62 yard touchdown run and 89 total yards on seven touches last week) the change-of-pace (basically Young’s role when Henry is playing). Brandon Marshall showed that he is THE playmaker in this offense while Brandon Stokley plays the role of Wes Welker in the Broncos offense.

Shanahan also stated that injured receiver Javon Walker is probably a “long shot” to play next Monday, “He’s got to get extra reps during the week… I’m keeping my fingers crossed.” Walker had consecutive 100 yard receiving games to open the season, but has not played since.

You have to hand it to old man Jamal Lewis. No doubt there is plenty of mileage on those legs yet he came up big against a Baltimore defense that still fields a strong front seven. Maybe there was a little extra fire playing against the team that dealt him, but the Browns’ passing game has been stellar and his remaining schedule shouldn’t scare anyone from starting him until he proves otherwise.

Another surprising back with a schedule that will only aid his production, Earnest Graham, continues to produce—and his 100 yard game came with Michael Pittman available ready for duty.

What to make of Thomas Jones? He has not produced the numbers many hoped for as the Jets featured back, but an insider suggests it may be lack of carries that is to blame. Whether it’s a lack of opportunity or the ability of Kellen Clemens to stretch the field more than Chad Pennington, it is worth noting that Jones was the first player to run for 100 yards against the Steelers in 35 games, dating back to 2005.

Maurice Morris seems to be finding his place in the offense and capitalizing on the focus teams are placing on stopping the Seahawks’ passing game. Expect him to get another start this week

T.J. Houshmandzedah may be slowed by a hip injury he suffered last week. His numbers may take a hit this week, but Carson Palmer should not miss a beat thanks to a red-hot Chris Henry and his fresh legs.

David Garrard is back and so are his unspectacular but efficient numbers--he simply is not making mistakes. If you want a quarterback that only gets you positive points, he is your man.

Roy Williams has trended upward though he’s still not putting up numbers equal to draft day expectations. With Kevin Jones seemingly slowing by the week, look for the cream to rise to the top. In this offense that means Williams and Shaun Macdonald who (see below) is putting up numbers as good or better than most any #3 receiver on a fantasy roster.

Ricky Williams bay not have a big impact on Jesse Chatman’s numbers, but if he’s active for any games, he will undoubtedly not help. He is a sexy name, but the possibility of him demonstrating any value other than a “stash and hold” for next year would be a huge surprise.

Quick Hits
The Colts are not committing to a timetable for Marvin Harrison’s return. "We're hoping for this week," Tony Dungy said. "Realistically, maybe Jacksonville (on Dec. 2), but we'll see." Anthony Gonzalez hopes to return this week and would assume Harrison's spot.

Packers’ coach Mike McCarthy is hopeful Ryan Grant’s mild ankle sprain will not keep him out of Thursday’s game against the Lions.

Santonio Holmes is doubtful for this Monday’s game, but there is plenty of time between now and then so stay with us this for updates throughout the week.

Brandon Jacobs has had an all or nothing season. Unfortunately we are on currently on “tails” as he again is down with a strained hamstring and may miss the next game. The healing Derrick Ward will again be looked to shoulder the load is his return from ankle and groin injuries.

It seems the collapse of the 49er offense claimed Frank Gore as its latest victim. He goes down as the latest top 10 back to disappoint.

Willie Parker and Rudi Johnson have been on cold streaks lately. Although Rudi was a buy low suggestion here weeks ago, keep him there. He may have not panned out, but expect Parker to rebound from this funk and log at least his usual yardage numbers.

With Laveranues Coles out again, Jerricho Cotchery will see as much action as turkeys across America this Thursday.

D. J. Hackett has been the main beneficiary of the focus Seattle has put on its passing game. The return to health of Deion Branch will bump him down to number two receiver status, but that should only make things easier for Hackett. He’s only been back in the lineup for 3 games, racking up 23 catches, 295 yards and a score in each game and what receiver report would be complete without noting his 31 pass targets?

