Thursday, October 11, 2007

WEEK 6 FANTASY PREVIEW

Houston @ Jacksonville
After allowing about a million yards (well, more like 175) to Chris Brown in Week 1, Jacksonville has completely shut down opposing runners, including Travis Henry and LJ. Whether or not Ahman Green comes back this week, the Texans’ running game is a big-time sit this week. The Jags also shut down the pass pretty well, and no Texans receivers are particularly inspiring, but if you need one, I’d go with Andre Davis over Kevin Walter. As for the Jaguars, Maurice Jones-Drew finally broke out with a big run and a TD, but he still had just 9 carries. He isn’t getting the ball as much as Fred Taylor, and relies on breaking big runs. He’ll have a few games like last week this year, but they’ll be hard to predict. Houston is solid against the run, so don’t count on him this week.

St. Louis @ Baltimore
Baltimore’s defense isn’t as silly-dominant as it was last year, and receivers are having surprising success against this unit. This makes Drew Bennett a decent play again this week after scoring last week. Brian Leonard, though, is a sit. Gus Frerotte can be played if you’re desperate for a QB in this brutal week for byes (6 teams are off this week). Demetrius Williams is a nice play again for Baltimore against the Rams’ secondary. Mark Clayton is invisible.

Washington @ Green Bay

The Redskins’ defense has been a nice surprise thus far, and is allowing less than a TD and less than 200 yards passing to opposing QBs. Sit Brett Favre. I’d also sit Packer receivers other than Driver. I’d also continue to sit all Packer runners. Not a good outlook for the Pack. Start Santana Moss for sure if he’s back, since Washington may be without Antwaan Randle El and Moss will get all the looks in the passing game.

Cincinnati @ Kansas City
Larry Johnson should enjoy this week a bit more than last week, when he had only 12 yards on 9 carries. For those of you not on the Dwayne Bowe train yet, get on it this week for sure. It looks like Damon Huard will play this week, and he has an excellent matchup. He’s another good bye week fill-in.

Miami @ Cleveland
The Dolphins’ change at quarterback could be really bad for Chris Chambers owners. He was only targeted 4 times last week, while Marty Booker got 10 looks. Chambers is a start this week, but monitor this situation. The idea of Marty Booker emerging as a consistent fantasy presence is as silly as the name “Cleo Lemon”, but Chambers owners need to keep tabs on this offense. Miami is allowing almost 150 yards per game on the ground, so consider playing Jamal Lewis this week.

Minnesota @ Chicago
Chicago has had mixed success stopping the run, and they’re banged up again this week. Minnesota’s entire offense is the run game, so Adrian Peterson is a sure play. Chester Taylor was also a factor in his first game back in Week 4. He is a weaker play than Peterson, but is usable this week. Minnesota allows good production to opposing TEs, so Desmond Clark is a solid play.

Tennessee @ Tampa Bay
Earnest Graham wasn’t able to do much of anything in last week’s blowout defeat by the Colts, and his matchup doesn’t look much better this week. But, Graham could have a nice game against a solid Titan run D. Tennessee hasn’t faced a great running game yet (Jacksonville, Indy, New Orleans, and Atlanta), and the Bucs have shown an eagerness to pound the run in close games. Graham is likely to get more than the 6 carries he got last week (the Colts scored too much for the Bucs to establish the run), and could accumulate some yards and score.

Philadelphia @ New York Jets
Whoever starts at RB for the Eagles will have a huge game, so even if it’s Buckhalter replacing an injured Westbrook again this week, get him in. I’m sure many of you have vowed never to play Reggie Brown again, but consider him this week. The Jets tend to allow lots of underneath passing, and coming off the bye, it’s possible that he and McNabb have worked out their chemistry issues.

Carolina @ Arizona
With Jake Delhomme out for the season, I hesitate to recommend anyone on the Panthers for a while. Even Steve Smith’s production has fallen off with David Carr at quarterback, and they couldn’t do much with the run even against the Saints’ porous defense. Arizona’s defense has been good lately, and has another solid matchup against the Panthers. Kurt Warner is also a good play, and will continue to be until he inevitably gets injured hitting his hand on an O-lineman’s helmet.

Oakland @ San Diego
San Diego’s secondary has been bad, so start Ronald Curry. Daunte Culpepper is bound to throw more than 12 times, like he did in his last game, and Curry has been the most relevant receiver for them. Having said that, keep an eye on Jerry Porter. We haven’t seen which receiver Culpepper will favor, and it might be Porter, who caught 2 TDs in his last game with Daunte. The Chargers don’t look for their receivers much, but Vincent Jackson has a good matchup this week.

New England @ Dallas

This is a dream game for fantasy. Most of the players in this game are every week starters anyway, but I’d start most fringe players on these teams as well. Laurence Maroney looks like he may be back, but Sammy Morris is still the better play here because of his goal line carries. Start both Stallworth and Welker for the Pats.

New Orleans @ Seattle
The Saints continue to flounder this season. Aaron Stecker was irrelevant last week, Reggie Bush still thinks you can return punts from scrimmage, and Drew Brees is throwing interceptions all over the field. Devery Henderson caught some passes, but had a killer drop at the end, and rumor has it that coach Payton is running out of patience. Mike Karney is an interesting touchdown-vulture type, but his potential is limited because he relies solely on TDs to score. If you’re desperate for a runner in a bye week, though, he’s not bad. Eric Johnson is also decent as a bye week fill-in. Deion Branch is out for the Seahawks, which elevates Bobby Engram to the starting lineup, and he’s a great play against this Saints defense.

New York Giants @ Atlanta

Not too much to say here. I love Brandon Jacobs, and believe that he can run over people and fall forward against almost any defense. The Atlanta receivers continue to be inconsistent and unreliable, and with the Giants’ pass rush, they don’t have a great matchup. Lame Monday Night game…