Laurence Maroney suffered a foot injury Sunday night. His status will be updated later this week. We will have updates as they are made available.

“Throw Me the Damn Ball”
Players who had ten or more passes directed at them last week:
Braylon Edwards 16
Marques Colston 15
Shaun McDonald 15
Keary Colbert 14
Larry Fitzgerald 13
Randy Moss 13
D. J. Hackett 12
Derrick Mason 12
Bernard Berrian 12
Santana Moss 12
T.J. Houshmandzadeh 12
Warrick Dunn 12
Chris Henry 11
Chad Johnson 11
Dwayne Bowe 11
Michael Jenkins 11
Bobby Engram 11
Antwaan Randle El 11
Terrell Owens 11
Jerry Porter 11
Torry Holt 11
Plaxico Burress 11
Roy Williams 11
Isaac Bruce 11
Chris Cooley 10
Dallas Clark 10
Chris Chambers 10
Justin Gage 10

Please note our new feature and feel free to offer your comments by clicking the red COMMENT link. If this doesn’t get you “buzzed” enough, feel free to fire questions to me at phil@nfldraftbible.com or tune in Sundays at 10:30 AM to www.scrubradio.com for the fantasy spot hosted by Jib Records www.jibmachinerecords.com. CEO John Templeman and I will be happy to discuss all things fantasy football. You can also check out our weekly podcast, posted every Saturday (this week on Thursday) covering all the upcoming NFL games. It can be found on the “audio” tab at the top of the NFLDraftBible.com media player.
Rock on!

Monday, November 19, 2007

Busted, Bruised & Broken

By David Kaye, Fantasy Football Insiders

AFC Injury Report
New York Jets wide receiver Laveranues Coles (ankle) is not expected to play in Thursday's Thanksgiving showdown against the 9-1 Cowboys.

Buffalo Bills standout running back Marshawn Lynch (ankle) sat out Sunday's blowout loss to the undefeated Patriots and is listed as questionable for next week's game at Jacksonville. According to head coach Dick Jauron, Lynch has a ''substantial sprain and injury'' and it does not look likely that he'll be able to suit up for Sunday's game.

Cincinnati Bengals wide receiver T.J. Houshmandzadeh (back) is probable for Sunday's game against Tennessee.

Pittsburgh Steelers electric wide receiver Santonio Holmes (sprained ankle) sustained the injury during Sunday's disparaging road loss to the woeful Jets and is questionable for Sunday night's game against the winless Dolphins.

Indianapolis Colts star wideout Marvin Harrison (knee) has not played in the past five games and it's highly unlikely that he'll participate in Thursday's game at Atlanta. Harrison has been an extreme disappoint this season, accumulating one touchdown and 247 yards receiving in five games.

Fellow wide receiver Anthony Gonzalez (hand) is probable for Thursday's game with the Falcons. Gonzalez has not played since a week nine loss to the Patriots.

Houston Texans tight end Owen Daniels (broken nose) is probable for Sunday's game against the upstart Browns.

Jacksonville Jaguars linebacker Mike Peterson (broken hand) will be out indefinitely and possibly the remainder of the season after sustaining this devastating injury in Sunday's victory over the Chargers. As the team's leader in tackles and a true force in the locker room, Peterson's loss will be a substantial blow to the Jags playoff aspirations.

Oakland Raiders rookie running back Michael Bush (knee) is expected to be activated from the physically unable to perform list later this week.

NFC Injury Report
New York Giants running back Brandon Jacobs (hamstring) left Sunday's win over the Lions in the third quarter with a pulled hamstring and is questionable for next week's game against the Vikings.

Another Giant, linebacker Mathias Kiwanuka (fractured fibula) will miss the rest of the season after undergoing surgery on his broken left leg Monday.

Philadelphia Eagles All-Pro quarterback Donovan McNabb (sprained right ankle) underwent an MRI Monday that revealed partial swelling and his status for Sunday's game against the unstoppable Patriots is still uncertain.

Green Bay Packers running back Ryan Grant (ankle sprain) is listed as day-to-day.

Minnesota Vikings star rookie running back Adrian Peterson (ankle) has not been ruled out for Sunday's matchup with the Giants, but it currently appears highly unlikely that the speedster will be able to suit up.

Ones To Watch

By Ralph Mancini, Draft Bible Senior Writer

TROY SMITH (BAL-QB)- At 4-6, the Ravens might only be a loss or two away from giving some extra playing time to their younger, untested players. One of these is rookie quarterback Troy Smith. Built more like a halfback at 6’ 0” 225 pounds, Smith is an ultra-athletic passer that will probably make more plays with his legs than his arms in the early going. The 2006 Heisman trophy winner has natural leadership qualities and remarkable toughness.

KYLE ECKEL (NE-RB)- Eckel had a season-high 10 carries for 40 yards and a touchdown in New England’s 56-10 shellacking of the Buffalo Bills. The former Naval Academy standout is a hard, straight-ahead plowhorse, who may see added time as the Patriots will probably continue to hand him the pigskin while running out the clock in their blowout losses. The 245-pound Eckel is a powerful short-yardage runner.

SINORICE MOSS (NYG-WR)- Moss finally gave fans a glimpse of what he can do when healthy (four receptions for 46 yards) by serving as Eli Manning’s safety valve on underneath routes and gaining yardage after the catch. The one-time Miami Hurricane should be called upon more frequently in the coming weeks due to Plaxico Burress’s ankle injury and Amani Toomer’s lack of big-play ability.

DEVARD DARLING (BAL-WR)- In Baltimore’s overtime loss to Cleveland, Darling had a career day by serving as Kyle Boller’s deep threat to the tune of 107 yards and a touchdown on only four receptions. The 6’ 1” 215-pound wide out may continue getting more snaps if Demetrius Williams’s high ankle sprain keeps him out for an extended period of time. Darling is much better at going long than he is at running short routes.

KEVIN BOSS (NYG-TE)- The 6’ 6” 252-pound rookie has shown flashes of outstanding athleticism and running ability despite only having two catches for 33 yards so far this season. The former basketball player at the University of Western Oregon might soon see a few more balls thrown his way on a Giants offense that’s been losing some steam in recent weeks.

Searching the Scrap Heap

By Ralph Mancini, Draft Bible Senior Writer

BRODIE CROYLE (KC-QB)- Despite failing to the light up the stat sheet (19 completions, 169 yards and a touchdown), the Chiefs’ newly-installed starter did enough to earn the confidence of his coaching staff by masterfully spreading the ball to his supporting cast and out producing his counterpart Peyton Manning. The strong-armed Croyle displayed nice touch on his 19-yard scoring toss to Dwayne Bowe. The strong-armed 24-year-old faces off versus a fading Oakland Raider team next week that has lost six straight contests.

RON DAYNE (HOU-RB)- Yes, he’s fat and painfully slow, but with Ahman Green possibly out for the remainder of the season, the much-maligned Ron Dayne is the man the Houston Texans are hitching their wagon to. The 1999 Heisman Trophy winner convincingly cemented himself as the team’s lead runner by gaining 89 yards on 21 carries along with three receptions for 26 yards versus the Saints. Dayne seems very comfortable running behind coach Gary Kubiak’s zone-blocking offensive line.

DREW CARTER (CAR-WR)- Since scoring two touchdowns in week one, Carter’s performances have been rather non-descript until this week’s explosion against the Green Bay Packers, which saw the 6’ 3” wide out record five catches for 132 yards and one touchdown. While it’s fair to point out that Carter’s production may at least partly be due to the absence of Steve Smith, it’s also worth mentioning that the former Ohio State standout does possess excellent deep speed which could pose problems for defenders with the cannon-armed Vinny Testaverde behind center.

TED GINN JR. (MIA-WR)- Previously highlighted in Ones to Watch, rookie Ted Ginn Jr. is beginning to show why the Dolphins thought so highly of him when selecting the speedster with their ninth overall selection in last April’s draft. In addition to scoring Miami’s lone touchdown versus the Eagles on an 87-yard punt return, Ginn also had four catches for 52 yards. With Chris Chambers out of the picture, there’s no reason why this rookie can’t become the focal point of the Dolphin passing game. Look for coach Cam Cameron to continue devising ways to utilize Ginn’s game-breaking abilities.

MARCUS POLLARD (SEA-TE)- After missing two games due to injury, Pollard has slowly been rounding into form. In Seattle’s latest win over Chicago, the 35-year-old gained 33 yards on two receptions. Pollard may be useful in Mike Holmgren’s wide-open offense where quarterback Matt Hasselbeck has attempted forty or more passes in four of his last five games.

ARIZONA DEFENSE – Defensive coordinator Clancy Pendergast did a phenomenal job of tutoring his players on how to properly defend the variety of square-ins and dig routes typically run by Cincinnati’s receivers. The Cardinals defensive unit gave Bengals quarterback Carson Palmer fits and forced him into throwing a career-high four interceptions---three of which were registered by defensive back Antrel Rolle. Imagine the possibilities when the Trent Dilfer-led 49ers come to visit in week 12

Sunday, November 18, 2007

2008 NFL MOCK DRAFT

Rick Serritella

*Underclassmen Not Eligible

1. Miami – Jake Long (OT), Michigan
2. St. Louis – Glenn Dorsey (DT), LSU
3. New York Jets – Chris Long (DE), Virginia
4. New England (from San Francisco) – Mike Jenkins (CB), South Florida
5. Oakland – Sedrick Ellis, (DT), USC
6. Cincinnati – Quentin Groves (DE), Auburn
7. Atlanta – Brian Brohm (QB), Louisville
8. Minnesota – Gosder Cherilus (OT), Boston College
9. Arizona – Dan Conner (LB), Penn State
10. New Orleans – Keith Rivers (LB), USC
11. Baltimore – Antoine Cason (CB), Arizona
12. Kansas City – Sam Baker (OT), USC
13. Houston – DeJuan Tribble (CB), Boston College
14. Carolina – Frank Okam (DT), Texas
15. Denver – Shawn Crable (LB), Michigan
16. Chicago – Barry Richardson (OT), Clemson
17. Philadelphia – Early Doucet (WR), LSU
18. Seattle – Terrell Thomas (CB), USC
19. Dallas (from Cleveland) – Adarius Bowman (WR), Oklahoma State
20. Tampa Bay – Lawrence Jackson (DE), LSU
21. Buffalo – Philip Wheeler (LB), Georgia Tech
22. San Diego – Mike Hart (RB), Michigan
23. Washington – Xavier Adibi (LB), Virginia Tech
24. Tennessee – Simeon Castille (S), Alabama
25. New York Giants – Steve Justice (C), Wake Forest
26. Jacksonville – Ali Highsmith (LB), LSU
27. Detroit – Fred Davis (TE), USC
28. Pittsburgh – Dominique Rodgers-Cromartie, Tennessee State
29. San Francisco (from Indianapolis) – D.J. Hall (WR), Alabama
30. Green Bay – Matt Ryan (QB), Boston College
31. Dallas – Chris Ellis (DE), Virginia Tech
32. New England – Pick Forfeited

Thursday, November 8, 2007

WEEK TEN FANTASY PREVIEW

Buffalo @ Miami
J.P. Losman is usually pretty nasty. People pointed to his bomb to Lee Evans two weeks ago against the Jets and proclaimed him “back”, but those people didn’t seem to notice that he under-threw Evans, that Darelle Revis actually had his hands on the ball, and that Jets weirdo backup Abram Elam careened into Revis, releasing Evans and the ball from Revis’ grasp and allowing Evans to trot into the endzone. Good job, Losman. You’re a stud. But seriously, despite my disdain for him, Losman had a nice game against the inept Bengals, and will have a nice game against the inept Dolphins too. The same goes for Evans, who seems to be back if only because Losman bombs it to him a lot. Josh Reed is also a nice desperation play with Roscoe Parrish banged up. Derek Hagan got the most looks in Miami’s last game, but he and Marty Booker are both uninspiring with Cleo Lemon at QB. Keep an eye on top pick Ted Ginn, who caught a TD in their last game.

Cleveland @ Pittsburgh
This will be a true test for the Browns, who are lighting up opposing defenses. Braylon Edwards and Kellen Winslow have been must-starts for weeks now, and Derek Anderson has been great. The Browns were blown out in Week 1 against the Steelers, but the offense has improved since then, and you can start Anderson. Jamal Lewis is a definite sit. Cleveland still can’t stop the pass, which means Roethlisberger is a must start here. Hines Ward has been very active since coming back from injury, and Santonio Holmes and even Nate Washington look to have solid games. Cleveland also allows almost a TD per game to TEs, so start Heath Miller as well.

Philadelphia @ Washington
Clinton Portis had 196 last week, but I give plenty of credit to the Jets for that one. Philly’s D is a different story, and Portis struggled in their last game with the Eagles. Santana Moss and Antwaan Randle El also have tough matchups. The Eagles’ WRs will also have a tough time. Reggie Brown seems to have arrived despite a rough game last week, but the Redskins are a tough defense.

Denver @ Kansas City
If the Packers can run on the Broncos, anyone can. My gut says Priest Holmes does more in this game than rookie Kolby Smith at RB. Smith has not been very active yet this year, and Priest got some carries last week. Dwayne Bowe has certainly cooled down for the last few weeks, and has a bad matchup against Champ Bailey, most likely. Travis Henry’s status remains in doubt. This will be a weekly headache with Mike Shanahan, so make sure you have Selvin Young ready to insert at the last second. Brandon Stokley has caught a TD in 2 of his last 3 games, and is a decent option if you need him.

Jacksonville @ Tennessee
This could be another fantasy stinker. LenDale White has established himself, but will have trouble against Jacksonville’s stout run D. Vince Young is a good QB, but he is not startable in fantasy this year, and doesn’t use any of his receivers in a useful, predictable way. For Jacksonville, start MJD as usual, but Fred Taylor is a sit.

St. Louis @ New Orleans
Quinn Gray threw for 354 on the Saints. Quinn Gray. Marc Bulger has to have a good game here, doesn’t he? New Orleans is actually holding opposing runners to under 90 yards per game, but if Steven Jackson starts, you have to play him. Marques Colston has returned as Brees’ favorite target, but start David Patten and even Lance Moore if you need him in deeper leagues. All three should be productive here. Devery Henderson is over.

Atlanta @ Carolina
DeShaun Foster really looks like the only player with a good matchup in this game. I don’t want any part of Carolina’s passing game. Warrick Dunn finally had a 100 yard game last week, but Carolina stops the run fairly well. Roddy White is the only startable Falcons WR, but he also doesn’t have a great matchup.

Minnesota @ Green Bay
If there’s one thing I feel confident writing every week, it’s that the RB facing Minny will have a rough game. Sorry Ryan Grant. On the other hand, Brett Favre and his receivers will have a great day. Adrian Peterson is obviously amazing, but the more amazing he gets, the worse things look for Chester Taylor. The Packers are good against the run anyway, so sit him.

Cincinnati @ Baltimore
Everyone’s throwing on the Ravens right now, and Cincinnati should follow suit. I’d sit both Rudi Johnson and Kenny Watson if you can afford to, but start everyone in their passing game. The Ravens’ offense is abysmal right now, and Steve McNair looks way way over the hill, but he has a chance to turn it on again in this game. I wouldn’t count on it, but if, say, you have Tom Brady on bye, and are really desperate for a spot start, you can gamble on McNair.

Dallas @ New York Giants
Patrick Crayton has all but disappeared of late, and Terrell Owens got 12 of the 13 looks to WRs in their last game. He and Witten are dominating, so keep Crayton on your bench for now. Noteworthy was a goal line carry for Julius Jones last week, in which he scored, but don’t expect this to be a trend. Eli Manning has suffered from a very effective run game the last few weeks, but Dallas can stop the run. Eli will have to move the ball through the air in this one, which means lots of jump balls to Burress, and even some looks for Amani Toomer.

Chicago @ Oakland
In writing this column, I am often put in the difficult position of having to recommend players that I hate. I did it earlier with J.P. Losman (ugh). I’m tempted to do it again here with Cedric Benson, the bustiest bust of a Chicago RB since Curtis Enis and Rashaan Salaam (that is busty company), but I won’t. Benson looks as though he has little interest in playing, and if he couldn’t run on Detroit 2 weeks ago I have no reason for optimism here. In a face-saving move reminiscent of the great tandem of James Dolan and Isiah Thomas (my Knicks are a disgrace…), Bears GM Jerry Angelo stated publicly that he was happy with Benson’s progress thus far. It’s nice that he’s supporting his boy here, but come on. Come. On. So, to summarize: do not start Cedric Benson. They must be close to giving the other Adrian Peterson a shot, right? Justin Fargas has become the feature back in Oakland, and has a great matchup against the curiously porous Bears.

Detroit @ Arizona
Kurt Warner is another QB to look at for Tom Brady’s bye week. Arizona had a terrible game last week, but they face Detroit this week. Start Edgerrin James as well. Start all your usual Lions including Kevin Jones, who has officially arrived, and is no longer a reluctant start for me. This has the potential to be an offensive explosion, so get these guys in your lineups.

Indianapolis @ San Diego
Joseph Addai looked unstoppable last week, and Kenton Keith is even more officially not a threat. If Marvin Harrison doesn’t play, Aaron Moorehead will start in place of the injured Anthony Gonzalez. Moorehead isn’t all that inspiring, but he is a man receiving Peyton Manning passes. Chris Chambers is definitely receiving most of the WR targets for San Diego, but Indy doesn’t allow much to opposing receivers.

San Francisco @ Seattle
San Fran is bad this year in just about every way. Frank Gore looks like another game-time decision, but he’s been really lame this season anyway. Maurice Hicks scored last week has a decent matchup here if he gets the start. Vernon Davis is also improving, and is becoming a reliable start. Seattle is slowly getting its receivers back, but Bobby Engram keeps producing. He is looking like he’ll remain reliable as a possession receiver, and PPR leaguers in particular need to keep starting him. D.J. Hackett had a solid return with 6 catches and a TD, and is looking like a solid play going forward, including this week.

Tuesday, November 6, 2007

BUSTED BRUISED & BROKEN

David Kaye, FFI

AFC Injury Report
New England Patriots running back Sammy Morris (chest) was placed on injured reserve last week and will miss the remainder of the season.

Buffalo Bills wide receiver Roscoe Parrish (thigh contusion) left Sunday’s victory over the woeful Bengals early and is listed as questionable for this week’s matchup against the winless Dolphins.

Cincinnati Bengals All-Pro wide receiver Chad Johnson (sprained neck) was carted off the field during the fourth quarter of Sunday’s loss and the severity of his injury is unknown at this point. While the CT scan administrated to Johnson after the game came back negative, it is still too early to question whether the electrifying wideout will be able to suit up for Sunday’s game against the division rival Ravens.

The reoccurring knee injuries for Houston Texans running back Ahman Green surfaced again in Sunday’s road victory at Oakland as he was forced to leave the game early. Green has missed three games this season and has transpired into a monumental disappointment for the coaching staff. He’s currently listed as probable for November 18th against the streaking Saints.

Indianapolis Colts wide receiver Marvin Harrison (knee) has missed the previous two games and is questionable for Sunday night’s showdown against the Chargers.

Rookie Anthony Gonzalez (hand) sustained a broken bone and is also questionable for this weekend’s game.

Kansas City Chiefs Pro Bowl running back Larry Johnson (foot sprain) was relegated to crutches following Sunday’s home loss to the Packers and it appears highly unlikely that he’ll be able to play this weekend against Denver.

Wide receiver Dwayne Bowe (hamstring) is probable for Sunday’s game against the Broncos.

Denver Broncos quarterback Jay Cutler (leg contusion) was badly hit in the lower leg by 340 pound defensive tackle Shaun Rogers during the second quarter of Sunday’s blowout loss to Detroit and his status for this weekend’s contest is still unknown. Initially, Cutler believed he suffered a hairline fracture in his leg, but an MRI confirmed that he had staved off a serious injury.

Running back Travis Henry (knee) is questionable for Sunday’s game at Kansas City after sitting out the forth quarter of Sunday’s 44-7 loss.

NFC Injury Report
Minnesota Vikings quarterback Tarvaris Jackson (concussion) was carted off the field during the second quarter of Sunday’s surprising 35-17 victory over the Chargers and is listed as questionable for this weekend’s game at Green Bay.

Carolina Panthers multi-versatile wide receiver Steve Smith (hip contusion) is currently probable for Sunday’s game against the Falcons.

Quarterback David Carr (concussion) is questionable for Sunday’s matchup with Atlanta after being hit by defensive tackle Tony Brown in the fourth quarter. Carr was sacked seven times in Sunday’s 20-7 loss to the Titans.

Atlanta Falcons running back Jerious Norwood (right ankle) is questionable for Sunday’s game at Carolina after injuring his ankle twice against the 49ers.

St. Louis Rams running back Steven Jackson (back) is expected to suit up against the Saints as his team searches for their first victory of the season.

Seattle Seahawks wide receiver Deion Branch (knee) has missed the past three games and has not been in the lineup since week five at Pittsburgh. He’s questionable for Monday night’s game against San Francisco.

Monday, November 5, 2007

WAIVER WIRE HELP

SEARCHING THE SCRAP HEAP
QUINN GRAY (QB-JAX)-
Far from a finished product, Gray has been making strides since an embarrassing Monday night performance versus Indianapolis two weeks ago. Against the Saints, the career-backup showed his big-play ability by completing an 80-yard touchdown pass to Reggie Williams. On the day, Gray connected on 20 of 33 pass attempts for 354 yards and two touchdowns. While his three interceptions may be a bit disconcerting, there’s no doubt that this former NFL Europa championship winner has the physical tools to be a competent passer. Gray will have to put the ball in the air in next week’s matchup with a Tennessee Titans defense ranked first in rushing yards allowed to the opposition.

KELLEN CLEMENS (QB-NYJ)- Previously featured in Ones to Watch, the 24-year-old Clemens is clear upgrade over the ragged-armed Chad Pennington. In Sunday’s overtime loss to the Redskins, Clemens was out of sync with his receivers on some plays, but did an excellent job of delivering most of his throws on a rope in completing 23 of 42 passes for 226 yards and one touchdown. The second-year signal caller will have no choice but to air it out 35 to 40 times a game this season on a defensively-challenged New York Jets squad that will be hard pressed to stop anyone from scoring big points.

J.P. LOSMAN (QB-BUF)- Losman did his job, and then some, versus an ineffective Bengals defense by unleashing his cannon arm to the tune of 295 yards and a touchdown along with gaining 21 yards on the ground. The erratic quarterback was in control for most of he game with the exception of a woefully-underthrown strike to Lee Evans which landed in the hands of cornerback Leon Hall. Losman is a definite start in next week’s game against the Dolphins provided that Trent Edwards sits out another week with his wrist ailment.

PRIEST HOLMES (RB-KC)- The diagnosis on Larry Johnson’s lower-leg injury could make the 34-year-old Holmes the free agent pickup of the week. Holmes isn’t the player he once was, but a larger workload should enable him to be a productive runner even if his old highlight-reel plays may be a thing of the past. The former star is still a quality receiver out of the backfield.

REGGIE WILLIAMS (WR-JAX)- The 6’4” Williams may not be the most dynamic receiver around, but he does know how to score. The University of Washington product finally flashed some big ability on a 80-yard touchdown reception versus the Saints---his fourth of the season. The 24-year-old wide out is still young enough to significantly improve and shed the bust tag that many have labled him with.

D.J. HACKETT (WR-SEA)-
Billed as everyone’s fantasy sleeper prior to the start of the season, Hackett has fallen off the radar screen ever since going down with a high ankle sprain. In his return to action versus Cleveland, the young receiver scored a 6-yard touchdown on a inside slant play. In total, Hackett recorded 6 receptions for 58 yards. The 6’2” wide out is a strong player with good downfield speed, who plays with exceptional determination.

VERNON DAVIS (TE-SF)- There’s really no way Vernon Davis should be available in anyone’s league, but in the off chance he is---claim him right now! Back healthy after a sprained MCL injury earlier in the year, Davis has been the one bright spot on an anemic 49ers offense the past two weeks. In San Francisco’s week 9 loss to the Falcons, Davis caught seven passes for 79 yards and was stopped one yard short of hitting pay dirt. This physical freak is poised for a huge second half.

ONES TO WATCH
KEVIN KOLB (QB-PHI)-
Can the Kevin Kolb era be too far away with another uninspiring performance by Donovan McNabb, who seemed obsessed (as he has all year) with throwing dump-off passes to running back Brian Westbrook in Philadelphia’s embarrassing 38-17 loss at home. By all indications, McNabb will not be resigned at the end of the season leaving Kolb as the heir apparent to lead the Eagle offense in 2008. At 6’3” 218 pounds, Kolb is a big quarterback armed with a quick release, mobility, arm strength and good decision-making skills.

MAURICE HICKS (RB-SF)- Hicks and Michael Robinson filled in for a hobbled Frank Gore versus Atlanta in week nine. While Robinson received most of the carries, Hicks displayed better big-play ability by rushing for 49 yards on only seven carries, including a nine-yard touchdown run.

MICHAEL ROBINSON (RB-SF)- In filling in for the injured Frank Gore, Robinson gained a workmanlike 67 yards on 17 carries. While fellow back Maurice Hicks is the more explosive player, Robinson is the bigger man (6’1” 218 pounds) who’ll be better equipped to take on the majority of the carries if Gore sits out for an extended period of time.

T.J. DUCKETT (RB-DET)- Previously highlighted in Ones to Watch during the preseason, Duckett has reappeared on the scene by gaining 48 yards on only five carries, including a three yard touchdown run versus the Broncos in week nine. In the coming weeks, Detroit may be looking to save lead runner Kevin Jones from taking too much punishment and make the 250-pounder their primary option on short-yardage and goal-line plays.

TIM DWIGHT (WR-OAK)- This journeyman may have some value on a Raiders squad plagued with a dearth of downfield threats. Dwight was on the receiving end of a 28-yard touchdown pass from Josh McCown in Oakland’s 24-17 loss at the hands of the Houston Texans. The one-time Atlanta Falcon is a smallish wide out with superior run-after-catch skills.

BILLY MILLER (TE-NO)- It was Miller time in New Orleans this Sunday as backup tight end Billy Miller posted a season-high 75 yards on three catches, including a 57-yard reception. The eight-year professional may be getting some more looks in the coming weeks behind a injury-prone Eric Johnson. Playing with a red-hot Drew Brees is also a plus.

SCOTT SUISHAM (K-WASH)-
Suisham was the difference maker in Washington’s 23-20 overtime-win over the lowly New York Jets by connecting on four field goals---three of which came from 40 yards and beyond. The native Canadian displayed remarkable accuracy on all his kicks with all four of them splitting the uprights. Suisham could be an intriguing fantasy option in weeks 11 and 12, as the Redskins travel to warm-weather sites in their games versus the Cowboys and Buccaneers respectively.